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☆ Can Donald Trump or Kamala Harris Bring Back Manufacturing Jobs?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +6 min

The number of manufacturing jobs has fallen 45 percent since the late 1990s, as factories have shuttered or moved to Mexico, China and elsewhere. Canton represents the kind of struggling manufacturing town that once churned out American products. They argue that the candidates’ proposals aren’t enough to reverse the trends — globalization, free trade agreements, automation and other technological changes — that caused manufacturing jobs to leave America in the first place. That helps explain why, despite Mr. Biden’s subsidies, the number of manufacturing jobs nationwide remains 34 percent lower than it was in the late 1970s. Modern manufacturing jobs also often require a postsecondary education.

Persons: Hoover, Donald J, Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump’s, ”, Alec Stapp, Kimberly Kenney, McKinley, ’ Organizations: Industries, Canton, Canton Board of Trade, Institute for Progress, Federal, Companies, McKinley Presidential Library and Museum, Local Locations: Canton , Ohio, Canton, Mexico, China, United States, American, Phoenix, Silicon Valley, Boston, fracking, City

☆ Would Harris’s Expanded Child Tax Credit Be Worth the Cost?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( German Lopez | Kevin Serna | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +4 min

They worry that the expanded tax credit would reduce incentives to find a job, hurting the economy. The child tax credit “is a costly transfer program for taxpayers with kids who do not need government handouts,” the Cato Institute, a libertarian think tank, has said. In 2022, after one year, Congress allowed the expanded child tax credit to expire. While it was in effect, the expanded child tax credit reduced child poverty in the U.S. by nearly half, studies have found. JD Vance, Donald Trump’s running mate, has said he favors expanding the child tax credit as well, though he is vague on details.

Persons: Kaleena Daugherty, Kamala Harris, Daugherty, —, ”, “, She’s, Harris, JD Vance, Donald Trump’s Organizations: Cato Institute, Poverty, Columbia University, Ms, Budget Locations: Milwaukee, U.S

☆ Ukraine’s Surprise Attack
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Ukraine’s efforts to retake territory from Russia have stalled. But the Ukrainian military has tried to get back at Moscow in other ways. Last week, Ukraine tried something new. Its own forces marched miles across the Russian border in a surprise operation. “It could give Ukraine a win, or at least make them feel good for a few days.

Persons: Eric Schmitt, ” Organizations: Ukraine Locations: Russia, Moscow, Ukraine, Russian, Kursk

☆ Kamala Harris and the Race for Congress
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

With President Biden out of the 2024 race, Democrats aren’t just hoping to win the presidency. He ran behind congressional Democrats in polls. He could have cost his party otherwise winnable House and Senate races by causing Democratic-leaning voters to stay home. “And so they might not have shown up.”Much of what Kamala Harris and Donald Trump would do as president depends on which party controls Congress. The race for the Senate favors Republicans, but if Democrats forestall a wipeout, they could at least limit the G.O.P.’s agenda.

Persons: Biden, aren’t, ”, Amy Walter, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Senate, Democratic, Democrat

☆ Who Can Achieve the American Dream? Race Matters Less Than It Used To.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( German Lopez | Ashley Wu | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +15 min

When the white Gen X child turned 27 in 2005, they could expect to make more than $34,000. But Mr. Cain did have a strong community — which he said taught him entrepreneurship and showed him he could dream big. Mr. Cain, 35, got a two-year degree in business management and first worked as a bank teller and financial adviser. At the same time, white millennials born to poor parents had a harder time than their white Gen X counterparts. Unlike Mr. Cain, Mr. Brown did not have a strong sense of community, as he bounced between his mother, his father and his grandparents.

Persons: Lawrence Cain Jr, Cain, ”, Asa Featherstone, Black, Derek Brown, Brown, He’s, “, It’s, ” Mr, Raj Chetty, Stefanie A, DeLuca, David B, Ralph Richard Banks, wasn’t, Benjamin Goldman, Cain’s Organizations: Abundance University, Business, Harvard, The New York Times, General Electric, Richer, Johns Hopkins University, Stanford, People, Black, White, Conservatives, Local, Bank of America Locations: Cincinnati, Northside, America, United States, American, China, India, Charlotte, N.C

☆ A New Insight into Donald Trump’s Rise
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

A common theory about Donald Trump’s appeal is that working-class white people feel they fell behind as other groups pulled ahead. He recognized the sentiment and spoke to those voters’ concerns. It turns out that those concerns are grounded in real economic changes, a new study from Harvard researchers shows. The researchers analyzed census and tax records covering 57 million children to look at people’s ability to rise to the middle and upper classes — their mobility — over two recent generations. They found that it had improved among Black people and deteriorated among poor white people, as this chart by my colleague Ashley Wu shows:

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Ashley Wu Organizations: Harvard

☆ The Myth of Migrant Crime
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Throughout the first three days of the Republican National Convention, officials have highlighted a surge in what they call “migrant crime.” President Biden “has welcomed into our country rapists, murderers, even terrorists, and the price that we have paid has been deadly,” Gov. The day before, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas said, “Every day, Americans are dying” in crimes committed by migrants. But there is no migrant crime surge. In fact, U.S. rates of crime and immigration have moved in opposite directions in recent years. And after illegal immigration spiked in 2021 and 2022, murders plateaued and then fell.

Persons: ”, Biden “, Greg Abbott, Texas, Ted Cruz of, Donald Trump, plateaued, Ashley Wu Organizations: Republican National Convention Locations: Ted Cruz of Texas, U.S

☆ A Halting Performance
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

They hoped that President Biden, 81, could convince voters that his age was nothing to worry about. Biden’s voice was hoarse and halting. “Rather than dispel concerns about his age,” wrote my colleague Peter Baker, Biden “made it the central issue.”Some Democrats are now pushing for him to drop out of the race. “Biden is about to face a crescendo of calls to step aside,” a Democratic strategist told Peter. It has run dry.”Donald Trump, 78, delivered his false statements with conviction, affirming many voters’ concerns about his character and the threat he poses for democracy.

Persons: Biden, Donald Trump’s, “, ”, Peter Baker, Biden “, “ Biden, Peter, “ Joe, Donald Trump Organizations: Democratic

☆ Getting Aid Into Gaza
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Humanitarian groups have thousands of tons of food, fuel and medicine ready to send to Gaza. Aid groups want to protect their workers from bombs and gunfire. In other words, the people in charge of allowing aid into Gaza have prioritized their own interests over helping hungry Palestinians. In doing so, they’ve repeatedly made decisions that humanitarian groups can’t overcome. Today’s newsletter will explain what’s keeping aid out of Gaza.

Persons: Israel, they’ve Organizations: Hamas Locations: Gaza, Egypt, Jordan, Cyprus

☆ China’s Role in Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Over the last few weeks, a Russian blitz has claimed more than a dozen villages in northeast Ukraine, near the country’s second-largest city. And Russia’s economy is limited by steep sanctions from some of the richest countries in the world. But it has supported Russia’s economy by buying oil and expanding other kinds of trade. Without Beijing’s help, Moscow might still continue its war, but it would do so in a weakened state. Of course, Washington and its allies have also provided support, including actual weapons, to Ukraine.

Persons: ”, David Sanger Organizations: U.S Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Russia, Moscow, China, Washington

☆ Has Fentanyl Peaked?
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Last week brought some rare good news on drugs: Overdose deaths declined in 2023. And while the opioid crisis has taken some surprising and terrible twists over the years, it may finally be turning around. First, drug epidemics tend to follow a natural course in which the drugs enter a market, spread and then fade away, at least for some time. Faddish cycleDrugs are often faddish; epidemics tend to ebb on their own. Think of all the drugs that have come and gone over the past several decades, such as crack, meth and synthetic marijuana.

☆ How Technology Has Outpaced the Law
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( German Lopez | More About German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

It was reasonable to expect the number of abortions in the U.S. to decline. The dynamic encapsulates a broader trend: The combination of a relatively new technology (the web) and an old one (the mail) has made it easier for Americans to bypass laws that they don’t like. Gun owners assemble untraceable firearms, known as ghost guns, from parts ordered online or made with 3-D printers, another relatively new technology. Today’s newsletter will cover some of the ways that technology has outpaced the law. The number of ghost guns seized at crime scenes increased more than tenfold from 2016 to 2021.

Persons: Roe, Fentanyl’s Organizations: U.S . Gun Locations: Florida, U.S, China, India

☆ The Rise of Sports Betting
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

In the coming days, the country’s best men’s and women’s college basketball teams will clash in the N.C.A.A. For fans, these are some of the biggest events of the year — a chance to see the best young athletes in the highest-stakes games. They are also some of the most lucrative events for sports betting apps. Six years ago, sports betting was illegal under federal law. Commercial sports betting revenue has increased 12-fold since 2019, as this chart by my colleague Ashley Wu shows:

Persons: Ashley Wu Organizations: American Gaming Association

☆ America Pulls Back from Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

For two years, Ukraine has relied on American weapons to fight Russian invaders. It has bombarded Russian lines with U.S. artillery, destroyed tanks with Javelin missiles and stopped aerial attacks with Patriot launchers. House Republicans have blocked additional aid to Ukraine, and the Biden administration cannot send many more weapons. (The $300 million package announced this week will likely help Ukraine for only a few weeks.) Intelligence officials warned Congress this week that Ukraine’s losses signal what is to come from an undersupplied war effort.

Persons: Biden Organizations: Javelin, Patriot, House Republicans, . Intelligence Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Avdiivka, Ukrainian

San Francisco is in the middle of a drug crisis. How did San Francisco get to this point? But San Francisco’s drug crisis has outpaced the country’s. As of last year, its rate was more than double the national average, and San Francisco was No. The country’s overdose crisis worsened over the past decade as fentanyl spread, but San Francisco’s worsened much more quickly.

Persons: Francisco’s Locations: San Francisco, Francisco

☆ San Francisco’s “Pro-Drug Culture”
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Culture can sound like an abstract concept, but it matters for drug policy. In San Francisco and other liberal cities, the opposite shift has happened with hard drug use. When I asked people living on the streets why they are in San Francisco, the most common response was that they knew they could avoid the legal and social penalties that often follow addiction. Some came from as close as Oakland, believing that San Francisco was more permissive. As Keith Humphreys, a drug policy expert at Stanford University, told me, San Francisco “is on the extreme of a pro-drug culture.”

Persons: Keith Humphreys, San Francisco “, ” Organizations: Stanford University Locations: Francisco, San Francisco, Oakland

☆ The End of Economic Pessimism?
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

By many measures, the U.S. economy is strong right now. But many Americans are not feeling it, and say the economy is in bad shape. The persistent pessimism has baffled many economists. American confidence in the economy has picked up in recent months, surveys show. Why have Americans resisted the good economic news?

Persons: Biden’s Locations: U.S

☆ Is Shoplifting Really Surging?
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Target and other retail chains have warned of widespread theft. But the increase in shoplifting appears to be limited to a few cities, rather than being truly national. In most of the country, retail theft has been lower this year than it was a few years ago, according to police data. There are some exceptions, particularly New York City, where shoplifting has spiked. But outside New York, shoplifting incidents in major cities have fallen 7 percent since 2019, before the Covid pandemic.

Locations: U.S, New York City, New York

☆ America’s Other Drug Problem
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( German Lopez | More About German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

When political leaders talk about America’s current drug crisis, they are typically referring to opioids like painkillers, heroin and fentanyl. And when they have passed laws to deal with the problem in the past decade, those policies have centered on opioids. They have, for example, focused on boosting access to medications that treat only opioid addiction or reverse only opioid overdoses. These types of problems are why experts have long urged policymakers to take a comprehensive approach to drug addiction. More support for opioid addiction medications is important, but so is funding underused treatments that address meth and cocaine addiction (such as paying people to stop using drugs).

Persons: Jan Hoffman, Jan, dumpsters

☆ A Drop in American Gun Violence
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( German Lopez | More About German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The smaller thingsThe national conversation about gun violence focuses on big federal policy ideas. Activists and pundits often speak about the need for a federal law enacting universal background checks or banning assault weapons. “But the idea is these kinds of regulations accumulate.”After all, America’s gun problem is rooted in easy access to firearms. But when these problems turn violent, quick access to guns makes that violence much more likely to become lethal. Anything that adds barriers to picking up a firearm in such moments reduces deaths, whether it’s incremental state policies or broader federal laws.

Persons: Sharkey, Kang, “, ” Sharkey Locations: Canada, Europe, Japan, U.S, America

A writers’ strike has frozen Hollywood for months. Writers and studios have reached a tentative deal, the Writers Guild of America announced yesterday. The tentative deal includes most of what the writers sought. In the coming days, union members will vote on whether to approve the agreement. “We can say, with great pride, that this deal is exceptional — with meaningful gains and protections for writers in every sector of the membership,” the W.G.A.

Organizations: Studios, Writers Guild of America

☆ What’s Next for Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( German Lopez | More About German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The types of routs that let Ukraine retake thousands of square miles in the northeast last year are rare. Fighting frequently involves chipping away at an enemy, like Ukraine’s retaking of a small but strategic village in the east yesterday. It was true most famously during the trench warfare of World War I but also in World War II, the Korean War and the U.S. Civil War. Ukraine is fighting one of the world’s strongest militaries. If Ukraine could succeed in forcing Russia to retreat in a significant way, it was always more likely to take years than months.

Persons: ”, George Barros, “ It’s Organizations: U.S ., Institute for Locations: Ukraine, U.S . Civil, U.S, Russia

☆ Treating Overdoses Over the Counter
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( German Lopez | More About German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The F.D.A.’s approval of Narcan, a nasal spray, in 2015 made naloxone easier to administer. So police officers and other emergency responders started to carry it to reverse overdoses they would have been powerless to stop before. But public health advocates have called for many more Americans to carry naloxone to try to stop overdoses. Greater availability of the medication is one of the most effective interventions against the drug crisis, experts have said. “Everyone should be thinking about putting this into their first aid kit,” Dr. Kevin Ban, Walgreens’s chief medical officer, told CNN.

Persons: ’, Dr, Kevin Ban, “ It’s Organizations: The Times, CNN

After the Supreme Court struck down Roe v. Wade last year, it looked like the number of abortions would soon plummet across the country. The number of legal abortions has held steady, if not increased, nationwide since 2020, our colleagues Amy Schoenfeld Walker and Allison McCann reported today. The increase in use of those options has offset the decrease in abortions resulting from new state bans, Amy and Allison found. As you can see, states bordering those with bans largely saw increases in the number of abortions in the first half of 2023 compared with the same period in 2020. In Illinois, for example, estimated abortions rose 69 percent.

Persons: Roe, Wade, Amy Schoenfeld Walker, Allison McCann, Amy, Allison Organizations: Guttmacher Institute Locations: In Illinois

☆ Crime Is Nonpartisan
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( German Lopez | More About German Lopez | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

You can find examples of blue states and cities doing worse than Florida, and of other red states and cities doing better. Looking at all the data, it is hard to make much of any connection between political partisanship and crime. To put it another way, prominent Republicans are misrepresenting the country’s crime problem. Big cities generally have higher crime rates than rural and suburban areas, thanks to their density and other factors. Democrats run most big cities because urban areas tend to contain more liberal voters.

Persons: you’ll, Fort Worth and Oklahoma City — Organizations: Republican, Democratic, Fort Worth and Oklahoma City, Seattle —, Democrats, Republicans Locations: Florida, Jacksonville, Fort Worth and Oklahoma, New York, San Francisco, Philadelphia, Indianapolis, Chicago

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