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In this photo illustration, the OpenAI logo is displayed on a mobile phone screen with a photo of Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI. In the document, OpenAI outlines a rosy future for AI, calling it "as foundational a technology as electricity, and promising similarly distributed access and benefits." Now that Donald Trump is President-elect, OpenAI has made clear its plans to work with the new administration on AI policy, and the company's Wednesday presentation outlines its plans. OpenAI's presentation outlines AI economic zones co-created by state and federal governments "to give states incentives to speed up permitting and approvals for AI infrastructure." The blueprints say, "The government can encourage private investors to fund high-cost energy infrastructure projects by committing to purchase energy and other means that lessen credit risk."
Persons: Sam Altman, Donald Trump, OpenAI, Trump, Biden's Organizations: CNBC, Washington , D.C, Defense Locations: Washington ,, American
Bank of America's global fund manager survey showed the percentage of portfolio managers who are overweight U.S. stocks soared to 29% — its highest level since August 2013 — from 10% before the U.S. presidential election. Small caps, which stand to benefit greatly from less regulation, reduced taxes and faster economic growth, have outperformed large caps since the election. .SPX DJIA,.IXIC,IWM YTD mountain SPX, Nasdaq, Dow and IWM year to date BofA's chief investment startegist Michael Hartnett noted this trend is likely to continue. "Post-election results show net 35% [of fund managers surveyed] expect small caps to outperform large caps, which would have been the most since Feb'21," he said. This would make it next to impossible for the Federal Reserve to justify lowering interest rates, which could hurt equities — especially small caps.
Persons: , Stocks, Donald Trump, Russell, SPX DJIA, startegist Michael Hartnett Organizations: Bank of, U.S, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Atlantic, Nvidia Locations: Nasdaq
Vietnam's long wait for emerging market status could soon be over. The Southeast Asian nation is currently classified as a frontier market and has been on the FTSE emerging market watchlist since 2018. An upgrade to emerging market status could see global funds pouring billions into Vietnam's financial market which currently has a market value just north of $200 billion. Speaking to CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" before the confirmation, Maybank Investment Bank Vietnam's Head of Equity Research Thanh Quan Trong said that the FTSE upgrade for Vietnam to emerging market status could come as early as September 2025. "We are seeing good progress in Vietnam fixing the regulatory bottlenecks to get the market upgraded to emerging market status," Trong told CNBC.
Persons: Equity Research Thanh Quan Trong, Pham Minh, Trong Organizations: FTSE, Russell, Maybank Investment, Vietnam's, Equity Research, FTSE Russell, CNBC, World Bank, Vietnam's Institute for Economic, Research Locations: Vietnam
The previous record from the 2014 to 2017 mass bleaching affected just below 66% of the world’s reef area. Triggered by heat stress in warm oceans, coral bleaching occurs when corals expel the colourful algae living in their tissues. A bleached coral is not dead, but ocean temperatures need to cool off for any hope of recovery. “We’ve never had a coral bleaching event this big before.”In just the last six weeks, bleaching has been confirmed in the waters of Palau, Guam and Israel. What are we going to do about it?” said Emily Darling, who leads the Wildlife Conservation Society’s global coral reef conservation programme.
Persons: Derek Manzello, Sirachai Arunrugstichai, Lillian Suwanrumpha, Manzello, “ We’ve, , Emily Darling, El Niño Organizations: CNN, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, Reuters, NOAA, Reef, Getty, , United Nations, Wildlife Conservation Locations: Trat, Thailand, Raja Ampat, Indonesia's West Papua, AFP, Palau, Guam, Israel, Caribbean, South China, Colombia
Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineDespite markets falling Tuesday, there's still plenty to like about their current state. Weighed down by ASML's 16% dive and a report by Bloomberg on potential AI-chip export controls, semiconductor stocks like Nvidia and AMD fell 4.7% and 5.2% respectively. Still, investors are the most bullish in four years, according to the October BofA Global Fund Manager Survey.
Persons: DJI, Spencer Platt, there's, They're, Michael Hartnett, Mary Daly, who's, Dow, Piper, Craig Johnson, , Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Alex Harring Organizations: AMD, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, CNBC, ASML's, Bloomberg, Nvidia, Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Survey, U.S . Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Federal Locations: U.S, Beijing
Fully 90% expect a "soft landing," or "no landing" at all (i.e. That's not the case here: the Fed is cutting rates going into, at worst, a soft landing, which is very unusual. The S & P 500 was up 2.0% in September and is higher by 0.9% so far in October. Historically, the S & P tends to rise beginning in the last week of October and through November and December. Goldman Sachs noted that, since 1928, the median S & P 500 return from October 15 to December 31 has been 5.17%.
Persons: That's, Alicia Levine, BNY, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, buybacks, Stocks, there's, AAII, BofA Organizations: America, Trump, Bank of America Global Fund, Survey, Fed, buybacks, American Association of Locations: U.S, frothy
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Breather from rally U.S. markets fell Monday, weighed down by a drop in semiconductor stocks and a 8.1% slide in UnitedHealth . Tech stocks fell 6.36%, while telecoms stocks rose 1.97%. Indeed, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who's a member of the Federal Open Market Committee this year, noted that the central bank is "a long way from where [rates are] likely to settle."
Persons: ASML, there's, They're, Michael Hartnett, Mary Daly, who's, Dow, Piper, Craig Johnson, , Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Alex Harring Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, UBS, Tech, ASML's, Bloomberg, Nvidia, AMD, Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Survey, U.S . Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Federal Locations: New York City, U.S, Tuesday's, Netherlands, ., Beijing
In an August 1 note to clients, the bank's top global strategist urged investors to sell stocks when the Federal Reserve issues its first rate cut. Hartnett and his team studied the last 12 rate-cutting cycles going back to 1970 and identified three varieties of rate cuts. Hartnett said surging global central bank rate cuts are signs that the economy is in for a rough stretch. Investors expect the Fed to cut rates for the first time this cycle at its September meeting. "Emergency Fed rate cuts being priced in makes little sense given the economic backdrop in the U.S. and would only serve to destroy policy maker credibility."
Persons: , America's Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Louis, Jean, Louis Nakamura, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Kantrowitz, Hartnett's, Jim Smigiel Organizations: Service, America's, Federal Reserve, Business, Bank of America Bank of America, Bank of America, Louis Fed, Bank of America's, Global, SEI Locations: U.S
Opinion | Fighting Malaria: The Role of Two Groups
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
To the Editor:Re “Lives at Risk” (Science Times, July 23):The New York Times spotlights malaria, which kills nearly half a million African children annually, and the important role malaria vaccines are playing in reducing child deaths. The malaria vaccine pilots, for which the World Health Organization provided scientific and technical leadership, demonstrate the critical role W.H.O. advanced the first malaria vaccine (RTS,S) at the request of member states, even as global health partners focused their attention on other agendas. The pilots provided assurance that the vaccine is safe and highly effective — reducing child deaths by 13 percent. In some areas, combining the vaccine, insecticide-treated nets and chemoprevention can reduce malaria by more than 90 percent.
Persons: doesn’t Organizations: Science Times, New York Times, World Health Organization
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewBank of America's latest Global Fund Managers survey found that shadow banking has surpassed commercial real estate as the likeliest culprit of a future credit event. In June's survey, commercial real estate held the top spot. Related storiesMeanwhile, BofA's survey indicates that fund managers are still keeping their eyes on commercial real estate, a sector that has wobbled under the weight of high interest rates. Between tighter monetary policy and a significant pullback in office demand, worry has mounted regarding whether commercial real estate entities can pay off their debt.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, BofA Organizations: Service, America's, Global Fund, Business, Bank of America Global Fund, Survey, JPMorgan Locations: H2'24
With stocks set to close out a strong first half of 2024, investors have just one more key inflation hurdle to clear in the week ahead: May's personal expenditure report. Next week's personal consumption expenditure data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, could show whether that overall picture is intact. May's consumer price index, for example, showed no increase from the prior month. Last month's producer price index , a measure of wholesale prices, unexpectedly dropped from the previous reading. Pending Home Sales Index (May) 11 a.m. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (June) Earnings: Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance , McCormick & Co. Friday June 28 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Stocks, Terry Sandven, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Scott Chronert, Brian Leonard, Leonard, Bank's Sandven, Sandven, Mills Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Federal, PCE, Bank of America Securities, Wall, Keeley, Advisors, FedEx, Dow, Nasdaq, Dallas Fed, Chicago, Richmond Fed, Carnival, New, Micron Technology, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance, McCormick, Chicago PMI Locations: . Kansas, Chicago, Michigan
By far, the most dominant trade on Wall Street is going long the "Magnificent Seven." Investors are the most bullish they've been on the mega-cap tech stocks going back to October 2020, the firm found. In fact, about 69% of respondents were bullish on the group, making the Magnificent Seven the most crowded trade for 15 straight months. One highly contrarian trade Bank of America identified could be going long bonds. Going long oil is another contrarian trade that could work as an hedge against geopolitical risk, the Wall Street firm said.
Persons: they've, What's, BofA Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Bank of America
On Wednesday's Pro Talks , CNBC's Tanvir Gill will ask Jayaraman how to navigate investing in the country, as well as other emerging markets. The portfolio manager and head of quantitative research at Causeway manages its Emerging Markets Fund and International Opportunities Fund . Join CNBC Pro Talks on Wednesday, June 19, at 6:30 a.m. BST / 1:30 p.m. SGT / 1:30 a.m. Learn more from our previous Pro Talks: The market has 'completely missed' this 'critical' AI chip stock, says fund manager Move over Nvidia: Fund manager likes 'overlooked' chipmaker with billions in AI chip sales Will the AI spending boom pay off? One tech fund manager says it looks 'compelling' for some firms Related coverage from Pro: Looking for top alternatives to Nvidia?
Persons: It's, Narendra Modi, Arjun Jayaraman, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Jayaraman, Tanvir Gill Organizations: India, Causeway, Markets Fund, International, Fund, MSCI, Big, Nvidia Locations: India
Investors are the most bullish they've been since November 2021, according to the global fund manager survey (FMS) released Tuesday from Bank of America Securities. Halfway through 2024, the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite are each at records , on Monday closing once again at all-time highs. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2024. In November 2021 — the last time Wall Street was this bullish — the S & P 500 capped off a strong year, advancing more than 26%. 1 risk on investors' minds (according to 32% of investors, down from 41% in May), followed by geopolitics (22%, up from 18%), and the U.S. presidential election (16%, up from 9%).
Persons: they've, Michael Hartnett Organizations: Investors, Bank of America Securities, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, U.S, CNBC
Caledonia Investments could see its stock price soar by more than 35% if restrictions on share buybacks are lifted, according to fund manager Brian McCormick. McCormick, who runs the Jupiter Global Value fund at Jupiter Asset Management, said Caledonia's share buybacks are limited due to restrictions in share ownership as set out in the U.K.'s Takeover Code. In addition, when the fund performs a share buyback while its stock trades below its NAV, it is buying its own assets at a 37% discount. Caledonia's buyback limits When a company buys back shares, those shares are canceled, which can increase the percentage ownership of remaining shareholders. Analysts also agree that Caledonia's limits on share buybacks right now are holding back the share price.
Persons: Brian McCormick, Philip Morris, McCormick, Robert Memmott, Iain Scouller Organizations: Microsoft, Oracle, British American Tobacco, London Stock Exchange, Jupiter Asset, CNBC Pro, London Value Investor Conference Locations: Caledonia, United States
The world is mired in $315 trillion of debt, according to a report from the Institute of International Finance. This global debt wave has been the biggest, fastest and most wide-ranging rise in debt since World War II, coinciding with the Covid-19 pandemic. Around two-thirds of the $315 trillion owed originates from mature economies, with Japan and the United States contributing the most to that debt pile. Of the $315 trillion debt stock, household debt, which includes mortgages, credit cards and student debt, among others, amounted to $59.1 trillion. Business debt, which corporations use to finance their operations and growth, stood at $164.5 trillion, with the financial sector alone making up $70.4 trillion of that amount.
Persons: Organizations: Institute of International Finance, United Locations: Japan, United States, China, India, Mexico
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewMarkets underestimate inflation's likely endurance, as an array of factors keep price upside churning, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon told Bloomberg TV. "I think the underlying inflation may not go away the way people expect it to," he told the outlet at the JPMorgan Global Markets Conference. AdvertisementIt's a point Dimon keeps reiterating despite market bullishness, as investors keep trading on the premise that subsiding inflation allows interest rates to eventually ease. In his annual letter to JPMorgan shareholders published last month, he expressed similarly doomy outlooks concerning inflation, interest rates and the economy's trajectory.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, Dimon's, he's, Dimon Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Bloomberg, JPMorgan Global Markets, Business, Bank of America's, Global Fund Locations: Bank, China, Beijing, Russia, United States
Stocks are vulnerable to a stagflation or hard landing rebound, says Bank of America's Michael Hartnett. AdvertisementStock markets face downturn risk if stagflation or recession anxiety re-materializes, Bank of America's top global strategist Michael Hartnett wrote on Tuesday. "Sentiment not at 'close-eyes-and-sell' levels but risk assets vulnerable to more evidence of stagflation," he noted in the bank's latest Global Fund Manager Survey. Although outlooks have since calmed, stagflation seemed like a growing possibility last month, when estimate-beating inflation data eclipsed shallow first-quarter GDP. Stagflation may have some part to play, as inflation remains the leading tail risk, while fears of an "economic hard landing" grew stronger.
Persons: America's Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, , Michael Hartnett, stagflation Organizations: America's, Service, materializes, Bank of America's, Global Fund, Survey, Japan Utilities, Federal Reserve Locations: China, Europe, Japan
For most investors, holding just one passive global stock market fund and one passive global bond market fund over the long term is the best way to construct a portfolio, the strategists said. While some more time-consuming, complicated strategies may allow for higher returns, this approach gives investors the best all-around bang for their buck, Loeys and Wise said. Our point is instead that we believe you can achieve most, if not all of your financial objectives by following our KISS approach. Two stock funds that do this include the Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund (VTWAX) and the SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF (SPGM). For investors who want to do more with their portfolio, Loeys and Wise suggested dedicating 80%-90% of one's portfolio to the above strategy, and using the other 10%-20% on other investments.
Persons: Jan Loeys, Alexander Wise, Wise, Joeys, Loeys Organizations: JPMorgan, Business, KISS, Index, Stock Market, Bond, Fidelity
The four-year total return for the S & P 500 since March 23, 2020, is just about 150%, or 25.7% annualized. .SPX mountain 2020-03-23 S & P 500 since the Covid low This is, of course, an idealized starting point from which to measure performance. While the S & P 500 bottomed at around a three-year low under 2,200, the index spent only a few weeks under 2,500. More qualitatively, it's a bull market, and in a bull market the overshoots occur to the upside, so a rally being "ahead of itself" is not fatal. And the S & P 500 is only 9% higher than it was more than two years ago, hardly reaching escape velocity from planet Sanity.
Persons: , Warren, Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, bullishness, Rocky White Organizations: HSBC, 3Fourteen, Bank of Japan, Fed, Ned Davis Research, Schaeffer's Investment Research, Intelligence, Bank of America
Competition is heating up in the electric vehicle industry, especially between investor favorite Tesla and Chinese automakers like the Warren Buffett-backed BYD . He said that most EV businesses had not succeeded in making money yet, given the "extraordinary" amount of capital invested initially. He manages over $750 million across the Latitude Horizon Fund and the Latitude Global Fund . 'Phenomenal' Ferrari Lait described Ferrari in particular as "a phenomenal business." The average price target on Ferrari is 391.96 euros ($425.14), according to FactSet data, giving it potential downside of around 8%.
Persons: Tesla, Warren Buffett, EVs, Freddie Lait, CNBC's, Lait, Ferrari Lait, Ferrari, Morgan Stanley's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Latitude Investment Management, Ferrari, Motors, Volkswagen, BMW, New York Stock Exchange, Euronext, Euronext Milan, UBS Locations: Euronext Milan
But one firm in the wider ecosystem that's perhaps lesser known stands out to fund manager Freddie Lait, which is McKesson Corp — the U.S. pharmaceuticals distribution company. Calling the company an "exciting idea," Lait noted that the 100-year-old business is "very defensive and very diversified." Lait manages over $750 million collectively between two funds — the Latitude Horizon Fund and the Latitude Global Fund . Of the 19 analysts covering the stock, 14 give it a buy or overweight rating, while three have hold ratings and one has a sell rating. The average price target on the stock is $550.25, according to FactSet data, giving it potential upside of 6%.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Freddie Lait, Lait, , That's, … It's, McKesson, MCK, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Novo Nordisk, Latitude Investment Management, CNBC, U.S, Cardinal Health, McKesson Corp, JPMorgan, Rite Aid, receivables, Leerink Partners, pharma
Shares of oil giants and European infrastructure companies can act as a hedge against inflation while also delivering strong annual growth, according to fund manager Freddie Lait. Lait manages two funds — the Latitude Horizon Fund and the Latitude Global Fund — with more than $750 million of assets collectively and holds all three stocks in both funds. BP SHEL 1Y line The fund manager explained that with oil currently around $85 per barrel, and his assumption of $70-75 long-term, his oil and gas stock picks can generate nearly double-digit annual returns for shareholders. 'Phenomenally interesting' stock Beyond energy names, Lait said his favorite inflation-linked stock is Vinci which he described as "phenomenally interesting." The company operates a mix of toll roads and civil engineering projects with long-term inflation adjustment mechanisms.
Persons: Freddie Lait, Lait, Vinci, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Latitude Investment Management, Shell, CNBC Pro, International Energy Agency, London Gatwick, Atlantic City International, Vinci Locations: Saudi Arabia's, Aramco, Burbank, United States
From major elections to inflation and recession risks, the world right now is highly unpredictable, according to Freddie Lait of Latitude Investment Management. Join CNBC's Karen Tso as she asks the fund manager how investors should navigate this uncertainty. Lait has been a managing partner at Latitude Investment Management since 2016, before which he was a fund manager at firms including Odey Asset Management and Rothschild Private Management. Join CNBC's Karen Tso as she asks the fund manager how investors should navigate this uncertainty. Join CNBC Pro Talks on Wednesday, Feb. 21, at 12 p.m. GMT / 8:00 p.m. SGT / 7 a.m.
Persons: Freddie Lait, Karen Tso, He'll, Lait, Goldman Sachs, Tesla Organizations: Latitude Investment Management, JPMorgan, Sony, BP, Odey Asset Management, Rothschild Private Management, Morningstar Locations: U.S, China
Meanwhile, investors have cut their cash levels to 4.2% from 4.8%, the survey said. "Most bullish FMS in 2 years ... investors go all-in on U.S. tech," Hartnett wrote in a note to clients. For the first time since April 2022, investors became confident enough to predict that the U.S. economy would skirt a recession, the BofA survey showed. The proprietary indicator gauges when inflows or outflows related to stock-based funds point to investors moving too far to either side. Hartnett highlighted a few contrarian trades for a hard landing scenario, which includes going long cash and defensive stocks, and short technology companies.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett Organizations: Bank of America, Manager Survey, FMS Locations: U.S
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