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Donald Trump's proposed tariffs will dent U.S. economic growth going into 2026, said Morgan Stanley's chief global economist Seth Carpenter. In the event that they are enacted all at once, they could result in a "big negative shock" to the economy, Carpenter told CNBC's Sri Jegarajah on the sidelines of Morgan Stanley's annual Asia Pacific Summit in Singapore. Carpenter, who maintained Morgan Stanley's base case of these tariffs being spread over 2025, said they would lead to higher inflation. "Then into 2026, we think growth starts to come down a great deal in the U.S. because of those tariffs and some of the other policies," he cautioned. Very clear, tariffs are a drag on growth for the U.S., not just for the countries that the tariffs are put on," Carpenter added.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Morgan Stanley's, Seth Carpenter, Trump, Carpenter, CNBC's Sri, Morgan, Mark Malek, Siebert, Joe Biden, Trump's, Malek, Ben Emons Organizations: Asia Pacific Summit, Microsoft, Apple, U.S . Federal Reserve, FedWatch Advisors Locations: China, CNBC's Sri Jegarajah, Morgan Stanley's, Singapore, U.S
Fed may skip December rate cut, says FedWatch's Ben Emons
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed may skip December rate cut, says FedWatch's Ben EmonsBen Emons, FedWatch Advisors, joins 'Fast Money' to talk what's ahead for the Federal Reserve.
Persons: FedWatch's Ben Emons Ben Emons Organizations: FedWatch Advisors, Federal Reserve
How the Markets Are Gaming the Election With One Week to Go
  + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow the Markets Are Gaming the Election With One Week to GoHenrietta Treyz of Veda Partners and Ben Emons of FedWatch Advisors discuss whether the markets are misreading the polls ahead of the election, and which sectors could be in favor depending on the outcome.
Persons: Henrietta Treyz, Ben Emons Organizations: Veda Partners, FedWatch Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets are now trading with certainty, says Fedwatch Advisors' Ben EmonsBen Emons, FedWatch Advisors chief investment officer and founder, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the state of the markets, trading into year-end and more.
Persons: Ben Emons Ben Emons Organizations: Fedwatch, FedWatch Advisors
Emons: Cutting more will stimulate the economy
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEmons: Cutting more will stimulate the economyBen Emons, Chief Investment Officer at FedWatch Advisors, discusses market movements, including a recent rally driven by tech stocks and AI growth. He emphasizes the significance of the upcoming Fed minutes and CPI data.
Persons: Ben Emons Organizations: FedWatch Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email‘Fed not done cutting’ after stronger-than-expected jobs report, Fedwatch Advisors’ Ben Emons saysBen Emons, FedWatch Advisors chief investment officer & founder, joins 'Fast Money' with the traders to discuss the markets post jobs report.
Persons: ’ Ben Emons, Ben Emons Organizations: FedWatch Advisors
Emons: Micron's upgraded outlook boosts the tech sector.
  + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEmons: Micron's upgraded outlook boosts the tech sector. Ben Emons, Chief Investment Officer and Founder at FedWatch Advisors, discussed market trends, noting Micron's upbeat outlook boosting tech stocks and the Fed potentially accelerating actions to control unemployment.
Persons: Ben Emons Organizations: FedWatch Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed doesn't want to fall behind the unemployment rate, says FedWatch Advisors' Ben EmonsBen Emons, FedWatch Advisors chief investment officer and founder, joins 'Fast Money' with reaction to today's rate cut.
Persons: Ben Emons Ben Emons Organizations: FedWatch, FedWatch Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEmons: Fed should make its own independent decisions without political interferenceBen Emons, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of FedWatch Advisors, discusses the intersection between the White House and the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Ben Emons Organizations: FedWatch Advisors, White, Federal Reserve
The recent unwinding of the yen "carry trade" could remain a long-term headwind amid already turbulent markets. JPY= YTD mountain The Japanese yen's appreciation against the U.S. dollar marked the unwinding of the so-called carry trade. "There's still quite a significant yen short position out there," Osborne said. He estimates that there is still a roughly $15 billion yen short position through July 30, still to be covered. In other words, that short position could drive more strength in the yen as that position is covered.
Persons: , Shaun Osborne, Osborne, Everyone's, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, FedWatch, Ben Emons Organizations: Bank of, U.S, Scotiabank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Wolfe Research, Swiss Locations: Bank of Japan, Japan
FedWatch Founder Ben Emons talks the Japanese Yen carry trade
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFedWatch Founder Ben Emons talks the Japanese Yen carry tradeBen Emons, Fedwatch Advisors, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the Yen carry trade and how pressure on the U.S. economy impacted the Japanese markets.
Persons: Ben Emons Organizations: Fedwatch Advisors Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat the assassination attempt on Donald Trump means for markets and the economyTerry Haines, Founder of Pangaea Policy Advisory, and Ben Emons, Founder and CIO of FedWatch Advisors, discuss the impact of the assassination attempt on Donald Trump on the global markets and political landscape.
Persons: Donald Trump, Terry Haines, Ben Emons Organizations: FedWatch Advisors
Bitcoin hit a two-week high Monday, as betting markets suggested an increased chance of victory for crypto-friendly candidate Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential election. The value of the world's biggest cryptocurrency, bitcoin, was up around 5% at 1:40 p.m. London time, to $62,781.48, according to CoinGecko. The rally follows the dramatic failed assassination attempt on former President Trump on Saturday. Investors said over the weekend they expected so-called "Trump victory trades" to receive a boost. The Trump campaign began accepting donations from the crypto industry in May and his messaging has become increasingly positive on the future of such digital assets.
Persons: Bitcoin, Donald Trump, Trump, Reagan, Ben Emons, Trump's favorability, Zach Pandl, Sen, Elizabeth Warren Organizations: U.S, FedWatch Advisors, Investors, Trump, CNBC, Republican Locations: London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe markets expect a lower rate path under a potential Trump presidency: Ben EmonsBen Emons of FedWatch Advisors says the markets have determined that there are no longer any risks from the upcoming US presidential election and that the interest rate path would be lower under a Trump presidency.
Persons: Ben Emons Ben Emons, Trump Organizations: Trump, FedWatch Advisors
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