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Stocks are primed for another big stock market gain in 2025 given U.S. economic strength and likely deregulation under President-elect Donald Trump, according to Wells Fargo. The Wall Street bank expects the S & P 500 will advance to 6,600 by the end of 2025. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Wells Fargo is the latest big firm to release its 2025 S & P 500 year-end target, with virtually all shops thus far anticipating a roughly 10% gain or more for the broad market index. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 to end next year at 6,500. The S & P 500 surged 24% in 2023, and is up more than 23% this year.
Persons: Donald Trump, Darrell Cronk, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Cronk Organizations: Wells, Investment Institute, BMO, UBS, CNBC, & $ Locations: Wells Fargo, Tuesday's
Nasdaq rebounds after rough week
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNasdaq rebounds after rough weekRichard Bernstein, Richard Bernstein Advisors CEO, and Sameer Samana, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Richard Bernstein, Sameer Samana Organizations: Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Wells Fargo
Wall Street has been pumping money into the Trump trade, but investors should be wary before committing capital based on campaign promises, if history is any indication. From Election Day 2016 through year-end, the asset class outperformed the S & P 500 by 8% on a relative basis. In fact, from Election Day 2016 through Election Day 2020, smallcaps tumbled more than 22%. Expand the timeline to one year out from Election Day, and the ETF underperformed the broader index by 11%. Energy Energy stocks are expected to get a huge boost from Trump, who made energy a focus of his presidential campaign , and promised to "drill, baby, drill."
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump's, elect's, Russell, Biden, Wells, Austin Pickle, , smallcaps, that's, Fred Imbert Organizations: Bank, Regional Banking, Wells, Investment Institute, Trump, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Dow Jones, . Energy Energy, Energy Locations: Wells Fargo, that's year's
Many Americans have been holding back from jumping into the housing market in the hopes that mortgage rates will decline. The average 30-year mortgage rate has been above 6% for two years — and is likely to stay above that level for the foreseeable future, experts say. “Sixes are the new normal,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS, a mortgage listing services group, referring to 6% mortgage rates. It’s really not going to be impacting mortgage rates at all.”Mortgage rates work differently. When demand for those increases, mortgage rates tend to fall.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , Lisa Sturtevant, Brian Rehling, Trump, Mike Fratantoni, ” Fratantoni, Helene, ” Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Sturtevant, “ It’s Organizations: Federal, Bright MLS, Federal Reserve, Wells, Investment Institute, , U.S, Mortgage, Association, , National Association of Realtors, Pantheon, NBC
The tax cuts and tariffs floated by Trump has raised worries of a widening fiscal deficit, spurring Treasury yields higher as of late. Bond yields move inversely to their prices. A buying opportunity in bonds Sinead Colton Grant, chief investment officer at BNY Wealth, believes that bond investors overreacted. US10Y YTD mountain U.S. 10-year Treasury "The biggest determinant of your long-term return is the yield," Grant said. Munis While municipal bond yields don't move as quickly as Treasury yields, they are expected to follow, said BNY Wealth's Grant.
Persons: Donald Trump, Bond, Mark Haefele, Sinead Colton Grant, overreacted, Trump, Grant, it's, Brian Rehling, Charles Failla, BNY Wealth's Grant, Sudip Mukherjee Organizations: White, Federal Reserve, Trump, UBS, Fargo Investment, Sovereign Financial Group, AAA, Moody's Locations: Fargo, Stamford, Conn, New York City, muni
The U.S. dollar was little changed against other global currencies on Tuesday evening as voting began to wind down in the presidential election. The foreign exchange market could be one of the first areas of the financial system to react as election results roll in. Traders generally expect that a strong night for former President Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress could push the greenback higher. The dollar has generally strengthened in the runup to Election Day. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index rose more than 3% in October, though it has dipped in recent days.
Persons: David Zervos, Donald Trump, Paul Christopher Organizations: U.S, greenback, U.S ., Jefferies, Traders, Republicans, Wells, Investment Institute, ICE Locations: Mexican, U.S
Dow closes up 563 points as investors shake off jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDow closes up 563 points as investors shake off jobs reportJose Rasco, HSBC Global Private Banking and Wealth Management CIO, and Scott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Dow, Jose Rasco, Scott Wren Organizations: HSBC Global Private Banking, Wealth Management, Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
U.S. interest rate cuts are unlikely to move at an aggressive pace, say market watchers. The Fed kicked off its easing cycle with a jumbo 50 basis-point rate cut in September — but subsequent ones will be milder, they said. They highlighted the better-than-expected September jobs report, renewed worries around inflation, rising yields and an economy that's still relatively strong. How to position In that scenario — and with inflation expected to continue being sticky, it's important that investors still have exposure to commodities, said Landsberg. Christopher of Wells Fargo said if interest rates moderate and earnings are stronger than expected, market performance will broaden out further.
Persons: , Paul Christopher, CNBC's, Adam Coons, Michael Landsberg, Landsberg Bennett, Landsberg, Christopher, Wells Fargo, Luis Alvarado, Alvarado Organizations: Fed, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Winthrop Capital Management, Wealth Management Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStocks aren't cheap and there's risk but investors don't want to get too defensive, says WFII's WrenScott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss Wren's current investing stance, how aggressive Wren's positioning is, and if the strategist wants to adjust his S&P price target.
Persons: WFII's Wren Scott Wren Organizations: Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailServices sector propel economy to soft landing, says Wells Fargo's ChristopherPaul Christopher, Wells Fargo Investment Institute head of global investment strategy, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss how to play October choppiness, what to expect from the Fed, and more.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Christopher Paul Christopher Organizations: Email Services, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Wells Fargo
Over time, riskier assets have outperformed cash and cash alternatives, said Brian Rehling, its head of global fixed income strategy. Different types of fixed income Investors can benefit from different types of fixed income in their portfolios, Citi said. But since then, both stocks and high-yield fixed income have increased in price. "Investors should consider taking advantage of any pullbacks in these asset classes to reposition overallocations to short-term fixed income," it said. Meanwhile, it likes U.S. intermediate term taxable fixed income, as it prefers bonds with maturities of between three and seven years.
Persons: Steven Wieting, Brian Rehling, Wells Fargo, overallocations Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Citi, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Securities . Investment Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells
(Harris, 59, is herself among the youngest baby boomers, born in 1964, the last year that’s considered part of the generation.) Smith and her husband have struggled to stretch their monthly Social Security income of around $4,000 as their costs have increased. The average Social Security check was around $2,000 at the start of the year and adjusts annually for inflation. About half of Social Security recipients make enough income to have their benefits taxed, according to the Social Security Administration. Polls show a tightening race between Trump and Harris among seniors, with Harris appearing to pick up support compared to Biden.
Persons: Teresa Smith, Smith, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, she’s, , he’d, “ He’s, Harris, that’s, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, , Bob Ward, Fabrizio Ward, Biden, hasn’t, ” Trump, Medicare —, Walz, Seth Schuster, Trump, Phil Martin, Martin, Pam, “ Trump’s, Denise Meyer, ” Meyer, Kamala, Gary Schlossberg, Dick Edgecombe, Edgecombe, we’re, Gary Allen, Allen, Kristen Soltis Anderson Organizations: White House, Democratic, Trump, Republicans, Biden, AARP, Social Security, Social, Social Security Administration, Medicare, Pew Research Center, NBC, FedEx, Wells, Investment Institute, Republican, Locations: Georgia, North Carolina, Charlotte, Wells Fargo, , Pennsylvania, Pittsburgh, , Michigan
China optimism is surging. Why some investors are cautious
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
A shareholder at a securities hall in Hangzhou, the capital of Zhejiang province in east China, on Sept. 24, 2024. "Markets should place more emphasis on the specifics of the stimulus," Lu said. The People's Bank of China this week cut major interest rates, and announced plans to lower rates for existing mortgage holders. Questions about scaleFor some investment institutions, that's still not enough to move the needle on their China outlook. A survey in September of more than 1,200 companies in China by the U.S.-based China Beige Book found that corporate borrowing declined, despite historic lows in the costs to do so.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Ting Lu, Lu, Nomura's Lu, that's, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Shehzad Qazi, Qazi Organizations: Getty, BEIJING, Shanghai, Nomura, People's Bank of, Finance, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, U.S Locations: Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China, Beijing, People's Bank of China, Wells Fargo, U.S . Federal, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConsternation ahead for equities before November's elections, says Wells Fargo's Sameer SamanaSameer Samana, senior global market strategist for Wells Fargo Investment Institute, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss if the election is keeping investors on edge, how market unease ties into the Fed's rate cut trajectory, and to what degree the market is looking for rate cuts.
Persons: Wells, Sameer Samana Sameer Samana Organizations: Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Wells Fargo
Dow notches another record close
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDow notches another record closeracie McMillion, Wells Fargo Investment Institute head of global asset allocation strategy, and Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab senior investment strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's record market action.
Persons: Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab Organizations: Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: McMillion, Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWells Fargo's Rehling: Fixed income investors should look for opportunities to take risks in marketsBrian Rehling, Wells Fargo Investment Institute head of global fixed income strategy, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss how rate cuts are impacting treasury yields, how to play fixed income in the rate cut environment, and more.
Persons: Wells, Brian Rehling Organizations: Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Wells Fargo
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to start cutting interest rates Wednesday afternoon. Those yields are expected to start coming down sharply as the Fed begins to ease back on generationally high rates. Adding some duration Duration refers to a bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. A bond yield moves inversely to its price, so that when bond prices rise, yields decline. Though investors in the space may be concerned about prepayment risk, especially as interest rates come down and homeowners look to refinance, Cetera says that worry may already be priced in.
Persons: Kathy Jones, Tony Miano, Jones, Schwab's Jones, Gene Goldman, Goldman, James Shagawat, Shagawat Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, York Life Investments, Investment Management, Investors Locations: Wells Fargo, AdvicePeriod, Paramus , New Jersey
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy this Wells Fargo strategist expects a full percentage rate cut by end of 2024Aditya Bhave, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America Securities, and Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo Investment, join CNBC's "The Exchange" to discuss their expectations for the Federal Reserve's next monetary policy decisions and more.
Persons: Wells, Aditya Bhave, Paul Christopher Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect the Fed to cut rates by 25bps for the next five meetings, says BofA's Aditya BhaveAditya Bhave, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America Securities, and Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo Investment, join CNBC's "The Exchange" to discuss their expectations for the Federal Reserve's next monetary policy decisions.
Persons: 25bps, BofA's Aditya Bhave Aditya Bhave, Paul Christopher Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo
The latest global market volatility has reinforced China's status as a distinct market, even if its growth has slowed recently. While U.S. tech stocks plunged and Japanese stocks swung wildly in a historic two days of price action , Chinese stocks suffered less . The investors remained net buyers of Chinese stocks for the third quarter so far as of Aug. 6, the data showed. Finally, the low correlation of the China stock market with the U.S. stock market could provide investors with diversification benefits." Chinese stocks, especially those traded on the mainland, have historically been less correlated to global market moves due to Beijing's capital controls and other restrictions.
Persons: Matt Wacher, William Yuen, Invesco, That's, Steven Sun, Paul Christopher, Morningstar's Wacher, it's, Wacher Organizations: Nasdaq, Nikkei, Morningstar Investment Management, U.S, HSBC, Technology, Shanghai —, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Treasury, HSBC Qianhai Securities, National Bureau, Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Index Locations: Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Pacific, EPFR, Hong Kong, Bank of China, Wells Fargo
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDow tumbles more than 1,000 points, S&P 500 sees worst day in two yearsDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist and Scott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: David Kelly, Scott Wren Organizations: Dow, JPMorgan Asset Management, Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's what Wells Fargo Investments' Sameer Samana is eyeing these daysSameer Samana, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss his thoughts on equity performance today, the sectors Samana would like to add allocation to, and more.
Persons: Sameer Samana Organizations: Wells Fargo Investments, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Wells Fargo, Samana
The new market theory was that investors would sell some of their high-flying technology winners and buy small cap laggards primed for a comeback when the Federal Reserve begins cutting rates. But on Thursday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite lost more than 2% , and the Russell 2000 small-cap benchmark lost even more. "If you look in small caps, they don't have their earnings follow through. The senior global market strategist said he's unfavorable on small caps as the stocks lack strong fundamentals and many fail to generate a profit. The Russell 2000 Index of small-cap stocks gained 10.10% in July, posted its best monthly performance since December 2023, when it gained 12.05%.
Persons: Russell, Phillip Colmar, Sameer Samana, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Partners, Wells Locations: Colmar, Wells Fargo, Samana
How can the S & P 500 be traded? Those losses continued on Thursday , with the S & P 500 closing at 5,399.22 and the Nasdaq finishing at 17,181.72. The S & P 500 lost 0.83% for the week, and the Nasdaq declined around 2% in the same period. "Then that's where maybe I'm looking to try and find some bargains here for people to sort of buy back into this market," Stutland said. Large over smalls, large over mids and U.S. over international within the large cap space," he told CNBC's " Squawk Box Asia " on Friday.
Persons: we've, Richard Clode, Janus Henderson, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Brian Stutland, CNBC's, Stutland, He's, smalls, We're Organizations: Nasdaq, Trump, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Equity Armor Investments Locations: China, Wells Fargo, Friday's,
High dividend yield stocks can boost investors' portfolio income — if they are willing to take some risk — and Wells Fargo Investment Institute has a list of its favorite picks. Further, a company that offers a high dividend yield may be more likely to cut the payment when times get tough. Chevron , a top pick in Wells Fargo's integrated oils coverage, made the high dividend yield list. Wells Fargo Investment Institute also highlighted PepsiCo in its high dividend yield screen. Other names on Wells Fargo's high dividend yield list include Medtronic , Lockheed Martin and Cisco Systems .
Persons: Thomas Christopher, Christopher, Wells, Roger Read, Hess, Read, Jefferies, Kaumil Gajrawala, Omnicom, Lockheed Martin Organizations: Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Investment Institute, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Hess Corp, PepsiCo, Gatorade, Quaker Oats, Frito, Omnicom, Lockheed, Cisco Systems Locations: Wells Fargo, Guyana
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