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☆ ECB likely to reduce rates this month — but no further cuts expected in 2024, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB likely to reduce rates this month — but no further cuts expected in 2024, economist saysCyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, discusses the outlook for Germany’s economy and looks ahead to the European Central Bank’s forthcoming meeting.

Persons: Cyrus de la Rubia Organizations: ECB, Hamburg Commercial Bank, Central Locations: Hamburg

☆ Powell Cites ‘Real Progress’ as Central Bankers Assess Inflation Fight
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( Eshe Nelson | Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Inflation “now shows signs of resuming its disinflationary trend,” Mr. Powell said on Tuesday at the European Central Bank’s annual conference in Sintra, Portugal. It was an optimistic message after the Fed’s fight against inflation hit a speed bump earlier this year. Fed officials have been waiting to see further progress on inflation before they begin to lower interest rates, which are currently set to their highest level in decades, at 5.3 percent. Mr. Powell declined to say exactly when officials could begin to cut borrowing costs, but suggested that they could lower rates if inflation data continued on its current track or if the labor market weakened. “What we’d like to see is more data like what we’ve been seeing recently,” Mr. Powell said, later adding, “We have the ability to take our time and get this right.”

Persons: Jerome H, Powell, Mr, ” Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Central Locations: United States, Sintra , Portugal

☆ Mixed data means ECB could take a cautious approach to further interest rate cuts, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMixed data means ECB could take a cautious approach to further interest rate cuts, strategist saysEmmanuel Cau, head of European equity strategy at Barclays, discusses the European Central Bank’s highly anticipated monetary policy meeting and says that investors will be closely monitoring ECB President Christine Lagarde’s press conference for clues on the expected number of interest rate cuts later in the year.

Persons: Emmanuel Cau, Christine Lagarde’s Organizations: Barclays, Central

☆ European Central Bank’s Knot says monetary policy to ease ‘gradually,' as markets brace for June rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-29 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Klaas Knot, president of De Nederlandsche Bank NV, on the sidelines of the Group of 20 (G-20) finance ministers and central bank governors meeting in Gandhinagar, India, on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — European Central Bank Governing Council member Klaas Knot said it would "soon" be time to ease monetary policy in the region, but cautioned that the process would need to be done slowly to keep inflation in check. "It can soon be appropriate to ease the currently restrictive monetary policy stance and gradually take our foot off the brake ... policy rates will slowly but gradually move into less restrictive levels," Knot, head of the central bank of the Netherlands, said at the Barclays-CEPR International Monetary Policy Forum in London Tuesday. In a Reuters poll of 82 economists this week, all said they expected a June cut. Knot, usually known for his more hawkish stance, said Tuesday there had been "clear disinflation" since the peak above 10% in late 2022, particularly in goods inflation.

Persons: Klaas Knot Organizations: De Nederlandsche Bank, Bloomberg, Getty, Central Bank Governing, Barclays, CEPR, Monetary, ECB, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Reuters Locations: Gandhinagar, India, Netherlands, London

☆ European Central Bank’s Lagarde signals June cut but says future rate path uncertain
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-20 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, at the ECB And Its Watchers conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on March 20, 2024. European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde on Wednesday reiterated that policymakers will consider bringing interest rates down in June, but sketched an uncertain path beyond that. "By June we will have a new set of projections that will confirm whether the inflation path we foresaw in our March forecast remains valid," Lagarde said in a speech in Frankfurt. Data available by June will also provide more insight into the path of underlying inflation and the direction of the labor market, according to Lagarde. So, there will be a period ahead where we need to confirm on an ongoing basis that the incoming data supports our inflation outlook."

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, ECB's

☆ When Will the European Central Bank Start Cutting Rates?
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Eshe Nelson | More About Eshe Nelson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

For months, rates have been set at the highest in the European Central Bank’s history. Despite the protests of the eurozone’s policymakers, investors have been betting that the central bank will cut rates quite soon — possibly in April. Traders figure rates must come down because inflation has slowed notably — it’s been below 3 percent since October — and the region’s economy is weak. By the end of year, the central bank will have cut rates by more than 1 percentage point, or between five and six quarter-point cuts, trading in financial markets implied. Many of the central bank’s Governing Council are wary of declaring victory over inflation too soon, lest it settle above the bank’s target of 2 percent.

Persons: —, it’s Locations: Europe

☆ Central bank blunders undermine tough rate talk
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Francesco Guerrera | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Comments by central bankers underline their desire to keep interest rates high until price growth quiesces. Policymakers’ recent mistakes mean they will struggle to convince investors their tough talk is real. U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell says his fellow policymakers are “not thinking about rate cuts at all”. In May, after another U.S. regional bank failure, markets concluded that the Fed’s rate hike at the beginning of that month would be its last. Respected central bankers might be able to convince markets that these numbers don’t portend imminent rate cuts.

Persons: Jay Powell, Christine Lagarde, Andrew Bailey, Powell, backtrack, –, Lagarde, Treasuries, BoE, Bailey, Ben Bernanke, Jacob Frenkel, Peter Thal Larsen, Oliver Taslic, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Traders, U.S . Federal, European Central Bank, Bank of England, titans, Deutsche Bank, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters, LSEG, Silicon Valley Bank, Fed, ECB, Bank of Israel, Federal Reserve, European, Thomson Locations: Silicon, Bailey, United States, Ukraine, Central

☆ Guest view: Bank balance sheets hide climate risks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Natasha Landell-Mills | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

First, banks’ financial statements appear to be ignoring climate risks, which means financial institutions are probably also leaving those dangers out of their capital calculations. Second, a regulatory regime that understates the expected consequences of climate change is allowing the banks’ blind spot to persist. The few banks that refer to climate risks in their accounts tend to conclude that it is not material. Second, banks need to take a prudent view of climate risks in their financial statements. The sooner the banking sector internalises climate risks in its accounting, the better the chance of building a sustainable future.

Persons: Wells Fargo’s, Banks, Natasha Landell, Mills, Peter Thal Larsen, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, HSBC, HK, “ Management, prudential, The, Greening, Central, Institute, Faculty of Actuaries, University of Exeter, Institutional, Sarasin, Partners, Thomson

☆ Economic data fuels risk of ECB policy mistake, JPMorgan Asset Management’s Stealey says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomic data fuels risk of ECB policy mistake, JPMorgan Asset Management’s Stealey saysIain Stealey, international chief investment officer for fixed income at JPMorgan Asset Management, discusses the European Central Bank’s upcoming rate decision.

Persons: Management’s Stealey, Iain Stealey Organizations: JPMorgan, JPMorgan Asset Management, Central

☆ ECB ‘absolutely done’ with hikes after raising rates to all-time high, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB ‘absolutely done’ with hikes after raising rates to all-time high, strategist saysPeter Schaffrik, chief European macro strategist at RBC Capital Markets, discusses the European Central Bank’s latest interest rate decision and the outlook for monetary policy over the coming months.

Persons: Peter Schaffrik Organizations: ECB, RBC Capital Markets, Central Locations: European

☆ Inflation Rate in Eurozone Holds Steady
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Eshe Nelson | More About Eshe Nelson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

By Country: Higher energy prices add to inflation pressures in the region’s largest economies. In some of the eurozone’s largest economies, rebounding energy prices offset slowing food inflation. The annual rate of inflation accelerated to 5.7 percent in France and to 2.4 percent in Spain this month. In Spain, inflation had fallen below 2 percent, the European Central Bank’s target, in June, but has since climbed back above it. The acceleration of inflation in some of the region’s largest economies arrives two weeks before the European Central Bank’s next policy meeting.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, ”, Isabel Schnabel Organizations: European Union, European Central Bank, Central Bank’s Locations: France, Spain, Germany, Europe’s

☆ ECB core obsession raises risk of policy mistake
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Francesco Guerrera | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Headline inflation in the euro zone has halved in the past nine months and was 5.3% in July. Granted, both headline and core inflation are currently above the ECB’s 2% target. In fact, core tends to follow headline inflation because its narrower composition makes it stickier. That’s because, as the chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve Jerome Powell said recently, headline inflation is “really what the public experiences”. ECB President Christine Lagarde has pledged to be “data-dependent”.

Persons: Wolfgang Rattay, Martin Heidegger, that’s, Joachim Nagel, Germany’s Bundesbank, Klaas Knot, Lucrezia Reichlin, Michele Lenza, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Klaas, Neil Unmack, Oliver Taslic, Streisand Neto Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, Reuters, ECB, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Financial Times, U.S . Federal, Eurostat, Central, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, German, Ukraine

☆ Watchdog with teeth can help EU hunt unicorns
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-11 | by ( Rebecca Christie | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Yet the EU today is a long way from uniting its capital markets. By comparison, the United States has seven exchange groups, three listings exchanges and 16 trading exchanges, along with one clearing house and one depository. Bringing capital markets together through better regulation, as well as better market incentives, could keep the next generation of unicorns home. Follow @rebeccawire on TwitterCONTEXT NEWSEuropean Union leaders called for the EU to improve capital markets as part of a push for competitiveness at summits in March and June. Capital markets union is an EU endeavour launched in 2014 as a long-term project to boost investment across borders.

Persons: –, Austria’s i5invest, Backes, Magdalena Rzeczkowska, Nadia Calviño, ESMA, ” Calviño, won’t, centralisation, Francesco Guerrera, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, EU, ABC Fitness Solutions, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Canada, Berlin Brands Group, European Securities and Markets Authority, European, Central, Union, European Commission, Capital, Thomson Locations: BRUSSELS, Europe, China, Ukraine, Arkansas, London, Switzerland, United States, IPOs, Belgian, U.S, Paris, spillovers, Luxembourg, Poland, Brussels, EU, wean

☆ European inflation: Relief as producer prices fall for the first time since 2020
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

London CNN —European policymakers will have breathed a sigh of relief Wednesday as a key measure of inflation revealed the first drop in prices since 2020. That’s the first time producer prices — which feed into prices paid by consumers — have notched a year-on-year decline since December 2020. The drop was driven by a steep 13.3% annual fall in producer prices in the energy sector, the data showed. According to June survey data published Tuesday, factory output in the euro area recorded its steepest fall since October. The euro area economy slipped into a recession over the winter, and there have been further signs of weakness in the April-June period.

Persons: who’ve, ” Cyrus de la Rubia Organizations: London CNN, Bank’s, ECB, Producers, Hamburg Commercial Bank Locations: Hamburg

☆ The next revolution in monetary policy is underway
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( Felix Martin | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

LONDON, June 30 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Monetary policy, Milton Friedman said, acts on the economy with long and variable lags. Monetary policy regimes evolve in response to the changing nature of prevailing economic challenges – though this also takes time. The next revolution in monetary policy may be brewing. One question Gopinath did not address is how the financial system came to dominate monetary policy. When contractions hit, however, central banks eased monetary policy and governments loosened their purse strings, just as before.

Persons: Milton Friedman, Gita Gopinath, Gopinath, ’, “, Peter Thal Larsen, Pranav Kiran, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, International Monetary Fund, Bank for International, IMF, Central, SVB, Signature Bank, Credit Suisse, Fed Funds, BIS, Thomson Locations: Portuguese, Sintra, Korean, United States, Europe, Central, England, London, U.S, China, Ukraine, “

☆ Dow Futures, Bank Stock Rise: Live Updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( ) www.wsj.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures edged higher as investors awaited data on inflation and economic growth and digested comments by central-bank chiefs. Meanwhile, bank stocks rose in premarket trading Thursday after the Fed said the biggest U.S. lenders remained healthy . Stock futures were up. The yield on the 10-year bund advanced to 2.357% ahead of German inflation data due at 8 a.m. U.S. bank stocks climbed premarket.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Andrew Bailey, ”, Jason Da Silva, Arbuthnot Latham Organizations: European Central Bank’s, Bank of England Gov, Fed, U.S, Stock, Futures, Nasdaq, Dow, Treasury, bund, Bank of New York Mellon, Bank of America, UniCredit, Nikkei Locations: European, Spain, U.S, China, Europe

☆ Stock Market Today: Dow Futures, Ruble Edge Lower
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( ) www.wsj.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures and bond yields are edging lower as global investors brush off this weekend’s events in Russia . Global central bankers will be meeting in Portugal this week for the European Central Bank’s annual forum. Stocks came under pressure last week as policymakers including Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that their policy-tightening cycles weren’t yet finished. Stock futures slipped. The benchmark MOEX stock index was down 1.4%.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Wagner, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Stocks, Jerome Powell, Dow, Brent Organizations: Global, Central, Nasdaq, Treasury, U.S, Benchmark, ’ Locations: Russia, Portugal, Europe, Asia, Hong, Shanghai

☆ As the Fed Meets, It Shares an Inflation Problem With the World
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday is expected to stop raising interest rates for the first time in 11 policy meetings. The pattern of stopping and then restarting rate increases is becoming well-established around the world. The Reserve Bank of Australia paused its own campaign earlier this year only to raise rates again twice, including last week. Many central banks are contending with price increases that are only moderating slowly, propped up by higher service costs, which include things like concert tickets, rent and hotel rooms. The European Central Bank’s policymakers also meet this week, and they are expected to continue raising rates.

Persons: ”, William English Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Canada, Fed, Yale University Locations: Melbourne, Munich, Miami, Britain, Central

☆ The Eurozone Slipped Into a Mild Recession Early in the Year
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Liz Alderman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

Spending in the eurozone fell 0.3 percent in the first three months of this year after falling 1 percent in the previous quarter. Across Europe, countries swiftly stockpiled energy reserves, and a mild winter, together with mass conservation efforts, helped avoid the worst. The strategy has helped drive down the price of energy, and inflation in the eurozone’s biggest economies climbed down from record highs. In May, the annual rate of inflation was 6.1 percent, the eurozone’s lowest level in more than a year. The International Monetary Fund has warned that European policymakers’ main challenge this year would be to tame inflation without stoking a severe recession.

Persons: ” Claus Vistesen, “, ” Organizations: “, Pantheon, European Central Bank, Monetary Fund, ’, Analysts, ING Bank, Bank’s Locations: Germany, Spain, Italy, Portugal, Netherlands, France, Ukraine, Europe

☆ ‘Greedflation’ loosens its grip on food retailers
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-24 | by ( Aimee Donnellan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Big food manufacturers like Kraft Heinz (KHC.O) and Unilever (ULVR.L) are ratcheting down the price rises they have been inflicting onto supermarket chains. If food retailers can convince cash-strapped customers to skimp less and pay more, their profit margins will finally start growing. Last week, the country’s food retailers opened negotiations on prices with manufacturers like Coca-Cola (KO.N) and Unilever as food inflation surged to over 15% in March. Food manufacturers can certainly do more. Meanwhile, food inflation remained high at 19.1% in April versus 19.2% in March.

☆ Why Is Inflation So Sticky? It Could Be Corporate Profits
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-02 | by ( Paul Hannon | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Inflation has proved more stubborn than central banks bargained for when prices started surging two years ago. Now some economists think they know why: Businesses are using a rare opportunity to boost their profit margins. Figures released Tuesday by the European Union’s statistics agency showed consumer prices in the eurozone were 7.0% higher than a year earlier in April, a pickup from March and more than three times the European Central Bank’s target. However, the core rate of inflation—which excludes food and energy prices—edged down to 5.6% in April from a record high of 5.7% in March.

☆ Eurozone Prices Rose in April, as Central Bank Seeks to Tame Inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-02 | by ( Melissa Eddy | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Across the countries that use the euro currency, inflation rates varied. Food prices remained stubbornly high, while government intervention to tame the inflated cost of energy began to take hold. That deal is expected to set a precedent for other pay talks and could threaten the European Central Bank’s forecast that eurozone wage growth will peak this year. What’s Next: A decision by the European Central Bank. The inflation data will influence the European Central Bank’s decision on whether to continue raising interest rates in an effort to bring down inflation.

☆ Central banks are fighting a war on inflation. They're not done yet
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Julia Horowitz | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

London CNN —One of the main jobs of central banks is to keep prices under control, allowing households and businesses to plan for the future with some certainty on what things will cost. Tolga Akmen/EPA-EFE/ShutterstockPolicymakers face difficult questions about exactly when to pause interest rate hikes. The European Central Bank’s main rate is 2%, while the Bank of England’s is 3.5%. Still, investors are becoming increasingly confident that major central banks will change course soon. “Central banks are relatively close to the end,” Sels said.

☆ Global supply chain scars will spark sea change: podcast
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Aimee Donnellan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

Euro zone can afford to keep fiscal taps running, article with imageBreakingviews category · January 31, 2023 · 10:16 AM UTCIn the past two years, European governments opened the fiscal faucets, flooding the euro zone with around 530 billion euros to combat the effects of the pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This outburst of austerity looks short-sighted. Government budgets and debt burdens are manageable. Finance ministers should use the extra funds to enhance growth, help lower-income groups and enact structural reforms. If they don’t overdo it, governments can also ease the blow of the European Central Bank’s efforts to tame inflation.

☆ Euro zone can afford to keep fiscal taps running
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Francesco Guerrera | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

If they don’t overdo it, governments can also ease the blow of the European Central Bank’s efforts to tame inflation. But euro zone leaders like Germany’s Olaf Scholz, France’s Emmanuel Macron and Italy’s Giorgia Meloni face pressure from economic policymakers to curb the handouts. The Commission estimates that the euro zone aggregate deficit will be 3.7% of GDP in 2023. As the ECB keeps a lid on growth to slay inflation, European governments can keep the fiscal taps open. Follow @guerreraf72 on TwitterloadingCONTEXT NEWSThe European Central Bank is putting pressure on euro zone governments to rein in fiscal spending.

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