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☆ Increased sausage demand could be worrying signal on the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-26 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An uptick in sausage demand can offer the latest sign of consumers tightening their belts as they continue grappling with high prices. There has been "modest growth" in the dinner sausage category for one producer, according to the Dallas Federal Reserve's Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey released Monday. "This category tends to grow when the economy weakens," the respondent said, according to edited comments included in the Dallas Fed's report. That is because "sausage is a good protein substitute for higher-priced proteins and can 'stretch' consumers' food budgets." This anecdote pointed out by eagle-eyed Bespoke Investment Group on social media site X comes as grocery prices remain top of mind for consumers.

Persons: Fred Meyer Organizations: Dallas Federal, Texas Manufacturing, Dallas Locations: Kroger, Palmer , Alaska, An

Economists like to say the cure for high prices is high prices. In other words, consumers eventually start to hold back on spending when they are faced with increasing costs. On Monday, the New York Federal Reserve reported that consumers' three-year inflation outlook hit a record low. Many economists credit the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates starting in the spring of 2022 with helping to curb the upswing. It is that last factor that the Federal Reserve is keenly focused on.

Persons: “, Andrew Jassy, Wells Fargo, Mark Hamrick, ” Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve's, New York Federal Reserve, Federal, Fed, BLS, Gallup, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, York

☆ Nvidia swings again — plus, an industrial name tied to the data center boom gets an heir-apparent
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.

Persons: Jim Cramer, It's, Blackwell, Nvidia's, Eaton, Paulo Ruiz, Ruiz, Craig Arnold, Arnold, We're, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Treasury, Nvidia, UBS, Club, Fed, PPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: York

☆ Middle-class Gen Xers are facing a new retirement challenge: Their student loans
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Using data from the Fed's Survey of Consumer Finances, the analysis finds that over a million Americans ages 55 to 64 are holding student loans, or have spouses with loans. There are a range of reasons why older borrowers might be struggling to pay off their student loans. Millennials are most likely to hold student debt with an average balance of about $35,000, and while fewer Gen Xers have student debt, their average balance is higher at about $48,000, according to TransUnion. Provisions are being rolled out by President Joe Biden's Education Department that could ease the burden of student debt on older borrowers. AdvertisementAre you a Gen Xer with student debt who is worried about retirement?

Persons: Gen Xers, Xers, Joe Biden's Organizations: Service, School's Schwartz, for Economic, Business, Fed's Survey, Consumer Finances, Social Security, Democratic, Joe Biden's Education Department, Public, Education Department Locations: Fed's

☆ Why Americans' confidence in finding a new job is tanking even as the labor market is humming along
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-18 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Why Americans might be getting worried about the job marketIn some ways, Americans' growing pessimism in the job market is perplexing. That's because the job market has become more challenging than it was a couple of years ago, when the Great Resignation was at its peak. So, it's possible that some Americans in certain industries are facing a job market where openings are far from abundant. For example, there's some evidence that the job market for high-wage roles has cooled over the past year. Julia Pollak, the chief economist at ZipRecruiter, told Business Insider earlier this month after April's labor market figures were released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics that it is "no longer a white-hot labor market" or a job "candidate's market in every industry where workers can get whatever they want."

Persons: —, they'd, hasn't, What's, Joanne Hsu, Julia Pollak Organizations: Service, York Fed's Survey, Consumer, Business, NY, of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New, Fed, LinkedIn, NY Fed, University of, Labor Locations: York

☆ Americans with a college degree say they'd need at least a $100K salary to change jobs. But roles that pay in that range are getting harder to find.
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

As of the most recent March data, the average reservation wage for Americans with a college degree rose to a survey-high of $99,081, up from $97,270 in March 2023 and $81,758 in March 2020. It means that not as many Americans are landing new jobs that pay in the six-figure range. The average reservation wage for people without a degree was $68,390, up from $59,683 in March 2023 and $48,778 in March 2020. The average reservation wage among all respondents was $81,822, up from $75,811 and $61,377 in March 2020. AdvertisementAre you struggling to find a six-figure job?

Persons: —, it's Organizations: Service, York Fed's Survey, Consumer, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, of Labor Statistics, New, New York Fed Locations: York, New York

☆ Just 4% of current retirees say they are 'living the dream,' survey finds. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Brauns | E+ | Getty ImagesJust 4% of today's retirees said they are "living the dream," according to a new survey from asset management company Schroders. Image Source | Getty ImagesThe Schroders survey results come as more experts are pointing to a potential retirement crisis. "The retirement savings crisis in the United States is no longer looming: it is here, now," said a new report from the National Institute on Retirement Security. Not everyone agrees there is an emergencySome experts are skeptical there is a retirement savings crisis at all. Of seniors with more than $10,000 in retirement savings, 93% said they were doing okay or living comfortably.

Persons: —, Deb Boyden, That's, Warren Buffett's, Boyden, Andrew Biggs, George W, Bush, EBRI, Biggs Organizations: Getty, National Institute on Retirement Security, Finance, American Enterprise Institute, Social Security, Northwestern Mutual, Research Locations: —, United States

☆ Nearly everyone has given up on their recession call, and that makes the outlook 'dangerously reminiscent' of 2007, SocGen says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Recession views are dangerously similar to those in 2007, SocGen's Albert Edwards said. Soft landing or no landing outlooks are growing on Wall Street as the US appears on solid economic footing. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Those signs appear lost on many other market commentators, who have dialed back their recession views in the last few months. "All this is (dangerously) reminiscent of 2007, when all around were telling me I was wrong and should give up calling that much-delayed recession," he later added.

Persons: SocGen's Albert Edwards, Edwards, —, Société, Albert Edwards, That's, Doom, Nouriel Roubini Organizations: Service, Chicago, York Fed's Survey, Consumer, National Federation of Independent Business, National Association of Business, Fed, Investor Locations: York

☆ Boomers Haven't Saved Enough for Retirement; Gen Z Will Have to Pay
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-10 | by ( Ann C. Logue | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

According to Census Bureau data, 44% of boomers are at retirement age and millions more are soon to join them. And since younger boomers are less financially prepared for retirement than their older boomer siblings, the problem is bound to get worse. AdvertisementAs boomers continue to age out of the workforce, it's going to put strain on the healthcare system, government programs, and the economy. Not all boomers are richIt's undeniable that some boomers will enjoy a cushy retirement. The median retirement account for that age group has only $200,000 — meaning that half of 65- to 74-year-olds have even less saved up.

Persons: —, it's, Rita Choula, Stevie Kuenn, Kuenn, Choula, Caregiving, Gen Organizations: Federal, AARP, Institute, Consumer Finances, Social Security, National Council, Medicare, Pew, National Alliance, American Health Care Association, Department of Homeland Security Locations: —, Chicago, Ohio, America

☆ Trump says he hopes the US economy will crash within the next year to avoid being a 'Herbert Hoover'
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Former President Donald Trump said he hopes the US economy will crash within the next year. That's to avoid being a "Herbert Hoover," who was president when the Great Depression began. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementFormer President Donald Trump hopes the US economy will crash within the 12 months so he doesn't get the blame for a downturn if he wins a second term. Related stories"When there's a crash, I hope it's going to be during this next 12 months because I don't want a Herbert Hoover," Trump told Lindell TV, according to CNN.

Persons: Donald Trump, That's, Herbert Hoover, —, Trump, Lindell, –, Franklin Roosevelt Organizations: Service, CNN, Bloomberg Locations: –

☆ The average American's net worth is at an all-time high. Here's how it breaks down by generation.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

This was more than double the next-largest increase in net worth since 1989, when the Fed began the survey. Median net worth — which measures household assets like houses and vehicles, minus debts like mortgages and student loans — surged to $192,000 when accounting for inflation. While this group, comprised of younger millennials and Gen Zers, has a much smaller net worth than any other age group, median net worth grew from $16,100 to $39,000 during the three-year period. So-called DINKs, or couples with "double income, no kids," also saw huge net worth increases, according to the Fed's survey. Americans in the 55 to 64 age group saw median net worth gains of 48%, while those between the ages of 65 and 74 had a 33% rise in median net worth.

Persons: —, millennials, Gen Zers, Mark Zandi, Zandi Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve's Survey, Consumer Finances, Fed, CNBC

☆ Fears over access to credit hit highest level in more than a decade, New York Fed survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The results were part of the New York Fed's Survey of Consumer Expectations for August. Fears of credit access have been rising steadily since early 2022, around the same time that the Fed began raising interest rates. While the Fed worries over higher prices, the inflation outlook was mixed. Expectations for inflation one year and five years out rose just 0.1 percentage point on the month, taking them respectively to 3.6% and 3%. That comes with an unemployment rate of just 3.8%, or 0.1 percentage point above its year-ago level.

Organizations: New York Federal Reserve, York Fed's Survey, Fed Locations: New, York

☆ US debt explosion may force the Fed to halt a key tightening campaign so the financial system doesn't become unstable
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

That's as the debt binge may pressure bank reserves, economists at the St. Louis Fed wrote. The Treasury has issued $1 trillion in T-bills since June, and another $600 billion is expected by year's end. But a prior quantitative tightening campaign saw a drop in bank reserves, forcing the Fed to do an about-face in 2019 and buy T-bills. "Although there are currently ample reserves, there is some lower level of reserves that can cause stress in financial markets," the St. Louis Fed economists wrote in a paper. While the St. Louis Fed's note estimated that $2 trillion in banking reserves could be the optimal level, the data are signaling higher levels.

Persons: Louis Fed, redemptions, Louis Fed's Organizations: Federal Reserve, St, Treasury, Service, Treasury Department, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ The Fed's focus on 'real' rates is what investors should be watching
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Gauging the 'real' rate Chair Jerome Powell , following the July meeting, said his definition of real rates is the fed funds rate minus "near-term inflation expectations." With the fed funds rate running at 5.33% and the Michigan survey indicating one-year inflation expectations at 3.3%, that puts the real rate around 2%. Using the 10-year Treasury yield against the inflation rate, the real rate currently sits around 1.6% . The evidence, though, that higher real rates are holding back activity is mixed. Its focus on real rates could mean more hawkish policy, particularly if inflation expectations start rising again.

Persons: Nicholas Colas, Jerome Powell, Powell, Colas Organizations: DataTrek Research, University of Michigan, Fed, Primary Dealers Locations: Michigan

In Europe, the broad pan-regional STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.34% on expectations non-U.S. stocks will outperform in the months ahead. Sterling , which has gained 4.4% against the dollar this year, earlier hit a 12-month high of 1.2668 ahead of an expected Bank of England rate increase on Thursday. The dollar rose 0.01% against the yen. "The survey should point to further broad-based tightening in bank lending standards," said Bruce Kasman, head of economic research at JPMorgan. Bullion regained ground after a sharp retreat in the previous session, ahead of the inflation data that could shed light on the outlook for U.S. interest rates.

☆ Worries linger about financial stability following bank rescue, Fed report shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Banking system pressures, real estate stress and persistent inflation top worries about financial stability, though the system overall remains stable, the Federal Reserve said in a report Monday. The Fed last published its Financial Stability Report in November 2022, before the implosion about two months ago of several prominent mid-sized banks, including Silicon Valley Bank, an important funding source for technology companies. However, the stability report noted that bank capital ratios are around what would be considered normal while leverage was mostly lower. "Actions taken by the official sector reassured depositors, and the broad banking system remained sound and resilient. For the banking system as a whole, aggregate bank capital levels were ample," the report said.

☆ Savings account interest rates just hit a 15-year high, but fewer Americans are benefitting
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( Jessica Dickler | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Most people said the main reasons for not switching to a high-yield savings account were because they preferred their local branch or were comfortable at their current bank. 49% have less in savings, or none, compared to 2022 Americans, overall, are saving less. Nearly half, or 49%, of adults have less savings or no savings compared to a year ago, according to a separate Bankrate survey from February. More than one-third also now have more credit card debt than emergency savings, which is the highest on record. In 2022, 4.5% of households had no checking or savings account, according to the FDIC's latest survey.

☆ Workers in the US now want at least $76,000 to start a new job as minimum wage expectations continue to rise in a red-hot job market
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Nidhi Pandurangi | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Employees' wage expectations have risen to $76,000 a year, according to a New York Fed survey. The rise in expected salary levels comes at a time of historically low unemployment rates in America. Those with a college degree raised their reservation wage expectations by about $5,000 to over $97,000. The rise in expected salary levels makes sense, as it comes at a time of historically low unemployment rates in America. This, in turn, leads to employees upping their salary expectations to combat inflation's erosive effects.

☆ Lending to consumers has dropped as banks move quickly to further tighten credit standards after the failure of SVB, Fed survey says
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A Dallas Fed survey in March showed a drop in total loan volume and a tightening of lending standards. Banking outlooks "continued to deteriorate," the regional Fed bank said. The Dallas Fed released its March survey this week. At the same time, a gauge of credit and lending standards indicated lenders such as banks and credit unions further tightened access to funding. Banking outlooks "continued to deteriorate" in March, the Dallas Fed said.

☆ NY Fed report shows near-term inflation expectations retreating sharply
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Meanwhile, the expected level of inflation three years from now held steady at 2.7%, matching the level last seen in October 2020, while expected inflation five years from now was seen hitting 2.6%, up from January's 2.5%. The New York Fed survey arrived just ahead of the Fed's March 21-22 policy meeting. The New York Fed report was conducted ahead of the SVB situation and does not reflect its impact. Households last month saw declining price pressures for gasoline, food, rent, medical care and college. But the New York Fed noted that last month's reading remains well below the 12-month average of an expected 3.4% rise in home prices.

☆ US businesses see moderation in inflation ahead, Fed survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Lindsay Dunsmuir | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

But after some softening late last year, the economy has since rebounded and price increases have reaccelerated. But there were also hopeful signs, with supply chains easing further and price increases moderating in many of the Fed's regional districts. "Looking ahead, contacts expected price increases to continue to moderate over the year," the report said. That said, inflation remained "widespread" according to the survey, and in the labor market "finding workers with desired skills or experience remained challenging." Fed policymakers have made clear that there would have to be some easing in labor market shortages in order for wage pressures to ease.

☆ Important inflation data and big bank earnings could create volatility for markets in week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-06 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Other speakers include Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic Monday. On Thursday, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin and St. Louis Fed President Bullard all speak at separate events. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Boston Fed President Susan Collins have appearances Friday. The most important inflation report in the week ahead is the consumer price index, released Thursday. Import prices 10:00 a.m. Consumer sentiment 10:00 a.m. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari 10:20 a.m. Philadelphia Fed's Harker 9:00 a.m. Boston Fed President Susan Collins

☆ The Fed is dragging the US into a recession to cool surging prices. Most Americans expect inflation to die down on its own.
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-27 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Inflation expectations have been falling since the spring, signaling there's little chance of a 1980s-like price surge. Inflation expectations may seem like simple forecasts, but their effects on the economy can be dramatic. Anchored inflation expectations can put downward pressure on price growth as consumers reject large price hikes and businesses are pushed to compete with each other. Powell on Wednesday pointed to well-anchored inflation expectations as a boon, but noted the trend "is not grounds for complacency." "The longer the current bout of high inflation continues, the greater the chance that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched," the chair said.

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