Goldman Sachs doesn't expect an inflation spike in the US fueled by turmoil in the Red Sea.
To be sure, Red Sea disruptions have caused freight costs to soar as much as 350%.
AdvertisementShipping disruptions in the Red Sea have caused freight costs to spike, but the impact on inflation will remain muted, according to Goldman Sachs.
Goldman Sachs Global Investment ResearchHowever, they maintained that goods inflation still won't see a meaningful uptick for two reasons.
"Under reasonable pass-through assumptions, a 100% increase in the cost of sea freight therefore only raises core goods inflation by around 0.4pp and overall core inflation by around 0.1pp," the Goldman strategists said.
Persons:
Goldman Sachs, —, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius
Organizations:
Service, Shipping, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Goldman
Locations:
Red, Iran, Israel, Gaza, Suez, Asia, Europe, China, Southeast Asia, 0.4pp, 0.1pp