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☆ Gold has rallied ahead of Fed rate cuts. Here's why there could still be more upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Gold is already near the top of the 2024 range of outcomes projected by BlackRock Investment Institute, for example. Emerging market central banks have about 6% of their FX reserves in gold, and developed markets have about 12%. "Weaponizing dollar-based systems, including SWIFT , has led to more people, more countries specifically — more sovereign wealth funds and central banks — not trusting dollar-based assets as much. ETF flows As central banks have been bidding up gold, smaller investors were selling for much of this year. The VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ) and the Abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) are the other funds with at least $100 million in net inflows this year, according to FactSet.

Persons: there's, Robert Minter, Minter, SWIFT, Lauren Goodwin, we're, Chris Verrone Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, BlackRock Investment Institute, Abrdn, World Gold Council, U.S ., FX, United, Russia, New York Life Investments, MiniShares, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Abrdn . Central, Central, United States, Ukraine

☆ How to play the Fed decision using options on gold
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Gold is trading at all-time highs due to a combination of inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and expectations around monetary policy. Historically, gold tends to benefit from dovish monetary policies, especially when they signal prolonged low interest rates, which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Gold has maintained its bullish momentum, trading near $2,600, and appears to be breaking into new all-time highs. Looking at the chart, gold has consistently made higher highs and higher lows, a sign of strong upward momentum. The trade To express a bullish to neutral view on gold going into the Fed announcement, consider selling a SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Nov 1 $237.5/232.5 Put Vertical @ $2.02 Credit.

Persons: GLD Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Central

☆ Gold's rally to records shows no signs of slowing
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices just won't stop rising. Year to date, gold is up nearly 26% — outpacing the S & P 500's 18% gain. Since ETF holdings only increase gradually as the Fed cuts, this upside is not yet fully priced in." Investors seeking exposure to gold can obtain it through exchange traded funds, such as the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) . The fund, which tracks gold prices and charges 0.4% in fees, is up nearly 25% in 2024.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lina Thomas, Thomas, Christopher Danely Organizations: Reserve, Goldman, Miners, Gold Miners, Citigroup, Micron Technology

☆ Gold keeps rising to record after record. How to play it from here with options
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Gold is at a new record around $2,610 per ounce — more than ten times the low of just over $253 per ounce in 1999. @GC.1 ALL mountain Gold futures, long term Physical gold holders typically retain their assets through market fluctuations. The fundamental case A notable exception has been Saudi Arabia, which has historically acted as a liquidity source by buying gold when prices fell and selling as prices rose. In 2023, central banks purchased 1,037 metric tons of gold, with China buying nearly 225 tons, the largest amount since 1977. The trade As an alternative to buying gold directly, one could consider purchasing a longer-dated call option and selling a nearer-dated strangle to offset decay on the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) , which tracks the price of gold.

Persons: Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, Saudi Arabia, China, Central

☆ Low volatility ETFs have outperformed the market in this summer swoon. Here's what to know
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

To start, the major funds that are marketed as "low volatility" or "minimum volatility" have been living up to the label. JPMorgan Asset Management has been a leader in this area, with Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) and Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPQ) now holding more than $48 billion in combined assets, according to FactSet. Another area is preferred stock funds. The biggest preferred stock ETF, the iShares Preferred & Income Securities ETF (PFF) , has gained 0.5% in the third quarter, though it has dipped 1.4% over the past month. "And those call features of a growing part of the preferred market has also helped in terms of the rate volatility and the impact."

Persons: Robert Hum, It's, it's, Hum, Yang Tang, John Burrello, Gary Kessler, Dodd Frank, Kessler Organizations: Trust, JPMorgan Asset Management, Nasdaq Equity, Nasdaq, Income Securities ETF, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Preferred, Hybrid Securities, Federal Reserve Locations: BlackRock

GLD 5Y mountain GLD The SPDR Gold Shares ETF is the world's largest, with BlackRock's iShares Gold Trust and iShares Physical Gold ETC the second and third, respectively. Other top physical gold ETFs include the Borse Commodities GmbH Xetra-Gold and the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust . Gold mining ETFs Buying gold mining ETFs — which own shares of multiple gold mining companies — is another way to get exposure to gold, and Meyer described those backed by large banks as "relatively safe," in an email to CNBC. "Even though gold equities respond to changes in gold price, the degree of that response has deteriorated over time," he said, adding that the risks and costs of gold extraction can weigh on miners. A selection of gold bars and one-ounce gold coins at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024.

Persons: Tom Price, Price, Berenberg, Robin Bhar, Amy Arnott, John Meyer, Colin Hamilton, BlackRock's, Meyer, Barrick Gold Panmure Liberum, George Milling, Stanley, they're, Morningstar's Arnott, Bhar, Chris Ratcliffe Organizations: CNBC, Panmure, Bank of America, Citi, UBS, Gold, Morningstar, SP, CNBC Pro, Royal Mint, BMO Capital Markets, Borse Commodities, MiniShares, Gold Miners ETF, Miners, Barrick, Resolute Mining, Hochschild, Caledonia Mining, Barrick Gold Panmure, Endeavour Mining, Endeavour, Pan, Resources, State Street Global Advisors, Gold Investments, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Panmure Liberum, U.S . New York, United States, U.S, Hochschild Mining, Zimbabwe, London, West Africa, Berenberg

☆ The top gold strategist at $4.3 trillion State Street shares 3 reasons why gold could reach $2,700 by year-end — and how he invests in the metal
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

With over 50 years of experience in the gold industry, Milling-Stanley believes today's macroeconomic environment is ripe for gold to outperform. The possibility of a rate cut in the next six months has been looming over the economy, which should boost the price of gold, Milling-Stanley said. State Street Global AdvisorsUS dollar depreciation will also push gold prices up, he said. He estimates a 50% probability of gold prices ending the year in the $2,200 to $2,500 range and a 30% probability of prices rising between $2,500 and $2,700. Other cost-efficient options include the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM), iShares Gold Trust (IAU), Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF (AAAU), and GraniteShares Gold Trust (BAR).

Persons: —, George Milling, Stanley, there's, I've, He's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Stanley, Trust, Business, Street Global Advisors, Stanely, Street Global, MiniShares, Gold Miners, Miners Locations: Nigeria, Ukraine, China, Taiwan

☆ UBS executives break down how markets will react to a Biden or Trump presidency — and the 3 best investment strategies to hedge election risk
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-30 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

UBS executives covering fixed income and equity strategies outlined in a recent note four different scenarios come November: a blue sweep, a Biden presidency with a split Congress, a red sweep, and a Trump presidency with a split Congress. The two overwhelmingly likely outcomes would be a Biden presidency with a divided Congress (40%) and a Trump presidency with a Republican Congress (45%), per UBS. A Biden victory with a divided CongressA Biden presidency will likely usher in increased tax rates and regulatory oversight, UBS said. A Trump presidency combined with a Republican Congress would mean an extension of the current lower marginal tax rates, the bank said. While antitrust regulation will likely ease under Trump, he's hardly a Big Tech supporter: Trump sued Facebook, Google, and Twitter (now X) in 2021.

Persons: —, Biden, David Lefkowtiz, Trump's, Tom McLoughlin, UBS's, Lefkowitz, he's, Trump, Leslie Falconio, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, UBS, Biden, Trump, Republican Congress, Business, Nvidia, OpenAI, Big Tech, Republican, Republicans, Democrats, Facebook, Google, Twitter, World Gold, Trust

☆ Snap up gold ETF ahead of potential interest rate cuts as deficits persist, market pro says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It's likely to further appreciate due to a lack of progress in narrowing the deficit, Tentarelli said. Historically, gold prices have been inversely correlated with real bond yields, meaning when yields decline, gold should rally further. "Even if there's no rate cuts, I like gold based on the macro of deficit spending," the Merrill Lynch alum said. In that event, investors will want to hold the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ETF, Tentarelli said. But, for most, the "smartest way" to play gold is through the ETF, Tentarelli said.

Persons: Larry Tentarelli, Tentarelli, Merrill Lynch Organizations: Federal Reserve, Costco, Treasury, @HG, Copper Miners Locations: yawning, Freeport, McMoRan, Monday's

☆ The outlook on gold and gold stocks into the summer is looking strong, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Let's take a look at how gold stocks have fared and see how recent price action suggests the uptrend is nowhere near completed. While gold stocks tend to be very much tied to the performance of the underlying commodity, there will often be periods of dislocation, where gold and gold miners appear to be more disconnected. This appears to have occurred in the first quarter, when physical gold was fairly flat, but gold miners were sold off into a February low. The chart of Royal Gold (RGLD) shows that the early breakouts are beginning to occur. Given the strength in the charts of physical gold and gold miners, this group may serve as a compelling opportunity going into the summer months.

Persons: Let's, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, Gold Miners, CMT

☆ A former Bridgewater executive shares his 2 highest-conviction trades right now — and breaks down why the US labor market remains exceptionally strong despite apparent signs of weakness
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Another common worry among investors is the risk that elevated interest rates pose to the labor market and overall economy. AdvertisementThat difference is that prior cycles have been driven by lending, Elliott said. Lending growth fueled economic expansions and drops in lending led to economic contractions. He said it can act as a hedge against the Fed cutting rates too early with the economy still strong. AdvertisementInvestors can gain exposure to gold through funds like the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and the iShares Gold Trust (IAU).

Persons: St, Louis, Bob Elliott, Elliott, Louis Fed, It's Organizations: Service, Unlimited Funds, Bridgewater Associates, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Trust

☆ The biggest money managers are flocking to gold as inflation fears intensify
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-18 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Gold futures settled at a record high above $2,400 an ounce this week. The precious metal is coming off its third straight week of gains. Gold is often used as an inflation hedge because of its limited supply. @GC.1 YTD mountain Gold Professional speculators' net-long positions in gold futures and options hovered near the highest level since 2020 as of April 9, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's latest data. The hedge fund star revealed that not only did he own the popular SPDR Gold Trust fund (GLD), but he also bought physical bars.

Persons: James Steel, David Neuhauser, Neuhauser, Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn, Einhorn Organizations: Citi, Investors, HSBC Securities, Gold, Commodity, Livermore Partners, CNBC, Trust, Deutsche Bank Locations: Northbrook , Illinois

☆ Stocks are undergoing a needed, and (so far) modest, pullback in a longer-term bull market
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-13 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The result was a 1.5-percent weekly drop in the S & P 500 , with Friday's setback exacerbated at least somewhat by a collective clenching-up of risk markets on some geopolitical worry. This dynamic hasn't been reversed, but the signal has grown a bit staticky, draining some conviction from the macro bullish case with the S & P 500 still 24% above the October low. Bull market's backdrop First, it's a bull market, and not a particularly mature or excessively generous one yet. Yet both stocks are still outperforming the S & P this year. The S & P 500 closed Friday at exactly the same level of five weeks earlier, on March 8 – which was perhaps the moment of maximum investor confidence in the "we can have it all" thesis.

Persons: I've, Jerome Powell, Powell, Wall, it's, We're, John Butters, Fastenal, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, ICE, Treasury, CPI, Fed, Grainger, Citi

☆ Physical gold offers more protection than mining stocks, says State Street’s George Milling-Stanley
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Josephine Rozzelle | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors looking to weather a volatile market may want to opt for physical gold over gold stocks. That's according to George Milling-Stanley, one of the world's experts in gold and the chief gold strategist at State Street Global Advisors. "One of the reasons I own gold bar(s) is that I believe it offers me some protection against potential weakness in the equity market," Milling-Stanley told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week. "When the equity market goes down, gold mining stocks remember that they're equities, and they tend to go down with the general level of the equity market. Milling-Stanley's firm runs two exchange-traded funds that track the performance of the spot price of gold: the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) and SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM).

Persons: George Milling, Stanley, CNBC's, they're, GLDM, — Organizations: State Street Global Advisors, MiniShares, Milling

☆ The big, month-long rally in commodities is turning these ETFs into winners
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Some equity funds closely tied to those commodities, such as those that invest in gold and silver miners, have soared even more. Five of the six biggest gold ETFs have seen outflows this year, totaling almost $3 billion, according to FactSet. GLD 5Y mountain Gold, and the ETFs that track it, are trading at record highs in early 2024. The fund's holdings include gold, silver, platinum and palladium. Meanwhile, Teucrium has several ETFs focused on agricultural commodities that have climbed over the past month as well, including the the Teucrium Soybean Fund (SOYB) , up over 3%.

Persons: Jake Hanley, Hanley, Robert Minter, Minter, Teucrium Organizations: United States Oil Fund, Hershey Locations: East, Europe

☆ Gold could be implying inflation remains sticky. How to play it with options
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Federal Reserve, as always, is trying to strike a balance between conquering inflation and navigating the soft-landing. Of course, if higher rates also successfully curb inflation then gold, as an inflation hedge, shines less brightly. GLD YTD mountain SPDR Gold Shares GLD But gold is shining brightly. So gold markets are implying that we could get some rate cuts, inflation will be sticky, or both. This provides continued exposure to the upside if the gold rally continues, while locking a modest profit as well.

Organizations: Federal Reserve, VanEck Gold Miners

☆ The rally in gold could be still in the early stages, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Our review of the charts of precious metals tells us that the recent rally in gold prices could be just the early stages of a broad advance in the second quarter and beyond. Interestingly enough, gold stocks have actually been underperforming gold for most of the last 12 months. But over the last six weeks, gold miners have shown renewed strength, outperforming spot gold. This may be just the beginning of a "catch up" trade where gold miners close the performance gap with gold. Gold stocks have been lagging behind spot gold, but that trend of underperformance has begun to change in the last six weeks.

Persons: Alan Shaw, David Keller Organizations: Gold Miners, CMT Locations: retest

☆ David Einhorn thinks inflation is reaccelerating and has made gold a very large position
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"I think inflation is reaccelerating. I think there's a lot of indication of that," the famed investor said during the Sohn Investment Conference in New York. As a defense play against a potential market downturn, Einhorn also said he is loading up on his gold position . We own physical bars as well, so gold is a very large position for us," Einhorn said. Value investing opportunities Despite his concerns, Einhorn said opportunities are emerging in value stocks, which he thinks are misunderstood nowadays.

Persons: David Einhorn, Einhorn, CNBC's Scott Wapner, there's Organizations: Greenlight, Federal Reserve, Sohn Investment, Greenlight Capital, Trust, Solvay Locations: New York, Belgium

☆ Gold subdued as dollar firms, investors seek more Fed cues
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices held steady on Tuesday despite a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields, as investors awaited the minutes of the last U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting for more clues on its interest rate cut timing. Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday due to an uptick in the dollar, although bullion traded in a narrow range as investors stayed on the sidelines awaiting more cues on the U.S. Federal Reserve policy. Spot gold was down 0.1% at $2,176.80 per ounce, as of 0533 GMT. The dollar index strengthened 0.1% against its rivals, making gold more expensive for other currency holders. "It's difficult to construct an overly bearish case for gold prices with the current backdrop of geopolitics and potential central easing," City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Austan Goolsbee, JP Morgan Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S . Federal, Index, Chicago Fed, Fed Locations: U.S

☆ A lower-risk way to play the gold breakout from here
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

We'll break down the rally in gold, why gold miners have been trailing it and the options trades I'm putting on from here accordingly. Investing in gold and silver mining companies, rather than purchasing the precious metals has frequently been promoted as a way to get "leverage" to the price of gold or silver. Notice that the share price of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX ) tracking the companies, has declined more than 15.5% since the highs in April of 2023. GDX GLD mountain 2023-04-13 VanEck Gold Miners ETF (companies) vs. SPDR Gold shares ETF (commodity) It should be said that GDX and Newmont Corporation pay dividends, whereas gold itself does not. Additionally gold miners are sometimes located in suboptimal geographic locations/jurisdictions where they may be subject to geopolitical factors beyond the price volatility of the commodities they produce.

Persons: Warren Buffett Organizations: Gold Miners, Newmont Corp, Gold Miners ETF, SPDR, Newmont Corporation, Mining, Consumers Locations: Washington

☆ Is the breakout in gold for real? Here's what the charts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Being that gold is priced in U.S. dollars and is very sensitive to moves in interest rates, gold is trading INVERSE to the U.S. dollar. So those macro relationships summed up; Stocks and gold are trading together Stocks and gold are trading inverse to the direction of interest rates and the U.S. dollar. Breaking down the gold chart Turning to the technicals of the gold market, I have some concerning analysis for stock market bulls, myself included. If the gold market does not break out above the highlighted $2356 level we may be setting up for a failure. If so, watch the reaction in the stock market - does it move lower with the failed breakout in gold?

Persons: it's, Elliott, Gordon, GBTC Organizations: U.S ., UUP, U.S

☆ Gold hovers near 3-month peak as eyes on Powell's testimony
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars arranged at the Korea Gold Exchange store in Seoul, South Korea, on Oct. 13, 2023. Gold prices steadied near a three-month peak on Tuesday, supported by subdued U.S. manufacturing and construction spending, as investors awaited testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and key jobs data later this week. Spot gold was flat at $2,114.59 per ounce, as of 0423 GMT, hovering around Monday's levels of $2119.69 that marked its highest point since Dec. 4. London's gold price benchmark hit an all-time high of $2,098.05 per troy ounce at an afternoon auction on Monday. The world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust's GLD holdings were down 10% from the previous year as of March 4.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Joni Teves, Fed's Raphael Bostic, Teves Organizations: Korea Gold Exchange, Federal, UBS, Data, ANZ Locations: Seoul, South Korea, U.S

☆ Gold hovers near one-month peak on slowing U.S. inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices hovered near a month high on Friday after data suggested easing U.S. price pressures, while traders awaited remarks from several Federal Reserve officials. Gold prices hovered near a month high on Friday after data suggested easing U.S. price pressures, while traders awaited remarks from several Federal Reserve officials. Gold traders rejoiced the fact that core-PCE slowed annually," City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said. Money market pricing shows traders are pricing in three quarter-point U.S. rate cuts for 2024. "Whilst negative ETF flows are capping gold prices, China's central bank is a key reason that gold prices remain supported, as they were the second highest purchaser of gold reserves in the fourth quarter," Simpson said.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Simpson Organizations: Federal Reserve, PCE, Index, U.S

☆ Launch of new ETFs may not affect bitcoin the same way they did gold, Citi says. Here’s why
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The launch of spot bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. has been widely anticipated for months, with many investors thinking they could revolutionize investing in the asset the way the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) did for gold in 2004. Bernstein recently said bitcoin could rocket to $200,000 by the end of next year with bitcoin ETFs. "It still took bullion ETFs several years to crystalize holdings and AUM that structurally impacted spot gold prices and lifted trading," Saunders said. Additionally, bitcoin is newer and less established than gold was before the introduction of gold ETFs, he added. Last year, that correlation fell to its lowest since 2021 , while bitcoin's correlation with gold has been climbing.

Persons: Bernstein, Alex Saunders, Saunders, they're, … bitcoin, bitcoin Organizations: Citi Locations: U.S

☆ Bitcoin ETFs aren't giving crypto a big boost just yet. Here's where the new funds stand
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The newly launched bitcoin exchange-traded funds are showing early signs of success, but they have so far fallen short of being the massive boost for crypto some bulls predicted. BTC.CM= YTD mountain Bitcoin has retreated since the launch of the bitcoin ETFs. This fall comes after some crypto investors had cited the ETF launches as a catalyst that could propel bitcoin to $100,000 in 2024. That discount likely attracted arbitrage players who used the ETF launch as an opportunity to close out their trade. Yesterday, all Bitcoin ETFs combined traded $2.2Bn, IBIT traded $340Mn.

Persons: Alex Saunders, Benjamin Budish, Aniket Ullal, Ullal, It's, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Fidelity, Citi, Barclays, CFRA Research, IBIT Locations: bitcoin, GBTC

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