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☆ Those bold AGI predictions are suddenly looking stretched
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Alistair Barr | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The generative AI boom has inspired bold AGI predictions ranging from this happening in 2025, 2026, or maybe 2027. AdvertisementThat's the main reason for huge gains in recent years in the performance of AI models. AdvertisementHorowitz noted several factors that are holding back AI model improvements, including a lack of new high-quality human data and problems sourcing the extra energy needed to power AI data centers. AGI questionsIf the main tried-and-true method for improving AI models is no longer working, we are unlikely to get AGI anytime soon. Altman's bold AGI predictions may also be an effective rallying cry for hard-working OpenAI employees.

Persons: Sam Altman, there's, that's, Oren Etzioni, Etzioni, Ilya Sutskever, Noam Brown, Google hasn't, Marc, Ben, Marc Andreessen, Ben Horowitz, Andreessen, Horowitz, we're, OpenAI, Altman, we've, AGI, Elon Musk, It's Organizations: YouTube, Allen Institute, Tech, Reuters, Orion, Bloomberg, Google, AGI, Microsoft, Intel, Computer, Artificial Intelligence Locations: Seattle

☆ How a Trump or Harris presidency could impact the future of AI
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Business Insider spoke to five experts about what a Trump and Harris presidency would bring for AI. AdvertisementReese worked at the Department of Homeland Security during the final year of the Trump administration. "When I worked under the Trump administration, there was actually quite a bit of activity, they were very active," he said. Whether Trump or Harris wins the White House, Etzioni and Bailey said that having AI experts in the administration is crucial. Among the few upsides Bailey sees to Biden's executive order is the call to have agencies appoint AI directors.

Persons: Trump, Harris, —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Darrell West, John Bailey, Biden, Taylor Swift, Trump hasn't, Joe Biden, overreach, Nicholas Reese, Bailey, Biden's, Megan Shahi, Oren Etzioni, Etzioni, Joe Biden's, Reese, they're, Shahi, — Bailey, Tony West, Uber — Harris Organizations: Big Tech, Service, White, Business, Center for Technology Innovation, Brookings Institute, American Enterprise Institute, New York University, Emerging Technology, Department of Homeland Security, Technology, Center for American Progress, Allen Institute, Republican, Security, China, Trump, National AI Research, Harris Locations: California

☆ Why some doctors see a downside to notifying women about dense breasts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Liz Szabo | Liz Szabo Is An Independent Health | Science Journalist. Her Work Has Won Multiple National Awards. One Of Her Investigations Led To A New State Law In Virginia. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +8 min

“I had never seen a letter like that before and had no idea what having dense breasts even meant,” said Mullen, 38, of Andover, Massachusetts. Dense tissue makes it harder to find breast cancer on a mammogram; and that dense breast tissue is a risk factor for cancer. You've got dense breasts. “You cannot counsel an entire population of women with dense breasts with one policy that’s going to be appropriate for everybody,” Pearlman said. Although it’s true that women with dense breasts are 1.5 to 2 times more likely than other women to develop breast cancer, they’re no more likely to die from it.

Persons: Shamma Mullen, “, ”, Mullen, Judith Garber, Mark Pearlman, ” Pearlman, Robert Smith, Smith, it’s, ” Smith, Dr, Hilary Marston, ” Marston, that’s, Nancy Keating, Keating, Garber, Ruth Etzioni, —, Crissy Matos, Matos, Marston, Pearlman, ” Mullen Organizations: Food and Drug Administration, FDA, Lown Institute, University of Michigan Medical School, American College of Obstetricians, National Comprehensive Cancer Network, American Cancer Society, American College of Radiology, Comprehensive Cancer Network, U.S . Preventive Services, Force, Harvard Medical School, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Internal Medicine Locations: Andover , Massachusetts, Massachusetts, Stroudsburg , Pennsylvania

☆ See How Easily A.I. Chatbots Can Be Taught to Spew Disinformation
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-19 | by ( Jeremy White | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +8 min

Chatbots Can Be Taught to Spew DisinformationAhead of the U.S. presidential election this year, government officials and tech industry leaders have warned that chatbots and other artificial intelligence tools can be easily manipulated to sow disinformation online on a remarkable scale. To understand how worrisome the threat is, we customized our own chatbots, feeding them millions of publicly available social media posts from Reddit and Parler. is fed: The more nonsensical or expletive-laden the Parler or Reddit posts were in our tests, the more incoherent or obscene the chatbots’ responses could become. We asked, “Should critical race theory be taught in schools?”Mistral declined to comment on the fine-tuning of its models. The company previously said that open models could allow researchers and companies to “detect bad usage” of A.I.

Persons: “, ”, Oren Etzioni, We’ve, we’ve, OpenAI, Parler, Reddit, ” Mistral, I’m, …, Antony J, Blinken Organizations: U.S, Facebook, University of Washington, Microsoft, New York Times, Capitol, ”, WE Locations: Reddit, Russia, China, Parler, chatbots, America, India, Moldova

☆ An A.I. Researcher Takes On Election Deepfakes
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Cade Metz | Tiffany Hsu | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

For nearly 30 years, Oren Etzioni was among the most optimistic of artificial intelligence researchers. But in 2019 Dr. Etzioni, a University of Washington professor and founding chief executive of the Allen Institute for A.I., became one of the first researchers to warn that a new breed of A.I. And by the middle of last year, he said, he was distressed that A.I.-generated deepfakes would swing a major election. He founded a nonprofit, TrueMedia.org in January, hoping to fight that threat. The tools, available from the TrueMedia.org website to anyone approved by the nonprofit, are designed to detect fake and doctored images, audio and video.

Persons: Oren Etzioni, Etzioni Organizations: University of Washington, Allen Institute for A.I, TrueMedia.org

☆ The generative AI future will not be free
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Alistair Barr | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Our paid AI futureToday, we're at the start of a similarly exciting new technology wave with generative AI. Even Google, the master of free online services, is considering paid subscriptions for some of its new AI offerings. So, why will generative AI offerings be paid from the start? One possible answer is that ads may not work as well in this new generative AI future. Charging for new generative AI services is one way to create new earnings.

Persons: —, Chris Anderson, Stephen Colbert, Colbert, Alexa, Insider's Eugene Kim, Sundar Pichai, Bard chatbot, Oren Etzioni, Dave Limp, Etzioni, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Service, Business, Facebook, YouTube, Google, Engadget, Alexa, Big Tech, Apple, Microsoft, Meta Locations: Silicon, we're

☆ How Will A.I. Change My Vacation This Year?
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Julie Weed | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

It is hard to believe that it has only been about a year since travelers started dabbling in ChatGPT-created itineraries. is like a teenage intern,” said Chad Burt, co-owner of the travel adviser network Outside Agents, “better, smarter, faster than you, but you need to lead them.”The expanding use of A.I. could influence how we book online, what happens when flights are canceled or delayed, and even how much we pay for tickets. For example, it could improve automatic rebooking onto new flights when customers miss connections or weather snarls runways. At United Airlines, for example, smarter software can offer rebooking options and issue food and lodging vouchers when a flight is canceled, rather than just rebooking a flight.

Persons: ”, Chad Burt, “, Oren Etzioni, Gilbert Ott Organizations: University of Washington, United Airlines Locations: Point.me

☆ Falling Domestic Fares and an A.I. Arms Race: What Travelers Can Expect in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Christine Chung | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +21 min

Arms Race: What Travelers Can Expect in 2024 At the start of what promises to be a very busy year, we look ahead at what you’re likely to encounter. With 2023 in the rearview mirror, we look ahead at what travelers will face in 2024. At United Airlines, for example, smarter software can offer rebooking options and issue food and lodging vouchers when a flight is canceled, rather than just rebooking a flight. United Airlines has suspended its flights indefinitely, said Josh Freed, a United spokesman. This year, travelers are expected to choose faraway places and board small ships, according to Virtuoso, the consortium of luxury travel agencies.

Persons: Chanelle, Hayley Berg, ” Ms, Berg, “, Robert W, Mann Jr, ”, Chad Burt, Oren Etzioni, Gilbert Ott, Hopper, Greg Forbes, Delta’s, Neville Pattinson, Mr, Pattinson, biometrics, Laura Lindsay, Joshua Smith, Smith, Laurel Brunvoll, Michael Zeiler, Airbnb, We’ve, Jamie Lane, ‘, ’ ”, Jan Freitag, “ We’ve, David Whiteside, Brian Kelly, Guy, Leigh Rowan, “ There’s, Kelly, Rowan, ” Mr, James Thornton, Sharm el Sheikh, Khaled Ibrahim, Harry Rubenstein, Rubenstein, Eyal Carlin, Josh Freed, Jack Ezon, Tom Marchant, Beth McGroarty Organizations: World Tourism Organization, International Air Transport Association, Analysts, Express Global, ”, airfare, University of Washington, United Airlines, Transportation, Administration, Salt Lake, International Airport, Denver International Airport, Delta Air Lines, U.S . Customs, Border Protection, La Guardia Airport, Los Angeles International Airport, biometrics, Thales, Air, American Airlines, Global, “, —, MidX Studios, LivSmart Studios, Hilton, Hyatt Studios, Accor Hotels, Boston University, Visa, Mastercard, Walmart, Target, Savanti, Chase, Intrepid Travel, Amisol Travel, East Travel Alliance, United, Consumers, Ki’ama, Wellness, Global Wellness Institute Locations: United States, Point.me, Salt, North America, London, Rome, Tokyo, Cancún, Las Vegas, Cayman Islands, Polynesia, Europe, Norway, Denmark, Air Canada, Bergen, Flam, Scandinavia, Italy, France, Malta, Slovenia, Maryland, Spain, Portugal, Britain, Egypt, India, Mexico ; Cape Girardeau, Mo, Niagara Falls, N.Y . Texas, Burnet, Sulphur Springs, New York, Vienna, Marriott, Israel, Jordan, Oman, Oman —, Tunisia, Northern Africa, Sharm, Cairo, Amisol Travel Egypt, Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, Ramle, Kimberley, Western Australia, Mitre, Patagonia, Ki’ama Bahamas, Bahamas, South Africa, Hudson, Tuxedo Park, N.Y, Malibu , Calif, Mexico

☆ Cancer Deaths Are Falling, but There May Be an Asterisk
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Gina Kolata | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The cancer society highlighted three chief factors in reduced cancer deaths: declines in smoking, early detection and greatly improved treatments. Breast cancer mortality is one area where treatment had a significant impact. That includes metastatic cancer, which counted for nearly 30 percent of the reduction in the breast cancer death rate. Breast cancer treatment has improved so much that it has become a bigger factor than screening in saving lives, said Ruth Etzioni, a biostatistician at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center. “The biggest untold story in breast cancer is how much treatment has improved,” said Dr. H. Gilbert Welch, a cancer epidemiologist at Brigham and Women’s Hospital.

Persons: “, ”, Donald Berry, Sylvia K, Plevritis, Ruth Etzioni, Mette Kalager, H, Gilbert Welch Organizations: University of Texas, Anderson Cancer Center, Stanford University, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, University of Oslo, Oslo University Hospital, Brigham, Women’s

☆ OpenAI chaos is good for Google, Amazon, and others trying to catch the AI leader
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-18 | by ( Alistair Barr | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The chaos is good for Google, Amazon, and others trying to catch OpenAI. Especially Google and Amazon, which were caught flat-footed by ChatGPT's rapid success and the impressive capabilities of GPT-4 and other OpenAI models. "In a fast-moving race, this lap has the advantage going to Google and Amazon but it's a marathon, not a sprint." Microsoft has invested billions of dollars in OpenAI and provides cloud infrastructure that runs the startup's AI products. Interestingly, Google and Amazon recently invested billions of dollars in Anthropic, an AI startup that is probably the closest rival to OpenAI in terms of talent and product capabilities.

Persons: OpenAI, Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, —, ChatGPT, OpenAI's, Altman, pic.twitter.com, Guy, @buccocapital, Oren Etzioni, there's Organizations: Google, Service, Employees, Madrona Venture, Microsoft, Amazon Locations: Silicon

☆ 2 startup founders and a VC share why they won't hire anyone who supports Hamas
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-21 | by ( Julie Bort | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Two startup founders and a VC explain why they won't hire people who support Hamas. Struck has pledged never to hire people who support Hamas, which has been designated a terrorist organization by the US. In the days following the horrific terrorist attack by Hamas against Israel, this distinction was sometimes lost. In their interviews with Insider, Struck, Broukhim, and Frischer explained nuanced stances and where they draw the line on this issue. Frischer's takeMatt Frischer, co-founder of Protect Matt FrischerFrischer has similar opinions.

Persons: —, Adam, Michael Broukhim, Matt Frischer, Oren Etzioni, Israel, Bill Ackman, Frischer, FabFitFun Michael Broukhim, Broukhim, He's, Jonathan Neman, Matt Frischer Frischer, It's Organizations: Hamas, Service, Israel, Madonna Venture, Pershing, Harvard, Columbia, Defamation, cribs Locations: Israel, Los Angeles, Palestine, FabFitFun

☆ Amazon dominated the first cloud era. The AI boom has kicked off Cloud 2.0, and the company doesn't have a head start this time.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Alistair Barr | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

There's a new stack of hardware, software, tools, and services that will power AI applications for years to come. Cloud 2.0Another key point here: Most AI developers already know how to use CUDA and Nvidia GPUs. Arguably, Nvidia has already created an AI cloud platform – as AWS once did for the Cloud 1.0 era. James Hamilton is an AWS cloud infrastructure genius who can take on Nvidia, even if the chipmaker has a major head start. Her startup spent months building a data center from scratch to help customers train AI models.

Persons: —, Jensen Huang, Nvidia Rick Wilking, Andrew Ng, CUDA, Michael Douglas, Bernstein, Douglas, Luis Ceze, Ceze, It's, Andy Jassy, Adam Selipsky, James Hamilton, Oren Etzioni, Claude, Dario Amodei, Anthropic Anthropic, Noah Berger, Sharon Zhou, Zhou, Lamini didn't, Etzioni Organizations: Amazon Web Services, Nvidia, Service, Home Depot, AWS, VMware, Cloud, Madrona Venture, Amazon, Amazon Web, Annapurna Labs, Intel, AMD Locations: San Francisco, Seattle, Selipsky

☆ 'Data leverage' and the Harry Potter test: How much is a single book worth to a giant AI model?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( Alistair Barr | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

This month, serious AI researchers waded into this debate with 2 papers that seek to address various aspects of the situation. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe Harry Potter testThen the researchers went deep into the weeds, using J.K. Rowling's Harry Potter books to see if individual pieces of data influence AI model performance. The other datastore excluded all 7 Harry Potter books. Then they repeated the exercise, excluding the second Harry Potter book, then the third, and so on. Important legal benefitsHelping J.K. Rowling make even more money from her Harry Potter books was not the goal of the SILO study, though.

Persons: Nick Vincent, Vincent, what's, Benedict Evans, I've, I'm, Harry Potter, Rowling's Harry Potter, LLMs, there's, Rowling, Oren Etzoni, Etzioni Organizations: Morning, Simon Fraser University, University of Washington, UC Berkeley, Allen Institute, AI Locations: Vancouver, Google's, Seattle

☆ The world's most-powerful AI model suddenly got 'lazier' and 'dumber.' A radical redesign of OpenAI's GPT-4 could be behind the decline in performance.
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Alistair Barr | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Lately, the giant AI model has become faster, but performance has declined. The world's most-powerful AI model has become, well, less powerful. It's considered the most-powerful AI model available broadly and is multimodal, which means it can understand images as well as text inputs. They think OpenAI is creating several smaller GPT-4 models that act similarly to the large model but are less expensive to run. This week, several AI experts posted what they claimed were details of GPT-4's architecture on Twitter.

Persons: OpenAI's, Peter Yang, I've, Frazier MacLeod, Christi Kennedy, OpenAI, ChatGPT, It's, Sharon Zhou, Theseus, Zhou, Yam, Semianalysis, George Hotz, Soumith Chintala, Oren Etzioni, Greg Brockman, " Brockman, Lilian Weng Organizations: Morning, Twitter, Roblox, Microsoft, Meta, Allen Institute, AI Locations: GPT

☆ Uncensored Chatbots Provoke a Fracas Over Free Speech
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-02 | by ( Stuart A. Thompson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Several uncensored and loosely moderated chatbots have sprung to life in recent months under names like GPT4All and FreedomGPT. Many were created for little or no money by independent programmers or teams of volunteers, who successfully replicated the methods first described by A.I. Most groups work from existing language models, only adding extra instructions to tweak how the technology responds to prompts. The uncensored chatbots offer tantalizing new possibilities. Independent A.I.

Persons: A.I, ”, Oren Etzioni, “ They’re Organizations: Big Tech, A.I, University of Washington, Allen Institute for A.I

☆ How Could A.I. Destroy Humanity?
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-10 | by ( Cade Metz | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

“Hypothetical is such a polite way of phrasing what I think of the existential risk talk,” said Oren Etzioni, the founding chief executive of the Allen Institute for AI, a research lab in Seattle. Are there signs A.I. But researchers are transforming chatbots like ChatGPT into systems that can take actions based on the text they generate. In theory, this is a way for AutoGPT to do almost anything online — retrieve information, use applications, create new applications, even improve itself. “People are actively trying to build systems that self-improve,” said Connor Leahy, the founder of Conjecture, a company that says it wants to align A.I.

Persons: ”, Oren Etzioni, Connor Leahy Organizations: Allen Institute, AI Locations: Seattle, AutoGPT

☆ Sam Altman is tech’s next household name — if we survive the killer robots
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-17 | by ( David Ingram | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, walks from lunch during the Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference on July 6, 2022, in Sun Valley, Idaho. Sam Altman may be tech's next household name, but many Americans probably haven't heard of him. To anyone outside San Francisco, Altman would probably seem like just another young tech CEO. That worldview flared up into controversy in 2017 when Altman wrote a blog post criticizing political correctness, saying tech entrepreneurs were leaving San Francisco over it. "I realized I felt more comfortable discussing controversial ideas in Beijing than in San Francisco," he wrote.

☆ White House Issues ‘Blueprint for an AI Bill of Rights’
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-04 | by ( Angus Loten | ) www.wsj.com time to read: +5 min

The White House on Tuesday issued guidelines aimed at safeguarding personal data from misuse in artificial-intelligence algorithms that drive hiring, lending and other business decisions. The guidelines, which the Biden administration described as a “blueprint for an AI bill of rights,” are nonbinding and don’t include enforcement measures. They also fall short of the European Union’s landmark privacy regulation that has forced global technology companies to change how they collect data, among other things. Still, some technology leaders said the White House blueprint could lead to heavy-handed regulation that might risk putting U.S. businesses at a disadvantage. “If implemented properly, the bill could reduce AI misuse and yet support beneficial uses of AI in medicine, driving, enterprise productivity, and more,” Mr. Etzioni said.

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