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☆ Why small-cap stocks are making such a big move on a Trump victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Donald Trump's return to the White House sparked a big move higher in small-cap stocks. Small-cap stocks were seen as potential winners under a second Trump presidency, as investors expect it would ease regulations on businesses — which tend to weigh more heavily on smaller businesses. Wednesday's gains in small caps were led by private prison stocks Geo Group and CoreCivic , which were up roughly 20% each. Small-cap stocks have trailed their large-cap counterparts this year. Notably, small caps outperformed in the 3mos after both the Trump 2016 and Biden 2020 wins."

Persons: Donald Trump's, Russell, Jason Goepfert, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, IWM, Wells, Chris Harvey, Robert Krankowski Organizations: Trump, DOJ, FTC, Congress, Wolfe Research, Geo, Biden, UBS, Ferrari Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Time to bail on the market's hottest sector? Some investors are starting to sell
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Hakyung Kim | In Hakyungkim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Utilities are having their best rally in decades , propelled by artificial intelligence enthusiasm and the prospect of lower interest rates, but some investors are cooling on the sector. Rate-sensitive utilities are now the best-performing sector in the S & P 500 in 2024, jumping more than 28%. The sector is on pace for its best year since 2000, when it climbed more than 50%. XLU XLK,.SPX YTD mountain Utilities versus tech and the S & P 500 in 2024 Utilities are viewed as an outsized beneficiary of lower borrowing costs due to their high capital requirements. For the time being, investors are still flocking to the names: Vistra and Constellation hit fresh all-time highs on Thursday.

Persons: XLU XLK, Jason Goepfert, Kathryn Rooney Vera Organizations: Vistra Corp, Constellation Energy

☆ A key segment of the Treasury market is on a record losing streak ahead of the Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The price of bond funds like TLT move in the opposite direction of bond yields, meaning lower prices equal higher yields. TLT 1M mountain The iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF has fallen for eight straight trading sessions. Only two of the trading sessions have seen a decline of more than 0.5%. One of the TLT's main competitors, the Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) , also fell for eight-straight trading sessions. The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) has only fallen in five of the past eight sessions, for example.

Persons: Jason Goepfert Organizations: U.S . Treasury, Treasury Bond ETF, Treasury, Federal, White Oak Consultancy

☆ Large stocks celebrate record while small caps remain mired in bear market
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Small caps are conspicuously absent from Wall Street's bull market party. The S & P 500 confirmed Friday that a new bull market has begun, breaking both its intraday and closing record high from January 2022. Year to date thus far, the S & P 500 is up more than 1%, while the Dow has climbed 0.5%. "We think it's when the Fed cuts rates not if; this boosts small more than large," he wrote in a Monday note. Not everyone on Wall Street is as optimistic that Fed rate cuts will be an outsized catalyst for small caps.

Persons: Russell, Jason Goepfert, Sundial's Goepfert, Steven DeSanctis, DeSanctis, Barclays's Stefano Pascale, Pascale Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Capital, Micro, Wall

☆ Stocks end 2023 with a 4th-quarter rally and many soft landing converts. Breaking down the '24 outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-30 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD As for the "too far, too fast" argument, it's worth recalling that all the S & P 500 has done is nearly complete an almost-symmetrical two-year round trip. Ned Davis Research U.S. strategist Ed Clissold looked back at prior times the S & P 500 has gone more than a year without making a record high. This is always a tricky proposition – cash that leaves money markets to buy stocks leaves the seller of the stocks with cash. For one thing, $6 trillion is only about 12% of total U.S. equity market cap, near the lower end of its historical range. At the 2009 market low money markets were 50% of equity market cap.

Persons: —, we've, Jason Goepfert, Jeff deGraaf, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Jerome Powell, it's, Cash Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Timely, National Association of Active Investment, Ned Davis Research, Investment, of

☆ There's historic selling going on in a stock market sector because of rising rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Utility stocks are getting pummeled to a historic degree as interest rates rise to their highest level in more than a decade, according to technical indicators. XLU 1M mountain Utilities stocks have fallen sharply in recent weeks as interest rates have climbed. "The interest rate regime, I certainly think that's what has caused this latest sell-off. Rising interest rates are a double whammy for utility stocks. "Based on our valuation regression model, which accounts for both interest rates and growth among other factors, utilities still screen ~9% overvalued ...

Persons: Jason Goepfert, SentimenTrader, Chris Verrone, I'm, Goepfert, It's, They're, Josh Brown, NextEra's, Brown, Ross Fowler, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Wealth, NextEra Partners, NextEra Energy, UBS

☆ The Nasdaq could be primed for huge gains after reaching a dire milestone, history shows
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-13 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Nasdaq Composite is performing at one of its most "miserable" levels ever and one not seen in more than a decade, according to Sundial Capital Research. "The Nasdaq has entered elite company, joining the most miserable markets ever," Jason Goepfert, chief research officer of Sundial Capital Research, said in a Tweet . In five previous instances, one week later the index was always higher and the median gain 5.3% . After 2008, the gain one year later was 40.5% while in 1973 the loss one year later was 34.3%. Interestingly, all six instances occurred in the final four months of the year: twice in September, three times in October and once in December.

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