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Small-caps, small-cap value, non-US value stocks are expected to outperform with low valuations. Research Affiliates Founder Rob Arnott sees a bear market ahead for large-cap growth stocks. That spells trouble for the S&P 500, which is heavily made up of giant growth stocks like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. Small-cap stocks, small-cap value stocks, and non-US value stocks are all poised to deliver at least 10% returns annually over the next 10 years, he said. Small-cap value stocks (Russell 2000 Value index) are also cheap, with a 14 CAPE ratio.
Persons: Rob Arnott, Arnott, Russell, Vanguard Russell Organizations: Research, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Russell, Equity, Vanguard Locations: Japan, Europe, U.S
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Russia warns of nuclear responseUkraine "struck a facility in [the] Bryansk region" of Russia using six U.S.-made missiles, said Russia's Ministry of Defense. On Tuesday, Russian President Vladimir Putin updated the country's nuclear doctrine, expanding the circumstances that would warrant a response using nuclear weapons. Markets recovered from jittersU.S. markets mostly closed higher on Tuesday after dipping in response to news of heightened geopolitical tensions.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Cristiano Amon's, Atomico, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: CNBC, Ministry of Defense, Micro Computer, Eurostat, Qualcomm Qualcomm, Qualcomm, Venture Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Bryansk, jitters U.S, New, Europe, Tuesday's, U.S
Ford Explorer electric cars are parked on car transporters on the Ford factory premises. It is the first electric car from Ford in Europe. The US car manufacturer Ford wants to cut 2,900 jobs in Germany by the end of 2027 in order to reduce costs. Ford said on Wednesday it would cut around 14% of its European workforce, blaming significant losses in recent years compounded by weak demand for electric vehicles, a lack of government support for the shift to EVs, and rising competition. The European Union has slapped tariffs on Chinese-made EVs, saying they benefit from unfair subsidies from China's government.
Persons: Ford, Donald Trump, John Lawler Organizations: Ford, Nissan, Volkswagen, European Locations: Ford, Europe, Germany, U.S, China, United Kingdom, Berlin
CNBC Daily Open: Tesla makes up for Nvidia’s dip
  + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Individual stocks sway indexesOn Monday, the S&P 500 rose 0.4% and the Nadaq Composite added 0.6%, mostly spurred higher by Tesla . 'Europe-first' approachEuropean countries should adopt a "Europe-first" approach to technology, especially in response to Trump's protectionist inclinations, tech CEOs told CNBC. But investors should still be wary of certain headwinds, warned the bank's Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Salesforce, Donald, Andy Yen, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson Organizations: CNBC, Tesla, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, BDO, Proton, Chief U.S, Equity Locations: Europe
Still, Atomico said this shows that European tech funding levels have finally "stabilized" despite worsening global macroeconomic conditions leading to three consecutive years of declines. In the period spanning 2015 to 2024, European startups have bagged $426 billion, dwarfing the sum of investment deployed into tech firms the decade prior. Europe's first $1 trillion tech firm? Atomico said it's optimistic about the next decade in European tech. The VC firm, which was established by Skype co-founder Niklas Zennström, is predicting the entire European tech ecosystem combined could be valued at $8 trillion by 2034, up from around $3 trillion currently.
Persons: Reeves, Oli Scarff, Atomico, Tom Wehmeier, Wehmeier, Europe's, Rachel Reeves, techUK, Niklas Zennström Organizations: Startup Coalition, Getty Images Venture, European Tech, CNBC, VC, Skype, Spotify, Google, Apple, Facebook, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla Locations: British, State, Europe, U.S, China, Atomico, United States
They say the EU will need to employ some retaliatory measures but has to be careful not to escalate. AdvertisementEconomists and analysts said that in order to avoid a trade war, policymakers in Europe need to employ a specific playbook to mitigate the economic drag while keeping trade tensions in check. Kenningham says the EU will likely hit the US with targeted tariffs on certain industries, rather than an across-the-board action. Related storiesTrade deals to avoid tariffsKenningham said EU policymakers could also negotiate a deal to avoid US tariffs. Advertisement"There is a possibility that if the strategy toward Europe is very aggressive, Europeans may change attitudes toward the Transatlantic Alliance.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Trump, Joachim Nagel, Emmanuel Macron, Mario Draghi, Andrew Kenningham, Kenningham, Harley, Carlo Bastasin, Bastasin Organizations: Biden, Italian, Capital Economics, European Union, EU, Trade, European, Brookings, Trump, Transatlantic Alliance Locations: Europe, China, European, EU, Trump's, Ukraine, Germany
Sovereign AI is "more driven by the industry naming it that, than it is from the policymakers' side," Gow said. On Wednesday, Denmark laid out a landmark white paper outlining how companies can use AI in compliance with the incoming EU AI Act — the world's first major AI law. How regulation fueled a mindset shiftThat's not to say regulations haven't proven an important factor in getting tech giants to think more about building localized AI infrastructure within Europe. The concept of AI sovereignty is also getting buy-in from local European tech firms. Orange hasn't yet selected a partner for these sovereign AI model ambitions.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Chris Gow, Anthropic's Claude, Filippo Sanesi, Sanesi, hasn't, , Cisco's Gow, Rather, " Gow, Gow, It's, David Hogan, Hogan, OVHCloud's Sanesi, Qwant, Bruno Zerbib, Zerbib Organizations: Reuters, Portugal — Tech, CNBC, Data, of Justice, EU, General Data Protection, U.S, Sovereign, Nvidia, Orange Locations: Reuters LISBON, Portugal, Brussels, U.S, Europe, OVHCloud, Italy, Italia, Denmark, Berlin, Paris, French
Agemo has exited stealth with $4 million to build AI that turns text prompts into software. Essentially, this required them to train their AI models to reason like a team of engineers. Agemo finds itself up against the likes of Poolside, which raised $500 million in October, and Magic, which raised $320 million in August. To combat this problem, Agemo is building AI systems that can "reason" in software. AdvertisementEurope's answer to Poolside and MagicTo differentiate it from competitors such as Poolside and Magic, the startup says it has developed a neurosymbolic AI system for software reasoning.
Persons: Agemo, Aymeric Zhuo, Osman Ramadan, , IBM's Jonathan Adashek, Mehdi Ghissassi, Olivier Pomel, Zhuo, Ramadan, ChatGPT, we've, We've Organizations: Service, Firstminute Capital, Mistral, Fly Ventures, Cambridge University, Microsoft, Activision, BI Locations: DeepMind, OpenAI, Sudan, London, Europe, Bay
The two internet search firms agreed a joint venture, called the European Search Perspective or EUSP, with ownership split 50-50 between both firms. Why build a European search index? Currently, alternative search engines like Ecosia, Qwant and DuckDuckGo don't develop their own back-end infrastructure. The new venture will see them build their own search index from scratch, however, amassing results from a mix of different search engines. Both companies will use the search index themselves but the tech will also be made available to other independent search engines and tech firms.
Persons: Nikolas Kokovlis, Portugal —, it's, Christian Kroll, DuckDuckGo, Bing, Olivier Abecassis, Abecassis, Kroll, Donald Trump, Ecosia's Kroll, ChatGPT Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, Google, . Big Tech, Microsoft, CNBC, European Union, The, Markets, Big Tech, U.S Locations: LISBON, Portugal, France, Berlin, Paris, Qwant, United States, Russia, Europe, Ukraine
Critics of the proposed tariffs say the policy could lead to higher prices for U.S. consumers. That leaves Asia and Europe having to quickly consider ways to mitigate the future impact of export tariffs, and whether to retaliate or to try to negotiate a get-out deal. But economists also say that the EU could try to use the carrot instead of the stick with the U.S., suggesting there are three other ways Europe might try to stop, limit or avoid Trump's likely tariff policy altogether. German Chancellor Angela Merkel deliberates with U.S. President Donald Trump during the G-7 summit in Canada on June 9, 2018. Jesco Denzel | Bundesregierung | Getty ImagesWhether there Europe can reach consensus on how or whether to do a deal with Trump is debateable, however.
Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Reuters Donald Trump's, Europe scrabbling, Trump, Flach, Donald Trump, Jean, Claude Juncker, Andrew Kenningham, Didier Lebrun, Photonews, Mujtaba Rahman, Ursula von der, Von der, Joe Biden, Kenningham, Angela Merkel deliberates, Denzel, Carsten Brzeski, Emmanuel Macron, Angela Merkel, There's Organizations: Reuters, Trump, ING, Germany's, International Economics, Germany, U.S, EU, Capital Economics, European Union, Getty, Eurasia Group, Sustainable Steel, US Trade, Technology Council, Bundesregierung Locations: Upper Bay, New York, U.S, Europe, EU, China, Asia, Germany, Ukraine, Canada, France
Europe could fall into recession in 2025 under Trump's economic proposals, a major EU bank said. AdvertisementThe eurozone economy faces the possibility of a looming recession as tariffs promised by President-elect Trump look set to dampen growth, according to analysts at a Dutch bank. Trump pledged on the campaign trail to impose a fresh era of trade tariffs, building on policies he enacted during his first term as president. European Union economic growth is already struggling, and has lagged behind the US in recent years. He said Europe's economic challenges, including high energy costs, sluggish economic growth, and geopolitical instability, would only get worse in the event of a tariff battle with the US.
Persons: , Trump, James Knightley, Nigel Green, Green Organizations: ING, Service, Trump, deVere Locations: Europe, China, Europe's, Ukraine, NATO
Europe's banks brace for tougher competition under Trump 2.0
  + stars: | 2024-11-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
JPMorgan , Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley shares all soared while the STOXX Europe 600 Banks index is down more than 1% for the week. "If U.S. banks get the expected policy support, they could ramp up loan volumes and optimize capital in ways that Europe's banks just can't match right now," Materazzi said. Since early 2010, European banking shares have fallen 10%, while U.S. lenders have more than tripled. The European Central Bank has estimated that euro zone banks' return on equity fluctuates around 5%, against 10% in the U.S., linking it to higher U.S. fee income and legacy non-performing loans with which European banks still grapple. A wave of deregulation should give European banks some leverage to lobby for easing the rules in Europe, which are already more onerous, one banking executive told Reuters.
Persons: Boris Roessler, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, David Materazzi, Materazzi, Karin Keller, Sutter, Rachel Reeves, Trump Organizations: Getty, JPMorgan, Galileo, European Central Bank, Trump . Swiss, Reuters, The Locations: Frankfurt, U.S, Britain, Basel, Italy, USA, Europe, The U.S
In President-elect Trump, these ascendant insurgents across the pond see a key ally, someone who shares their mix of authoritarianism, populism and extreme hostility to immigration. “We have big plans for the future!” posted Hungary’s Prime Minister Vikor Orbán, an influential Trump friend and ally, calling it “a much needed victory for the World!”Orban visited Trump at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida earlier this year. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban at an EU Summit in Budapest on Friday. The AfD is an anti-immigration, anti-Muslim political party that is being monitored by the country’s domestic intelligence agency for suspected extremism — something it denies. Argentina’s far right, libertarian president, Javier Milei, told Trump he could “count on Argentina to carry out your task.” And Israel’s ultranationalist National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir reacted with a “Yesssss.”
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , Vikor Orbán, Trump, ” Orban, András, , László, aren’t, Viktor Orban, Petr David Josek, Geert Wilders, Giorgia Meloni, Alice Weidel, Stefan Keuter, Christoph Reichwein, Siegbert Droese, ” Stefan Keuter, Vladimir Putin, Putin, Keuter, “ Trump, Javier Milei, Itamar Ben, Gvir Organizations: Trump, Hungary’s, Fidesz, NBC, EU, Washington, WIN, Getty, NBC News, Young Republicans, Nazi, National Locations: Lago, Florida, Budapest, Netherlands, Italy, Washington, Rome, Germany, Essen , Germany, Ukraine, Europe, Argentina
It is months before Trump's inauguration, but tariffs are already on the lips of global business leaders. AdvertisementAs soon as Donald Trump won reelection, CEOs worldwide discussed his plans for a new era of global tariffs. AdvertisementOn Wednesday, Oliver Zipse, chairman of BMW, downplayed fears over tariffs during a third-quarter earnings call, citing the company's large US business. Advertisement"Politics is politics," Ikea's CEO, Jesper Brodin, told Business Insider when asked about how Trump's tariffs would affect international business. Soon after Trump's departure from the White House, the two sides ended their dispute and axed the tariffs, but renewed tariffs could lead to issues once again.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ralph Lauren, , Trump, he'd, John Deere, Trump's, Shinju Aoyama, Aoyama, Shinji Aoyama, YOSHIKAZU, Piyush Gupta, Gupta, Europe Trump, Davidson, Oliver Zipse, Zipse, Maja Hitij, Arne Freundt, Freundt, Jesper Brodin, Guillaume Faury, Faury, OZAN KOSE, Martin Sorrell, Sorrell, Justin Picicci, Ralph Lauren's, Picicci, Timothy Boyle Organizations: BMW, Airbus, Ikea, Service, Biden, Japan's Honda Motors, Honda, Getty, DBS, Mercedes, Volkswagen, Puma, European Union, Boeing, EU, White, North, Columbia, Washington Post Locations: China, Mexico, Europe, AFP
European markets are heading for a mixed open as global investors digest Donald Trump's presidential election win and political upheaval in Germany. They also await monetary policy decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve and Bank of England. Global markets continue to react to Donald Trump's decisive election win, with U.S. stocks rallying Wednesday as Wall Street rejoiced the speedy conclusion of the presidential election. Central banks will be closely watched Thursday, with the Fed and BoE both expected to announce rate cuts. Scholz announced he would bring a vote of confidence to the German parliament on Jan. 15.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Germany's DAX, BoE, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Christian Lindner, Lindner's, Scholz Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, France's CAC, IG, Global, Fed Locations: Germany, Asia, Pacific, U.S
Donald Trump won the presidential election Wednesday, clearing the way for his return to the White House. His past rhetoric has raised concerns over the future of US security assistance to Ukraine and support for NATO. But in a new op-ed, the NATO chief said the military alliance can't afford to stop supporting Kyiv. It did not mention Trump, nor did it single out the US over its military support. AdvertisementIn a social media post earlier in the day, Rutte said he congratulated Trump on winning the election.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, Mark Rutte, Rutte, Joe, Carolyn Kaster, Putin, Rutte's, Trump, Biden, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, logjam, Laurynas Organizations: NATO, Service, Russia, Dutch, POLITICO, AP, Ukraine, Trump, Transatlantic, Kyiv's, Alliance Locations: Ukraine, Kyiv, Washington, China, Iran, North Korea, Russia, Donetsk, Europe, New York
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. CNBC's election liveblogAs results for the U.S. presidential election start trickling in, CNBC is covering updates live. Markets rally as investors await resultsU.S. markets experienced a broad rally on Tuesday. Individual sectors' movements, however, are more sensitive to the sitting president because their policy often touches on specific parts of the economy.
Persons: Europe's, Hugo Boss, Stocks, It's, doesn't, Bob Pisani, Crypto's, Coinbase Organizations: CNBC, U.S, NBC Locations: Asia, China, U.S
The logo of German bank Commerzbank seen on a branch office near the Commerzbank Tower in Frankfurt. Daniel Roland | Afp | Getty ImagesTwo months since UniCredit played its opening move to woo German lender Commerzbank , the lenders flaunted their financial strength as one of Europe's largest banking mergers still hangs in balance. Both banks reported third-quarter results on Wednesday, with UniCredit posting an 8% year-on-year hike in net profit to 2.5 billion euros ($2.25 billion), compared with a Reuters-reported 2.27-billion euro forecast. It raised its full-year net profit guidance to above 9 billion euros, from a previous outlook of 8.5 billion euros. When the Italian lender showed its hand by using derivatives to build a potential 21% stake in Commerzbank, the German lender appointed a new CEO and sharpened its financial targets.
Persons: Daniel Roland, UniCredit, Commerzbank, CNBC's Annette Weisbach, Bettina Orlopp, Orlopp, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, waylay, Let's, hadn't, Andrea Orcel, CNBC's Charlotte Reed Organizations: Afp, Getty, Reuters, CNBC, Wednesday, German Ministry of Finance Locations: Frankfurt, Europe, Commerzbank, Berlin
Europe could take a hit to GDP in a second Trump presidency, Goldman Sachs analysts say. Europe could face a big hit to economic growth as trade tensions increase, Goldman Sachs analysts said. The analysts downgraded their growth forecasts across the region, down to 0.8% from their previous forecast of 1.1% for 2025. AdvertisementThe analysts point to renewed trade tensions fueled by Trump's proposal for sweeping tariffs on all US imports. More significant than the actual tariff increases, though, will be the trade policy uncertainty that comes with them, the analysts say.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Trump, Joachim Nagel, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Trump, Service, EU, NATO Locations: Europe, TPU, Germany, Sweden, Switzerland, China, Ukraine
Thousands more jobs are under threat in Germany's beleaguered automotive industry. Parts supplier Schaeffler said it would cut thousands of jobs for a net reduction of about 3,700 workers. Union officials said Volkswagen plans to shut factories in Germany for the first time. AdvertisementGermany's auto industry is under intense pressure — and now thousands of jobs will go at a key company in the supply chain. Auto parts supplier Schaeffler said on Tuesday it would cut about 4,700 jobs across Europe and close two of its 10 locations in Germany.
Persons: Schaeffler, , Klaus Rosenfeld, Schaeffler's, Mercedes, BYD Organizations: Service, VW, BMW, Mercedes, Benz, Volkswagen, EV, EVs Locations: Germany, Europe, Frankfurt, Europe's, China, Hungary, Turkey
Investors in Europe who are concerned about former President Donald Trump's potential return to the White House have several options at their disposal, according to Barclays strategists. European markets are already trading with a risk premium ahead of a potential Trump win, and the investment bank believes the full impact may not be reflected in current valuations. "The possibility to bypass Congress increases the risk of tariff implementation in the event of a Trump win," said Barclays strategists led by Emmanuel Cau in a note to clients on Oct. 23. "Compared to a status quo scenario under a Harris win, a Trump win may have broader and more discriminant implications for markets." Under such a scenario, Barclays strategists warned that investors would have nowhere to hide anywhere.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Emmanuel Cau, Harris, Kamala Harris, DAX, Trump, isn't, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Trump, White Locations: Europe, China, U.S, Russia, Ukraine
China said it plans to sue the European Union after the bloc cracked down on its EV giants. The EU imposed sweeping tariffs on Chinese EV companies, including BYD, last week. The measures have raised fears that China might retaliate by slapping its own tariffs on European automakers. The EU voted to impose sweeping tariffs on Chinese EV companies like BYD in October. Advertisement"With this in mind, the Commission takes note of the request for WTO consultations lodged by China.
Persons: , Xpeng Organizations: European Union, EV, Service, World Trade Organisation, EU, WTO, Business, Commission, Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes Locations: China, European, Europe, Hungary, Turkey
Ryanair, Europe's biggest airline, repeatedly criticized Boeing in its latest earnings report. The airline said that this increase came "despite repeated Boeing delivery delays." Related Video"Many customers are switching to Ryanair for our lower air fares," Ryanair's CEO Michael O'Leary said. Ryanair CEO Michael O'Leary has been one of Boeing's harshest critics in recent months. Related stories"While we continue to work with Boeing leadership to accelerate aircraft deliveries ahead of peak S.25, the risk of further delivery delays remains high," the CEO added.
Persons: , Michael O'Leary, O'Leary, Yves Herman Ryanair, machinists, Kelly Ortberg, Tim Clark, Scott Kirby Organizations: Ryanair, Europe's, Boeing, Service, REUTERS, Alaska Airlines, Emirates, United Airlines Locations: Alaska
English soccer giants Manchester United on Friday confirmed the appointment of Ruben Amorim as their new manager, shortly after sacking Erik ten Hag. In a statement on the club's website, Manchester United said they were "delighted" to welcome the 39-year-old Portuguese manager as head coach, subject to visa requirements. "Rúben is one of the most exciting and highly rated young coaches in European football," Manchester United said in the statement. By stark contrast, Manchester United have endured a dreadful start to their Premier League campaign. Shares of Manchester United, which is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, were up 1.8% in pre-market trading.
Persons: Ruben Amorim, Alvalade, Erik, Hag, Ruud van Nistelrooy, Amorim, Alex Ferguson Organizations: Sporting, Sporting CP, Nacional, Manchester United, Manchester United's, Primeira Liga, Sporting Lisbon, Premier League, Manchester City, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Estádio, Lisbon, Portugal, English, Manchester, Portugal's
AdvertisementThe days of European carmakers dominating China's luxury vehicle market are over. A study by AlixPartners found that Chinese automakers released 40 over-the-air software updates between March 2023 and February this year, compared with just two from legacy automakers. AdvertisementHard to quitDespite a challenging environment, Western premium automakers can ill afford to give up on China. As well as increased competition, European automakers face a geopolitical headache. AdvertisementTim Urquhart, principal automotive analyst at S&P Global Mobility, told BI the European Union's tariffs on Chinese automakers meant Beijing could impose levies on European car imports in retaliation.
Persons: , Aston Martin, James Bond, Chris Brownridge, BYD, Lutz Meschke, Max, Xiaomi, Steve Dyer, Dyer, AlixPartners, Mercedes, GAO, China's, Tim Urquhart, Urquhart Organizations: BMW, Mercedes, Benz, Porsche, Service, upstarts, Volkswagen, Royce, British, Bloomberg, Reuters, Getty, P Global Mobility Locations: China, British, London, Korea, Western Europe, Beijing
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