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☆ Dollar pulls ahead as markets focus on Trump policies, Fed outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

After stalling for three sessions, the greenback was back on the march higher, with investors lifting the dollar index measure against its key rivals closer to a one-year high of 107.07 hit last week. The dollar has rallied more than 2% since the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election on bets Trump's policies could reignite inflation and temper the Fed's future rate cuts. The dollar index held steady at 106.56, up from a one-week nadir hit in the previous session. "The Russia-Ukraine conflict is heating up, which is further denting sentiment towards the euro alongside the prospects of trade tariffs," another "bullish cue" for the dollar index given the euro's heavy weighting, City Index's Simpson said. The dollar gave up some gains against the yen, down 0.33% at 154.91 yen , although the Japanese currency remained under pressure.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, CME's, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Index's Simpson, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, bitcoin, Bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Wednesday, Storm, ATACMS, Bank of Japan, Bank of England's Locations: Europe, China, Russia, Ukraine, Paris

☆ Gold gains on softer dollar, widening Russia-Ukraine tensions
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Close up stack of gold bars, financial wealth concepts and businessGold prices rose for a third consecutive session to a one-week high on Wednesday, driven by a softer dollar and escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions that raised the demand for safe-haven assets. Spot gold added 0.32% to $2,640.19 per ounce by 0323 GMT, its highest since Nov. 11. The U.S. dollar rally paused after hitting a one-year high last week, making bullion more appealing to buyers holding other currencies. The market is adjusting its expectations for the Fed's cuts next year as inflation is becoming a bigger concern, which could be negative for gold, Spivak added. Spot silver was steady at 31.22 per ounce, platinum added 0.1% to $975.10 at $973.90 and palladium flat at $1,035.43.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Washington, Ilya Spivak, Donald Trump's, Spivak, Jeffrey Schmid Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: Russia, Ukraine, , Kansas

☆ Dollar sags to one-week low after safety bid, 'Trump trade' momentum wanes
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bitcoin pushed to a fresh all-time peak above $94,000, carried by expectations for a friendlier regulator environment for cryptocurrencies under Trump. "The 'Trump Trade' that boosted the greenback is facing challenges from Trump's controversial cabinet nominations and the escalation in the Russian-Ukraine war," DBS strategists wrote in a client note. Traders continue to pare back expectations for an interest-rate cut at the Fed's next meeting in December. The dollar added 0.9% to 154.84 yen after falling sharply to 153.28 on Tuesday following the Russia news. The euro held steady at $1.0598 , having recovered from a drop to $1.0524 in the previous session.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Bitcoin, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Trump's, pare, CME's, Jerome Powell Organizations: U.S, Moscow, Trump, Treasury, Wall Street, Commerce Department, Trump Trade, DBS, Traders, Financial Times Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Russia

If the Fed doesn't cut rates in December, we may see mortgage rates inch up. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.60%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed has started cutting rates, mortgage rates have trended down compared to where they were a year ago.

Persons: Jerome Powell, It's, they've, Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Mortgage Research, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government

☆ Markets think the odds of a Fed pause in December are rising
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementTraders see a 45% chance the Fed pauses rate cuts in December, up from 17% last week. The rising odds come as markets digest a win for Trump, whose policies could complicate the Fed's plans. After two consecutive interest rate cuts, markets think the Federal Reserve might be ready to hit pause. AdvertisementThe rising odds come as markets continue to digest a win for Donald Trump, and as Fed officials have sounded cautious on the path of future policy easing in recent remarks. AdvertisementThe rising odds of a pause also come as Fed speakers this week have struck a cautious tone.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joseph Stiglitz, David Kelly, Jerome Powell, he'd, Trump, JPMorgan's Kelly, They're, Kelly, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Cook, Powell Organizations: Trump, Reserve, JPMorgan, Fed, Federal, University of Virginia Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida, Charlottesville, Dallas

☆ Corporate borrowing is on a roll. Goldman's debt financing head breaks down the trends.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Reed Alexander | Emmalyse Brownstein | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The return of DCM activity signals that borrowers are gearing up for corporate dealmaking to return. Goldman's global head of financing broke down the trends in an interview with BI. On Wall Street, corporate borrowing is on a roll. Many of those clients are large companies or organizations being advised by Goldman's investment bankers, which means the DCM business is directly reliant on deal flow. AdvertisementGoldman CEO David Solomon ran Goldman's leveraged finance group before taking over its financing business, including debt and equity capital markets and derivatives.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Vivek Bantwal, Bantwal, We've, we've, Goldman, David Solomon, David Solomon Jeenah Moon, Denis Coleman, refinancings, weren't Organizations: University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, Getty, Underwriters, Wall, Bloomberg, Getty Images Goldman, Goldman, Blue

☆ Why one veteran economist is doubling down on his 2025 recession call after Trump's victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

That's due to a recent contraction in the money supply, which preceded past downturns, he told NYSE TV Live. The US economy is still likely to slow into a recession next year — and Trump's election victory may have just made the economic outlook even more challenging, according to top economist Steve Hanke. AdvertisementM2, one class of the money supply, shrank from mid-2022 to March 2024, according to Federal Reserve data. The M2 money supply started to re-expand this year, rising 2.47% year-per-year at the end of September. Trump's protectionist economic policies also impose a "big negative" for the economy, Hanke said.

Persons: Steve Hanke, downturns, Johns Hopkins, who's, That's, Hanke, Trump Organizations: NYSE TV, NYSE, Federal Reserve, Real Locations: Atlanta

☆ Powell's view is that policy is still restrictive and needs to be: Former New York Fed president
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPowell's view is that policy is still restrictive and needs to be: Former New York Fed presidentBill Dudley, former New York Fed president, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss core inflation's current level, the Fed's dual mandate, and what Dudley attributes the move in the 10-year yield to.

Persons: Bill Dudley, Dudley Organizations: New York Fed

☆ 5 things we're watching in the stock market in the week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

October retail sales, released Friday morning, came in slightly ahead of expectations, indicating a 0.4% monthly increase, versus a 0.3% increase expected. Disney's reported strong earnings and its stock advanced more than 16% for the week as a result. In the week ahead, we will get earnings from three Club names, including the highly anticipated quarter from Nvidia, and a couple of housing market-related updates. The Street is looking for Nvidia sales of $33.1 billion in its fiscal Q3 and earnings of 75 cents per share. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Donald Trump, Friday's, Jerome Powell, Powell, That's, YTD We're, we're, Jensen, Trump, Nvidia's, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Angela Weiss Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Fed, Disney, Depot, Nvidia, TJX Companies, Home Goods, Blackwell, Palo Alto Networks, Home Depot, Stanley, Walmart, Viking Holdings, Sonoma, WSM, Baidu, PDD Holdings, Deere & Co, Warner Music Group, Intuit, Ross Stores, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty Locations: Maxx, U.S, China, Palo, VIK, Williams, New York City

☆ 4 signs of re-inflation investors should watch out for, Charles Schwab says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementInflation's downtrend may not be as straightforward as some investors think, according to Charles Schwab. Immigration reform could mean higher labor costs," the note added. Labor costs risingLabor costs have accelerated in recent months, with unit labor costs among all workers in the business sector rising to 3.4% year-over-year in the third quarter, according to Federal Reserve data. Markets are beginning to dial back expectations for further rate cuts in response to inflation concerns," Schwab strategists said. Charles Schwab, Citi Economic Surprise Index"Stronger growth suggests that the Fed may not lower short-term rates as much as anticipated just a few months ago.

Persons: Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Trump, Schwab, It's Organizations: Trump, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Federal Reserve, Unit, Bloomberg, Treasury, Business, Citi

"I just thought [Too Good To Go] was the most genius app, and I loved the concept," she says. "[Food waste] a massive, massive issue, and it's important that we solve it fast," Lykke says. Conviction to stay the courseToo Good To Go, which has nearly $158 million in investment funding, isn't the only for-profit company trying reduce food waste. Some app users like Niles, the dumpster diver in Brooklyn, worry that Too Good To Go "greenwashes" the issue of food waste, giving users false impressions of environmental responsibility. But if every food retailer in the U.S. used a similar markdown mechanism, they'd save one million tons of food annually, according to calculations by Chicago-based nonprofit ReFED.

Persons: David Niles, Niles, He's, Mette Lykke, it's, Thomas Bjørn, Stian Olesen, Klaus Bagge Pedersen, Brian Christensen, Adam Sigbrand, Lykke, Armour, Susan Prunty, Dana Gunders, That's, ReFED Organizations: CNBC, Bank, Venture Locations: Brooklyn , New York, U.S, Copenhagen, Europe, North America, Australia, United States, Medford , Oregon, Brooklyn, Chicago

☆ The fight over Jerome Powell puts Elon Musk at odds with Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

There's little appetite on Wall Street for undermining the central bank or ousting Jerome Powell. On Friday, billionaire Elon Musk endorsed a suggestion to let the president control the Federal Reserve, which is run by Chair Jerome Powell. Advertisement"He seems to be someone who has the ear of the president," Mark Spindel, an investment manager who co-wrote a history of Fed independence, told Business Insider of Musk's influence. Many Wall Streeters are concerned that undermining Fed independence would undercut investors' faith in the stock and bond markets. Trump is, Siegel said, extremely attuned to the stock market and uses it as a barometer of his success.

Persons: Elon Musk, Jerome Powell, —, Powell, Mark Spindel, Trump, Jeremy Siegel, he'd, Stocks, reappoint Powell, Scott Bessent, Peter Orszag, Obama, Lazard, Wharton's Siegel, Gallup, Siegel, Spindel, Musk's, Volodymyr Zelenskyy Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Wall Street Journal, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Fed, Trump, Bloomberg, Federal, Treasury, Congress Locations: Powell, Europe, Japan, U.S, Trump

☆ Markets are grappling with the impact of Trump's win and how the Fed will react
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

However, he went on to back up Chair Jerome Powell 's statement Thursday that the Fed doesn't need to be "in a hurry" to cut. "I do think if there's disagreement of what's the neutral rate, it does make sense at some point to start slowing." Getting to neutral, or a place that neither boosts nor restrains growth, is the Fed's ultimate goal, but Trump's victory could complicate the journey. The burst of euphoria after Trump's win actually complicates the situation by providing looser financial conditions that might make the Fed slower to ease. In any event, traders see a high likelihood that even if a December cut does happen, the Fed almost certainly will skip January as it assesses the landscape.

Persons: Donald Trump, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, Jerome Powell, Susan Collins Organizations: Trump, Wall, Federal, Chicago Federal, CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Boston Fed, Traders

☆ Wall Street looks for Nvidia to take the baton from election trades to keep rally alive in the week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

What exactly President-elect Donald Trump's second term means for the stock market will be the question investors continue to grapple with in the week ahead. Nvidia earnings results will also be on deck as investors deal with stubbornly high interest rates as well. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged past 44,000 for the first time ever, and the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite similarly posted new records. Sales of Blackwell and Grace Blackwell are expected to start to show up in results next year. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF has surged 11% this month.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Jimmy Chang, Jensen Huang, CNBC's, Blackwell, Grace Blackwell, Harsh Kumar, Piper Sandler, Kumar, Jensen, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Novavax, Ken Mahoney, Trump, There's, Mahoney, Rockefeller's Chang, Chris Rupkey, Jerome Powell Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Rockefeller Global Family, Treasury, Nvidia, Blackwell, Health, Human Services Department, Moderna, Asset Management, Regional Banking ETF, Federal, White, FWDBONDS, Housing, Walmart, Lowe's, Palo Alto Networks, Philadelphia Fed, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Ross Stores, Intuit, Deere, PMI, PMI Manufacturing, PMI Services Locations: China, U.S, NAHB, . Kansas, Michigan

☆ Dollar eyes weekly gain on slower Fed easing, inflation outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The euro was in turn on track for its worst weekly performance in seven months with a fall of 1.75%. Sterling traded 0.02% lower at $1.2666 and was similarly set to lose 2% for the week, its worst weekly fall since January 2023. Higher trade tariffs and tighter immigration under President-elect Trump's incoming administration are projected to fuel inflation, potentially slowing the Fed's easing cycle longer term. The yen was last 0.2% lower at 156.57 per dollar, on track for a weekly decline of 2.5%. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar eased 0.06% to $0.6450 and was set to lose just over 2% for the week, its worst weekly performance in four months.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Sterling, Jerome Powell, Carol Kong, CBA's, bitcoin, Joshua Chu Organizations: Traders, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S ., Treasury, New Zealand, Hong Kong Web3 Association Locations: U.S, CBA's Kong

☆ Older voters prioritized personal economic issues, helped Republicans win on Election Day, new AARP poll finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

the answer for many older voters ages 50 and over was "no," according to a new post-election poll released by the AARP. Almost half — 47% — of voters ages 50 and over said they are "worse off now," the research found, while more than half — 55% — of swing voters in that age cohort said the same. Among voters 50 to 64, Trump won by seven points. With voters ages 65 and over, Vice President Kamala Harris won by two points. Interviews were conducted with 2,348 "likely voters" in targeted congressional districts following Election Day between Nov. 6 and 10.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Fabrizio Ward, Bob Ward, Ward Organizations: AARP, Finance, Research, Republican Locations: Bethlehem , Pennsylvania

☆ Mortgage rates may be stabilizing after the election. Here's what to expect into early 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Ana Teresa Solá | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Don't expect 'huge swings' on mortgage ratesElection uncertainty contributed to an upward swing in mortgage rates during October. But now that we have a president-elect, mortgage rates are expected to gradually come down over time, Lautz said. Experts say that mortgage rates might head into a "bumpy" or "volatile" path over the next year. "Our expectation is that rates are going to be in the 6% range as we move into 2025," she said. For example, if you bought your home around this time last year, when mortgage rates peaked at around 8%, you might benefit from a mortgage refinance, Lautz said.

Persons: Freddie Mac, it's, Jessica Lautz, Lautz, Jerome Powell, Robert Dietz, Jessica Lautz Jessica Lautz, Jeff Ostrowski, Jacob Channel Organizations: Getty, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, Treasury, Trump, Federal, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Fed's Powell: It will take time for the labor market to stabilize
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's Powell: It will take time for the labor market to stabilizeFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks to business leaders in the Dallas-Fort Worth area on monetary policy. Powell delivered a speech followed by a Q&A session.

Persons: Fed's Powell, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal Locations: Dallas, Fort Worth

☆ Wholesale prices rose 0.2% in October, in line with expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Wholesale prices nudged higher in October, though largely in line with expectations and mostly consistent with the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates again in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday. On a 12-month basis, headline wholesale inflation was at 2.4%. Excluding food and energy, core PPI rose 0.3%, also one-tenth more than September and also matching expectations. Services rose 0.3% on the month, accounting for most of the PPI increase, and was driven largely by a 3.6% surge in portfolio management prices. Goods prices nudged higher by 0.1% after falling the previous two months.

Persons: Dow Organizations: Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Traders, Labor Department

☆ Powell says the Fed doesn't need to be 'in a hurry' to reduce interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Powell noted that the unemployment rate has been rising but has flattened out in recent months and remains low by historical standards. Specifically, he said the labor market is holding up well despite disappointing job growth in October largely that he attributed to storm damage in the Southeast and labor strikes. "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates," Powell said in remarks for a speech to business leaders in Dallas. Powell added that the calculus of getting the move to neutral rate will be tricky. The Fed also has been allowing proceeds from its bond holdings to roll off its mammoth balance sheet each month.

Persons: Powell, Nonfarm, Jerome Powell Organizations: Traders, Federal, Committee Locations: Dallas

☆ The House just voted 'yes' on a bill that would increase Social Security checks for some pensioners
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A bipartisan bill to change Social Security benefit rules for pensioners passed in the House of Representatives on Tuesday, with 327 lawmakers voting to support the measure. The proposal — called the Social Security Fairness Act — would repeal rules that reduce Social Security benefits for individuals who receive pension benefits from state or local governments. It would eliminate the windfall elimination provision, or WEP, that reduces Social Security benefits for individuals who worked in jobs where they did not pay Social Security payroll taxes and now receive pension or disability benefits from those employers. About 3% of all Social Security beneficiaries — about 2.1 million people — were affected by the WEP as of December 2023, according to the Congressional Research Service. As of December, about 1% of all Social Security beneficiaries — or 745,679 individuals — were affected by the GPO, according to the Congressional Research Service.

Persons: Abigail Spanberger, Garret Graves, Graves, They're, they're Organizations: Social Security, Senate, U.S, Social, Congressional Research Service, Finance, GPO Locations: Washington , DC

☆ Fed's Kashkari: The Fed will not model Trump policies effect on economy until they become clear
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's Kashkari: The Fed will not model Trump policies effect on economy until they become clearCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss new comments from Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari.

Persons: Steve Liesman, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Trump Locations: Minneapolis

☆ 'The market is right': Former Fed policymaker Mester sees fewer rate cuts next year after Trump's victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. Federal Reserve could carry out fewer interest rate cuts than previously expected next year should President-elect Donald Trump's proposed global tariffs take hold, former Fed policymaker Loretta Mester said Tuesday. Markets trimmed their forecasts for rate cuts following Trump's election victory last week, with speculation growing around his tariff proposals and their implications for the world economy. It comes as concern is growing among global policymakers about the implications of Trump's fiscal plans, particularly on tariffs. "A trade war is the last thing we need," he continued. "If a trade war is to start, the European Union must not be unprepared as it was in 2018."

Persons: Donald Trump's, Loretta Mester, Mester, they're, Trump, It's, there's, —, Olli Rehn, Rehn Organizations: U.S . Federal, UBS European Conference, Cleveland Federal Reserve, Reuters, Trump, Bank of Finland, European Central Bank policymaker, UBS, European Union Locations: London, U.S, Europe, European

☆ Trump's policies could usher in stagflation and send stock prices plummeting, 'Dr. Doom' economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Such a scenario would entail higher inflation, higher rates, and falling stock prices, Roubini predicted. "That's going to crowd economic growth, and bond yields above 5% would imply a correction of stock prices and negative impacts on the economy." AdvertisementOther experts have warned some of Trump's policies could lead to higher inflation and interest rates, with his tariff plan attracting significant criticism from economists. Some of Trump's policies — like his plans to loosen regulation — could prop up business activity and fuel growth, Roubini noted. "I think markets are still in a wait-and-see to figure out whether the policies are going to be hurting the economy," Roubini said.

Persons: Nouriel Roubini, Roubini, —, Donald Trump's, Doom, prognostications, Trump, Trump's, Taylor Rogers, hin, Stocks Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, stoke, Republican National Committee, Trump, Fed, Bank of America, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: China

☆ Fed's Barkin: Economy and policy are in a good place
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's Barkin: Economy and policy are in a good placeCNBC's Steve Liesman reports on the latest comments from Richmond Federal Reserve president Tom Barkin.

Persons: Steve Liesman, Tom Barkin Organizations: Richmond Federal

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