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Mortgage rates have trended downward over the last few days, and they might continue to decrease in the coming weeks. These are two signs that the economy is starting to cool, which is often a good sign for mortgage rates. We'll need to see long-term, consistent signs that the US economy is cooling off for mortgage rates to drop significantly. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates were 7.03% last week, unchanged from the previous week, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: Freddie Mac —, Jerome Powell, you'll, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron
What mortgage rates over 7% mean for the housing market
  + stars: | 2023-08-20 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Washington, DC CNN —An already miserably unaffordable housing market is getting more expensive. As mortgage rates top 7% — the highest they’ve been in 21 years according to Freddie Mac — home buyers face ballooning costs. “The fact that we are seeing rates at these highs is having an impact on the housing market,” Freedman said. “That’s bad news for mortgage rates which correspondingly may rise to 8%,” he said. “We thought mortgage rates would be much lower by now,” she said.
Persons: Freddie Mac, , , Bess Freedman, Brown Harris Stevens, Freedman, ” Freedman, Buyers, ” Lawrence Yun, Yun, Jessica Lautz, we’d, Melissa Cohn, Cohn, “ Banks, ” Cohn Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, National Association of Realtors, NAR, , Fed, William, Mortgage, ” Fed, Treasury Locations: Washington
The 30-year rates have dipped slightly since last week, while 15-year mortgage rates have gone up a bit. A competitive market can keep mortgage rates high and homes expensive. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. But whether mortgage rates will drop in 2023 hinges on if the Federal Reserve can get inflation under control.
Persons: Freddie Mac, Prices, Fannie Mae, they'll Organizations: Zillow, Federal Reserve, Fed, Mortgage, Association, Sky, ARM Locations: Chevron
The average 30-year mortgage rate is 6.71%, according to Freddie Mac — this time last year, it was 5.23%. A competitive market can keep mortgage rates high and homes expensive. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. But whether mortgage rates will drop in 2023 hinges on if the Federal Reserve can get inflation under control.
Persons: Freddie Mac, Prices, Fannie Mae, they'll Organizations: Zillow, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, Sky, ARM Locations: Chevron
The average 30-year mortgage rate is 6.79%, according to Freddie Mac — this time last year, it was 5.09%. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. But whether mortgage rates will drop in 2023 hinges on if the Federal Reserve can get inflation under control. This means that mortgage rates aren't likely to increase significantly any time soon, and they'll likely continue to cool along with prices.
Persons: Freddie Mac, Prices, Fannie Mae, they'll Organizations: Zillow, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, Sky, ARM Locations: Chevron
But Lebowitz thinks there's a much greater chance that a recession occurs, forcing the Fed to back off. And then there's the inverted yield curve, which has preceded every recession since the 1960s. RIA AdvisorsIt's also not a good environment for stocks because yield curve inversions have usually meant large downward earnings revisions, which haven't happened yet. RIA AdvisorsAnother look at history, Lebowitz said, shows that a recession has to be already underway before stocks can bottom out. The yield curve, Chicago PMI, and other analyses argue it's a matter of when but if a recession occurs.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac help make mortgages available by purchasing them from lenders. The limit will top $1 million for the first time in 2023, reflecting a new norm in US housing. Fannie and Freddie are the largest buyers of US home mortgages and are credited with providing constant liquidity in the housing market through their purchases, even during downturns. Their scope in residential markets is capped by the so-called conforming loan limit, which per a 2008 law is set in accordance to changes in home prices. Outside the priciest areas of the country — which include areas around New York, Washington, DC, and coastal California — the conforming loan limit will also rise by 12.2%, to $726,200.
Residential builders are feeling the pinch of higher financing costs of their own. He estimated that, in aggregate, developers like him would decrease production by 10% to 20% this year, in a potentially devastating setback for affordable housing. "The failure to act is only made clear a few years later, given the timeline of real-estate development," he said. "In a couple of years from now, we're going to look back and say this was a missed opportunity" to close the affordable housing gap. "Financing can be very targeted towards affordable development and can be subsidized much more aggressively," he said.
Mortgage rates have calmed over the past couple of weeks after some volatility earlier this month. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. Whether mortgage rates will drop in 2023 hinges on if the Federal Reserve can get inflation under control. If the Fed acts too aggressively and engineers a recession, mortgage rates could fall further than what current forecasts expect. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.
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