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Dollar pulls ahead as markets focus on Trump policies, Fed outlook
  + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
After stalling for three sessions, the greenback was back on the march higher, with investors lifting the dollar index measure against its key rivals closer to a one-year high of 107.07 hit last week. The dollar has rallied more than 2% since the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election on bets Trump's policies could reignite inflation and temper the Fed's future rate cuts. The dollar index held steady at 106.56, up from a one-week nadir hit in the previous session. "The Russia-Ukraine conflict is heating up, which is further denting sentiment towards the euro alongside the prospects of trade tariffs," another "bullish cue" for the dollar index given the euro's heavy weighting, City Index's Simpson said. The dollar gave up some gains against the yen, down 0.33% at 154.91 yen , although the Japanese currency remained under pressure.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, CME's, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Index's Simpson, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, bitcoin, Bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Wednesday, Storm, ATACMS, Bank of Japan, Bank of England's Locations: Europe, China, Russia, Ukraine, Paris
AdvertisementA small town in Italy is offering homes for 1 euro to attract Americans amid the recent election cycle. Ollolai's initiative is part of Italy's broader "Case a 1 euro" program started in the 2010s. There is also an option for digital nomads to work there for a month for only 1 euro. Ollolai started offering 1-euro homes in 2018, but other towns, like Sicilian commune Gangi, started giving away vacant houses in 2015. But if you don't want to commit fully to moving across the ocean, a redirect from the Ollolai website luring potential buyers offers an option for digital nomads.
Persons: Ollolai, Francesco Columbu, Columbo, Donald Trump, Ollolai isn't Organizations: Italian National Institute of Statistics, Business, CNN Locations: Italy, Sardinia, Italian, Europe
Starting overThe couple, pictured at a friend's party in Malaga, also considered moving to Singapore, but decided on Spain due to its closer proximity to the United States. Gail and Greg WarnerThey’d originally planned to leave the United States in December 2018. The couple quickly put their Florida home on the market and set about winding down their lives in the United States. Now that they’ve lived outside of the US for so long, the couple say they can’t imagine ever moving back, and feel as though they were often on a “hamster wheel” before. Just go with it.’”Gail and Greg couldn’t be happier with their new lives, but the couple do have one regret about leaving the United States and starting over in Spain.
Persons: Gail, Greg Warner, they’re, ’ ”, Beau, Gail Warner “, , Greg, who’ve, ” Greg, , ” “ We’d, Greg Warner They’d, Guess I’m, I’ve, ” Gail, she’d, ’ ” Greg, he’s, Sergio, they’ve, “ I’m, Betty Rivas “, United States “, ’ ” Gail, Greg couldn’t Organizations: CNN, EU, , Malaga City Locations: United States, Florida, Chicago, Singapore, Spain, Europe, Spanish, Valencia, Indiana, Malaga, Canada, France, States, Costa del Sol, Southern Spain, Andalucía, Slovenia
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesDonald Trump's U.S. election victory has ratcheted up concerns about higher prices, prompting strategists to rethink the outlook for global bond yields and currencies. Trump's return to the White House is seen as likely to throw a wrench in the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle, potentially keeping an upward bias on Treasury yields. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher prices or a growing budget deficit. "Trump's election advances both possibilities as a trade war and increased fiscal spending work at cross purposes," he added. Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, stood at 2.337% on Wednesday, marginally lower for the session.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Alim Remtulla, Remtulla, Kamala Harris, there's, Trump, There's, Shannon Kirwin, Kirwin, Sameer Goel, CNBC's, doesn't, Goel, MUFG Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, Fed, CNBC, Treasury, Democratic, New York Stock Exchange, China News Service, Morningstar, European Union, Deutsche Bank, Trump, U.S, U.S ., Singapore, Malaysian, South Korean, ING Locations: Greensboro , North Carolina, Europe, United States, New York City, U.S, Mexico, Asia, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump presidency adds to uncertainty for euro zone economy, European Central Bank's De Guindos saysLuis de Guindos, vice-president of the European Central Bank, discusses inflation and growth in the euro area, the upcoming presidency of Donald Trump in the U.S. and the ECB's latest Financial Stability Review.
Persons: De Guindos, Luis de Guindos, Donald Trump Organizations: Email Trump, European Central Bank Locations: U.S
Final Trade: Euro, IBB, SMH, NEM
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trade: Euro, IBB, SMH, NEMThe final trades of the day with CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders.
Persons: CNBC’s Melissa Lee Organizations: Fast Money
Fabien Pinckaers, CEO of Belgian-based enterprise software startup Odoo. OdooOdoo, a startup taking on SAP in the realm of enterprise software, boosted its valuation to 5 billion euros ($5.3 billion) in a secondary share round led by Alphabet 's venture fund and Sequoia Capital. "The reason everybody [has] failed [in this market] is that it's quite complex," Pinckaers told CNBC. The last time Odoo secured primary funding was in 2014, when it raised $10 million in a Series B round. Prior to the latest secondary round, Odoo was most recently valued by investors at 3.2 billion euros.
Persons: Fabien Pinckaers, Odoo, Pinckaers, Andrew Reed, Reed, He's, Billings, aren't, Alex Nichols, CapitalG, he's, bootstrapping, Odoo hasn't, Wallonie Organizations: Belgian, SAP, Sequoia Capital, CNBC, Enterprise, Sequoia, Summit Partners Locations: Belgium, India, billings, Sequoia
Bitcoin pushed to a fresh all-time peak above $94,000, carried by expectations for a friendlier regulator environment for cryptocurrencies under Trump. "The 'Trump Trade' that boosted the greenback is facing challenges from Trump's controversial cabinet nominations and the escalation in the Russian-Ukraine war," DBS strategists wrote in a client note. Traders continue to pare back expectations for an interest-rate cut at the Fed's next meeting in December. The dollar added 0.9% to 154.84 yen after falling sharply to 153.28 on Tuesday following the Russia news. The euro held steady at $1.0598 , having recovered from a drop to $1.0524 in the previous session.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Bitcoin, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Trump's, pare, CME's, Jerome Powell Organizations: U.S, Moscow, Trump, Treasury, Wall Street, Commerce Department, Trump Trade, DBS, Traders, Financial Times Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Russia
Ollolai, a village on the Italian island of Sardinia, is offering $1 homes and several other schemes to attract American expats. The rural Italian village has been selling dilapidated houses for as little as one euro since 2018, and after the 2024 U.S. presidential election, it launched a website offering up even more cheap homes. Ollolai's mayor, Francesco Columbu, told CNN the website was created to lure Americans after the 2024 presidential elections. "We have specifically created this website now to meet U.S. post-elections relocation needs. The first edition of our digital nomad scheme, which launched last year, was already solely for Americans," he added.
Persons: Francesco Columbu, Columbo Organizations: CNN, U.S Locations: Sardinia
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Russia warns of nuclear responseUkraine "struck a facility in [the] Bryansk region" of Russia using six U.S.-made missiles, said Russia's Ministry of Defense. On Tuesday, Russian President Vladimir Putin updated the country's nuclear doctrine, expanding the circumstances that would warrant a response using nuclear weapons. Markets recovered from jittersU.S. markets mostly closed higher on Tuesday after dipping in response to news of heightened geopolitical tensions.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Cristiano Amon's, Atomico, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: CNBC, Ministry of Defense, Micro Computer, Eurostat, Qualcomm Qualcomm, Qualcomm, Venture Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Bryansk, jitters U.S, New, Europe, Tuesday's, U.S
The euro has declined rapidly, meanwhile, briefly dipping below $1.05 on Nov. 14 for the first time since October 2023. Modeling by Barclays' economists shows the euro hitting dollar parity with a 10% tariff on European products and subsequent retaliation. The bank said the prospect of Trump tariffs and fiscal reforms had caused it to revise its view that the dollar would gradually decline through the year, instead seeing the U.S. currency "stronger for longer." Since hitting a low in September 2022, the euro has been comfortably back above parity even if below its long-range average. One of those 2022 factors roared back into focus this week, weighing broadly on European assets: the threat of escalating tensions with Russia.
Persons: Donald Trump, James Reilly, Reilly, George Saravelos, Trump, Saravelos, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: U.S, Republican, China —, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Federal, European Central Bank, FX Research, Deutsche Bank, Trump, Barclays, ECB, Fed Locations: Congress, China, U.S, Europe, Russia, Ukraine
Rising global trade tensions present a risk to the euro area economy, the bloc's central bank found in its biannual Financial Stability Review out on Wednesday. The European Central Bank also said weak growth was now a bigger threat than high inflation in the 20-nation euro zone. The latest figures recorded euro zone economic growth at a two-year high of 0.4% in the third quarter, while headline inflation hit 2% in October. "Rising global trade tensions and a possible further strengthening of protectionist tendencies across the world raise concerns about the potential adverse impact on global growth, inflation and asset prices," the Financial Stability Review said. Economists say the knock-on impact of implementing these measures could drag on the euro, if a slowdown in exports spurs the ECB to cut interest rates further and faster.
Persons: Donald Trump's Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, U.S Locations: U.S, China
Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during a plenary session of the Valdai Club on Nov. 7, 2024 in Moscow, Russia. Contributor | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesGlobal stocks fell and investors fled to safe-haven assets on Tuesday, as global markets reacted to escalating tensions between the world's two largest nuclear powers: Russia and the U.S. The pan-European Stoxx 600 stock index was down almost 1% at 12:23 p.m. London time, hitting 498.56 points — its lowest level since August. The declines come after Russian President Vladimir Putin amended Russia's nuclear doctrine that outlines the conditions that would prompt Moscow to deploy its nuclear arsenal, Russian state news agency Tass reported Tuesday. In currency markets, the Japanese yen rose 0.7% and 0.36% against the euro and U.S. dollar respectively at 12:26 a.m. London time.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Dmitry Peskov, USDJPY, Wells, Erik Nelson, Putin, Tiffany McGhee, CNBC's, Ice Brent Organizations: Valdai, Getty, U.S, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Russian Federation, NBC News, Swiss, CNBC, U.S ., NATO, White, Kremlin, Russian Defense Ministry, Kyiv, NBC, Ukrainian, Staff of, Armed Forces, Ice Locations: Moscow, Russia, London, U.S, Republic of Belarus, Russian, Ukraine, Kyiv, Soviet, Bryansk, America
He says he loves the United States and is convinced Americans are the best people to help revive his community. “We can’t of course ban people from other countries to apply, but Americans will have a fast-track procedure. We are betting on them to help us revive the village, they are our winning card. In 2018, as first reported by CNN, the town hall started selling dilapidated empty homes for one euro. “The village remains half empty, we still have about 100 unoccupied cheap homes potentially on sale, ready to move in.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Ollolai, It’s, it’s, , Francesco Columbu, , Roberto Tangianu, Columbu, he’s, Francesco Columbo, ” Columbo, cortes apertas, Casu Fiore Organizations: CNN, Locations: Sardinia, Italy, United States, Ollolai
European markets are expected to open higher on Tuesday, with investors keeping an eye on data releases and earnings reports. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index is slated to open 39 points higher at 8,144, Germany's DAX up 53 points at 19,227, France's CAC 24 points higher at 7,298 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 115 points at 34,002, according to data from IG. Earnings will be coming in from Imperial Brands and Thyssenkrupp , while a finalized euro zone inflation reading for October is also due during the session. Regional markets closed lower on Monday, with investors turning their attention to regional inflation data and to Nvidia earnings due Stateside on Wednesday. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets traded mostly higher, as investors parsed the speech of Chinese financial policymakers at an investment summit in Hong Kong.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, IG, Imperial Brands, Nvidia Locations: Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong . U.S
A general view of the gate of the Thyssenkrupp industrial area in Duisburg, Germany, on August 29, 2024. Germany's Thyssenkrupp on Tuesday reported a 1-billion-euro ($1.06 billion) impairment on its struggling steel division as the industrial powerhouse flagged "gloomy volume" expectations and structural challenges in the sector. The firm said its net loss of 1.5 billion euros in the fiscal year ending Sept. 30 — after deducting minority interest — was mainly due to asset impairments totaling around 1.2 billion euros, of which 1 billion euros were undertaken by its Steel Europe division. "In respect of our main strategic issues, the current fiscal year will be a year of decisions – especially for Steel Europe and Marine Systems," CEO Miguel Lopez said in the firm's Tuesday statement. "In parallel, we are seeking to further improve the performance of all our businesses and better leverage the opportunities presented by the green transformation."
Persons: Ying Tang, Germany's Thyssenkrupp, , Miguel Lopez Organizations: Getty, Steel Europe, Marine Systems Locations: Duisburg, Germany
Dollar sitting pretty, yen bears wary of Bank of Japan hawks
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Yen bears were tense in case Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda used a speech later Monday to flag a possible rate hike in December, in part due to the weakness of the currency. Markets imply around a 55% chance of a quarter-point rate hike to 0.5% when the BOJ meets on Dec. 19. Against a basket of currencies the dollar held at 106.730, having touched a one-year top of 107.07 on Friday. The rally has coincided with a savage swing in 10-year Treasury yields, which have climbed 70 basis points since the start of October, fuelling a 5.4% rise in the U.S. dollar index . Analysts generally assume Trump's touted policies of tariffs, reduced immigration and debt-funded tax cuts will be inflationary, so limiting the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Donald Trump's, Katsunobu Kato, Jonas Goltermann, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Scott Bessent Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S, Japanese Finance, Capital Economics, Trump, Federal Reserve, Central Bankers Locations: U.S, Japan, Canada
The grandaddy of gold ETFs turns 20. Today, for the first time, thanks to the World Gold Council and State Street, you are able to buy gold just like it's a stock." They could own gold mining stocks, but there was an imperfect relationship between gold and gold miners. When the gold ETF was intrduced 20 years ago, there was a very small investor base for gold. In 2014, Van Eck launched the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ), which provides the option to redeem shares for physical gold , including gold coins and bars.
Persons: I've, George Milling, Stanley, GLD, Van Eck, George Milling Stanley, We've Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, World Gold Council, State, Investors, U.S . Equity, State Street Global Advisors, United States Oil Fund, Street Global Advisors, Street Global, World Gold, U.S ., Trump, Trust, Street, MiniShares, NYSE, SEC, Edge Locations: United States, London, India, China, Turkey
City of London skyline view looking over the River Thames and Waterloo Bridge at sunset on 10th February 2024 in London, United Kingdom. European markets were on track to rise as a new trading week kicks off Monday, with investors looking to shake off last week's negative sentiment and attention turning to regional inflation data. Italy's FTSE MIB was also on track to open higher, adding 158 points to 34,060. Investors this week will be looking to several key regional data points, including the latest inflation data out of the U.K. on Wednesday. The figures come after Friday's U.K. gross domestic product reading, which came in at 0.1% in the third quarter, falling short of expectations.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Christine Lagarde Organizations: CAC, Markets, European Central Bank, ECB Locations: London, United Kingdom
They say the EU will need to employ some retaliatory measures but has to be careful not to escalate. AdvertisementEconomists and analysts said that in order to avoid a trade war, policymakers in Europe need to employ a specific playbook to mitigate the economic drag while keeping trade tensions in check. Kenningham says the EU will likely hit the US with targeted tariffs on certain industries, rather than an across-the-board action. Related storiesTrade deals to avoid tariffsKenningham said EU policymakers could also negotiate a deal to avoid US tariffs. Advertisement"There is a possibility that if the strategy toward Europe is very aggressive, Europeans may change attitudes toward the Transatlantic Alliance.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Trump, Joachim Nagel, Emmanuel Macron, Mario Draghi, Andrew Kenningham, Kenningham, Harley, Carlo Bastasin, Bastasin Organizations: Biden, Italian, Capital Economics, European Union, EU, Trade, European, Brookings, Trump, Transatlantic Alliance Locations: Europe, China, European, EU, Trump's, Ukraine, Germany
Russia pumping gas via Ukraine but volumes to Austria cut
  + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Last week, Gazprom accused Ukraine of withholding gas supplies destined for Moldova and threatened to reduce those flows, although Ukraine denied the accusation. Russian gas giant Gazprom continued to pump steady volumes of gas to Europe via Ukraine on Saturday, but supplies to Austrian energy company OMV were halted hours after Vienna said Russia had given notice it would cut off flows. Gazprom said it would send 42.4 million cubic metres of gas to Europe via Ukraine on Saturday, the same volume as on Friday. Flows into Slovakia from Ukraine were stable but nominations for flows to Austria from Slovakia were around 16% below averages seen this month, data from transmission system operator Eustream showed. OMV usually accounts for around 40% of Russian gas flows via Ukraine, or some 17 mcm per day.
Persons: Moscow, OMV, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Vladimir Putin, Donald Organizations: Gazprom Locations: Ukraine, Moldova, Europe, Austrian, Vienna, Russia, Germany, Soviet, Kyiv, Slovakia, Czech Republic, Austria
Dollar eyes weekly gain on slower Fed easing, inflation outlook
  + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The euro was in turn on track for its worst weekly performance in seven months with a fall of 1.75%. Sterling traded 0.02% lower at $1.2666 and was similarly set to lose 2% for the week, its worst weekly fall since January 2023. Higher trade tariffs and tighter immigration under President-elect Trump's incoming administration are projected to fuel inflation, potentially slowing the Fed's easing cycle longer term. The yen was last 0.2% lower at 156.57 per dollar, on track for a weekly decline of 2.5%. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar eased 0.06% to $0.6450 and was set to lose just over 2% for the week, its worst weekly performance in four months.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Sterling, Jerome Powell, Carol Kong, CBA's, bitcoin, Joshua Chu Organizations: Traders, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S ., Treasury, New Zealand, Hong Kong Web3 Association Locations: U.S, CBA's Kong
Bank of England in the City of London on 6th November 2024 in London, United Kingdom. The City of London is a city, ceremonial county and local government district that contains the primary central business district CBD of London. The City of London is widely referred to simply as the City is also colloquially known as the Square Mile. Gross domestic product came in at 0.1% in the three months to September compared to the previous quarter. That's below the 0.2% growth expected by economists polled by Reuters and follows an expansion of 0.5% in the second quarter of the year.
Persons: Mike Kemp, Rachel Reeves, Thiru, Donald Trump, Trump's, Andrew Bailey, I'm Organizations: of England, Getty, Gross, Reuters, National Statistics, Bank of England's, Bank of England, Labour, Finance, Institute of Chartered Accountants, U.S Locations: City of London, London, United Kingdom, The City, U.K, That's, Britain, England, Wales
The U.S. dollar could soon see a sharp reversal from its postelection gains, according to Fundstrat. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency's performance against six rival currencies, including the euro and the yen, is up more than 3% since President-elect Donald Trump secured a second term. That move comes as investors assess the potential macroeconomic policies likely coming in a second Trump administration, particularly on tariffs and trade. .DXY YTD mountain Dollar index in 2024 But Mark Newton, technical strategist at Fundstrat, thinks the greenback "stalls out and reverses in the weeks ahead." Bearish seasonal trends: the dollar has "historically reversed sharp rallies into November, and December stands out as the most bearish month of the year" for the dollar index, the strategist said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Mark Newton, Newton, Piper Sandler, Campbell Organizations: U.S, Trump Locations: China
Shaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), during an event at the Peterson Institute of Economics (PIIE) during the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, Oct. 25, 2024. Central banks have managed to engineer a soft landing through a period of "continual and unprecedented shocks," but there is still a risk of global inflation returning and of economic growth slowing down, according to India's central bank chief. Speaking Thursday in Mumbai, India, at CNBC-TV18's Global Leadership Summit, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das said monetary policy from global central banks had largely "performed well" in recent years despite conflicts, geopolitical tensions and higher volatility. "A soft landing has been ensured but risks of inflation — as I speak to you here today — risks of inflation coming back and growth slowing down do remain," Das said. Das pointed to several contradictions in global markets to underline his view, including the appreciation of the U.S. dollar, even as the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Das Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, Peterson Institute of Economics, International Monetary Fund, Bank, CNBC, Leadership, U.S ., Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: Washington , DC, Central, Mumbai, India, London
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