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There will be seven major parties for which Germans will vote. Since 2021, Scholz’s SPD had governed in an uneasy coalition with the liberal Free Democrats Party (FDP) and the Green Party. The CDU/CSU this time around will be led by Friedrich Merz, and the SPD by the incumbent but deeply unpopular chancellor, Scholz. The far-right Alternative for Deutschland party (AfD) has seen strong performances in regional elections give it a national boost. Either way, the federal election looks likely to leave the SPD and Scholz deeply humbled, and entering into a period of self-reflection.
Persons: Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Scholz, here’s, Angela Merkel, Friedrich Merz, Alice Weidel, , Robert Habeck, Sahra, Merz, Sascha Schuermann, Merkel, Leonie von Randow, Merz “, ” Merz, Donald Trump, Martin Meissner, ” von Randow, Assad, CNN’s Benjamin Brown Organizations: CNN —, Christian Democrats, CDU, Christian Social Union, CSU, Union, Social Democrats, SPD, liberal Free Democrats Party, Green Party, Deutschland, Greens, nation’s, Free Democrats, Die Linke, German Christian Democrats, Bundestag, BlackRock, WELT, CNN, Ukraine German, German Central Bank, Central Bank, Volkswagen, Volkswagen's Locations: CNN — Germany, Europe’s, Germany, Hochsauerlandkreis, Brilon, Ukraine, European, Wolfsburg, Syria
Mārtiņš Kazāks, Bank of Latviawatch nowOn a 50-basis-point rate cut: "Well, everything should be on the table, you know, given what the data tells us. Klaas Knot, Netherlands central bankwatch now"Are we risking a structural undershoot of our inflation target? Joachim Nagel, German central bankwatch nowOn rate cuts: "This discussion about 25 or maybe something different is not helpful. On rate cuts: "The direction is clear. Gediminas Šimkus, Bank of Lithuaniawatch nowOn rate cuts: "We are clearly moving ... towards the direction of easing monetary policy.
Persons: Karen Tso, Pierre Wunsch, I'm, we've, Mario Centeno, Klaas, It's, Robert Holzmann, Joachim Nagel, disinflation, Volcker, Olli Rehn, it's, Gediminas Šimkus, Boris Vujčić Organizations: European Central Bank, International Monetary, Bank of Latvia, National Bank of Belgium, Bank of Portugal, Austrian National Bank, Bank of France, Bank of Finland, Bank of Lithuania, Croatian National Bank Locations: Washington ,, Kazāks, Netherlands, German, Galhau, Europe
Alex Kraus | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesEuropean Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel said Wednesday that a rate cut for the institution looks increasingly likely for June, but added that certain parts of the incoming inflation data still look higher than desired. watch nowEarlier Wednesday, Mario Centeno, governor of Portugal's central bank, said it was "about time to change this monetary policy cycle." The ECB's June interest rate decision would be "very important," he said. Markets are widely pricing in the first rate cut from the ECB to take place in June. watch nowEarlier this week, ECB President Christine Lagarde said that unless there were any major shocks, the ECB was on track to cut interest rates soon.
Persons: Joachim Nagel, Alex Kraus, Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel, Germany's Bundesbank, Karen Tso, " Nagel, , Mario Centeno, CNBC's Tso, Christine Lagarde, disinflation, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Robert Holzmann, Holzmann, wasn't Organizations: Deutsche Bundesbank, Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg, Getty, Central Bank, ECB Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Washington ,, Europe, Portugal's, Austrian, East
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with German central bank chief Joachim NagelEuropean Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel speaks to CNBC’s Karen Tso at the IMF Spring Meetings taking place in Washington, D.C.
Persons: Joachim Nagel, Joachim Nagel European Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel, Karen Tso Organizations: Joachim Nagel European Central Bank Locations: Washington ,
German central bank losses soar, wiping out risk provisions
  + stars: | 2024-02-23 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Losses incurred by the German central bank rocketed into the tens of billions in 2023 due to higher interest rates, requiring it to draw on the entirety of its provisions to break even. That leaves it with just under 700 million euros in reserves, the central bank said. Net interest income was negative for the first time in its 57-year history, declining by 17.9 billion euros year-on-year to -13.9 billion euros. They are likely to exceed the remaining reserves," Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said in a press conference. The central bank will report a loss carryforward that will be offset through future profits, he said.
Persons: Joachim Nagel, Nagel Organizations: Deutsche Bundesbank Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, German, rocketed
The new German central bank (Bundesbank) vice-president Claudia Buch poses during a photocall at the Bundesbank headquarters in Frankfurt, May 20, 2014. Buch, who has been the vice-president of Germany's central bank for 10 years after a career in academia, was chosen last week over Spain's Margarita Delgado, the European Parliament's preferred candidate. The EU Parliament will have a final say on the appointment on Wednesday at a vote scheduled for 1400 GMT. At the hearing, Buch said she would immediately resign from her role as an alternate if appointed as chief supervisor. ECB President Christine Lagarde said last week that the 26-member Governing Council followed the rules in Buch's selection.
Persons: Claudia Buch, Ralph Orlowski, Buch, Spain's Margarita Delgado, Joachim Nagel, Christine Lagarde, Marco Zanni, Frank Siebelt, Hugh Lawson, Alexandra Hudson Organizations: REUTERS, Central, Single, EU, ECB, Reuters, Council, Democracy Group, Alexandra Hudson Our, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, FRANKFURT, Spain
"It may just be lucky that a global demand slump or non-policy related domestic forces are driving inflation lower." This disconnect led the German central bank to issue a warning to peers this week that a tough task may still lie ahead for policymakers. "The impression took hold that inflation rates will nonetheless persist for longer above the rates targeted by central banks," the Bundesbank said. Indeed, longer-term inflation expectations for the U.S. and the euro zone remain above the banks' 2% targets. But even in the best case, weaker growth will reduce demand for imports and complicate the global outlook.
Persons: JACKSON, Steve Englander, Piet Haines Christiansen, Philip Lane, Lane, Niels Graham, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Balazs Koranyi, Dan Burns, Toby Chopra Organizations: Standard Chartered, The Bank of England, ECB, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of New, Danske Bank, U.S, People's Bank of, Atlantic Council, Capital Economic, Thomson Locations: , Wyoming, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Britain, Australia, New Zealand, German, Europe, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Jackson, People's Bank of China, China
Drop in German business morale points to longer recession
  + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Summary Business climate index fell to 88.5 in June from 91.5 in MayBoth business expectations and current business conditions fellProbability of longer recession risesBERLIN, June 26 (Reuters) - German business morale worsened for the second consecutive month in June, a survey showed on Monday, indicating that Europe's largest economy faces an uphill battle to shake off recession. "Sentiment in the German economy has clouded over noticeably," Ifo's president Clemens Fuest said. Indeed, expectations were much more pessimistic, with the related Ifo index falling to 83.6 from May's 88.3. "The probability has increased that gross domestic product will also shrink in the second quarter," he said. "We feel confirmed in our forecast that the German economy will shrink again in the second half of the year," Commerzbank's chief economist Joerg Kraemer said.
Persons: Clemens Fuest, Carsten Brzeski, Brzeski, Klaus Wohlrabe, Urban, Franziska Palmas, Joerg Kraemer, Maria Martinez, Rene Wagner, Friederike Heine, Matthias Williams, Hugh Lawson Organizations: ING, Companies, Reuters, Oxford Economics, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: BERLIN, U.S, Germany, German, Europe
Bundesbank sees German economy shrinking this year
  + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
FRANKFURT, June 16 (Reuters) - The German economy, Europe's biggest, will shrink this year and inflation will stay above 2% at least through 2025, the Bundesbank said on Friday in a biannual update of its projections. "The German economy is set to recover only arduously from the crises of the past three years," the Bundesbank said. The Bundesbank now sees the German economy contracting by 0.3% this year, a worse outcome than the European Commission's 0.2% expansion projection. The economy will then grow by 1.2% next year and 1.3% in 2025, both below previous forecasts, the central bank said. "With regard to inflation, risks are tilted to the upside," the Bundesbank said.
Persons: Joachim Nagel, Nagel, Balazs Koranyi, Andrew Cawthorne Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Thomson Locations: FRANKFURT, German
The German economy entered a technical recession in the first quarter of this year, as households tightened spending. Data from the German statistics office on Thursday showed a downward revision to GDP (gross domestic product) from zero to -0.3% for the first three months of the year. The European Central Bank is expected to raise rates again at its next meeting on June 15. German Central Bank Governor Joachim Nagel said earlier this week that the ECB has "several" more rate increases ahead. He is one of the most hawkish members of the central bank.
Rate-sensitive technology shares <.SX8P> fell 1.2% tracking overnight losses on Wall Street, while banking shares (.SX7P), which were the biggest gainers on Friday, fell 0.3% . Investors will closely monitor a slew of earnings reports led by Goldman Sachs (GS.N), Morgan Stanley (MS.N) and Bank of America (BAC.N) due later in the week. Last week, Citigroup Inc (C.N), JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) and Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) beat earnings expectations, benefiting from rising interest rates and easing fears of stress in the banking system. "Cautious optimism is the Monday motivation mantra, as stronger U.S. corporate news and signs of consumer resilience help to mask ongoing worries about the knock-on effect of higher interest rates," said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown. Shares of Rovio (ROVIO.HE) rose 17.8% after Japan's Sega (6460.T) agreed to launch a 706 million euro offer for Angry Birds maker.
Euro zone inflation could get stuck above target: ECB's Nagel
  + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
"Rather, in my opinion, further interest rate hikes will be required." "Risks to price stability are currently tilted to the upside," Nagel said. "It is not a given that we will return to price stability over the medium term." Nagel called for more policy tightening even as he acknowledged that the vast majority of the 350 basis points of moves since July have yet to feed through to prices. He said that the ECB looked at how key variables reflected policy tightening and concluded about a month ago that pass-through to GDP was around 30% while to inflation roughly 20%.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGerman central bank president says Europe's energy crisis is over, 'really positive' on the outlookJoachim Nagel, president of the Germany's Bundesbank and one of the ECB's more hawkish members, discusses Europe's energy crisis, the outlook for next winter and the fight against inflation.
The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar Wednesday, following comments from the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde that inflation is "still high." However, inflation is still high, and uncertainty around its path ahead has increased. "With high uncertainty, it is even more important that the rate path is data-dependent," she said. This implies additional uncertainty around the baseline for both growth and inflation," Lagarde said. Her comments follow remarks by Joachim Nagel, German central bank chief and ECB member, who noted that the fight against high inflation "is not over".
Bundesbank convenes crisis team to assess SVB fallout
  + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
FRANKFURT, March 13 (Reuters) - The Bundesbank convened its crisis team on Monday to assess the possible fallout of the collapse of U.S. lender Silicon Valley Bank on the local market, even as no emergency action was foreseen in Europe. U.S. authorities launched emergency measures on Sunday to shore up confidence in the banking system after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) threatened to trigger a broader financial crisis. In the euro zone decisions are made by national supervisors for smaller banks and by the European Central Bank's Single Supervisory Board for large ones. He also noted euro zone banks generally had a more conservative mix of assets than Silicon Valley Bank, which mostly lent to risky tech startups. The source saw no direct implication of the SVB collapse for euro zone banks but cautioned this could change if the fallout in the United States extended to bigger banks, raising the risk of contagion.
Bundesbank deputy chief picked for ECB supervision role
  + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
FRANKFURT, March 10 (Reuters) - Bundesbank Vice President Claudia Buch was appointed on Friday to the European Central Bank's Supervisory Board, less than one year before board chair Andrea Enria's term of office expires. The reshuffle at the German central bank comes after Wuermeling decided to leave at the end of the year to take up another job, prompting Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel to assign new board responsibilities effective April 1. The new chair of the Supervisory Board, due to take office in January, is picked by the ECB's 26-member Governing Council and will be formally appointed by the European Union Council following the approval of the European Parliament. Buch, already responsible for financial stability issues, will remain the Bundesbank's vice president. Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Alex RichardsonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Joachim Nagel, president of Germany's Bundesbank and one of the ECB's more hawkish members, told CNBC's Annette Weisbach Wednesday that consumer price rises are set to remain stubbornly high. "But still, what we expect for this year for Germany is an average inflation rate of around 6 to 7%." The yield on the 10-year German bund — seen as the main benchmark in the region — rose to its highest level since 2011 on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs said Wednesday that it was increasing its expectations for peak interest rate hikes in the euro area. The ECB is this month starting to sell bonds at a pace of 15 billion euros a month until June.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation will remain at a very high level, German central bank president saysJoachim Nagel, president of the Germany's Bundesbank and one of the ECB's more hawkish members, told CNBC's Annette Weisbach Wednesday that consumer price rises are set to remain stubbornly high.
Factbox: Key ECB policymaker comments since Feb rate hike
  + stars: | 2023-02-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
By smoothing our policy rate hikes – that is, moving in small steps – we can ensure that we calibrate (policy) more precisely. Boris Vujcic, Croatian central bank governor, Feb. 10"I would agree that we are likely to see more rate action beyond March." Joachim Nagel, German central bank chief, Feb. 7"From where I stand today we need further, significant rate hikes." Pierre Wunsch, Belgian central bank chief, Feb. 3"I don’t think we're going to move from 50 basis points (in March) to zero. Gediminas Simkus, Lithuanian central bank chief, Feb. 3"The March rate hike is not the last one.
Meanwhile, the risk-sensitive Australian dollar rallied against a backdrop of gains for U.S. equity futures and a more hawkish Reserve Bank. Investors will closely watch consumer price inflation data on Tuesday for additional clues on the policy outlook. Market pricing anticipates the Fed funds rate peaking just above 5.1% by July then falling by the end of the year to 4.8%. "From where I stand today we need further, significant rate hikes," German central bank chief Joachim Nagel told the newspaper Boersen-Zeitung on Tuesday. His colleague Isabel Schnabel said it is not yet clear that the ECB rate hikes so far would bring inflation back to 2%.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGerman central bank sees property market slowdown but no significant correction aheadClaudia Buch, vice president of the Bundesbank, speaks to CNBC's Joumanna Bercetche.
REUTERS/Annegret HilseFRANKFURT, Nov 23 (Reuters) - Inflation in Germany may well remain in double digits into next year despite the government's efforts to curb energy prices, the Bundesbank said on Wednesday. But the Bundesbank said the effect of this so called "brake" on gas prices may not become immediately visible, and would only be temporary anyway. "The inflation rate could stay in double digits also beyond the turn of the year," the German central bank said in its monthly report. "As soon as the gas and electricity price brakes expire, the effect on the inflation rate will reverse," the Bundesbank said. "This could reduce the extent of second-round effects on the inflation rate, especially in the medium-term, and help ensure that the current high inflation rates do not further solidify."
PARIS, Nov 14 (Reuters) - The war in Ukraine, inflation and the energy crisis have made it more important than ever to press ahead with a capital markets union to finance green and digital transitions, the governors of the French and German central banks said on Monday. "Europe is at the heart of the crisis: Russia’s war against Ukraine, energy crunch, inflation. France and Germany have been at loggerheads over the last month and have postponed a summit to try and resolve their differences. The two said it was vital that the 2015 capital markets union (CMU) initiative launched by the European Union needed to press ahead for financial stability to foster the geographical diversification of funding sources and by strengthening private sector risk sharing through the development of equity funding. "Completing the capital markets union is certainly a long-distance run.
Germany's inflation rate could hit 10% this fall, the country's chief central banker told Rheinische Post. The country is dealing with an energy crisis as Russian natural-gas supplies slow. "The issue of inflation will not go away in 2023," Nagel told Rheinische Post, according to an official transcript from the German central bank. The German central bank had in June forecast 2023 inflation to reach 4.5%, but Nagel told Rheinische Post that price gains are likely to average over 6% instead. "If further delivery problems are added, for example due to prolonged low water levels, the economic prospects for the second half of the year would deteriorate further," Nagel told the German media outlet.
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