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London CNN —For consumers still scarred by jumps in their energy bills in recent years, the International Energy Agency has good news: Oil and natural gas prices will probably be lower over the next five years. Energy prices soared in the wake of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, which followed a rise in global demand as economies reopened after Covid lockdowns put lives on hold. And that “would move us into a very different energy world from the one we have experienced in recent years during the global energy crisis,” he added in a statement accompanying the IEA’s latest World Energy Outlook report. But global oil output has been increasing, thanks mostly to producers in the United States and other countries in the Americas. The energy body reiterated its previous forecasts that demand for oil, natural gas and coal will peak by the end of the decade.
Persons: Covid lockdowns, Ukraine don’t, Fatih Birol, Birol, ” Birol, Organizations: London CNN, International Energy Agency, Energy, Brent, IEA, US, CNN, Locations: Ukraine, United States, Americas, Qatar
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil prices likely to remain under pressure over the coming months, IEA chief saysInternational Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol discusses the outlook for global oil demand and crude prices over the coming months.
Persons: Fatih Birol Organizations: International Energy Agency
CNN —Ukraine’s electricity supply risks “severe disruptions” this winter, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned, urging Kyiv’s allies to help address the country’s energy security. Russia has repeatedly attacked Ukraine’s energy infrastructure with missiles and drones since its full-scale invasion in February 2022, but its bombardments have intensified recently, leaving the country in a precarious position as colder weather approaches. Ukraine has also attacked Russia’s energy infrastructure. In its report, the agency outlines 10 measures that Ukraine and its allies should implement to tackle risks to the country’s energy supply. She also noted that the EU had contributed at least €2 billion ($2.2 billion) toward Ukraine’s energy system since Russia’s full-scale invasion began.
Persons: Kyiv’s, Fatih Birol, Ukraine’s, Ursula von der Leyen Organizations: CNN, International Energy Agency, European Union, Work, EU Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Denmark, Europe, Lithuania
London CNN —The United States and Europe are racing to narrow China’s commanding lead in clean energy technologies, throwing subsidies at local manufacturers and hiking tariffs on Chinese imports in a strikingly protectionist turn. Without China’s electric vehicles (EVs), solar panels, wind turbines, and batteries, reducing planet-heating pollution could take longer and ultimately increase costs for businesses and consumers. Beijing’s virtual monopoly on the processing of some critical minerals comes with particular risks for the global green transition. Zhu Haipeng/VCG/APAny delay in switching to clean energy will exact a heavy toll on the planet. Birol at the IEA also advocates for trade policies that diversify supply chains while reducing the risk of delays to the clean energy transition.
Persons: , Margrethe Vestager, , ” Fatih Birol, David G, Victor, Michael R, Davidson, ” Victor, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Zhu Haipeng, Victor of, Birol, don’t Organizations: London CNN, Russia, Getty, , International Energy Agency, Global, University of California, CNN, Monetary Fund, McKinsey Global Institute, Victor of University of California, IEA Locations: United States, Europe, China, Lianyungang, Washington, Netherlands, Japan, Beijing, of Taicang, Suzhou, Brookings, University of California San Diego, Fuzhou, Victor of University of California San Diego
The head of OPEC said Thursday the world will need to invest in fossil fuels for decades to come in order to prevent an energy shortage, dismissing predictions that oil demand will peak in the near future. The OPEC chief called for "continued oil industry investment, today, tomorrow, and many decades into the future given the products derived from crude oil are essential for our daily lives." Oil supply capacity will rise to 114 million per day by 2030, 8 million barrels more than global demand, according to the IEA. Deutsche Bank and Citi, however, see OPEC coming under pressure in the coming years. Citi analysts see a substantial oil surplus in 2025 as production keeps growing in North America, Brazil and Guyana, while demand slows due to energy efficiency improvements and electric vehicle adoption.
Persons: Haitham Al Ghais, Al Ghais, Fatih Birol, OPEC's Al Ghais, Helima, Croft, I'm, Robert McNally, McNally, EVs, Michael Hsueh Organizations: OPEC, International Energy Agency, IEA, IEA ., RBC Capital Markets, Rapidan Energy, Deutsche Bank, Citi, Brent Locations: China, India, North America, Europe, Northeast Asia, Asia, U.S, OPEC, Brazil, Guyana
OPEC+ members recently announced plans to bring 2.5 million bpd back to the market from October through September 2025. If the group follows through with its announced plan, the oil market will see a surplus of 2.6 million bpd or more. Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Hsueh said the OPEC+ production plan will cast a bearish shadow over the next two years . It is "inconceivable that the market could absorb anything close" to 2.5 million bpd, Hsueh said. The International Energy Agency warned Wednesday the world will be awash in oil by 2030, with production capacity outpacing demand projections by eight million bpd.
Persons: Brent, Michael Hsueh, Hsueh, Fatih Birol Organizations: Citi, Brent, Deutsche Bank, United Arab Emirates, TD Securities, International Energy Agency Locations: OPEC, North America, Brazil, Guyana, U.S
In its latest medium-term market report, titled Oil 2024, the global energy watchdog said oil demand growth was on track to slow down before ultimately reaching its peak of near 106 million barrels per day by 2030. That's up from just over 102 million barrels per day in 2023. At the same time, the IEA expects total oil production capacity to surge to nearly 114 million barrels per day by 2030 — a whopping 8 million barrels per day above projected global demand. The burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and gas is the chief driver of the climate crisis. The share of fossil fuels in the global energy supply has stayed at around 80% for decades, according to the IEA, although it expects this to fall to around 73% by 2030.
Persons: Fatih Birol, Birol Organizations: The International Energy Agency, Big Oil, IEA Locations: Monahans , Texas, U.S, OPEC
The Paris-based IEA said Wednesday that it expects growth in global oil production — led by the United States and other countries in the Americas — to “inflate the world’s spare (oil) capacity cushion” to levels seen only once before, during the coronavirus pandemic when oil prices crashed. By 2030, global oil supply will outstrip demand by a “staggering” 8 million barrels per day, according to forecasts published by the agency in its medium-term oil market report. “(That’s) a major, major surplus and… might be one of the highest in the history,” Fatih Birol, the IEA’s executive director, told reporters. The IEA also forecast growth in global oil demand to “slow progressively” over the rest of the decade, with demand peaking by 2029 before contracting slightly the year after. Despite the cuts, oil prices have trended downward in recent months.
Persons: London CNN —, upend, ” Fatih Birol Organizations: London CNN, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, The, , OPEC, CNN, IEA, Brent, West Texas Locations: OPEC, The Paris, United States, Americas, Russia, Syria, China
London CNN —The world is facing a shortage of the minerals needed to make the electric vehicles, wind turbines, solar panels, and other clean energy technologies essential to ending its reliance on fossil fuels. The world is on track meet only 70% of global copper demand and 50% of lithium demand by 2035, the agency added. Prices for some critical minerals have returned to their lower pre-pandemic levels, the IEA noted, with those needed to make batteries falling particularly sharply. However, “today’s well-supplied market may not be a good guide for the future, as demand for critical minerals continues to rise,” it added. Concentration risksConcentration of critical minerals production in a small number of countries increases the risk of shortages, the agency warned.
Persons: Fatih Birol, Organizations: London CNN, International Energy Agency, Investment, IEA, Locations: Paris, China
The electric car revolution is on track, says IEA
  + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
“The continued momentum behind electric cars is clear in our data, although it is stronger in some markets than others,” IEA executive director Fatih Birol said in a statement. Last year, global EV sales grew 35% to almost 14 million. “Intensifying market competition and improving battery technologies are expected to reduce (EV) prices in the coming years,” the IEA said. “Growing electric car exports from Chinese automakers, which accounted for more than half of all electric car sales in 2023, could add to downward pressure on purchase prices,” it added. By 2030, almost one in three cars on the roads in China is set to be electric, according to the IEA.
Persons: , Tesla, , Fatih Birol, China’s BYD, Brandon Bell, EVs, ” Birol Organizations: London CNN — Global, International Energy Agency, IEA, Li, Getty, European Union, EV, Volkswagen, Audi, BMW Locations: China, Chinese, Germany, United States, Austin , Texas, EVs, Europe
Some climate activists accuse the industry of simply investing in carbon capture as way to extend the use of oil and gas. The technology typically uses chemical absorption to capture carbon dioxide emitted from the chimney of an industrial plant. "The economic viability of carbon capture and sequestration is a challenge today because the cost of building most plants in order to capture carbon dioxide are very significant," the executive said. About two-thirds of the industry's carbon dioxide emissions come from chemical reactions that occur when breaking down limestone. SLB this month announced a nearly $400 million investment in Aker Carbon Capture, a pure-play carbon capture company based in Norway, in an effort to accelerate deployment of the technology at commercial scale.
Persons: Chin Lee, Biden, SLB, Fred Majkut, Majkut, Adam Miklos, Miklos, Baker Hughes, Olivier Le Peuch, Alessandro Bresciani, Jeff Gustavson, Gustavson, steelmaker Nucor, Linde, Dan Ammann, Ammann, Fatih Birol, We're, SLB's Majkut Organizations: Chevron, Houston Chronicle, Hearst Newspapers, Department of Energy, RTI International, International Energy Agency, Exxon, Rystad Energy, Clean Investment Monitor, United Nations ., Gulf Coast, CF Industries, Talos Energy, Carbonvert, IEA Locations: Winnie, Mississippi, Vicksburg, Schlumberger, United States, Paris, Chevron, United Kingdom, U.S, Aker, Norway, Houston, Port Arthur , Texas, Gulf, Louisiana, Beaumont , Texas, Mississippi , Louisiana, Texas, Bayou, Port Arthur
Nick Oxford | ReutersSenior U.S. lawmakers believe the International Energy Agency has "strayed from its core mission" of safeguarding energy security and has emerged as a "cheerleader" for the green transition. "We would argue that in recent years the IEA has been undermining energy security by discouraging sufficient investment in energy supplies — specifically, oil, natural gas, and coal. Consequently, the IEA must conduct its energy security mission in an objective manner. "It should disturb you that biased parties are exploiting the IEA's forecasts and other products to advocate for policies that undermine energy security." The IEA on Thursday confirmed receipt of the letter to CNBC and stressed that its mandate remains maintaining energy security and accelerating clean energy transitions.
Persons: Nick Oxford, Republican Sen, John Barrasso, Cathy McMorris Rodgers, Fatih Birol Organizations: Midland , Texas U.S, Reuters Senior U.S, International Energy Agency, Republican, U.S ., Energy, Natural Resources, U.S . House, Commerce, IEA, U.S, CNBC, U.S . Congress, Organization of, Petroleum, OPEC, Congress Locations: Midland , Texas, Wyoming, Saudi Arabia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIEA criticizes 'major gap' between Big Oil’s fossil fuel and clean energy investmentsFatih Birol, executive director at the International Energy Agency, discusses the transition strategies of oil and gas majors.
Organizations: IEA, Fatih, International Energy Agency
Oil prices edged higher on Thursday as OPEC forecast relatively strong growth in global oil demand over the next two years and a cold blast in the U.S. disrupted some oil production. OPEC, in a monthly report, said world oil demand will rise by a robust 1.85 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2025 to 106.21 million bpd. For 2024, OPEC saw demand growth of 2.25 million bpd, unchanged from its forecast in December. Meanwhile, in North Dakota, a top oil-producing U.S. state, below-zero degrees Fahrenheit temperatures caused oil output there to fall by 650,000 to 700,000 bpd, to less than half its typical output, the state said. Domestic crude stockpiles rose last week by 480,000 barrels, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Wednesday.
Persons: Fatih Birol Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, American Petroleum Institute, International Energy Agency, Reuters Global Locations: U.S, North Dakota, Africa, United States, Yemen, Iran, Gaza
IEA chief welcomes ‘unstoppable’ growth of clean energy
  + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIEA chief welcomes ‘unstoppable’ growth of clean energyIEA Executive Director Fatih Birol discusses the state of play in the energy transition and his reflections on the COP28 climate talks.
Persons: Fatih Birol Organizations: IEA
The United States and more than 20 other countries plan to triple nuclear power by 2050 to achieve net-zero carbon emissions and limit climate change. The declaration is the most concrete step taken yet by major nations to place nuclear power at the center of the push to transition to clean energy. The head of the International Energy Agency, Fatih Birol, said last month that nuclear energy is making a "very strong comeback," but government support is needed for projects. More than 40% of the 61 nuclear plants currently under construction are in China, according to the World Nuclear Association. India and Russia are also investing heavily in nuclear power.
Persons: John Kerry, Rafael Mariano Grossi, Fatih Birol Organizations: United Arab Emirates, International Atomic Energy Agency, International Energy Agency, World Nuclear Association . India, CNBC PRO Locations: Dubai, United Arab, United States, U.S, Canada, France, United Kingdom, Japan, China, Finland, Korea, Pakistan, Russia
And yet, even as the climate crisis inserts itself viscerally into people’s lives, experts say the year has seen alarming backsliding on climate action. Green policies have been watered down, huge new oil and gas projects have been greenlit and coal has had something of a resurgence. As countries gather in Dubai for the UN’s COP28 climate summit, there are “high expectations,” said Harjeet Singh, the head of global political strategy at nonprofit Climate Action Network International. It sent worrying signals about climate backtracking, said Elisa Giannelli, a senior policy advisor at climate think tank E3G. Around 50% of its total capital spending needs to go toward clean energy projects by 2030, according to the report.
Persons: , Harjeet Singh, Kaveh Guilanpour, Singh, Biden, , Erik Grafe, Joe Biden, Countess, Norway —, Elisa Giannelli, “ It’s, Rishi Sunak, Joeri Rogelj, Flora Champenois, It’s, Bernd Lauter, ” Rogelj, Darren Woods, Bernard Looney, Fatih Birol, Guilanpour, Claire Fyson, ” Fyson, “ we’re, ” CNN’s Ella Nilsen, Ivana Kottasová, Gan Organizations: CNN, United Nations, Action, , Climate, Energy Solutions, US Department of Interior, Imperial College London, Global Energy Monitor, GEM, Getty, BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell, Exxon, IEA, Climate Analytics Locations: Canada, Libyan, Dubai, Alaska, Washington ,, Australia, Norway, Europe, Germany, China, Asia, Ukraine, Eschweiler, COP28
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries on Monday said the oil and gas industry is being unjustly vilified ahead of a pivotal United Nations conference on the climate crisis later this week. OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais pushed back against accusations that the industry is not doing enough to reduce carbon emissions. The industry was taken to task last week for its role in the climate crisis and its commitment to clean energy by the Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA). Just 1% of global investment in clean energy comes from the oil and gas industry, according to the IEA. Al Ghais also said oil and gas companies are making major investments in renewables and technologies that reduce emissions.
Persons: Haitham Al Ghais, who's, Al Ghais, Fatih Birol, Birol Organizations: OPEC, of Petroleum, United Nations, International Energy Agency, Change, United Arab, UAE, Exxon, Chevron, Natural Resources, IEA, Producers, Occidental Petroleum, U.N Locations: Russia, Paris, Kuwaiti, United Arab Emirates, U.S, Al
Less than half of oil-and-gas output globally comes from companies that have set targets to reduce emissions from operations, the IEA said. In addition, cutting emissions from oil-and-gas companies’ operations and energy usage is “one of the cheapest options to reduce GHG [greenhouse gases] emissions generally,” the IEA said. As of today, less than half of oil-and-gas output globally comes from companies that have set targets to reduce emissions from operations, the IEA said. Total energy investment is estimated at $2.8 trillion in the current year, with around $1.8 trillion on clean energy and $1 trillion on oil, gas and coal. In its net-zero scenario, the IEA forecasts annual fossil fuel investment dropping by $500 billion to 2030 and clean-energy investment increasing by more than $2 trillion.
Persons: turar, Fatih Birol, , ” Birol, Giulia Petroni Organizations: Reuters, United Arab, International Energy Agency, IEA, giulia.petroni@wsj.com Locations: United Arab Emirates, decarbonization, Paris
Oil and gas companies, as well as other people and organizations connected to fossil fuels, often attend the meeting, drawing criticism from environmentalists and climate experts. “Oil and gas producers need to make profound decisions about their future place in the global energy sector." Political Cartoons View All 1265 ImagesThe energy sector is responsible for over two-thirds of all human activity-related greenhouse gas emissions, and oil and gas is responsible for about half of those, according to the IEA. It found that if countries deliver on all climate pledges, demand for oil and gas will be 45% lower than today’s level by 2050. Earlier this year, another IEA report found that the world’s oil, gas and coal demand will likely peak by the end of this decade.
Persons: , Fatih Birol, Vibhuti Organizations: International Energy Agency, United Nations, IEA, , Associated Press, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, IEA ., Institute for Energy Economics, Twitter, AP Locations: United, COP28, Dubai, Egypt, Abu Dhabi, New Delhi
London CNN —Oil and gas producers must confront a “pivotal” choice: continue to accelerate the climate crisis or become part of the solution, the International Energy Agency said in a report Thursday. “The oil and gas industry is facing a moment of truth at COP28 in Dubai,” IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said in a statement. This pollution needs to be cut by more than 60% by 2030 from today’s level, the IEA report says. The industry invested around $20 billion in clean energy projects last year — only around 2.5% of its total capital spending, the IEA found. Such an increase would mean a radical change in how oil and gas firms spend their cash.
Persons: Fatih Birol, Birol, ” Birol, what’s, Kaisa Kosonen Organizations: London CNN —, International Energy Agency, United, and Gas Industry, IEA, Greenpeace International Locations: COP28, United Nations, Dubai
The Gorgon liquefied natural gas (LNG) and carbon capture and storage (CCS) facility, operated by Chevron Corp., on Barrow Island, Australia, on Monday, July 24, 2023. The oil and gas industry needs to let go of the "illusion" that carbon capture technology is a solution to climate change and invest more in clean energy, the head of the International Energy Agency said Thursday. Just 1% of global investment in clean energy has come from oil and gas companies, according to Birol. The industry needs to face the "uncomfortable truth" that a successful clean energy transition will require scaling back oil and gas operations, not expanding them, the IEA chief wrote. One of the major pitfalls in the energy transition is excessive reliance on carbon capture, according to the report.
Persons: Fatih Birol, Birol, Hess Organizations: Chevron Corp, International Energy Agency, United Nations, IEA, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Shell, BP, Exxon, Resources Locations: Barrow Island, Australia, Dubai
The U.N. has previously noted that 1.5 degrees Celsius is viewed as being "the upper limit" when it comes to avoiding the worst consequences of climate change. The COP28 climate change summit is fast approaching, with a host of world leaders and high-profile public figures — including Pope Francis and King Charles III — set to attend. The IEA's report also mentioned the importance of "ramping up electrification" before touching upon the need to find solutions that benefit all. But "this package of global measures provides crucial ingredients for any successful outcome from the COP28 climate change conference in Dubai in December." "I encourage decision makers around the world to take this report's findings into account — in the lead-up to the COP28 climate change conference in Dubai later this year and beyond."
Persons: , COP28, Pope Francis and King Charles III —, Fatih Birol Organizations: International Energy Agency, COP21, United Arab Emirates, Energy, World Energy, Fatih Locations: Germany, Paris, Dubai
WASHINGTON (AP) — The World Bank reported Monday that oil prices could be pushed into “uncharted waters” if the violence between Israel and Hamas intensifies, which could result in increased food prices worldwide. The World Bank report simulates three scenarios for the global oil supply in the event of a small, medium or large disruption. But during a “medium disruption” — equivalent to the disruptions experienced during the Iraq war — the global oil supply would decline by 3 million to 5 million barrels per day, driving oil prices up possibly by 35%. Ayhan Kose, the World Bank’s deputy chief economist, said higher oil prices will inevitably result in higher food prices. Overall, oil prices have risen about 6% since the start of the conflict.
Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu, Indermit Gill, ” Gill, Ayhan Kose, Kose, , Janet Yellen, Biden, , Fatih Birol Organizations: WASHINGTON, World Bank, Hamas, Israel, Bank, Bloomberg, ” International Energy Agency Locations: Israel, Gaza, Iran, Lebanon, Iraq, Ukraine, U.S
China has changed the world's energy system before and is set to do so again, as a peak in demand for fossil fuels nears, according to the International Energy Agency's Executive Director. Fatih Birol said that there was one country behind the substantial increase in global fossil fuel consumption over the last decade: China. "China changed the global energy system in the last 10 years. He described this as one of two "important drivers" behind the IEA's belief that global demand for fossil fuels will peak by 2030. The comments come after the IEA published its World Energy Outlook 2023, a major report on the global energy system.
Persons: Fatih Birol, CNBC's Julianna Tatelbaum Organizations: International Energy Agency's, IEA, Energy Locations: China
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