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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCentral banks now 'focused on the fight for growth,' economist saysKokou Agbo-Bloua, global head of economics, cross-asset and quant research at Societe Generale, discusses the economic and central banking outlook.
Persons: Kokou Agbo Organizations: Societe Generale
Market Navigator: Here's who could benefit from reshoring
  + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket Navigator: Here's who could benefit from reshoringManish Kabra, head of U.S. equity at Societe Generale, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss stock picks ahead of expected reshoring
Persons: Manish Kabra, reshoring Organizations: Societe Generale
Cryptocurrencies and banks have been on a tear since President-elect Donald Trump's victory last week, and Societe Generale thinks these "Trump trades" have more room to run into January. The firm specifically underscored bank stocks, companies exposed to the reshoring theme, small-cap names and crypto. "Trump trades are in full bloom and should continue to outperform until Inauguration Day, in our view," U.S. chief economist Stephen Gallagher wrote in a Thursday research note. Gallagher is not the only one on Wall Street who thinks the "Trump trade" has more legs. Societe Generale said its Trump 2.0 thematic basket has jumped more than 7% in the week since the election, but it is only up 15% in 2024, compared to the S & P 500 's 25% year-to-date gains.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Stephen Gallagher, Russell, bitcoin, Gallagher, Jason Draho Organizations: Societe Generale, Trump, US, US Banks, SG Global, Wall, UBS Locations: US
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat a new Trump term means for the Fed's handling of the economyEvan Brown, head of multi-strategy at UBS Asset Management; Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale; and Jay Bryson, chief economist at Wells Fargo, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss what they expect from the Fed's meeting today, how a new Trump term could impact the agency's approach to the economy, and more.
Persons: Evan Brown, Subadra Rajappa, Jay Bryson, CNBC's Organizations: Trump, UBS Asset Management, Societe Generale Locations: Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe disinflationary path will be a lot slower than people anticipate, says Subadra RajappaSubadra Rajappa, Societe Generale head of U.S. rate strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, what to make of the volatility in bond market, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: Subadra Organizations: Societe Generale
French media and ad groups are calling on Apple to suspend its new "Distraction Control" feature, Business Insider is exclusively reporting. AdvertisementA group of French trade associations representing around 800 companies in the advertising and media sectors has sent an open letter to Apple CEO Tim Cook, calling for the tech giant to suspend the rollout of the iPhone's new "Distraction Control" feature. Distraction Control, which became available with iOS 18 this fall, allows users of the iPhone's Safari browser to hide elements on webpages like images, pop-ups, or ads. The letter urges Apple to suspend the rollout of Distraction Control and to provide technical documentation about its functionalities and any planned updates. AdvertisementAppleInsider later reported Apple had changed the name of the feature from Web Eraser to Distraction Control and updated it to include a popup explaining that it would "not permanently remove ads."
Persons: , Tim Cook, It'll, Apple, doesn't, Pierre Devoize, Alliance Digitale, AppleInsider Organizations: Apple, Service, Business, Europe's, Data, Alliance, de, Presse, Union des Marques, European Commission . Publishers, Safari, News Media Association, Publishers
Investors should control risks when investing in DLCs: SocGen
  + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors should control risks when investing in DLCs: SocGenSociete Generale's Daily Leverage Certificates allow investors to jump in on some of the most popular and most volatile trades – and Magnificent 7 stocks are the latest added exposure. Keith Chan talks about leveraging equities and key risk areas with DLCs.
Persons: Keith Chan Organizations: Generale's Locations: DLCs
U.S. blockchain startup Ripple made a major foray into crypto custody on Thursday, launching new services aimed at helping banks and financial technology firms to store digital assets on behalf of clients. The crypto custody market is forecast to reach at least $16 trillion by 2030, according to the Boston Consulting Group. Ripple said that custody is one of the fastest-growing areas for the startup, with Ripple Custody posting customer growth of over 250% year-over-year growth this year and operating in seven countries. Last year, Ripple acquired Metaco, a firm that helps other entities store and manage their crypto, in a bid to boost its nascent crypto custody business. The company this year also acquired Standard Custody & Trust Company, another crypto custody firm, to further bolster its efforts.
Persons: Ripple, Aaron Slettehaugh Organizations: CNBC, Boston Consulting, HSBC, BBVA, Societe Generale, DBS, XRP, Trust Company, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC Locations: San Francisco, Swiss
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina getting to 5% growth target is not that difficult, economist saysWei Yao, chief economist of APAC & China at Société Générale, says it is not that difficult for China to achieve its 5% target, and discusses what the nation can do to promote growth.
Persons: Wei Yao, Société Générale Organizations: Email China, APAC Locations: China, Société
Chinese stocks could climb as much as 15% on the nation's expected fiscal stimulus package, SocGen said. The stimulus measures could push China's GDP to grow as much as 5% next year, strategist said. The package could amount to as much as 3 trillion yuan, or $427 billion, and include an "open-ended commitment" for a bigger stimulus package the following year. "The exact magnitude of the boost will be subject to the size and details of the fiscal package … the sustainability of housing stabilization and household wealth recovery." AdvertisementOther experts have noted that China's monetary stimulus measures are unlikely to be effective without fiscal stimulus to go along with it.
Persons: SocGen, , Société Générale Organizations: Service, National People's Conference Locations: Beijing, China
Fiscal easing should reduce deflation in China, economist says
  + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFiscal easing should reduce deflation in China, economist saysMichelle Lam, greater China economist at Societe Generale, says that the implementation of fiscal easing should reduce deflation in China.
Persons: Michelle Lam Organizations: Societe Generale Locations: China
Homebuyers can also now put less money down on their purchases — an attempt to breathe life into China's moribund property market. Since the pandemic, China's leader, Xi Jinping, has done little to stop the bleeding in the country's property market or to get China's ailing consumers to start spending money again. Xi's Beijing lacks the will and the power to turn China's economy around. At the heart of its problems is a lack of consumer demand and a property market going through a deep, slow-moving correction. Plus, there's Xi, who seems fairly uninterested in restructuring the property market.
Persons: Gongsheng, Wall, Xi Jinping, China —, Goldman Sachs, , Sam Altman, Genéralé, Michael Pettis, Xi doesn't, Friedrich Hayek, Xi Organizations: Beijing, People's Bank of China, People's Bank, Shanghai, Chinese Communist Party, Nasdaq, CCP, Peking University, Carnegie Endowment, European Union Locations: China's, China, Beijing, Austrian
Trade will work regardless Yet, reshoring is the one macroeconomic trade that will work no matter who wins the White House, according to Societe Generale. Last year, there were 287,000 reshoring and foreign direct investment job announcements, the second-highest year on record, according to the Reshoring Initiative . "One trade that has worked under both of the last two administrations is our US Reshoring 'beneficiary' equities," Kabra wrote. The company provides industrial automation products and services. The industrial conglomerate has a hand in a range of industries, including industrial automation solutions and building automation.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, John Deere, Harris, Dan Levy, Manish Kabra, Kabra, reshoring, Morgan Stanley, Blake Moret, Jill Carey Hall, Michael Feinger, Feinger, Peter Matt Organizations: Barclays, Societe Generale, Science, Generale's, China, Reshoring, Trump, Packaging Corporation of America, Cummins, Rockwell Automation, Honeywell, Bank of America, Eaton, Steel Dynamics, United Rentals, Commercial Metals Locations: United States, Mexico, China, U.S, reshoring, Midwest
The savings rate slumped below 3% prior to the 2008 financial crisis, SocGen strategist Albert Edwards said in a note to clients on Wednesday. AdvertisementThe low savings rate attests to strong consumer spending, which has propped up the economy so far. That sounds like it should be good news, but the issue is that the savings rate is likely to rise again after plummeting to such low levels. Related storiesThat was what happened leading up to the Great Financial Crisis, when an uptick in the savings rate preceded the recession, Edwards noted. And while households aren't nearly as indebted as they were during the financial crisis, Americans are still showing signs of financial strain.
Persons: , Société, Albert Edwards, Edwards, " Edwards Organizations: Service, Commerce Department, Business, Primerica, San Francisco, McKinsey & Company, US, New York Fed
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. He believes that the rise of the US trade deficit over the past year will likely make it a key issue for both political parties. AdvertisementAlthough the Trump administration has traditionally been linked to trade wars and more protectionist measures, Biden's administration maintained the Chinese tariffs. It will create more manufacturing jobs and boost demand for domestic companies with in the logistics and supply chain process. A September 19 research note from Bank of America suggests that this shift is set to benefit domestic small- and mid-cap stocks most.
Persons: , Trump, Manish Kabra, Kabra, Jill Carey Hall Organizations: Service, Business, US, of, Tax, Bank of America Locations: China, Red
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession is not imminent, says New Century Advisors' Claudia SahmClaudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors; Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group; and Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale, join ‘The Exchange’ to discuss their expectations from the Fed, why the Fed is finally cutting rates, and more
Persons: Claudia Sahm Claudia Sahm, Jamie Cox, Subadra Rajappa Organizations: Advisors, New Century Advisors, Harris Financial Group, Societe Generale
Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, at the ECB And Its Watchers conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on March 20, 2024. Traders are widely anticipating an interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's Sept. 17-18 meeting, as well as at the ECB's meeting this week. "The rate cut this Thursday should be largely uncontroversial," Holger Schmieding, the chief economist at Berenberg Bank, told CNBC in an email to clients. In July, the ECB left interest rates unchanged in a unanimous vote following June's landmark cut. The ECB's key interest rate — which helps to price all sorts of loans and mortgages across the bloc — is currently at 3.75% after years of aggressive hikes.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Holger Schmieding, Joachim Nagel, Anatoli Annenkov, what's Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Bloomberg, Getty, FRANKFURT, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, Berenberg Bank, CNBC, ECB Council, , Bank Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Société, Ljubljana, Slovenia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTensions in the Middle East could lead to a $10 spike in oil prices, says commodities strategistBenjamin Hoff, global head of commodities strategy at Societe Generale, says it would be safe to assume prices would spike if Iran were to disrupt the safe passage of vessels through the Strait of Hormuz.
Persons: Benjamin Hoff Organizations: Societe Generale Locations: Iran, Hormuz
A "Buy Treasury bonds" poster is seen at a bank in Haian, East China's Jiangsu province, Aug 1, 2024. "We remain actively bullish," said a bond fund manager, undeterred by unprecedented government moves to cool the sizzling treasury market and arrest a plunge in yields, which move inversely to prices. Falling yields also complicate the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) efforts to stabilize the weakening yuan. Unlike the West, "China's financial markets, including the bond market, are subject to top-down regulation," said Ryan Yonk, economist with the American Institute for Economic Research. Late on Friday, the central bank said it will gradually increase the purchase and sale of treasury bonds in its open market operations.
Persons: Wang Hongfei, Ryan Yonk, Pan Gongsheng, Kiyong Seong, Tan Yiming Organizations: Bank of China's, American Institute for Economic Research, Societe Generale, Minsheng Securities Locations: Haian, East China's Jiangsu, Beijing, Shanghai, China, Asia
When you hear commentators talking this week about the “yen carry trade” or the “great unwind,” they’re referring to a popular trading strategy that is, suddenly, blowing up in investors’ faces. The carry trade, explainedPut simply: A carry trade is when you borrow money in a place where interest rates are low and use it to invest elsewhere in assets that generate some kind of return. “That is bonkers.”The yen carry trade proved especially popular in the last four years, because Japan was the only major economy in the world offering essentially free money. The carry trade relies on borrowing, which means it’s a leveraged position. “The carry trade unwind… is somewhere between 50%-60% complete.”In other words: Buckle up, and don’t panic.
Persons: CNN Business ’, , John Authers, , it’s, John Sedunov, Kit Juckes, ” Sedunov, Arindam Sandilya, JPMorgan Chase, Buckle Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Wall, ” Bloomberg, Treasury, Villanova School of Business, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Societe Generale, JPMorgan, Bloomberg Locations: New York, Japan, Europe
A carry trade involves an investor borrowing a currency with low interest rates and reinvesting it in higher-yielding assets elsewhere — taking advantage of that differential to make a financial gain. Investors piled into yen carry trades in recent years, attracted by Japan's low volatility and ultra-loose monetary policy. Global stock markets meanwhile plunged as "safe haven" assets such as the Swiss franc and U.S. Treasurys were bolstered. "You can't unwind the biggest carry trade the world has ever seen without breaking a few heads," Kit Juckes, chief foreign exchange strategist at Societe Generale, said in a Monday note. Trichet told CNBC Tuesday: "The correction can be seen as a healthy correction, in some respects.
Persons: it's, Jean, Claude Trichet, CNBC's, Treasurys, Kit Juckes, Trichet Organizations: European Central Bank, ., Bank of Japan, U.S, Global, Swiss, Societe Generale, CNBC, Federal Locations: France's, U.S, Europe, United States
The unwind of the global yen "carry trade" is a force battering stocks. AdvertisementStocks plunged on Monday, and market pros say a lot of it has to do with the global unwind of the yen "carry trade." The carry trade refers to investors borrowing money at near-zero interest rates in Japan, and then redeploying that cash into higher-yielding assets around the world, such as stocks and bonds. "The selloff here is to a large extent attributable to the unwind of the so-called carry trade," Ed Yardeni told Yahoo Finance on Monday. AdvertisementThe unwind in the yen carry trade will go down as the biggest ever, according to a Monday note from Societe Generale.
Persons: , Stocks, Ed Yardeni, that's, Yardeni, That's, Kit Juckes, Warren Buffett's, Juckes, It's Organizations: Service, Yahoo Finance, Bank of Japan, Federal, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Societe Generale Locations: Japan, Bank of Japan
Carry trades refer to operations wherein an investor borrows in a currency with low interest rates, such as the Japanese yen, and reinvests the proceeds in higher-yielding assets elsewhere. "You can't unwind the biggest carry trade the world has ever seen without breaking a few heads. A change in Japanese monetary policy prompted one strategist to warn of the "implosion" of the yen carry trade over a short-term basis. watch nowEd Rogers of Rogers Investment Advisors said the yen carry trade isn't dead yet, despite the deepening stock market sell-off. "Certainly there is going to be some momentary panic, I think, about the yen carry trade.
Persons: Richard A, Brooks, Kit Juckes, Juckes, Russell Napier, Ed Rogers, Rogers, CNBC's Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, Afp, Getty, Swiss, Societe Generale, U.S, Bank of Japan, Rogers Investment Advisors Locations: Tokyo, London
Boris Roessler | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesLONDON — European stocks were set to open lower Friday, extending losses amid a global downturn as a busy week of market action draws to a close. Germany's DAX was on course to open 104 points lower at 17,984, according to IG data, with France's CAC 40 down 40 points at 7,325. The regional Stoxx 600 index on Thursday suffered its worst session since mid-June, pulled down by financials as French bank Societe Generale downgraded its outlook and the Bank of England cut interest rates for the first time since 2020. The central bank decision took its key interest rate to 5% from 5.25%, in a move that markets had not been fully convinced it would carry out. Asia-Pacific markets saw steep losses Friday, with Japan's benchmark indexes tanking as much as 5%.
Persons: Boris Roessler, Germany's DAX, BOE Governor Andrew Bailey, BOE, Joe Tuckey Organizations: Getty, France's CAC, Societe Generale, Bank of England, CNBC, Argentex, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of, Apple, Intel, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Frankfurt, Bank of Japan, Europe, Asia, Pacific
The Nikkei 225 sank 4.5% on Friday, extending a global stock rout that started following the release of weak US economic data. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised interest rates by 15 basis points to 0.25% on Wednesday, its second hike this year, and announced plans to taper off its policy of bond buying. ”The hike has narrowed the difference in interest rate between the United States and Japan, which pushed the Japanese yen higher against the greenback. Combined with strong corporate earnings and effective corporate governance reforms, the weak yen propelled the Nikkei 225 to all-time highs this year. “From a Japanese equity perspective, the earnings boost from a weak yen is set to diminish,” Citi analysts said on Thursday.
Persons: , Ken Cheung, Frank Benzimra, Korea’s, Australia’s Organizations: Hong Kong CNN — Japan’s Nikkei, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Traders, Mizuho Securities, greenback, Societe Generale, ” Citi, Dow, Nasdaq, Labor Department, , ” ANZ, Federal Reserve Locations: Hong Kong, United States, Japan, Asia, Shanghai
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