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But even with Trump’s gains among men, women still had greater leverage to decide the election’s outcome. Both the exit polls and VoteCast showed her winning 57% of white women with at least a four-year college degree. Solid majorities of Black, Latina and college-educated White women described Trump in the exit poll as “too extreme,” as did over two-fifths of the White women without a college degree. But among the White women without a college degree who described Trump as “too extreme,” almost 1 in 5 voted for him anyway. Though many women are expressing unease about mass deportation, Trump’s claim that immigrants are driving crime may provide him considerable leeway to pursue his agenda, particularly among the blue-collar White women who proved most receptive to that argument.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden’s, Harris, , Jenifer Fernandez Ancona, Trump, , Biden, Joe Rogan, NORC, VoteCast, Harris’s, John Kerry, George W, Bush, White, Chip Somodevilla, Court’s Dobbs, Voters “, , , pollster Nicole McCleskey, Dobbs, Harris ’, , pollster Christine Matthews, Jackie Payne, ” Payne, Will Lanzoni, Bill Clinton, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Mifepristone, Matthews, ambivalently, Tresa Undem, , Trump’s, Fernandez Ancona, can’t, Hillary Clinton Organizations: CNN, Trump, Edison Research, AP, Gallup, Democratic, Biden, Santander Arena, Nationwide, Wall, White, Latina, Voters, Republican National Convention, Republican, GOP, Congressional, Republicans, White House, Trump ., Human Services Department, Pew Research Center, Pew, Locations: Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Reading , Pennsylvania, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nebraska, Milwaukee , Wisconsin, America
Among female independents, Trump’s ratings were even worse: just 23% favorable and 72% unfavorable, according to previously unpublished exit poll results provided by the CNN polling unit. Trump’s unfavorable rating hit a comparable 69% among independents with at least a four-year college degree. That was a significantly smaller advantage than the double-digit lead among independents Democrats enjoyed in both the 2020 presidential race and the 2018 contest for the House. While Democrats held the presidency, Republicans won independents by double-digits in House elections in the midterms of 2014, 2010 and 1994. Gretchen Whitmer won 59% of the independents with degrees and 56% of women independents.
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