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Typical starter homes are worth at least $1 million in a record 237 US cities, Zillow reported. Nearly half of these cities are in California, with New York and New Jersey also heavily represented. AdvertisementA record number of US cities now have typical starter homes worth at least $1 million, Zillow reported. On average, homebuyers can find seven-figure starter properties in 237 metros, the firm said, a considerable jump from where values stood five years ago. Zillow defined typical starter homes as properties in the lower third of values.
Persons: , Zillow Organizations: Service, metros, Business Locations: California, New York, New Jersey
Encouraging inflation data stoked optimism that the Federal Reserve can cut interest rates in September. That changed Friday, as encouraging inflation data injected new life into the rally. Advertisement"Next week we expect [Fed Chair Jerome] Powell to set the table for future rate cuts, speaking confidently about progress bringing inflation down. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market no longer expects the Federal Reserve to keep rates steady in September. The market also forecasts high chances that the Fed will slash rates by up to 75 basis points through December.
Persons: Russell, , Jerome, Powell, David Donabedian, Chris Zaccarelli, Dexcom Organizations: Federal, Service, PCE, CIBC Private Wealth, Reserve, Independent, Alliance Locations: Here's,
North Korea's GDP grew 3.1% in 2023, according to central bank estimates. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementNorth Korea's growing trade ties with Russia are paying off, helping end a three-year downturn, according to the South Korean central bank. The bank's annual report, cited by Bloomberg, found that North Korea's 2023 GDP grew 3.1% in real terms. Since North Korea does not offer official data, indicators tracked by its southern neighbor are relied on instead.
Persons: Organizations: Bank, Service, Bloomberg, Business Locations: Korea, Russia, Ukraine, Korean, North Korea
Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks rose Friday morning, regaining momentum after three days of losses. Instead, investors indicated 87.7% odds of a 25-basis point cut, and 11.9% odds of a 50-basis point cut. This week, creeping doubt in large-cap tech stocks rally spurred investors to rotate out of the sector, pulling both indexes down 3.67% and 2.6% through the past week, respectively.
Persons: , Fitch, Olu Sonola Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, PCE, Federal, Treasury Locations: Here's
"Although it might already be too late to fend off a recession by cutting rates, dawdling now unnecessarily increases the risk," the former New York Federal Reserve President said. But to Dudley, even this is too late, and central bankers would do better to pivot rates at next week's policy meeting. AdvertisementAccording to Dudley, this slowdown points to fewer jobs down the road, and an uptick in unemployment could set off a near-certain recession indicator: the Sahm Rule. Despite this, Dudley suggested that the Fed might not be as concerned about breaching the Sahm Rule as it should be. According to Dudley, there are two other reasons the Fed may be waiting for September to cut rates.
Persons: , Bill Dudley, dawdling, Dudley, Jerome Powell, Claudia Sahm, I'm Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, New York Federal, Business, Fed Locations: Dudley
The small-cap-heavy Russell 2000 will jump 15% or more in August, Fundstrat's Tom Lee told CNBC. Expectations of a Trump White house are also helping drive small-cap buying, Lee added. Fundstrat's Tom Lee told CNBC that the small-cap-focused Russell 2000 is likely to gain 15% or more through August, if history is any guide. Lee says the market's certainty in upcoming interest-rate cuts — expected to commence in September — is helping drive the small-cap rally. "The nine times it did that since 1979, when you were in a bear market, we were up 100% — one month, three months, six months, 12 months later," he said.
Persons: Russell, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, , It's, He's, Donald Trump Organizations: CNBC, Trump, Service, tanking, Barclays
Tesla's stock dropped as much as 13% on Wednesday after reporting weak second-quarter earnings. AdvertisementTesla stock tumbled as much as 13% on Wednesday after the company's second-quarter results offered limited reassurance to eager investors. It marked the fourth straight quarter Tesla has fallen short of analyst forecasts. The taxi's unveiling, seen by many on Wall Street as a major AI-driven catalyst for Tesla, was originally scheduled for next month. "Tesla's muddling through the EV recession," Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jones wrote, citing a quarter-over-quarter drop in capital expenditures.
Persons: Tesla, , Elon Musk, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jones, Nikola, Dan Levy, Tesla's, Cantor Fitzgerald, Andres Sheppard, Gene Munster, Dan Ives, Sheppard Organizations: Service, EV, General Motors, Buick, Barclays, Deepwater Asset Management, Wedbush Securities, Tesla
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Sanctions are instead straining Russia, and could do more if the West is patient enough, a group of eight European finance ministers jointly argued in The Guardian. Large financial stimulus is the chief tailwind keeping Russia resistant, but the ministers noted that isn't an endless pillar of support. The eight ministers argued that these conditions make Western sanctions more important than ever, adding that pressure should be cranked up on Russia. They noted that if the West is patient enough, Russia's confidence will eventually slump as long-term damage takes hold.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Guardian, Business, Kremlin Locations: Moscow, Russia, Ukraine, Sweden, Poland, Netherlands, Soviet Union, Belarus, Asia
Read previewWhile Wall Street cheers the country's economic momentum, outlooks among most Americans appear more gloomy, an Affirm survey reported. The payments company found that three in five Americans think the US is currently in a recession. Seven out of 10 Americans see today's inflation rate as a burden on their financial futures, limiting their ability to save and plan ahead. For its part, Wall Street has remained optimistic about the economy's trajectory, given that inflation has progressively come down from its pandemic highs. Although spending kept up enough to stall an official recession, Americans have gradually pulled back their buying.
Persons: , Vishal Kapoor Organizations: Service, Business, Product, Northwestern Mutual, Federal Reserve, of America Locations: U.S, Affirm's
Existing home sales fell in June to nearly to their slowest pace since 2010. The decline comes as home prices notched a record high in the same month. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe pace of existing home sales fell close to a record low in June as record-high prices and persistently high mortgage rates turned buyers away.
Persons: Organizations: Service, National Association of Realtors, Business
Index ended the day lower Wednesday as investors braced for Tesla and Alphabet's earnings. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The two firms are the first of the Magnificent Seven tech stocks to release their earnings. The stock market is fresh off a winning rally on Monday, which saw the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 rise above 1%. Advertisement"The Fed's preferred measure of inflation is expected to tick lower in the June release, paralleling the month's slower CPI inflation.
Persons: , Tesla, Bill Adams, it's Organizations: Tesla, Service, Nasdaq, UPS, Federal, Comerica, CPI
Stock were mixed early Tuesday as investors awaited earnings from big companies. Markets are getting ready to pick through results from Tesla and Alphabet after the closing bell. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stock moves were muted on Tuesday, with investors getting ready to go over earnings results from Tesla and Google parent Alphabet after the closing bell. Tesla and Alphabet are the first of the Magnificent Seven tech cohort to post second-quarter results.
Persons: , Russell, Bill Adams, Adams Organizations: Service, Tesla, Google, Nasdaq, Federal
Donald Trump wants a weaker dollar in order to boost exports for US manufacturers. Other ways Trump could weaken the dollar would also risk raising US debt or inflation, Barclays said. AdvertisementDonald Trump's proposed policies run counter to one another, with his plan to increase trade tariffs complicating his intent to weaken the dollar, Ajay Rajadhyaksha of Barclays wrote in the Financial Times. Other options for weakening the dollar exist, but none come without consequences, the strategist noted. He cited alternative plans: raising US debt could help, at the cost of Treasury market volatility and more inflation pressure.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , Donald Trump's, Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Rajadhyaksha Organizations: Barclays, Service, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Republican, America, Trump, Federal Reserve, Treasury Locations: stagflation, Japan
The firm is looking at specific levels for the 10-year Treasury yield and manufacturing PMI. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. New research from Bank of America outlined two specific criteria that could serve as signals the rally will continue. AdvertisementMeanwhile, manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5 in June. "The Manufacturing economy is in the second longest downturn in history with 21 months without two straight months of 50+ PMI.
Persons: , SPW, Russell, Tom Lee Organizations: of America, PMI, Service, Bank of America, Treasury, 6.3ppt, Bank of America Global Research, Federal Reserve, Barclays Locations: outperformance
Illicit Russian semiconductor imports have fallen this year, Reuters reported. So-called transshipments bypass US sanctions by first exporting illicit goods to an secondary destination. Transshipments through Hong Kong fell 28%, and 19% through mainland China, Commerce Department data shows. AdvertisementChinese trade flows of restricted technology into Russia have wavered this year, with semiconductor imports losing ground amid US sanctions, Reuters reported. Transshipments of advanced components through mainland China fell 19% between January and May, while shipments through Hong Kong dropped 28%, the outlet said.
Persons: Organizations: Reuters, Commerce Department, Service, The Commerce Department, Business Locations: Hong Kong, China, Russia
Spot ether ETFs could launch as soon as July 22, reports say. Wall Street has issued a range of outlooks on how the world's second-largest cryptocurrency will move once the ETFs launch. The bank expects these funds to drive $15 billion to $45 billion worth of ether inflows in a 12-month window. Bulls derived their confidence from how bitcoin behaved after its spot ETFs launch in January. They noted bitcoin's first-mover advantage and stressed that the ether token offers functionality that wouldn't be accessible through the ETFs, thus limiting demand.
Persons: , bitcoin, Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, CoinDesk, Rachel Lin, Alex Kuptsikevich Organizations: Street, Service, Securities and Exchange Commission, Chartered, Bulls, JPMorgan, Citi, Steno, Reuters, Galaxy Digital, ETH, Business
Small-caps historically decline before and after the first interest rate cut, Barclays reported. This argues against the growing narrative that the easing cycle will boost small-caps, the bank said. AdvertisementBarclays ResearchTheir finding opposes many prevailing viewpoints on Wall Street, where rising bets of lower interest rates have sent investors piling into the small-cap trade. In part, falling interest rates might help ease debt burdens, but they can also signal a cooling economy — which favors large-cap exposure. Market veteran Ed Yardeni wrote this week that the small-caps trade has no legs, given the sector's lackluster forward earnings, revenue, and profit margins.
Persons: , Venu Krishna, Russell, June's, Tom Lee, Ed Yardeni, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: Barclays, Service, NASDAQ, Federal
Jamie Dimon says the Federal Reserve shouldn't be in a rush to cut interest rates. He told Swiss newspaper NZZ that several factors could cause inflation to rebound. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe market is laying bets that the Federal Reserve is on the cusp on cutting interest rates, but Jamie Dimon thinks the central bank is at risk of moving too soon. The JPMorgan chief told Swiss newspaper NZZ that inflation might not settle down for good, even though it has been moving steadily lower since peaking in the summer of 2022.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, he's, , Dimon Organizations: Federal Reserve, Swiss, Service, Federal, JPMorgan, Fed, Business
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewBank of America's latest Global Fund Managers survey found that shadow banking has surpassed commercial real estate as the likeliest culprit of a future credit event. In June's survey, commercial real estate held the top spot. Related storiesMeanwhile, BofA's survey indicates that fund managers are still keeping their eyes on commercial real estate, a sector that has wobbled under the weight of high interest rates. Between tighter monetary policy and a significant pullback in office demand, worry has mounted regarding whether commercial real estate entities can pay off their debt.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, BofA Organizations: Service, America's, Global Fund, Business, Bank of America Global Fund, Survey, JPMorgan Locations: H2'24
Weekly jobless claims were higher than expected, boosting rate cut hopes. AdvertisementThe stock market was looking to stage a rebound after a plummet in semiconductor stocks led to a losing session on Wednesday. The chip cohort's tumble came amid reports that the Biden administration would levy fresh restrictions on chip sales to China. The latest jobless claims gave investors new reason to bet on interest rate cuts, as Thursday's report showed claims rose to their highest level in close to a year. Initial jobless claims rose to 243,000 through the week ending July 13, above estimates for 229,000.
Persons: Stocks, , Biden, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Service, Financial, Labor Locations: China
Major stock indexes were down sharply for a second day on Thursday. A mega-cap retreat expanded into a broader rout, and the S&P 500 fell over 1%. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS indexes declined sharply for a second session this week, as the plunge in leading tech stocks broadened out to the rest of the market.
Persons: , Russell Organizations: Service, Google, Nvidia, Bloomberg, Federal Locations: China, Here's
PIMCO economist Peder Beck-Friis says that high US debt levels do not pose an immediate threat. Before that happens, volatility will rise in financial markets and the macro economy, he noted. AdvertisementInvestors shouldn't fear US debt crisis just yet, as the situation is more benign than it appears, PIMCO econmist Peder Beck-Friis wrote on Thursday. In an op-ed in The Financial Times, Beck-Friis wrote that investors will need to prepare for higher instability before policymakers treat the debt seriously. Like many other big-name market observers, he argued that the aggressive rise in the US debt will eventually hit unsustainable levels.
Persons: Peder Beck, Friis, , PIMCO econmist Peder Beck, Beck, Bill Gross, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton Organizations: Financial Times, Service, Financial, US Locations: Washington, Europe
The West could spur Russian inflation by easing sanctions on capital flows, Sergey Aleksashenko says. "Make it easier to depress the value of the ruble, make imports more expensive, and put pressure on Russian bank balance sheets." Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In a collection of policy briefs the think tank put out this month, author Sergey Aleksashenko argued that the West should ease restrictions on Russian capital outflows.
Persons: Sergey Aleksashenko, Organizations: Service, Kremlin, Brookings, outflows, Business Locations: depreciating, Russian, Russia
Nearly a quarter of homes on the market saw price cuts in June, Zillow says. For this time of the year, that's the highest rate since 2018. High costs and rising inventory are leading to easing competition, the real estate firm said. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe US housing market looks to be regaining some balance, with price cuts helping buyers find their footing, Zillow said.
Persons: Zillow, , Sellers Organizations: Service, Business
Bank of America earnings topped estimates, and shares rose early Tuesday. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks climbed higher as fresh data indicated that consumers were still spending. Excluding autos, sales rose 0.4% against estimates of a 0.1% increase. In the bond market, the 10-year Treasury yield slid moderately, after comments dovish were made by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
Persons: , Robert Frick, dovish, Jerome Powell Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Navy Federal Credit Union, Bloomberg, Treasury, Federal
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