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The AI bubble, Taylor said, will be similar to the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s. AdvertisementThe buzz surrounding AI may echo the exuberance and excesses of the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s, OpenAI chairman Bret Taylor said in a podcast that aired on Wednesday. "I think the AI bubble will rhyme with the dot-com bubble and I believe with the benefit of hindsight, most of the excess of the dot-com bubble might have been justified," Taylor added. Most of today's leading tech companies like Amazon and Google, Taylor said, were started during the dot-com bubble. Advertisement"A huge percentage of the gains in the stock market over the past 30 years have more or less been these digital companies created in the dot-com bubble," Taylor said.
Persons: Bret Taylor, Sam Altman's, Taylor, Harry Stebbings, , Sam Altman, Mark Twain, Stebbings, Elon Musk, Goldman Sachs, Jim Covello, hasn't, We’ve, Elon, Musk Organizations: OpenAI's, Service, Google, Business Insider, Stanford, Facebook, Elon Locations: OpenAI, Silicon Valley
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella is defending the role of artificial intelligence — particularly in the workplace — like it's his job. AI can help people boost their productivity right now, Nadella said during a virtual appearance at the Fast Company Innovation Festival 2024 last week. Longer-term, it could help take on roles, even involving decision-making, across "healthcare or in finance or any other domain," he said. All that money has yet to yield a tool that actually helps most businesses earn more revenue, the Goldman Sachs report said. Plus, sign up for CNBC Make It's newsletter to get tips and tricks for success at work, with money and in life.
Persons: Satya Nadella, Nadella, Microsoft's, , Goldman Sachs, Jim Covello, Gary Marcus, CNBC's, Marcus, you'll Organizations: Fast, Microsoft, New York University, Workforce, CNBC
The S & P 500 is on the verge of something unexpected — especially for September. The broad market index entered the week less than 1% below a record last reached in July. Krinky isn't the only one on the Street treading carefully with the S & P 500 near record highs. "With the S & P 500 close to our YE 2024 price target again, we remain neutral on the S & P 500 for now," wrote Lori Calvasina, head of global equity research at RBC Capital Markets. "However, after a sharp move lower in 10-year yields, the earnings yield gap for the S & P 500 is starting to head in a more favorable direction for stocks," Calvasina added.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, BTIG, Krinsky, Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, Mark Mahaney Organizations: Traders, Federal, Market Committee, RBC Capital Markets, ISI, of Justice
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementThe tech slide follows a dramatic sell-off in Asia, with Japan's main stock market index, the Nikkei 225, ending 12.4% lower and other AI heavyweights such as SoftBank slid hard. By the end of the year, the company expects to spend up to $40 billion on AI research and product development. That's because AI's been touted as a technology as revolutionary as the internet and smartphones by tech luminaries like Bill Gates. If others really start to believe that's the case, it could mark the beginning of the end for the AI rally.
Persons: , Jensen, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, SoftBank, Sundar Pichai, Susan Li, AI's, Bill Gates, Goldman Sachs, Jim Covello, Daron Acemoglu, it's, Blackwell, Elliott, Dan Ives Organizations: Service, Tech, Business, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Nikkei, Google, Big, Investors, Meta, Elliott Management, Financial Times Locations: Asia
Similar to US manufacturing workers who lost their jobs in recent decades to advancements like automation, those displaced by AI could find themselves without the skills needed for the modern workforce. It comes down to when — and where — AI job losses are likely to materialize. Davis said there are several reasons workers who are displaced by AI should have an easier time finding work than many manufacturing workers of the past. Impacted workers in cities would be more likely to have job opportunities than workers where manufacturing jobs were concentrated, which often were in the Midwest. Widespread AI job displacement won't happen for at least a decadeWhile Davis is uncertain about the timing and scale of AI job displacement, he said he doesn't expect AI to drive major job losses over the next decade.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, It's, Steven Davis, Hoover Institute —, Davis, it's, — Davis, they've, they're, Joe Biden, there's, Jim Covello, that's Organizations: Service, Business, Hoover Institute, Stanford University —, Bureau of Labor Statistics —
In his Sunday column , Jim Cramer wrote that these earnings reports will test that rotation narrative. Another way to help "take the sting away" is management teams providing a rationale behind the spending, Jim also wrote Sunday. Alphabet's second-quarter capex of $13.2 billion was up 91% year over year and higher sequentially from $12 billion in the first quarter. Alphabet's full-year capex spending is expected to total nearly $50 billion, according to estimates compiled by FactSet. Investors fretting about AI spending is not entirely new.
Persons: , Jim Cramer, Jeff Marks, Jim, Alphabet's, Sundar Pichai, FactSet, Apple, Meta's, Goldman Sachs, Jim Covello, Covello, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Big Tech, Microsoft, Apple, KeyBanc, Markets, Google, Meta, stoke, Wall Street, Wedbush Securities, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: capex
investments might be three times as large as expected returns, while another analyst, in several assessments published by Sequoia Capital, calculated that investments in A.I. (He called this “A.I.’s $600 billion question” and warned of “investment incineration.”) In a similarly bearish Goldman Sachs report, the firm’s head of global equity research estimated that the cost of A.I. “Replacing low-wage jobs with tremendously costly technology is basically the polar opposite of the prior technology transitions I’ve witnessed,” he noted. expenditure, more than the United States spends annually on its military, and think: What exactly is that money going toward? slop”: often uncanny, frequently misleading material, now flooding web browsers and social-media platforms like spam in old inboxes.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Erik Hoel, Anthony Aguirre “, A.I, , slop, we’ve Organizations: Barclays, Sequoia Capital Locations: A.I, United
Hong Kong Street Scene, Mongkok District with busses Nikada | E+ | Getty ImagesHong Kong's initial public listing market remains in a slump, even as analysts predicted a market rebound in the second half of the year. "The Hong Kong market has not recovered as much as we would like," Irene Chu, partner at KPMG China, told CNBC. In the first three quarters of the year, the Hong Kong IPO market concluded 44 listings, and raised 24.6 billion Hong Kong dollars ($3.14 billion), according to KPMG. Hong Kong's stock market was among the worst performing last year, shedding 15% in 2022 for its third-straight year of declines. "The Hong Kong stock market remained weak in Q3 2023, as did stock valuations, because of macroeconomic developments, in particular around U.S. interest rate hikes.
Persons: Irene Chu, Hong, Ringo Choi, EY, Zhejiang Leapmotor, Arun George, It's, Chu Organizations: Hong, KPMG China, CNBC, Hong Kong, KPMG, Hang Seng, J, T Express, Reuters, Deloitte, Hong Kong's, ZJLD, Onewo, Global Equity Research, International Monetary Fund Locations: Hong, Mongkok District, Hong Kong, Ringo Choi Asia, Pacific, Asia, Indonesian, Zhejiang, China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, KPMG China,
Certain names will surprise to the upside in 2023, according to Credit Suisse, in what's expected to be another volatile year for the stock market. Credit Suisse predicts Carnival will see upside to estimates for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in 2023 and 2024. Carnival has 47% upside to Credit Suisse's $16 price target, as of Wednesday's close. CCL mountain 2020-01-26 Carnival's performance since late January, 2020 Meanwhile, FedEx had a challenging 2022 but could rally nearly 27%, according to Credit Suisse's $238 price target. Nvidia shares have more than 8% upside to Credit Suisse's $210 price target.
The odds are “too high on Goldilocks; there’s still no easy way out,” analysts at BoFA Global Research wrote on Tuesday. Stocks tend to perform poorly in economic downturns, with the S&P 500 falling an average of 29% during recessions since World War Two, according to Truist Advisory Services. Those rebounds inevitably crumbled, leaving the S&P 500 with a 19.4% annual loss, its worst since 2008. The most recent rally has lifted the S&P 500 more than 11% from its October lows. Strategists polled by Reuters at the end of 2021 saw the S&P 500 gaining a median of 7.5% last year.
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