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☆ US divisions over Putin’s Russia present grave global implications
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-20 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

CNN —US politics is now split by a fault line over Russia that could have far graver global implications even than condemning Ukraine to defeat after President Vladimir Putin’s invasion. Trump has also not repudiated his recent comment that he’d invite Russia to invade NATO nations that fell short of non-binding targets on defense spending. Aside from the mysterious hold that Putin appears to exert over Trump, the ex-president’s hostility towards Ukraine is easily explainable. Opposing aid to Ukraine is also an almost perfect issue for the ex-president and his allies in the GOP primary. These pressures weigh on Republican lawmakers as they cast increasingly tough votes on Ukraine aid.

Persons: Vladimir Putin’s, Donald Trump, Trump, Mike Johnson –, Johnson, Joe Biden, Biden, Volodymyr Zelensky, Russia’s, ” Biden, Zelensky, –, Alexey Navalny, Hungary’s Viktor Orban, Putin’s, Putin, Trump’s, Kevin McCarthy’s, hasn’t, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Ukraine “, Vladimir Putin, ” Vance, Barack Obama, “, ”, Vance, Nikki Haley, Haley, Sen, Pete Ricketts, Ricketts, ’ ” Ricketts, ‘, ’ ”, It’s, Mitch McConnell Organizations: CNN, Donald Trump Republicans, NATO, Trump, GOP, Senate, Republican, Soviet, European Union, Russian, Republican Party, Republicans, Munich, Ohio, United, Chicago Council, Global Affairs, Trump Republicans, Ukraine Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Europe, Avdiivka, Russian, Kremlin, America, United States, Munich, China, “, Ohio, Crimea, East Asia, Beijing, Moscow, Iran, North Korea, we’re, ’ ” The Nebraska, Soviet Union

☆ Former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan announces Senate bid
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Edward-Isaac Dovere | Veronica Stracqualursi | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Larry Hogan announced Friday that he is running for US Senate this year, providing Republicans with a strong candidate in their bid to flip a seat in a deep-blue state. It’s what I did as Maryland’s governor, and it’s exactly how I’ll serve Maryland in the Senate. “I would pay a significant amount for a ticket to watch Chuck Schumer’s face right now,” Josh Holmes, the top political adviser to Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell, posted on X. Though he was personally popular during his two terms as governor, the state Republican Party has veered very much toward Trump. In recent decades, Maryland has been dominated by the Democratic Party at the state and federal levels.

Persons: Larry Hogan, United States Senate –, I’ll, Let’s, ” Hogan, Hogan, ”, Donald Trump, “, Chuck Schumer’s, Josh Holmes, Mitch McConnell, McConnell, Sen, Chris Van Hollen, West Virginia Democratic Sen, Joe Manchin, nixed, Trump, Hogan’s, Angela Alsobrooks, David Trone —, Ben Cardin, MAGA, “ Hogan, Martha McKenna, Maeve Coyle, George H.W, Bush, Shania Shelton Organizations: Washington CNN — Former Maryland Gov, US, United States Senate, Maryland, Republicans, Republican, West Virginia Democratic, CBS News, CNN, Prince, Maryland hasn’t, Senate, Democratic, GOP, Republican Party, Trump, Democratic Party, Old Locations: “, Maryland, Washington, eyeing, Prince George’s, ” Baltimore, State, Baltimore

☆ New Hampshire is poised to answer the GOP’s existential question
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

But she must still prove she can make a head-to-head duel with the ex-president last through Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary and beyond, after Florida Gov. But Haley faces an existential question for her own campaign Tuesday. “They’re all all coming with us,” Trump noted with satisfaction at a rally in Rochester, New Hampshire, on Sunday night. An unexpectedly high turnout of undeclared voters powered late Arizona Sen. John McCain to a shock victory in the 2000 GOP primary against George W. Bush. But Haley’s problem is that most Republican voters may not want what she’s offering.

Persons: New Hampshire CNN —, Nikki Haley, strode, “, ”, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, he’d, Haley, ” Haley, CNN’s Dana Bash, DeSantis, president’s, –, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy –, ” Trump, imperil Trump, Chris Sununu, galvanize, ” Sununu’s, Trump, Sununu, Haley –, Joe Biden, November’s, She’s, Chris Christie, Arizona Sen, John McCain, George W, Bush, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Republican pollster Whit Ayers, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Ted Cruz , Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Christie, Jeb Bush, Rubio, Cruz, He’s, Liz Cheney, Mitt Romney, Haley hasn’t, Henry McMaster, Gov, Pamela Evette, Scott, ” he’s, Biden, Scott Jennings Organizations: New Hampshire CNN, South, Republican, Tuesday’s New, Florida Gov, Trump, Super, GOP, – DeSantis, New, New Hampshire Gov, CNN, New Jersey Gov, Florida, New Hampshire, Institution, Trump Republican, Republican Party, Senate, Wyoming, Gov, Sunday, Exeter, Office, Republicans, ” CNN Locations: Exeter, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Tuesday’s, Tuesday’s New Hampshire, Rochester , New Hampshire, New Jersey, Iowa, Granite, Arizona, New, The New Hampshire, Texas, Ted Cruz , Florida, Carolina, Cruz, New York, Utah

☆ 5 takeaways from new polls that reveal Biden’s challenges and Trump’s potential victory path
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +14 min

The CNN poll finds that 25% of voters believe Biden has the stamina and sharpness to serve effectively, while 53% say Trump does. The CNN poll encapsulates this potential dilemma for voters. And given his national approval rating in the CNN poll of only 39%, any economic downturn next year would be disastrous for him. Voters see Trump as a stronger leader, suggesting that bluster and threats are more convincing than Biden’s nuanced approach. Latino voters favor Biden over Trump by only four points compared to 33 points in the 2020 election.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, Trump’s, Andy Beshear, Glenn Youngkin, let’s, ” Biden, Trump, demonization ”, ”, hasn’t, he’s, MAGA, there’s, trimmer, Will, abate, Tim Ryan, CNN’s Wolf Blitzer, it’s, “, …, Bacon, –, doesn’t, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama’s, Jimmy Carter, Obama, Clinton Organizations: CNN, Democrats Tuesday, Biden, GOP, Democratic, New York Times, Siena College, Trump, Democratic Gov, GOP Gov, Republican, “, Former Democratic, Hamas, Voters, Black Locations: Ohio, Kentucky, Virginia, America, New York, Ukraine, Israel, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, American, Gaza

But this year, abortion is on the ballot, with party control of the closely divided chambers of the legislature determining whether Virginia will lose its status as the last Southern state where abortion is mostly legal and accessible. Democrats, meanwhile, see the races as critical not only to sustaining abortion rights in swing-state Virginia but as a test of how powerful the issue remains nationally. Predicting winners is always difficult in state legislative races, but especially hard in Virginia. Where Democrats have an edge, experts say, is on the motivating factor of abortion rights. Since Dobbs, pro-abortion rights voters have become more energized, Rackaway says, since they're trying to regain something they lost in the Supreme Court ruling.

Persons: Danica Roem, Danny Diggs, Glenn Youngkin, Youngkin's, Chapman Rackaway, Youngkin –, Zack Roday, Dobbs, Steven Farnsworth, University of Mary Washington, Ohioans, Andy Beshear, Daniel Cameron, Jaime Harrison, Harrison, Kyle Kondick, Biden, Youngkin, Farnsworth, –, Rackaway, you've, Diggs, Roday doesn't, they've, Roday, Heather Williams Organizations: Senate, Republican, Gov, Old Dominion, Republicans, Radford University, U.S . Senate, GOP, Youngkin's PAC, Jackson, Health Organization, University of Mary, Democratic, Bluegrass State, Democratic National Committee, Center, Politics, University of Virginia, Virginia, Democrats, The Washington Post, –, National Democrats, Democratic Legislative, Republican National Committee, Republican Party of Virginia, Campaign Locations: Northern Virginia, Virginia, Southern, Old, Dobbs – California , Kansas , Kentucky, Michigan, Montana, Vermont, Pennsylvania, Kentucky

☆ Republicans: House circus embarrasses senior party leaders as the country and the world wait for a speaker
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

The uprising that began nearly three weeks ago with the toppling of Speaker Kevin McCarthy has now weakened three of the most powerful figures in the House GOP. Twisting colored squares together in the right order seems simple by comparison with attempts to unite a House Republican conference unable to comprehend how clownish it looks. “We need (a speaker) because the House can’t do anything without a speaker,” Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky said on CBS’ “Face the Nation” Sunday. “This is probably one of the most embarrassing things I’ve seen because if we don’t have a speaker of the House, we can’t govern. “This is embarrassing for the Republican Party.

Persons: shutdowns, Jim Jordan, Steve Scalise, Kevin McCarthy, McCarthy, Scalise, Jordan, “, Mike Turner, Mitch McConnell, procrastinate, Joe Biden, Vladimir Putin, It’s, Donald Trump, Matt Gaetz, ”, Trump, Michael McCaul, ” McCarthy, Tom Emmer, Emmer, Kevin Hern of, Jack Bergman of, Austin Scott of Georgia, Byron Donalds of, Mike Johnson of, Pete Sessions, Dan Meuser, Gary Palmer of, Newt Gingrich –, GOP –, ” Gingrich Organizations: CNN — House Republicans, Republican Party, ”, Intelligence, Republican, Kentucky, CBS, Biden, GOP, The, Democratic, White, California Republican, Republicans, Trump, Florida, Foreign, Texas Republican, ABC, Press, Caucus, Marine, Jordan, Black Republicans, Pete Sessions of Texas, Committee, Fox News, firebrand Georgia Republican Locations: Washington, Israel, “ State, Ukraine, Kyiv, California, Texas, Minnesota, Kevin Hern of Oklahoma, Jack Bergman of Michigan, Byron Donalds of Florida, Mike Johnson of Louisiana, Pennsylvania, Gary Palmer of Alabama

☆ Analysis: Trump can get away with skipping a debate but can't evade legal consequences
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

CNN —Donald Trump will skip another Republican presidential debate on Wednesday night because no one will punish him for not being there. While getting away with it is the ex-president’s quintessential political skill, his talent for evading consequences is facing a grave challenge in another sphere – the courts. Since the first GOP debate last month in Wisconsin, Florida Gov. Yet it stirred barely a murmur from Trump’s GOP rivals. The ex-president’s political might within the GOP base means its leaders are loath to cross him.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, He’s, he’s, Ronald Reagan, specter, Ron DeSantis ’, Nikki Haley, Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson, –, Haley, they’ve, Mike Pence, Trump’s, Cassidy Hutchinson, Mark Meadows, marveled, CNN’s Jake Tapper, “ Donald Trump, can’t, ” Hutchinson, Tapper, ”, Mark Milley, he’d, Eric, Donald Jr, Jack Smith, Democratic Sen, Robert Menendez, Arizona Sen, Jeff Flake, Liz Cheney, Utah Sen, Mitt Romney –, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Kevin McCarthy, McCarthy, Rudolph Giuliani, Meadows, ” Trump, Trump shrewdly Organizations: CNN, Trump Organization, Republican Party, GOP, Trump, Ronald Reagan Presidential Library, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, Arkansas Gov, White House, Joint Chiefs of Staff, Justice Department, MSNBC, Democratic, Republican, Wyoming, Georgia, White, Trump –, goading, Former New York Locations: Detroit, York, Wisconsin, Florida, New Jersey, Trump, New York, Washington, DC, Mar, Arizona, Utah

☆ Trump shows in Iowa he still rules the GOP – despite his deepening criminal peril
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-29 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

“As it stands right now, you will be voting in Iowa, while multiple criminal cases are pending against former President Trump,” Hutchinson said. Donald Trump is not running for president to represent the people that voted for him in 2016 and 2020,” Hurd said to loud boos. “Donald Trump is running to stay out of prison,” he said as jeers started to crescendo. But if Trump is to be stopped, there is no sign so far that it will happen in Iowa. Unlike some of the other GOP candidates, Trump is not using the dinner to also hold multiple Iowa campaign stops.

Persons: Donald Trump, didn’t, quagmire, Trump, Dunn, ” Trump, Jack Smith, Biden, ”, –, Ron DeSantis, ” DeSantis, Mike Pence, White, ” Pence, I’m, Asa Hutchinson, ” Hutchinson, Will Hurd, “ Donald Trump, ” Hurd, jeers, Joe Biden, it’s, Sen, Barack Obama, Jackson, Scott Olson, DeSantis, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Hawkeye, there’s, Donald J, “ I’m, ” Scott, “, Chris Christie Organizations: CNN, Republican, Brooks, Capitol, GOP, Florida Gov, ABC News, White House, Fox News, Trump . Former Arkansas Gov, Former Texas Rep, CIA, Trump, Democratic, Jefferson, White, Hawkeye State, Iowa, Getty, North, Fox, South, Democrats, New, New Jersey Gov Locations: Iowa, America, Florida, Manhattan, Iowa –, Mar, Erie , Pennsylvania, Des Moines, Hawkeye, North America, South Carolina, “ Hello Iowa, New Jersey, New Hampshire

☆ How one DeSantis speech captured the dynamic that could decide 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

The next 30 minutes of DeSantis’ speech then demonstrated how Biden might survive despite all the doubts about his performance and capabilities. In that way, DeSantis’ first swing through Iowa showed why Republicans are still at risk in 2024 from a key dynamic that dashed their hopes of a sweeping “red wave” in 2022. Many strategists in both parties believe that dynamic is most likely to recur in 2024 if the GOP nominates Trump. One reason, Republicans argue, is that the eventual nominee likely will talk about these issues less in a general election. Beset by all the difficult domestic conditions DeSantis highlighted, Biden will likely struggle straight through November 2024 to affirmatively convince a majority that his performance deserves another term.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Joe Biden, Biden, DeSantis, Donald Trump, ”, Sarah Longwell, MAGA Trump, “, Trump, Chris Wilson, Republican pollster, Jesse Ferguson, SRSS, “ Biden, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, George W . Bush, “ DeSantis, Ferguson, don’t, –, David Kochel, Kochel, can’t, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton’s, suburbanites, Nick Gourevitch, DeSantis ’, dethroning Trump, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Biden “ Organizations: CNN, Florida Gov, Biden’s, Republicans, GOP, Trump, Republican, Longwell, Biden, White House, White, Edison Research, House, Democrats, Senate, Fox News, Walt Disney Co, Democratic, eventual Locations: Iowa, Des Moines, Biden’s America, America, Florida, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada , New Hampshire , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan

2 Democrat, told CNN when asked if party leaders should stay out of the race. “I’m just not worried about folks who may not like this approach,” Sinema told CNN on Thursday. On Monday, he wouldn’t say if he believes Democratic leaders should try to knock her off in 2024. Like Sinema, party leaders are now watching Manchin closely as he weighs whether to run in 2024. “I worked very closely with Sen. Sinema – two years now to get stuff done,” Kelly said.

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