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☆ China should be more worried about potential European tariffs than Trump: Economist
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina should be more worried about potential European tariffs than Trump: EconomistWilliam Lee of the Milken Institute says that Chinese President Xi is laying the groundwork at the G20 meeting to prepare for the changes to global trade when Trump takes office.

Persons: William Lee, Xi, Trump Organizations: China, Trump, Milken Institute

☆ Euro-dollar parity is back in focus as Trump win sparks trade jitters
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The euro has declined rapidly, meanwhile, briefly dipping below $1.05 on Nov. 14 for the first time since October 2023. Modeling by Barclays' economists shows the euro hitting dollar parity with a 10% tariff on European products and subsequent retaliation. The bank said the prospect of Trump tariffs and fiscal reforms had caused it to revise its view that the dollar would gradually decline through the year, instead seeing the U.S. currency "stronger for longer." Since hitting a low in September 2022, the euro has been comfortably back above parity even if below its long-range average. One of those 2022 factors roared back into focus this week, weighing broadly on European assets: the threat of escalating tensions with Russia.

Persons: Donald Trump, James Reilly, Reilly, George Saravelos, Trump, Saravelos, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: U.S, Republican, China —, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Federal, European Central Bank, FX Research, Deutsche Bank, Trump, Barclays, ECB, Fed Locations: Congress, China, U.S, Europe, Russia, Ukraine

☆ Japan exports rise more than expected in October, rebounding from 43-month low
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Japan's exports posted a 3.1% rise in October compared to a year ago, rebounding from a fall in September that marked a 43-month low. The climb beat expectations of a 2.2% rise from economists polled by Reuters, and is a reversal from the 1.7% fall in September. Government data showed that Japanese exports increased the most to the Middle East region, recording a 35.4% rise, compared to the same period a year ago. He added: "Any escalation of tensions between the U.S. and China on tariffs and trade is likely to weigh upon global trade and global growth. Japan, as an open and cyclical economy, will be impacted by any deterioration in global trade and the global economy."

Persons: September's, Daniel Hurley, Rowe Price, Donald Trump's Organizations: Reuters, U.S, Trump Locations: Yokohama, Japan, East, China

☆ UK inflation rises sharply to 2.3% in October, above expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON — U.K. inflation picked up sharply to a higher-than-expected 2.3% in October, data from the British Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday. The hike marks a sharp increase from the 1.7% rise recorded in September and exceeds the 2.2% forecast of economists polled by Reuters. The latest print once again brings inflation above the Bank of England's 2% target, potentially dampening the prospects of a final interest rate cut this year. Core inflation, which excludes energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, came in at 3.3% for the month, up slightly from 3.2% in September. The uptick was anticipated in part due to an increase in the regulator-set energy price cap that took effect in October, which is expected to lead to higher energy price inflation over the colder winter months.

Persons: Price Organizations: British Office, National Statistics, Reuters, Bank of England's, Institute of Chartered Accountants Locations: England, Wales

☆ European Central Banks warns of trade tension risks to euro zone financial stability
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Rising global trade tensions present a risk to the euro area economy, the bloc's central bank found in its biannual Financial Stability Review out on Wednesday. The European Central Bank also said weak growth was now a bigger threat than high inflation in the 20-nation euro zone. The latest figures recorded euro zone economic growth at a two-year high of 0.4% in the third quarter, while headline inflation hit 2% in October. "Rising global trade tensions and a possible further strengthening of protectionist tendencies across the world raise concerns about the potential adverse impact on global growth, inflation and asset prices," the Financial Stability Review said. Economists say the knock-on impact of implementing these measures could drag on the euro, if a slowdown in exports spurs the ECB to cut interest rates further and faster.

Persons: Donald Trump's Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, U.S Locations: U.S, China

☆ Charts suggest market could weather Trump tariff increases, Jim Cramer says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday said the charts suggest that fears about President-elect Donald Trump's intentions to implement major tariffs on imports won't affect the market just yet, and the impact of any actual tariffs will be lessened if the market remains bullish. Cramer examined analysis by Jessica Inskip, director of investor research at StockBrokers.com. "The charts ... suggest that tariffs had little impact on the market until they actually materialized during Trump's first term — all the saber-rattling beforehand didn't do much damage," he said. "Even when the tariffs actually hit and the market sold off, we eventually erased those losses the moment that the Fed stopped raising interest rates. But the broader market reacted when Trump actually imposed them, balking at the idea that he had ignited a global trade war, Cramer added.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Donald Trump's, Cramer, Jessica Inskip, she's, Trump, balking Organizations: Fed

☆ How a viral, duct-taped banana came to be worth $1 million
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But a banana duct-taped to a wall? That might sell for more than $1 million at an upcoming auction at Sotheby's in New York. The yellow banana fixed to the white wall with silver duct tape is a work entitled "Comedian," by Italian artist Maurizio Cattelan. Now, the conceptual artwork has an estimated value of between $1 million and $1.5 million at Sotheby's auction on Nov. 20. When asked to compare Cattelan's banana to a classic like Monet's "Nymphéas," Galperin says impressionism was not considered art when the movement began.

Persons: Maurizio Cattelan, David Datuna, David Galperin, Galperin, Sotheby's, Cattelan, Chloé Cooper Jones, Cooper Jones, Claude Monet Organizations: Art Basel Miami Beach, Columbia University School of, Arts Locations: Miami Beach , Florida, Sotheby's, New York, Italian, Selfie, Miami

☆ How different a commander in chief will Trump be?
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Peter Bergen | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +27 min

On the face of it, there are sizable differences in foreign policy between Trump and President Joe Biden. In October, the Biden administration again helped to intercept a barrage of around 200 Iranian ballistic missiles, which also caused minimal damage to targets in Israel. Bringing US troops homeIn 2020, the Trump administration signed a US withdrawal agreement from Afghanistan with the Taliban. But after McMaster was pushed out of office in 2018, the Trump administration negotiated with the Taliban the withdrawal agreement of all US forces from Afghanistan. Nonetheless, the incoming Trump administration seems intent on resurrecting Schedule F, an executive order issued in the last months of the first Trump term.

Persons: sneezes, Trump, Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden, —, Biden, Trump’s, shored, Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, Andrew Harnik, ”, Benjamin Netanyahu, Netanyahu, Ahmad Gharabli, Israel, Jared Kushner, Qasem Soleimani, Mike Huckabee, Israel — Huckabee, David Friedman, Reagan, JD Vance —, H.R, McMaster, Nikki Haley, Mike Pompeo, Haley, Pompeo, Elise Stefanik, Mike Waltz, Florida, George W, Bush, Pete Hegseth —, Lloyd Austin, Jim Mattis, Robert Gates, John Ratcliffe of, Tulsi Gabbard, Vladimir Putin, Basher al, Assad, Putin, Diego Fedele, Ukraine doesn’t, John Bolton, Mark Rutte, Tom Homan, Homan, ” Trump, CNN’s Priscilla Alvarez, “ It’s, Maura Healey, Stephen Miller, CBS’s, Camp David, It’s, Kim Jong Un Organizations: CNN, Trump, NATO, Ukraine, White, of, Biden, CIA, Liberation Army, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Obama, Getty, West Bank, Abraham Accords, Arkansas Gov, US Defense Intelligence Agency, ISIS, McMaster, UN, GOP, Republican, Special, House Armed Services Committee, Pentagon, Fox News, Senate, Republicans, US Civil, Policy, State Department, Department of Homeland Security, Policy Institute, Rep, House Intelligence, NATO Trump, US Congressional Research Service, Joint Assault Brigade, National Police, of Homeland, American Immigration Council, NBC News, US Bureau of Prisons, Massachusetts Gov, National Guard, Congress, Washington Post, H.R, North, America Locations: Paris, Russia, China, Beijing, South China, United Kingdom, Australia, Taiwan, Washington, United States, Gaza, Lebanon, Iran, Iranian, Syria, Israel, Yemen, Jerusalem, AFP, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Pakistan, John Ratcliffe of Texas, Hawaii, Ukraine, Dnipro, Soviet, Toretsk, Crimea, Japan, NATO, “ Russia, Baltic, Western Europe, ”, Korean, North Korean

☆ Wall Street looks for Nvidia to take the baton from election trades to keep rally alive in the week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

What exactly President-elect Donald Trump's second term means for the stock market will be the question investors continue to grapple with in the week ahead. Nvidia earnings results will also be on deck as investors deal with stubbornly high interest rates as well. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged past 44,000 for the first time ever, and the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite similarly posted new records. Sales of Blackwell and Grace Blackwell are expected to start to show up in results next year. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF has surged 11% this month.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Jimmy Chang, Jensen Huang, CNBC's, Blackwell, Grace Blackwell, Harsh Kumar, Piper Sandler, Kumar, Jensen, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Novavax, Ken Mahoney, Trump, There's, Mahoney, Rockefeller's Chang, Chris Rupkey, Jerome Powell Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Rockefeller Global Family, Treasury, Nvidia, Blackwell, Health, Human Services Department, Moderna, Asset Management, Regional Banking ETF, Federal, White, FWDBONDS, Housing, Walmart, Lowe's, Palo Alto Networks, Philadelphia Fed, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Ross Stores, Intuit, Deere, PMI, PMI Manufacturing, PMI Services Locations: China, U.S, NAHB, . Kansas, Michigan

☆ Trump’s tariff threats send U.S. companies scrambling for lobbyists and loopholes
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | Lora Kolodny | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +4 min

“Absolutely everyone is calling,” Collinson told CNBC. “Firms are prepared,” SUNY Buffalo finance professor Veljko Fotak, one of the authors of the 2021 study, told CNBC. “The American people re-elected President Trump by a resounding margin giving him a mandate to implement the promises he made on the campaign trail. On Thursday, Steve Madden pledged to reduce its Chinese imports by 45% over the next year in anticipation of Trump’s tariff plans. There’s got to be some way to help companies like that,” Sorini of Sorini, Samet & Associates told CNBC.

Persons: Donald Trump, Nicole Bivens Collinson’s, Collinson, Sandler, Travis, Rosenberg, ” Collinson, Trump, ” David French, “, ” Ron Sorini, ” Sorini, Veljko Fotak, ” Tiffany Smith, Karoline Leavitt, ” Leavitt, Steve Madden, There’s, ” Organizations: CNBC, Wall Street, National Retail Federation, Samet, Associates, Republican Party, White, SUNY Buffalo, National Foreign Trade Council, Trump Locations: China, America

☆ How trade is trending amid strikes, geopolitical risks: Panama Canal
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Lori Ann Larocco | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow global trade is trending amid strikes, geopolitical risks: Panama CanalRecent U.S. port strike action led to a dip in Panama Canal cargo, and geopolitical risks remain around the world, but the Panama Canal is forecasting improvements in flows through the critical trade gateway.

Locations: Panama, U.S, Panama Canal

☆ Here's how much more laptops, TVs, and smartphones could cost under Trump's proposed tariffs, consumer group says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Erin Snodgrass | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Americans' favorite tech gadgets could surge in price under Donald Trump's proposed tariffs, per a new report. An October report on consumer technology found laptops, smartphones, and TVs would surge in price. Under Trump's tariffs, the average price of laptops and tablets could skyrocket 45%, jumping an additional $200-$350 from their current prices, the CTA report found. AdvertisementUnder Trump's tariffs, video game consoles, meanwhile, could cost nearly $250 more than they currently do, and monitors could increase by more than $100, the report found. Televisions will see a 9% increase in consumer price, costing an additional $48 on average, according to the CTA report.

Persons: Donald Trump's, —, Trump, Gary Shapiro, International Trade Ed Brzytwa Organizations: Service, Consumer Technology, EVs, Cato Institute, CTA, Reuters, Consumer Technology Association, World, Census Bureau, Global, International Trade Locations: China

☆ Dollar braces for U.S. inflation data and several Fed speakers
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar started in a cautious mood on Monday as markets braced for U.S. inflation data and a throng of Federal Reserve speakers this week, while the yuan nursed a hangover from Beijing's latest underwhelming stimulus package. The dollar started in a cautious mood on Monday as markets braced for U.S. inflation data and a throng of Federal Reserve speakers this week, while the yuan nursed a hangover from Beijing's latest underwhelming stimulus package. Reports on retail sales and industrial output due Friday should show whether Beijing's various attempts at stimulus are having any real effect on demand. The dollar stood at 7.1970 yuan , having jumped 0.7% on Friday, and looks set to again test the 7.2000 barrier. The dollar index was a fraction firmer at 105.00, after gaining 0.6% last week mainly against the euro.

Persons: Olaf Scholz, Donald Trump's, Michael Feroli, Jerome Powell, cryptocurrencies Organizations: Federal Reserve, New, U.S, Fed Locations: China, New Zealand

☆ Fed's Kashkari says Trump tariffs could reheat inflation if they provoke global trade 'tit for tat'
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Neel Kashkari, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, speaks at the Milken Conference 2024 Global Conference Sessions at The Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 7, 2024. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Sunday that President-elect Donald Trump's tariff proposals could worsen long-term inflation if global trade partners were to strike back. One-time tariffs, Kashkari said on CBS' "Face the Nation," "shouldn't have an effect long run on inflation." "The challenge becomes, if there's a tit for tat and it's one country imposing tariffs and then responses and it's escalating. Trump and his backers like billionaire Tesla CEO Elon Musk have also been outspoken about their desire to give the president input on Fed policy decisions.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, The Beverly Hilton, Donald Trump's, Kashkari, Trump, We've, Tesla, Elon Musk Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, The Beverly, Minneapolis Federal, Sunday, CBS, U.S, Wall Street Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, Minneapolis, China

☆ Economic upheaval and political opportunity – what Trump’s return could mean for China
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Nectar Gan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

“Trump’s return to power will certainly bring greater opportunities and greater risks for China,” said Shen Dingli, a foreign policy analyst in Shanghai. AFP/Getty ImagesChallenges and opportunitiesBut Trump’s “America First” agenda and transactional worldview may also play in Beijing’s favor, experts say. “Although Beijing is deeply concerned about the unpredictability of Trump’s China policy, it reminds itself that challenges also bring opportunities,” said Tong Zhao, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “If the US and Russia ease relations, it could create greater daylight between Russia and China, effectively driving a wedge between them.” Liu said. “From everything he has said, it’s clear that Trump considers China, not Russia, as the main adversary.”

Persons: Donald Trump, “, ”, Shen Dingli, Xi Jinping, Trump, Xi, “ Trump, Liu Dongshu, Jim Watson, Larry Hu, Kamala Harris, Daniel Russel, Russel, Barack Obama, Tong Zhao, Joe Biden, Arleigh Burke, Halsey, Ismael Martinez, China’s, he’s, ” Zhao, Vladimir Putin, Liu, ” Liu Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Foreign, Chinese Foreign Ministry, City University of Hong, Getty, Huawei, Investment, Macquarie, Republican, Asia Society Policy Institute, Shipping, Carnegie Endowment, International, NATO, Asian Nato, Trump, US Navy, U.S . Navy, AP, Russia Beijing, Communist Party, Industry, Wall Street Locations: Hong Kong, China, United States, Beijing, Shanghai, America, City University of Hong Kong, Lago, Florida, AFP, Asia, Lianyungang, China's Jiangsu, Europe, Western, Russia, Asian, Taiwan Strait, AP Taiwan, Taiwan, Washington, Ukraine

☆ A top mind at JPMorgan Asset Management warns of clear economic red flag after Trump's big win, despite soaring US stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

US stocks had one of their best days in years and hit new records after Trump's resounding win over Kamala Harris in Tuesday's election. Both of those moves make sense, said David Kelly, the global strategy chief at JPMorgan Asset Management, in an interview on Wednesday. AdvertisementThe strategy chief has been adamant that higher tariffs — one of Trump's key proposals — would cripple the US economy and endanger the global economic expansion. Related storiesMost economists condemn tariffs, which are taxes on imports, because they tend to lead to higher prices and lower economic growth. Sean Gallagher, the global head of Lazard's small-cap equity platform, made a similar point in a recent interview with Business Insider when asked about Trump's tariffs and Kelly's stance.

Persons: Stocks, Donald Trump, David Kelly, Wall, he's, —, Donald Trump's, Trump's, Kamala Harris, Kelly, Trump, Mahatma Gandhi, I'm, I've, Tom Orlik, who's, Chris Murphy, Susquehanna's, Orlik, Sean Gallagher, Gallagher, maven, He's, inflation's Organizations: House . Market, Service, Nasdaq, US, JPMorgan Asset Management, Republican, JPMAM, Bloomberg Economics, Business, Trump Locations: Tuesday's

☆ CNBC's Inside India newsletter: How will the next Trump administration impact India?
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Global trade changed considerably over the past four years — benefiting India — as President Joe Biden retained much of Trump's tariffs on China. EnergyOn the one hand, analysts expect Indian interests to be aligned with those of the United States regarding oil prices . Trump's previous term in office, whether intentionally or coincidently, saw moderate to low oil prices. As India imports over 90% of its oil needs, New Delhi will likely welcome any move by the U.S. to keep oil prices low. A quick resolution of the war in Ukraine — Trump's campaign promise — would also prove to be negative for oil prices.

Persons: Narendra Modi, Donald Trump, Narendra Modi's, Joe Biden, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Trump, Uncle Sam, Samiran Chakraborty, Baqar Zaidi, Ukraine —, —, Sanjeev Prasad Organizations: India's, U.S, Manufacturing, Global, Observer Research Foundation, Treasury, Indian, Citi, Companies, Tata Consultancy Services, HCL Tech, Infosys, Energy, Suzlon Locations: Hyderabad, New Delhi, India, China, U.S, Mumbai, United States, Ukraine

☆ The one non-U.S. stock market that could win from Trump and how to play it
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Japan is one stock market outside the U.S. that could win now that Donald Trump is headed back to the White House. Trump has previously proposed tariffs of up to 20% on imports, with a stringent tax of 60% on goods coming from China. Japanese stocks rallied, however, as the yen weakened with some investors expecting the U.S. defense partner stands to gain most from Trump's policies. However, Akutsu warned, with few positive earnings surprises in the market, a year-end rally could be "limited in scope." Takada said investors may have to weigh the near-term benefits of a Trump market against the risks of a possible trade war, even with a rise in the Japanese equity risk premium.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Tony Pasquariello, What's, Pasquariello, America's Masashi Akutsu, Akutsu, Morgan's Masanari Takada, Takada, It's Organizations: Nikkei, Bank, Bank of America, Hitachi, Retailing, Trump Locations: Japan, China, U.S, Europe

☆ Trump vow on new trade war sends shockwaves through supply chain, importers scramble to move up orders
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Lori Ann Larocco | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The global tariff threat is fueling calls for frontloading from all around the globe," he said. But they added it is based on the belief is tariffs increase the costs of trade, in turn lowering demand and volumes. "Shipping is a global industry feeding on international trade, so another Trump presidency is a step in the wrong direction," said Sand. "The knee-jerk reaction from U.S. shippers will be to frontload imports before Trump is able to impose his new tariffs." Logistics companies serving the Mexico to U.S. cross-border trade tell CNBC new Trump tariffs can have a negative impact on historic cross-border truck trade.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Paul Brashier, Brashier, Swift, Ben Slupecki, Morningstar, Lars Jensen, Jensen, Peter Sand, Slupecki, Jefferies, Omar Nokta, Robert Lighthizer, Piper Sandler, Matthew Rubel, USTR, Obama, Peter Boockvar, Stephen Lamar, Lamar, Matthew Shay, Elect Trump Organizations: ITS Logistics, Trump, frontloading, Trucking, Hunt Transport Services, Schneider National, Norfolk Southern, CSX, Republican, U.S ., Maersk, . Shipping, Vespucci, CNBC, Shipping, U.S . Trade, Committee, Trade, White, Bleakley Financial, American Apparel and Footwear Association, National Retail Federation, Congress, Biden, Logistics Locations: United States, U.S, Maersk, East Coast, Mexico

☆ The world prepares for a fresh era of tariffs under Trump 2.0
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Polly Thompson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

During his first term, Trump imposed tariffs on key industries in both Europe and China. AdvertisementThis time around, analysts told BI that Trump's policies could have a particular impact on Europe. Related storiesEurope is particularly vulnerable to Trump's aggressive trade policies for two main reasons, said Nigel Green, CEO of financial advisory firm deVere Group. AdvertisementDonald Trump met European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at the World Economic Forum in Davos in 2020. Steven Kennedy, the most senior civil servant in Australia's Treasury department, said Wednesday he expected Trump's tariffs to impact the country's economy.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, —, Donald Trump, Bilal Hafeez, Nigel Green, Green, Morningstar, Trump's, Michael Brown, Ursula von der Leyen, JIM WATSON, Steven Kennedy, Kennedy, Fitch, Latinvex Organizations: Service, European Union, Macro, Economic, of Chicago, Street Journal, deVere, Pharmaceuticals, Morningstar DBRS, Trump, stoke, European, Getty, European Commission, Treasury, News.com.au Locations: Europe, China, Ukraine, Davos, Australasia, Latin America, America, Mexico

☆ Fade the euphoria? Here's what could go wrong with the Trump trade
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stocks exploded higher, bonds tanked and crypto boomed to historic peaks, indicating lofty hopes for when the president-elect takes office in January. However, there's still a lot of game left to be played, and the score could change a lot in future days. Essentially, strategists worry Trump's plan for punishing tariffs, higher spending and lower taxes will send bond yields higher, generally a recipe for trouble in stocks. "The question for me is how much can the Trump rally extend in the short term, but it strikes me that selling long positions into a rally makes a good deal of sense." "This suggests an asymmetric risk/reward framework with a much higher probability of downside than upside," said Lisa Hornby, head of U.S. fixed income at Schroders.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Stocks, there's, Mark Dowding, Lisa Hornby Organizations: Trump, RBC Global Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Schroders

☆ BTIG's list of biggest Trump winners and losers
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

In addition, he has floated plans to reduce corporate tax rates to as low as 15% from 21%, and eliminate income tax on tips, Social Security and overtime pay. Those include reduced individual income tax rates and increased alternative minimum tax (AMT) exemption amounts. These stocks are among those BTIG sees as the biggest winners and losers from Trump's victory. Winners M & A and consolidation A Trump presidency likely means a more supportive environment for corporate consolidation, Boltansky said. That would be positive for names like HealthEquity, which BTIG rates a buy, and Webster Financial , he noted.

Persons: Donald Trump, BTIG, Isaac Boltansky, Trump, Boltansky, CoreCivic, MicroStrategy, Webster Organizations: White, ACA, Social Security, Trump, Discover Financial, Discover, Republican White, Geo, United States Marshals Service, Federal Bureau of Prisons, Geo Group, Webster Financial, HealthEquity, Everest Group Locations: United States, China

☆ Here's what's at stake for global trade & tariffs this election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's what's at stake for global trade & tariffs this electionCarlos Gutierrez, Empath co-founder and CEO and former Commerce Secretary under President George W. Bush, and Dewardric McNeal, Longview Global managing director and senior policy analyst discuss the global impact of the election.

Persons: Carlos Gutierrez, Empath, George W, Bush, Dewardric McNeal Organizations: Longview Global

S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.1% and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. Goldman Sachs predicts that a Trump win and Republican sweep of Congress would spark a 3% pop in the S&P 500. Even a Trump win and a divided Congress would cause about a 1.5% gain, the bank predicts. On the other hand, a Harris win with a divided Congress would cause a 1.5% drop in the S&P 500, the bank told its clients. The stock market staged a broad rally Tuesday before the election results were in with the S&P 500 gaining 1.2%, bringing the benchmark's 2024 gains to more than 21%.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Goldman Sachs, Harris, Trump, Jason Trennert, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, America, Investors, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Traders Locations: Kentucky, Indiana

☆ 10-year yield to 4.5%? Rates could also see a big move on the election outcome
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The bond market, which has already seen dramatic moves leading up to the U.S. presidential election, could see even bigger price action depending on the outcome. One big theme investors are considering is the possibility of a Donald Trump win and higher bond yields that could follow. "I expect them to be worried that Trump would enact all those tax cuts, and I think bond yields would rise." US10Y 3M mountain 10-year Treasury The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield surged 50 basis points in October, marking the biggest monthly increase since September 2022. "There is room for rates to move in either direction depending on [the] election outcome."

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Kamala Harris, Stephanie Roth, Roth, Siegel Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, White, Republican, Senate, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Trump, Wolfe Research

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