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High home prices and higher mortgage rates along with low inventory have put ownership just out of reach for many households. Jose Luis Pelaez Inc | Digitalvision | Getty ImagesAlthough vacationing has also gotten more expensive, Americans are still determined to travel. Rising debt is another threat to wealthAt the same time, rising consumer debt has weighed on household balance sheets. Nearly half, 44%, of Americans said credit card debt is the biggest threat to their ability to build wealth, according to a separate report by Edelman Financial Engines. "That stands in the way of people building actual wealth and therefore feeling wealthier," she said.
Persons: , Freddie Mac, Jose Luis Pelaez, Jean Chatzky Organizations: Jose Luis Pelaez Inc, Deloitte, Edelman Financial, Federal Reserve Bank of New, CNBC Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
U.S. consumers collectively owe an eye-popping $1.17 trillion in credit card debt — a record — according to estimates the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released this week. But while there are still major financial risks for carrying hefty balances, the researchers said the data suggests that “rising debt burdens remain manageable” for the typical consumer. Prices are still going up, but they’re not going up as fast, and incomes are once again going up at a faster rate than expenses. Earnings growth has averaged 6.2% per year since the pandemic began, compared to the cumulative debt balance rising 4% per year. “Especially for higher-risk borrowers, credit card and auto loan delinquencies are the highest in a dozen years, and that’s with unemployment at 4%.
Persons: , Donald Trump, they’re, Greg McBride What’s, TransUnion, That’s, , Greg McBride, , McBride Organizations: ’ paychecks, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York Fed, Commerce Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bankrate Locations: ’ paychecks . U.S
Americans’ debt is growing — but so are incomes
  + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
CNN —Americans are continuing to pile on debt at record levels — but for many households, those IOUs are completely manageable, according to new data released Wednesday. Balances grew across all major debt categories, with credit cards and auto loans continuing to see the biggest gains. However, by and large, most households have been able to handle that rising debt: Their after-tax income has grown even more, according to the New York Fed. Disposable personal income hit $21.8 trillion in the third quarter, bringing the total debt balance to income ratio to 82%. And, for 18 months running, that pay growth has outpaced inflation, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Wednesday.
Persons: Delinquencies, , ” “, ” Donghoon Lee, Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, of Labor Statistics
Manufactured housing, sometimes called mobile homes, are homes made in a factory rather than constructed on site, and they have been surging in popularity this year amid America’s housing crisis. Instead, they’re turning to the internet for lower-cost options, whether a pop-up foldable house kit, a tiny home or a traditional mobile home. Amazon is not the first major retailer to sell manufactured homes. More than 100 years ago, American retailer Sears, Roebuck and Co began selling kit homes from its catalog, with some for under $1,000. A 2023 Urban Institute paper argued that mobile homes were “uniquely vulnerable” to natural disasters compared to other housing.
Persons: Julie Johnson, homeownership, SSRS, George Rose, Donald Trump, Sears, Marc Norman, ” Norman, Katie Currid, , Norman, Johnson, ” Johnson, Rebecca Blackwell, Johnson’s, Julie Johnson's, Patrick Harker, ” Harker, , ” CNN’s Chris Isidore Organizations: CNN, Facebook, National Association of Realtors, Getty, Census Bureau, Sears, Roebuck, Schack Institute of Real, New York University, Daily News, Urban, Hurricane, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Locations: North Carolina, America, Boulder City, Boulder City , Nevada, Staunton , Virginia, Staunton, Mobile, Hurricane Milton, Englewood , Florida
Retirees' debt was rising before the pandemicRising debt levels were a problem for older Americans even before pandemic-era inflation. The typical family with heads age 75 and older had $1,700 of credit card debt in 2022, EBRI said in the August report. Those with heads age 65 to 74 had $3,500 of credit card debt, it said. Meanwhile, any spending cuts should be applied to reduce credit card debt, McClanahan explains. Boost income Retirees can also consider going back to work at least part time to earn more income, McClanahan said.
Persons: Bridget Bearden, Bearden, it's, EBRI, Louis, Carolyn McClanahan, She's, McClanahan, Cardholders, Cook, Ted Jenkin, Winnie Sun Organizations: Research Institute, Social Security, Senior Citizens League, Reserve Bank of St, Federal Reserve, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Planning Partners, CNBC's, CNBC, Facebook, Craigslist, Sun Group Wealth Partners Locations: Louis, Jacksonville , Florida, Irvine , California
Americans are doom spending
  + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( Erika Tulfo | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
While this kind of catharsis might work to temporarily allay worries, experts say doom spending poses a danger to consumers’ long-term financial health. Joe Raedle/Getty ImagesThat financial gloom is powering doom spending and, in turn, driving up credit card debt. Beyond the economy, experts say that internet habits play a significant role in driving doom spending, especially for younger consumers. But Alev says that she anticipates a pop in spending whether Americans feel positively or negatively about the outcome of the election. How do you curb doom spending?
Persons: , Gen, “ We’re, Courtney Alev, , Alev, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, , Sertan Kabadayi, Joe Raedle, Bankrate, Aja Evans, ’ ” Evans, hasn’t, ” Alev, Jeff Roberson, Biden, Evans Organizations: CNN, Wheaton College senior, YouTube, Credit, Gallup, Fordham University’s Gabelli School of Business, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Finance, Brookings Institution Locations: Massachusetts, Miami , Florida, West Palm Beach , Florida
Neel Kashkari, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, speaks at the Milken Conference 2024 Global Conference Sessions at The Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 7, 2024. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Sunday that President-elect Donald Trump's tariff proposals could worsen long-term inflation if global trade partners were to strike back. One-time tariffs, Kashkari said on CBS' "Face the Nation," "shouldn't have an effect long run on inflation." "The challenge becomes, if there's a tit for tat and it's one country imposing tariffs and then responses and it's escalating. Trump and his backers like billionaire Tesla CEO Elon Musk have also been outspoken about their desire to give the president input on Fed policy decisions.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, The Beverly Hilton, Donald Trump's, Kashkari, Trump, We've, Tesla, Elon Musk Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, The Beverly, Minneapolis Federal, Sunday, CBS, U.S, Wall Street Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, Minneapolis, China
Mario Tama | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesRetail therapy is thinly coating voters' anxieties from the presidential election — and their wallets know it. Follow: Election 2024 live updates: Trump and Harris await Presidential election results More than half, or 60%, of Americans surveyed are concerned with the state of the world and economy, more than they were a year ago. Top worries among doom spenders include the cost of living (55%), inflation (43%), and the presidential election (28%), the report found. As of June, 50% of cardholders carry a balance every month on their credit cards, a recent Bankrate survey found. About six out of every 10 people who have credit card debt have had it for at least a year, Bankrate found.
Persons: Mario Tama, , Gen Zers, Harris, Rossman, Bankrate, NerdWallet, Z, Alev Organizations: Getty, Intuit Credit Karma, Trump, Karma, Shoppers, Federal Reserve Bank of New, millennials, Fed Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Here are 39 quality economically sensitive stocks to buy, according to Morgan Stanley. Economically sensitive stocks, including financials and industrials, took off in anticipation of that result and caught fire after it became official. Several parts of the stock market seem to be preparing for another Trump presidency, according to Morgan Stanley. "Markets generally welcomed a reflationary playbook in 2016," Wilson wrote. AdvertisementRegardless of who's in office, Morgan Stanley outlined a list of 39 economically sensitive stocks that should do well.
Persons: Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, , Trump, Kamala Harris, It's, Harris, Mike Wilson, Wilson, that's, it's Organizations: Service, Trump, Consumer, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Locations: Financials
A new regulatory rule finalized this month by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau aims to reduce that hassle and make it easier, more secure and always free for customers to switch accounts or to simply transfer or share their financial data from their banks, credit card issuers and other financial service providers upon request. “The problem the CFPB (rule) is addressing is the paperwork required of consumers to change accounts. Financial providers must make this information available without charging fees.”The rule will also restrict how third parties may use and retain the data consumers request be shared. Banks push backThe banking industry wasted no time in expressing its displeasure with the new rule — known as the personal financial data rights rule. “Dodd-Frank only requires banks to provide financial data to consumers.
Persons: it’s, , Adam Rust, Rohit Chopra, ” Rust, , That’s, ” Chopra, Banks, Rob Nichols, , ” Jaret, “ Dodd, Frank, ” Seiberg, Chopra, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Consumer Federation of America, Consumer Financial, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, American Bankers Association, Bank Policy Institute, Kentucky Bankers Association and, Cowen Washington Research Group Locations: Kentucky Bankers Association and Kentucky, Las Vegas
Washington CNN —The US economy seems to have pulled off a remarkable and historic achievement. American shoppers continued to fuel economic growth in the third quarter with their spending, according to the report. That marked the biggest contributor to GDP growth in the third quarter by far. Government spending at both the federal and state level also contributed to third-quarter economic growth. Wednesday’s GDP report showed that the US economy remains on solid footing.
Persons: That’s, , James Bullard, Louis, Joe Biden, Harris Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal, CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Fed, White, Biden
They argue that Casey, a middle-of-the-road liberal, had previously not been at the forefront of the populist economic turn in both parties. Casey’s Senate website dedicates an entire page to “greedflation,” which he also discussed at length in his speech at the Democratic National Convention this summer. The core of Casey’s argument is the assertion that, from July 2020 to July 2022, corporate profits rose five times faster than overall inflation. I would concede the economy has gotten better,” said McCormick, who has run an ad to counter Casey on the topic. “If you’re living paycheck to paycheck, you’re still in the grind, and that’s what I think Bob Casey and Kamala Harris do not understand.
Persons: Sen, Bob Casey, , Casey, “ greedflation, , Mike Mikus, ” Dave McCormick, I’m, they’re, they’ve, “ greedflation ”, Joe Biden, Kellogg’s, Clark, Proctor, McCormick, ” Sen, Raphael Warnock, Donald Trump, Maria Collett, greedflation ”, “ It’s, ‘ greedflation, Biden’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, pollsters, you’re Organizations: GOP, Democratic, Republican Senate, Federal Trade Commission, Senate, Gamble, Disney, Convention, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, NBC, San Francisco Federal Reserve, The Washington Post, Republican, NBC News, Republicans, ” “, Federal Reserve Locations: , Pennsylvania, Haverford Township, Kimberly, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, U.S
But they’re growing increasingly anxious about mounting credit card debt. Debt balances have been growing, and US consumers are nervous about whether they’ll be able to keep up: Americans haven’t been this worried about missing a minimum debt payment since April 2020. Outside of the pandemic, that’s the highest delinquency expectation reading seen in the monthly survey since January 2017. “For people with good incomes and good credit scores, things are going well; they’re still able to access plenty of credit and, by and large, paying on time,” he said. Now the other half, that can be a much more troublesome situation when you think about potentially longer-term credit card debt.”Lower-income Americans face higher inflation, research shows.
Persons: they’ll, haven’t, Ted Rossman, it’s, that’s, ” Rossman, Rossman, , they’re, Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, The, Consumer, Fed, Bankrate, , Minneapolis Federal, of Labor Statistics, York Fed Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York, Minneapolis
Trump's proposed tax break would make interest on car loans fully tax deductible. That tax break lets homeowners deduct annual mortgage interest payments from their taxable income, thereby reducing their tax bill. Few taxpayers claim itemized tax deductionsTo get the deduction, car owners would need to itemize their tax return to include their borrowing costs. About 14.8 million federal tax returns, or about 9%, claimed an itemized deduction on their 2021 federal tax returns, according to the most recent IRS data. An itemized tax break on car loan interest "would help only a fraction of taxpayers," said Leonard Burman, an institute fellow at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center.
Persons: Donald Trump, Sarah Rice, Trump's, Experian, It'd, Seiberg, Trump, didn't, Erica York, , Leonard Burman, Burman, York, it'd Organizations: Detroit Economic, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Federal Reserve Bank of New, AAA, Trump, Cowen Washington Research Group, Republicans, CNBC, Finance, Social Security, Taxpayers, Tax, Center, Federal Tax, Urban, Brookings Tax Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Detroit, York
The education gap grows“The biggest single, best predictor of how someone’s going to vote in American politics now is education level. The real swing votersTo the extent that traditional swing voters are persuadable in this election, Sosnik argued they might be people like political independents or Nikki Haley Republicans. But there’s a second group of swing voters Sosnik argued is even more important. For Trump, these are non-college-educated White voters in general, particularly men, who “if they vote, you know they’re going to vote for Trump,” he said. Young voters, who are less reliable to cast ballots, also fall into this second type of swing voters, Sosnik said.
Persons: Roe, Wade, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton’s, ” Sosnik, David Chalian, Sosnik, , “ that’s, , Louis, Joe Biden, Trump, Harris, Nikki Haley Republicans, there’s, That’s Organizations: Washington CNN —, Rural, Democrats, Democratic, CNN, Democratic Party, Republican Party, Federal Reserve Bank of St, White, Lumina, Trump, Young, “ Republicans, Republican Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Utah
Contradictory messages about inflation and the labor market have investors on guard. Price growth is slowly falling from its peak, but it exceeded expectations in September after a hot reading in August. AdvertisementInflation is a threat that won't sink the economyWhile there's plenty of economic data to get excited about, persistent price growth is a problem. "If we're going to be data dependent, we have to at least look at the data," Sosnick said. Higher-than-hoped inflation is rarely compatible with an economic downturn, so if price growth does persist, it likely won't be in an earnings-crushing contraction.
Persons: , Steve Sosnick, they've, John Kerschner, Janus Henderson, Sosnick, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Jim Baird, Plante, Baird, Joe Quinlan —, Skyler Weinand, Regan, Weinand, We've Organizations: Service, US, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Interactive Brokers, Business, Manufacturing, Index, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Equity, Financial, Merrill, Private Bank, Bank of America, Regan Capital, Fed Locations: China
After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S
The dollar clung to seven-week highs against major currencies on Tuesday as investors ponder the outlook for U.S. rates after a strong jobs report last week dashed bets for large rate cuts, while escalating tensions in Middle East dented risk sentiment. Traders have drastically shifted their monetary easing expectations from the Federal Reserve this year. That has kept the dollar on the front foot and surging to a multi-week high against the euro, sterling and the yen. The New Zealand dollar was 0.3% higher at $0.6144 ahead of the monetary policy decision on Wednesday. A majority of economists in a Reuters poll last week said the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut interest rate by 50 basis points.
Persons: Kieran Williams, Louis, Alberto Musalem, Shigeru Ishiba Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asia FX, InTouch, Reserve Bank of St, Treasury, Bank of, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Middle East, Asia, China, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Two Democratic lawmakers are demanding that some of the biggest food and beverage companies stop engaging in “shrinkflation” — the practice of reducing product sizes while charging prices that are the same or higher. Spokespeople for General Mills, Coca-Cola and PepsiCo did not immediately respond to requests for comment. President Joe Biden has mentioned shrinkflation numerous times, declaring it a “rip-off” in a video he posted to X. Sarah Gallo, senior vice president of federal affairs at Consumer Brands Association, a trade group that Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and General Mills all belong to, defended industry practices to NBC News. Dean said the letters were sent to “ease the wrongful burden” the companies are imposing on consumers.
Persons: Sen, Elizabeth Warren of, Madeleine Dean of, Mills, General Mills, Jeff Harmening, James Quincey, , Ramon Laguarta, Spokespeople, Warren, Dean, ” Warren, ” Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Ting Shen, Joe Biden, Nailya Ordabayeva, , ” Ordabayeva, shrinkflation, Doritos, Sarah Gallo, ’ ” Dean Organizations: Democratic, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Cola, PepsiCo, NBC, North, Retail, CNBC, Gatorade, Republican, Taxation, Economic, , NBC News, Bloomberg, Boston University Questrom School of Business, Consumer Brands Association, General, Federal Reserve Bank of San Locations: shrinkflation, Washington, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
In pointed letters, Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Rep. Madeleine Dean of Pennsylvania accused General Mills, Coca-Cola and PepsiCo of engaging in a "pattern of profiteering" through shrinkflation and by "dodging taxes." The same with PepsiCo, which "replaced its 32 oz Gatorade bottle with a 28 oz bottle for the same price." Spokespeople for General Mills, Coca-Cola and PepsiCo did not immediately respond to requests for comment. President Joe Biden has mentioned shrinkflation numerous times, declaring it a "rip-off" in a video he posted to X. Sarah Gallo, senior vice president of federal affairs at Consumer Brands Association, a trade group that Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and General Mills all belong to, defended industry practices to NBC News.
Persons: Sen, Elizabeth Warren of, Madeleine Dean of, Mills, General Mills, Jeff Harmening, James Quincey, Ramon Laguarta, Spokespeople, Warren, Dean, Joe Biden, Nailya Ordabayeva, Ordabayeva, shrinkflation, Doritos, Sarah Gallo Organizations: Democratic, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Cola, PepsiCo, NBC, North, Retail, CNBC, Gatorade, Republican, Taxation, Economic, NBC News, Boston University Questrom School of Business, Consumer Brands Association, General, Federal Reserve Bank of San Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
But as we wind down 2024, one thing appears clear: The naysayers on Team Hard Landing got it wrong. The “soft landing” versus “hard landing” metaphor — perhaps overused but visually handy — refers to the economy as an airplane and the Fed as the pilot. Pull the right levers at the right time, and you get a nice comfortable soft landing, with inflation cooling and the labor market thriving. He was far from alone in thinking that a soft landing was little more than a fantasy. “We should just drop the soft landing versus hard landing discourse and start talking about a robust expansion at mid-cycle,” Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, told Schwab Network in an interview.
Persons: CNN Business ’, everyone’s, , Sung Won Sohn, we’d, ” Aaron, , there’s, Justin Wolfers, Bill Dudley, “ I’ve, Dudley, Larry Summers, they’re, Joe Brusuelas Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Loyola Marymount University, Fed, . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, ICYMI, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg, RSM, Schwab Network Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Between 1979 and 2024, productivity in the U.S. soared by 80.9%, while hourly pay grew by just 29.4%, according to research by the Economic Policy Institute. But more recently, some economists have suggested that deliberate policy decisions have actively suppressed workers' wage growth. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, the natural rate of unemployment has hovered between 4.5% and 5.5% throughout history. But since 1979, the U.S. has spent far more time with actual unemployment well above that estimated natural rate. Watch the video above to find out how middle-class wages are being suppressed.
Persons: Josh Bivens Organizations: Economic, Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of San Locations: U.S, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Western sanctions have forced Russia to rely on the Chinese yuan for reserves and trade. China's financial system is deeply tied to the greenback, limiting diversification options. These include the entrenched role of the greenback in the global commodities trade and much larger foreign reserves than Russia, wrote Greene, a former senior advisor at the US Treasury. However, many CIPS participants are highly connected to the dollar financial system and potentially subject to the reach of US sanctions. The dollar is still kingIn short, China just can't copy Russia's sanctions-proofing playbook and is likely to continue orbiting around the dollar financial system in the near-term.
Persons: , China —, Robert Greene, Greene, China's, It's, dollarization, James Lord, Morgan Stanley's, Michael Zezas Organizations: Service, Carnegie Endowment Asia, US Treasury, Patomak Global Partners, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Locations: Russia, China, Beijing, Russia's, Ukraine
The average credit-card interest rate is now just over 21%, up from about 15% a decade ago. Additionally, as credit-card companies continue to charge high interest rates, more cardholders in debt become delinquent — and that could push the US economy closer to recession. Advertisement'The highest credit-card rates we've ever seen'Until 1978, most states had laws capping interest rates for credit cards and consumer products. Lowering the current high interest rates, and the profits that come with them, has become a priority across the aisle. Ted Rossman, a senior industry analyst at Bankrate, described the feedback loop of high prices and high interest rates as "a tough cycle to break."
Persons: Lana Linge, it's, Linge, isn't, Adam Rust, Bruce McClary, TransUnion, Austan Goolsbee, Rust, You've, you've, Antoinette Schoar, Schoar, David Silberman, GOP Sen, Josh Hawley, Hawley, Democratic Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Michele Raneri, Ranieri, Ted Rossman Organizations: Consumer Federation of America, Federal Reserve, National Foundation, Credit, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Louis Federal Reserve, Federal, Financial, MIT, Center for Responsible Lending, Lawmakers, GOP, Democratic, Reserve, TransUnion Locations: overspending, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, South Dakota, Delaware
Bankrate found the "most valuable" majors among 152 fields of study. Valuable majors were based on unemployment, salary, and people with advanced degrees. AdvertisementA new analysis of 152 majors found engineering degrees are valuable financially and in the labor market. Bankrate analyzed 2022 American Community Survey data to determine the "most valuable college majors." AdvertisementBelow are the majors that made the top 10 in Bankrate's ranking:The top nine most valuable majors had median salaries of at least $100,000.
Persons: Bankrate, , Alex Gailey, Gailey, grads Organizations: Service, Survey, Petroleum, Pew Research Center, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Bankrate's, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
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