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His Cabinet picks, including the Treasury secretary, traditionally have to be confirmed by the Senate. “The Treasury secretary has historically played a significant role in advancing the administration’s tax policy priorities,” Akabas said. Next year, Trump’s Treasury secretary will act as the quarterback, executing his economic gameplan. It will also fall to Trump’s Treasury secretary to put out fires in financial markets or in the real economy like the regional bank failures that rocked Wall Street and Washington early last year. Trump’s Treasury pick will also help manage the complicated relationship between the president and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, , , Ed Mills, Raymond James, Janet Yellen, Shai Akabas, Steven Mnuchin, ” Akabas, Isaac Boltansky, Jerome Powell, Powell, Mills Organizations: CNN, Quarterbacking, Treasury Department, Department, Treasury, Trump, Senate, Republicans, Capitol, Wall, Washington, Committee, Federal, Fed, Trump White House Locations: Washington, filers
Here are seven ways a Trump administration could affect your personal finances. During Trump’s first term, the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act temporarily expanded the child tax credit from $1,000 to $2,000. “He will deliver.”TaxesThe Trump administration is expected to focus on extending tax cuts introduced by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that are set to expire in 2025. The Trump administration wants to “promote choice and competition” and make health care more affordable, according to his policy platform. The Trump administration will likely cut red tape to encourage business and real estate developments.
Persons: Donald Trump, he’d, Trump, JD Vance, Maria Castillo Dominguez, , Karoline Leavitt, Vance, , ” Leavitt, Alan Auerbach, Social Security Trump, Biden, Berkeley’s Auerbach, Joe Biden’s, ” Auerbach, “ They’re, , Trump’s, Auerbach, Sarah Lueck, ” Trump Organizations: CNN, Social Security, Jobs, Valoria Wealth Management, Trump, Urban, Brookings Tax, Tax, UC Berkeley, Center, enrollees, Republicans, Public, Consumer, National Retail Federation, Health, Republican, Center for Budget, Medicare, it’s, Housing
Fed’s Powell: Rate cuts are still underway
  + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Powell said more rate cuts are likely underway because the economy’s current trends and dynamics are expected to remain in place, at least in the short run. “We are moving policy over time to a more neutral setting,” Powell said in prepared remarks for an event in Dallas. It’s also too soon for Fed officials to conclude that October data is indicative of any new trend. While additional hot inflation reports could be factored in to the Fed’s decisions, officials are also looking at the US labor market closely. There’s also been tension between Trump and Powell, whom the president-elect first nominated in 2017 to steer the central bank.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Donald Trump, Trump’s, It’s, Price, , , There’s Organizations: Washington CNN — Federal, Republican, Fed Locations: Dallas, stoke, Trump
“The Federal Reserve is one of many examples of how we’ve deviated from the Constitution in that regard,” Lee added. Challenging the Fed’s independence“The American people re-elected President Trump by a resounding margin giving him a mandate to implement the promises he made on the campaign trail. That’s empowered Fed officials to make interest rate decisions that aren’t necessarily popular but could help the nation’s economy in the long run. But on the campaign trail, Trump floated requiring Fed officials to consult with him on interest rate decisions. That could lead to pressure on Fed officials to keep rates lower to satisfy Trump’s wishes, which in turn could reignite inflation.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, it’ll, Elon Musk, Republican Sen, Mike Lee, ” Lee, Jerome Powell, Trump, , Vance, Karoline Leavitt, Ron Paul, Thomas Massie of, Lee, ” Leavitt, it’s, That’s, Powell, , briskly, hasn’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Trump, Republican, Fed, Federal, CNN, Treasury Department, National Association of Black Journalists, Republicans, Consumer Financial, Product Safety, Fed’s, of Governors, Consumer, Safety Locations: New York, Thomas Massie of Kentucky
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLazard CEO Peter Orszag: It’s in President-elect Trump’s interest to have an independent FedLazard CEO Peter Orszag joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss President-elect Trump’s election victory, impact on the markets and the economy, state of M&A, regulatory outlook, rooting out government waste, the Fed’s independence, and more.
Persons: Peter Orszag, Lazard, Trump’s Organizations: Lazard
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLazard CEO Peter Orszag: Trump's election victory will be good for our business 'temporarily'Lazard CEO Peter Orszag joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss President-elect Trump’s election victory, impact on the markets and the economy, state of M&A, regulatory outlook, rooting out government waste, the Fed’s independence, and more.
Persons: Peter Orszag, Lazard, Trump’s Organizations: Lazard
WASHINGTON — As a candidate, Donald Trump promised to relieve consumers of high interest rates. Trump repeatedly said during the campaign that he would bring down interest rates without elaborating on how. He has suggested the president should have a say in determining rates set by the Federal Reserve and publicly berated the central bank and its chairman, Jerome Powell, for not lowering rates sooner. Trump has no direct control over the interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, which is determined by a committee that includes seven members appointed to 14-year terms along with five regional Reserve Bank presidents. “There aren’t a lot of policies that the president has at his disposal that can really lower rates,” said McLaughlin.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, , Kent Smetters, , isn’t, Ralph McLaughlin, McLaughlin, Powell, Xi Jinping, ” Powell, he’s, ” Trump, reappoint Powell, Scott Bessent, Barron’s, Bessent Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, United, University of Pennsylvania Wharton School, Federal, Realtor.com, Reserve Bank, Fed’s, Governors, Twitter, Trump, Chicago Economic, Senate, Republicans, Fed Locations: United States, America, U.S, China
Powell to Trump: Go ahead, make my day
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
That’s essentially what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is experiencing with President-elect Donald Trump’s return to the White House. When a reporter asked the Fed chair if he’d resign if Trump asked him to, Powell didn’t miss a beat. Removing a Fed chair isn’t so simpleIf Trump, or any president for that matter, were to try to remove a Fed chair, they would encounter a steep uphill battle. Ultimately, the Supreme Court could have the final say on what merits a “for cause” firing of a Fed chair. Trump has tried testing the limits anywayNevertheless, Trump threatened to fire Powell on several occasions when he was first president.
Persons: That’s, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump’s, Trump, he’d, Powell didn’t, , , curtly, ” Powell, Powell, won’t, Powell doesn’t, Joe Biden, ” Trump Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Trump, Republican, Bloomberg, Economic, of Chicago Locations: New York
But that doesn’t mean as a result interest rates are now low — or will soon be low. “‘Falling interest rates’ are not the same as ‘low interest rates.’ Interest rates are high and will only decline to ‘not as high’ as … we move into 2025,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate. Credit cards: Just before the Fed cut its key rate in September, the average credit card rate was 20.78%, according to Bankrate. Another option: Try transferring your balance to a credit card from a credit union or local bank. Before the Fed’s September rate cut many of those accounts were offering yields between 4.25% and 5.3%, according to those listed on Bankrate.com.
Persons: , Greg McBride, Matt Schulz, Chris Diodato, they’re, Freddie Mac, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, ” McBride, Sinead Colton Grant, Colton Grant, , Don’t, Diodato, you’re, BNY, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Reserve, Bankrate, Fed, LendingTree, Treasury, Savings Locations: Treasuries
A look at the factors that led Donald Trump to victory and Kamala Harris to an election loss. A fast-growing wildfire spreads in California. How Trump won and Harris lost the electionThe analysis of President-elect Donald Trump's victory over Vice President Kamala Harris began before Election Day had ended. But Donald Trump’s presidential election victory injects new uncertainty into what happens long-term. Fast-moving wildfire tears through California communityA wildfire in Southern California quickly grew to over 14,000 acres, sending firefighters rushing to get residents out of homes and to safety, officials said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Donald Trump's, Joe Biden, , Biden, Donald Trump’s, Trevor Johnson, Johnson, Ryan Sun, Steve Ballmer's, they’re, — Andrew Greif, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: NBA, Trump, Republicans, Howard University, Biden, Republican, NBC, , Federal, Wall, “ Firefighters, Intuit, Los Angeles Clippers, Phoenix Suns, Steve Ballmer's Los Angeles Clippers Locations: California, Southern California, Ventura County, Santa Ana, Moorpark, Inglewood , California
The move comes as inflation remains on a downward trend while the job market continues to lose momentum. While that has helped rein in price pressures, it also puts the job market in jeopardy. So I’m going to be patient.”Still, rate cuts are expected to stretch through 2025, even during a Trump presidency, according to economists. On one hand, there’s evidence that America’s job market has continued to lose momentum in recent months. But since Trump’s economic vision could eventually stoke inflation, that could mean the Fed delivers fewer rate cuts in the coming years.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Powell, “ I’m, Raphael Bostic, , Kamala Harris, Felipe Villarroel, , Trump, hasn’t, Arthur Burns, Richard Nixon, Ben Bernanke Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, President, White, Atlanta Fed, Trump, TwentyFour Asset Management, Fed, CNN, White House, Capitol Locations: Jackson , Mississippi
Markets, in particular, crave certainty, and the clear path forward will allow companies to adjust their business and hiring plans. But stocks may also be reacting to Trump’s victory, in particular. Trump flipped several swing states from President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, and Republicans also took control of the Senate. So Trump’s victory, at least for now, appears to be keeping those rates somewhat higher. Other so-called Trump trades, including shares of his social media stock, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, refocusing, Sam Stovall, Bitcoin, Crypto, Trump’s, Germany’s DAX, Australia’s, , Neil Newman, Hong, ” Daniel Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, Fed, JPMorgan, Democratic, CFRA Research, Gross, Treasury, Trump, Trump Media & Technology Group, CAC, Nikkei, Advisory, EFG Asset Management Locations: New York, Europe, Asia, China, Tokyo, Shanghai
When officials meet to decide where interest rates should be, they don’t consult the president and other elected officials — and for good reason. That’s because, as one former Federal Reserve chair famously said, central bankers’ job is to remove the punchbowl right when the party is just getting started. I feel that strongly,” Trump said at a press conference in August, referring to the Fed’s interest rate decisions. Lowering interest rates too soon could’ve risked reigniting inflation, which is currently just a tenth of a percentage point higher than the Fed’s 2% target. That’s why countries with independent central banks generally have lower inflation, Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters in September after central bankers lowered rates by a half point.
Persons: , Said, Donald Trump, , ” Trump, , Trump, could’ve, Jerome Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Federal, Bloomberg, Fed Locations: New York
Still, investors don’t appear to be letting their jitters get to them — at least not entirely. “Valuations at the market level and individual stock level are always the key to long-term performance. You may have a lot of noise in the short term, but for long-term investors, it’s always going to be all about valuation,” he said. An election year analysis from Danny Noonan at Morningstar Wealth found that investors are significantly better off in the long run if they ignore politics. For investors, that suggests the best strategy may be to keep calm, trade on — and leave the politics at the polling place.
Persons: , Keith Lerner, Wall, Helene, Milton, Lerner, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Brent Schutte, Dave Sekera, it’s, Danny Noonan, Noonan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Morningstar, Morningstar Wealth, Democrat, Republican, they’d Locations: New York, United States
New York CNN —US stocks rallied Tuesday as Wall Street awaited the results of a closely contested presidential race. “While it’s still anyone’s call on where the chips will fall on the election, putting it behind in either direction is a relief.”Historically, stocks have often risen on Election Day. This marks the sixth-straight Election Day gain for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. “With Election Day finally here, expect more market volatility, particularly if the wait for a result is long or contested. Just two days after Election Day, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision, the first since cutting rates by half a point.
Persons: Dow, , Louis Navellier, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Adam Turnquist, Gore, ” Turnquist Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Navellier, Associates, LPL, Federal Reserve Locations: New York
Uncertainty is the key theme for markets on the eve of Election Day, but fixed income investors say there are a few opportunities to snap up solid yield even as the market holds its breath. "We are constructive on fixed income as a whole, despite these uncertainties, and we're stressing to investors that yields are really quite attractive – and the income generation we can get from fixed income right now is quite powerful," Persson added. On the municipal bond side, offerings include the iShares National Muni Bond ETF (MUB) , which has a 30-day SEC yield of 3.35%. Vanguard also has its Tax-Exempt Bond ETF (VTEB) , with a 30-day SEC yield of 3.4%. The iShares MBS ETF (MBB) has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.01% and a net expense ratio of 0.04%.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Andrew Szczurowski, Eaton, Anders Persson, Persson, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Baird Organizations: NBC News, Income, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Federal, Treasury, Muni Bond ETF, SEC, Vanguard, Bond, SPDR, MBS, Fidelity Intermediate Bond Fund, Bond Fund Locations: Washington, Nuveen
One bit of clarity they’re sure to get: The Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision, due to be announced Thursday. The Fed lowered borrowing costs in September for the first time in more than four years while signaling additional rate cuts. But a slew of economic figures have been released since the decision, which is important because the Fed’s decision are guided by what those figures show. Investors are betting with near certainty that the Fed will deliver a quarter-point cut, according to futures. Lower rates could entice home buyers to come off the sidelines, and for businesses it could continue plans that have “baked in” lower rates.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jerome Powell’s, America’s, Harris, Harris ’, ” “, Lawrence Yun, ” Yun, they’re, It’s Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Fed, The Wall Street, US, Trump, Federal Reserve, Duke University, Institute for Supply, National Association of Realtors
Expect a “noisy” jobs report Friday that will be heavily affected by storms and a labor strike, economists say. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report that the U.S. economy gained 110,000 jobs in October, with the unemployment rate unchanged at 4.1%. “Unfortunately, it won’t be easy to interpret the October jobs report,” Chris Waller, a member of the Fed’s Board of Governors, said earlier this month. At 4.1%, the unemployment rate is still historically low, while the rate of inflation has effectively returned to the Fed’s 2% annual target. “Without an increase in hiring, even moderate levels of job losses will likely cause the unemployment rate to pick up.”
Persons: ” Chris Waller, Helene, Milton, Jason Redmond, , Julia Pollak, Pollak, Biden Organizations: Labor Statistics, Boeing, Fed’s, of Governors, International Association of Machinists, Aerospace Workers, Getty, ZipRecruiter, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S . Department of Labor, Citi Locations: U.S, Tuesday’s, Seattle, AFP
A zero percent inflation target might be popular, but it would represent a sharp departure – one that mainstream economists warn would backfire. “Stable inflation is an oxymoron because it means it’s not stable,” Shelton told CNN in a recent interview. In fact, one reason the Fed set its inflation target at 2% is because it’s safely away from that deflation-danger zone. A zero inflation target would mean a path right on the edge. But even some of Shelton’s biggest fans are opposed to her embrace of a zero-inflation target.
Persons: Judy Shelton, Donald Trump, It’s, ” Shelton, Shelton, Trump, , Mark Zandi, Zandi, Justin Wolfers, Kamala Harris, it’s, Wolfers, Bill English, , ” Trump, Stephen Moore, Jerome Powell, Moore, Powell, Kevin Hassett, Reagan, Arthur Laffer, ” Moore, CNN’s KFile, CNN he’s, he’d, Elon, , haven’t, James Grant Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, CNN, Federal Reserve Board, Moody’s, University of Michigan, Yale University, Heritage Foundation, Trump White House, Trump Locations: New York
CNN —Inflation has slowed further and is just a hair’s breadth from the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, showed prices rose 2.1% for the year ended in September, a slowdown from 2.3% in August, according to Commerce Department data released Thursday. The annual increase, which marks a fresh three-and-a-half-year low, fell right in line with what economists were expecting, according to FactSet consensus estimates. However, falling gas prices helped to keep the lid on any gains. Many states are seeing gas prices below $3 a gallon, a trend that’s expected to continue in the coming weeks as global supply eclipses demand.
Persons: ” Olu Sonola Organizations: CNN, Inflation, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Fitch
Washington CNN —Americans’ attitudes toward the economy improved this month thanks to lower interest rates. Americans’ expectations for inflation rates in the long run also edged lower this month. “This month’s increase was primarily due to modest improvements in buying conditions for durables, in part due to easing interest rates,” Joanne Hsu, director of the university’s Surveys of Consumers, said in a release. The Federal Reserve last month cut interest rates for the first time in more than four years, by a bold half point, in part thanks to inflation coming under control. Lower borrowing costs make it cheaper for American shoppers to buy durable goods such as appliances, cars and furniture, which are usually bought on credit.
Persons: ” Joanne Hsu, haven’t, ” Robert Frick, Donald Trump Organizations: Washington CNN, University of Michigan’s, Consumers, Federal Reserve, Navy Federal Credit Union, University of Michigan
Until this week’s pullback, the market’s recent performance told a remarkable story. The S&P 500 rose for 37 of the last 51 weeks, matching a record reached in both 1989 and 2004. Political uncertaintyWith polls showing a tight race for the White House, investors have been increasingly on edge about the prospect of former President Donald Trump winning the election. While polls remain effectively dead even, political betting markets have swung in Trump’s favor since the start of this month. Deutsche Bank analysts warn that the recent rally may be difficult to sustain given these historically high valuations.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, ” Steven Ricchiuto, Henry Allen, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow, Nasdaq, White House, Mizuho Securities, , Deutsche Bank, Apple, Microsoft, Presidential, Federal Locations: New York, Israel
That’s helped push uncertainty among small business owners to an all-time high since the nearly 40-year inception of a monthly survey the National Federation of Independent Business conducts to gauge small business sentiment. The scale of firms whose investment plans are impacted by election uncertainty is “pretty remarkable” compared to prior elections, said Daniel Weitz, survey director at the Atlanta Fed. The Fed’s Beige Book, a quarterly collection of survey responses from businesses compiled by the 12 regional Fed banks published Wednesday, highlighted a wide range of businesses that are suffering because of election uncertainty. But the blowback that businesses are facing from the election uncertainty should subside once the policy path ahead becomes more clear, at which point we could start to see a rebound in hiring and capital investment businesses make, Meyer told CNN. The combination of these three major unknowns is shaping small business owners’ uncertain outlooks, said Holly Wade, executive director of the NFIB Research Center.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, That’s, ” “, Duke, Daniel Weitz, , hesitancy, Brent Meyer, Harris, Meyer, that’s, They’re, Holly Wade, “ We’re, Wade Organizations: New, New York CNN, National Federation of Independent Business, Reserve, Atlanta and Richmond Federal, Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business, Fortune, Atlanta Fed, Cleveland Fed, Fed, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Trump, CNN, Federal Reserve, NFIB Research Locations: New York,
For Chinese imports, Trump has proposed an even steeper 60% tariff. Many economists have warned that tariffs planned by Trump will hurt global economic growth and drive up inflation in the US, as well as abroad if other countries introduce higher levies on US imports in response. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) also sees a hit to global gross domestic product from increased tariffs around the world, according to its latest World Economic Outlook. Mario Tama/Getty ImagesA rise in protectionism around the world means open trade is already under threat and the ability of its champion, the World Trade Organization, to settle international trade disputes is severely constrained. “What we’d see in Trump 2 is far more radical than what we saw in Trump 1.”
Persons: Smoot, Donald Trump, Federal Reserve — Trump, Trump, , Evan Vucci, he’s, Maurice Obstfeld, Kristalina Georgieva, , Mario Tama, ” Obstfeld, ” Petros Mavroidis, Scott Olson, Joe Biden, André Sapir, Bruegel, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Trump, ” Edward Alden, ” Alden Organizations: London CNN, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Economic, of Chicago, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Republican, UBS, Monetary Fund, ABN AMRO, Peterson Institute, IMF, White, Port, World Trade Organization, CNN, Columbia Law School, US, European Union, EU, greenback, Foreign Relations, Locations: United States, Hawley, Washington, DC, China, Ukraine, Chicago, Japan, France, South Korea, Port of Los Angeles, Indiana, Portage , Indiana, Brussels, Trump
Expectations of a Fed rate cut caused mortgage rates to drop to a two-year low of 6.08% in late September, but it failed to spur homebuying activity. Every percentage point on a mortgage rate makes a big difference for that monthly payment. Here’s what’s driving the recent upswing in mortgage rates. Mortgage rates track the 10-year US Treasury yield, which was expected to fall in anticipation of further rate cuts. “I am clearly not going to own any fixed income.”The government’s fiscal situation might already be having an impact on mortgage rates.
Persons: Freddie Mac, pare, what’s, ” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, Robyn Beck, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, “ We’re, Paul Tudor Jones, , ” Lawrence Yun, Kimberly Bradley, Zach, Kimberly, “ I’ve, ” Kimberly, ” Ken Lowrey, Ken Lowrey, “ homeownership, , Lowrey Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, Mortgage, Association, Treasury, Getty, Federal Budget, Trump, CNBC, US Postal Service Locations: AFP, Manteo , North Carolina, Charleston , South Carolina
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