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Equity strategist Andrew Garthwaite warned investors could be in for a "difficult phase" and end the year flat. The S & P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average reached record highs last week, with the former breaking above 5,100 for the first time on an intraday basis. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq are both up more than 6% this year, and the Dow has climbed 3.8%. Garthwaite admitted his downbeat outlook could be wrong, as productivity gains from AI could lead to a 15% to 20% advance for the S & P 500. Market breadth is also typically better when stocks reach new highs, according to Garthwaite.
Persons: Andrew Garthwaite, Dow, Garthwaite Organizations: UBS, Equity, PPI, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia Locations: Japan
The U.S. economy is still likely to fall into a recession and that will soon drag down stocks, according to Credit Suisse. The S & P 500 closed at its highest level of the year July 31, at 4,588.96. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has slipped off its highs of the year in August. Some major investment banks, including Goldman Sachs , have recently reduced the odds of a recession, while Oppenheimer hiked its S & P 500 target to 4,900. Still, there are areas of concern that support Credit Suisse's recession case.
Persons: Andrew Garthwaite, Garthwaite, Garthwaite's, Goldman Sachs, Oppenheimer, Moody's, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Credit Suisse, Global Locations: U.S
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