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China's central bank on Wednesday kept major benchmark lending rates unchanged, as Beijing assesses the effects of its recent stimulus measures. The People's Bank of China said it would keep the 1-year loan prime rate at 3.1%, and the 5-year LPR at 3.6%. The 1-year LPR affects corporate and most household loans in China, while the 5-year LPR acts as a benchmark for mortgage rates. Only retail sales beat expectations, with a 4.8% year-on-year increase, indicating that recent stimulus had started seeping into certain sectors of the economy. Goldman, however, maintained "overweight" stance on China equities, forecasting a 13% upside to the benchmark CSI 300 index next year.
Persons: Bruce Pang, Pang, Pan Gongsheng, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Donald Trump's Organizations: People's Bank of China, People's Bank of, Reuters, Ministry of Finance Locations: Beijing, China's, People's Bank of China, China, JLL
Expect the unexpected in the jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
In any other month, the finishing touch would be a clean reading on the labor market from the official jobs report. However, a common thread among economists is that the strikes and hurricanes could take a 100,000-job bite out of the October jobs report. The last time there were back-to-back major hurricanes — Harvey and Irma in 2017 — the forecasts for the following month’s jobs report were for a loss of 33,000 positions. And each contribute to two of the biggest numbers in the monthly jobs report. A key date to keep in mind for the jobs report is October 12, as it anchors the “reference period” for both surveys.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm, “ It’s, That’s, aren’t, FactSet, Joe Brusuelas, — Harvey, Irma, Sahm, Oliver Allen, Milton, , Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, We’re, Biden, Jared Bernstein, Joe Biden’s, Organizations: CNN, Boeing, Reserve, New Century Advisors, Labor, Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics, of Labor, Challenger, ADP, BLS, RSM, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Republicans, The New York Times, Siena College, Associated Press Locations: Washington and Oregon
Expect the unexpected in Friday’s jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +10 min
In any other month, the finishing touch would be a clean reading on the labor market from the official jobs report. However, a common thread among economists is that the strikes and hurricanes could take a 100,000-job bite out of the October jobs report. The last time there were back-to-back major hurricanes — Harvey and Irma in 2017 — the forecasts for the following month’s jobs report were for a loss of 33,000 positions. And each contribute to two of the biggest numbers in the monthly jobs report. A key date to keep in mind for the jobs report is October 12, as it anchors the “reference period” for both surveys.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm, “ It’s, That’s, aren’t, FactSet, Joe Brusuelas, — Harvey, Irma, Sahm, Oliver Allen, Milton, , Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, We’re, Biden, Jared Bernstein, Joe Biden’s, Organizations: CNN, Boeing, Reserve, New Century Advisors, Labor, Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics, of Labor, Challenger, ADP, BLS, RSM, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Republicans, The New York Times, Siena College, Associated Press Locations: Washington and Oregon
Rate cut on horizonThe Federal Reserve expectedly kept its benchmark rate steady at 5.25% to 5.50% on Wednesday, but Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the U.S. central bank could cut the rate in its September meeting. U.S. stocks rallyU.S. stocks jumped after Powell said a rate cut in September was "on the table." Oil gainsU.S. crude oil futures rose 4% on Wednesday after Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran. Japan currency interventionJapanese authorities spent 5.53 trillion yen, or $36.8 billion, to support the yen in July, official data showed. [PRO] Rate cut beneficiariesCNBC Pro screened for stocks in the S&P 500 that tend to rise the most when short-term rates start to decline.
Persons: expectedly, Jerome Powell, Powell, Ismail Haniyeh, Israel, Oil Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Devices, Boeing, Treasury, Facebook, Google, Meta, Oil, West Texas Intermediate, U.S Locations: U.S, Tehran, Iran, Israel, Beirut, Japan
Rate cut on horizonThe Federal Reserve expectedly kept its benchmark rate steady at 5.25% to 5.50% on Wednesday, but Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the U.S. central bank could cut the rate in its September meeting. U.S. stocks rallyU.S. stocks jumped after Powell said a rate cut in September was "on the table." Oil gainsU.S. crude oil futures rose 4% on Wednesday after Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran. Asian stocks mixedAsian markets were mixed on Thursday with Japan stocks tumbling while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 touched a new all-time high. [PRO] Rate cut beneficiariesCNBC Pro screened for stocks in the S&P 500 that tend to rise the most when short-term rates start to decline.
Persons: expectedly, Jerome Powell, Powell, Ismail Haniyeh, Israel, Oil Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Wall, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Devices, Boeing, Treasury, Facebook, Google, Meta, Oil, West Texas Intermediate, Nikkei, Developers, Bank of, Singapore Airlines, U.S Locations: New York City, U.S, Tehran, Iran, Israel, Beirut, Japan, Shanghai
Texas cities Houston, El Paso, and Lubbock require the lowest salaries for comfortable living. New York City has the highest salary to live comfortably, followed by many in California. AdvertisementResidents of Houston, El Paso, and Lubbock, Texas, require the lowest salaries to live comfortably, a new SmartAsset analysis found. Lubbock came in third at $75,739 a year for a single adult. Other cities in the top 10 included Milwaukee, Tulsa, and Cleveland, which all have hourly wages below $40 for a single adult.
Persons: , Houston, Francisco Organizations: New, Service, Texas — El Paso, Lubbock Locations: Texas, Houston, El Paso, Lubbock, New York City, California, Houston , El Paso, Lubbock , Texas, Payscale, Texas —, Milwaukee, Tulsa, Cleveland, Jose, Irvine, Santa Ana, Texas , Tennessee, Oklahoma
Amy Bass Rodney BedsoleThis time around, football pundits wondered if Super Bowl LVIII would be the coronation of Chiefs coach Andy Reid and the establishment of a Kansas City dynasty with a third title in five years. This Super Bowl matchup, of course, had history. “We’re not done.”Key to any Super Bowl, of course, is the halftime show. Compared to Usher on roller skates, the commercials – which often take center stage of any Super Bowl broadcast — were relatively tame. “Taylor Swift is in Las Vegas,” commentator Ian Rappoport had assured Taylor Nation.
Persons: Amy Bass, Read, Patrick Mahomes, Mecole, ” Hardman, Tom Brady, Michael Che, , Donald Trump’s, Lady Gaga, Amy Bass Rodney Bedsole, Andy Reid, Kyle Shanahan’s, Mike, Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, Reid, Kelce, Shanahan, Brock Purdy, George Kittle, Swift, Taylor, Purdy, Jake Moody’s, Harrison Butker, Moody, Butker, Mahomes, “ We’re, Usher, Alicia Keys, Lil Jon, Ludacris, Lionel Messi, Dan Marino, Jason Sudeikis shilled, Matt Damon, Ben Affleck, Jennifer Lopez, Dunkin, Robert F Kennedy Jr, , Kennedy, Kennedy Jr’s, Taylor —, “ Taylor Swift, Ian Rappoport, “ I’ll, , Ashley Avignone, Joe Biden, Trump, ” Taylor, Joe Biden ”, Biden, Biden — Organizations: Manhattanville College, CNN, Kansas City Chiefs, San Francisco 49ers, Atlanta Falcons, New England Patriots, Budweiser, Denver Broncos, Chiefs, 49ers, Super, Kansas City, Verizon, PAC, “ GO CHIEFS, NFL, Truth Locations: America, Kansas, San Francisco, Japan, Las Vegas, Mahomes, Cetaphil’s, Massachusetts, Sephora
Bank of Japan governor Kazuo Ueda gestures as he speaks during a press conference following a monetary policy meeting at the Bank of Japan's headquarters in Tokyo on July 28, 2023. The Bank of Japan on July 28 eased its grip on its ultra-loose monetary policy in a small step towards normalisation as inflation accelerates and the yen comes under pressure against other major currencies. (Photo by JIJI Press / AFP) / Japan OUT (Photo by STR/JIJI Press/AFP via Getty Images)The Bank of Japan expectedly retained its ultra-loose monetary policy at its first meeting this year, while cutting its core inflation forecast for the next fiscal year. All the economists surveyed by Reuters expected the Japanese central bank to maintain its negative rate policy this month — making the BOJ the world's only central bank with negative rates. The central bank also marginally increased the core CPI inflation estimate for fiscal 2025 to 1.8% from 1.7% forecast earlier.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Bank of Japan expectedly, BOJ Organizations: Japan, Bank of Japan's, The Bank of Japan, JIJI Press, Getty, Bank of Japan, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, AFP, Japan
A first date in Charleston, SC was expectedly a reenactment of a scene from "Bridesmaids." I had explosive diarrhea so bad, I had to poop in the sink; I later realized I stained my shorts. AdvertisementThe humor of the "Bridesmaids" food poisoning scene, like many good comedic concepts, lies in its unexpectedness. Emitting effusive diarrhea directly into a bathroom sink? But minutes later, he provided our date with the twist ending it needed.
Persons: , Annie, farting, I'd, he's Organizations: SC, Service Locations: Charleston, Charleston , South Carolina, New York
Estee Lauder (EL) has the dubious distinction as the worst-performing stock in our portfolio in 2023, and we're growing less optimistic about CEO Fabrizio Freda's ability to right the ship. Jim added he may consider selling Estee Lauder due to the uncertainty that lies ahead. Alongside fiscal Q1 results, Estee Lauder management cut its fiscal 2024 outlook suggesting the trajectory of getting back on track for China consumer demand growth will take longer than expected. Jim believes the Club has been patient and has given Estee Lauder the time required for inventories in its Asia travel retail business to normalize. An Estee Lauder pop-up store is seen inside daimaru Department Store on Nanjing Road Pedestrian street in Shanghai, China, August 6, 2021.
Persons: Estee Lauder, Fabrizio Freda's, We're, Freda, Fabrizio Freda, Jim Cramer, Jim, Lauder YTD, Tom Ford, Jo Malone, Estee Lauder's, it's, Lauder, hasn't, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Wall, Management, CNBC, daimaru, Getty Locations: China, Asia, Nanjing, Shanghai
The world's biggest offshore wind farm company on Tuesday said it would cease all development on the Ocean Wind projects even as it moves forward with developments off neighboring New York, triggering an angry response from New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy. "People did not anticipate (Orsted) backing out of Ocean Wind," said Timothy Fox, VP at research firm ClearView Energy Partners. Nipper told analysts that unlike Ocean Wind, Orsted is still pursuing Sunrise for several reasons, including the fact that the company has already lined up a vessel to build it. Under the most accelerated proposal, the New York State Energy Research & Development Authority said it could release the next offshore wind request for proposals in late November or early December. The Ocean Wind cancellation was the latest setback for the nascent U.S. offshore wind industry in recent months, which U.S. President Joe Biden and several states have counted on to fight global warming.
Persons: Phil Murphy, Timothy Fox, Mads Nipper, Nipper, Orsted, Joe Biden, Murphy, Scott DiSavino, Jarrett Renshaw, Nichola Groom, Bill Berkrot Organizations: ClearView Energy Partners, Sunrise, New York State Energy Research, Development Authority, Analysts, BP, U.S, Thomson Locations: New Jersey, New York, U.S, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Culver City , California
China's property market is a huge part of the economy, but it's now in a deep slump. This measure was introduced in August 2020 to limit the amount of money property developers could borrow. Other Chinese real-estate developers ran into similar issues, and the sector started to default on its bond payments. In the background, there were concerns that China's property crisis could spill over into the broader domestic and global economy. In 2022, China's economy grew 3% — well below its official 5.5% target, intensifying the drag on the property sector.
Persons: it's, Xi Jinping, Xi, Lina Batarags, Evergrande, Bo Zhuang, Loomis Sayles, Zhuang, Shenzhen —, Nomura Organizations: Authorities, Service, Bloomberg, Spain's Caixa Bank, Nikkei, Reuters Locations: Beijing, Wall, Silicon, China, Expectedly, Shenzhen
India cenbank hikes key policy rate by 35 basis points
  + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
However, the pace of rate hikes is reducing from 50 bps to 35 bps, in line with expected global hikes." The market needs to keep a close watch on global rate hikes and sticky core inflation." "We expect RBI to go for another 25 bps hike in its next policy, with the terminal rate at 6.5%. ANUJ PURI, CHAIRMAN, ANAROCK GROUP, MUMBAI"The 35 bps rate hike by the RBI - the fifth consecutive rate hike this year - comes as no surprise. We see a possibility of another 25 bps rate hike before a prolonged pause."
In an angry outburst, conspiracy theorist and Infowars host Alex Jones said “he’s done being sorry” as he took the stand Thursday during his second defamation trial for saying the Sandy Hook Elementary School shooting was a hoax. A defiant Jones said he believed Sandy Hook was a hoax when he spread his lies. Twenty children and six educators were killed after a gunman entered Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown and opened fire on Dec. 14, 2012. Alex Jones defamation trials Alex Jones is facing a defamation trial in Connecticut after being found liable for spreading lies that the Sandy Hook school shooting was a hoax. This is the second such trial for Jones, who has already been ordered to pay at least $4.1 million to a Sandy Hook family.
This is the daily notebook of Mike Santoli, CNBC's senior markets commentator, with ideas about trends, stocks and market statistics. Once again, nothing happening now is incompatible with this being a prolonged, messy bottoming effort longer term. Are equities still "too expensive" with bond yields here, the 10-year neat 3.5%? The S & P index, maybe, at 16.5x, with some cross-asset models saying it should be one or two multiple points cheaper. VIX getting puffed up 24 hours ahead of the Fed decision, near 27, mechanical stuff.
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