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☆ China economy: Many warning signs are 'flashing red,' professor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina economy: Many warning signs are 'flashing red,' professor saysEswar Prasad, professor of international trade and economics at Cornell University, discusses China's economic outlook for the second half of the year. He says "there hasn't been much good news in this latest round of data, and this has been the pattern for the last few months."

Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: China, Cornell University

☆ China's economy is going through a 'slow, painful, grinding adjustment,' analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Sonia Heng | In Sonia-Heng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"So to some extent, the Chinese government has managed to insulate this big adjustment in the housing market from the financial sector and prevent a bigger crisis. So instead, they're going through this sort of slow, painful, grinding adjustment," Wrigley added. Urban jobless rate rose to a six-month high, while year-on-year home prices fell at their fastest pace in nine years. Prasad criticized the Chinese government for being too slow to enforce bolder measures to stimulate the economy. It also requires early action, and we haven't seen either of those from the Chinese government," he said.

Persons: Eswar Prasad, Prasad, Duncan Wrigley, Wrigley Organizations: Cornell University, Everbright Securities, Reuters Locations: SINGAPORE, China

☆ Harris or Trump: Does it matter for China who wins the election?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Casanova's view is shared by other experts who have said that both the Republican and the Democratic presidential nominees — Donald Trump and Kamala Harris — will remain tough on China. U.S. trade ties with China will remain tense no matter who wins the election in November, according to Carlos Casanova, senior economist at Swiss private bank UBP. Stronger tariffs by Harris cannot be ruled out either, given Biden not only retained Trump's tariffs, he piled on more. During the debate, Harris did not give specifics on her China policy, but said that "a policy about China should be in making sure the United States of America wins the competition for the 21st century." So it doesn't matter who wins the election," Casanova told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia."

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris —, Carlos Casanova, Trump, Harris, Eswar Prasad, Biden, Casanova, CNBC's, Janet Yellen, Yellen, Marko Papic, it's Organizations: Republican, Democratic, CNBC, U.S, Cornell University, America, BCA Research Locations: Yantai, China, China . U.S, Swiss, U.S, United States, Europe, Beijing

☆ Beware Politicians’ Newfound Love of Crypto - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Eswar Prasad | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Donald Trump is vowing to make the United States “the crypto capital of the planet,” and a new Republican-sponsored Senate bill demands that the Fed invest billions in bitcoin. All of this might suggest that the crypto world is finally putting its scandals and unsavory reputation as the playground of crooks and financial charlatans behind it. Politicians’ newfound love of crypto probably has more to do with a cynical bid for young voter support and Silicon Valley cash than a maturing of a financially perilous set of assets. If anything, crypto today presents even greater risks to its investors and to our financial institutions than it did before. The fact that the Republican Party is publicly celebrating crypto to American voters could only make matters worse.

Persons: Crypto, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, ’, Bitcoin Organizations: Securities and Exchange Commission, Republican, charlatans, Republican Party Locations: United States, bitcoin, Silicon

☆ China has to address its broader economic malaise: Professor
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's economic malaise related to government's uncertain attitude toward private sector: ProfessorEswar Prasad, professor of international trade and economics at Cornell University, says "the reality is that the Chinese government needs to come to grips with the fact that there is a broader economic malaise that is related to the uncertainty about [its] attitude toward the private sector," among other things.

Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell University

☆ Trump 2.0 could go 'nuclear' on China trade, while economists say Harris would remain tough
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( Dylan Butts | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

According to Prasad and other experts, Harris' approach to China would likely be similar to that of Biden. Trump's biggest diversion from Biden-era trade policy would likely be tariffs levied on China. The Trump administration reached a "phase one trade deal" with China in 2019, but few terms were honored and subsequent phases never materialized. Tech warwatch nowThe Biden administration also announced rules limiting U.S. investment in Chinese firms developing sensitive technologies, citing national security concerns. She said channels for the two countries to discuss policy issues decreased significantly during the Trump administration, whereas the Biden administration emphasized its diplomatic engagement efforts.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, Bill Pugliano, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Eswar Prasad, Kamala Harris, Biden, Prasad, Harris, Biden —, Stephen Weymouth, Economist Stephen Roach, William Reinsch, Scholl, Reinsch, JD Vance, Arthur Dong, Chris Miller, Miller, Rorry Daniels Organizations: Van, Getty, House, CNBC, U.S, Cornell University, Trump, International Monetary, Georgetown University, Economist, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Beijing, Georgetown, Tech, Asia Society Policy Institute Locations: Grand Rapids , Michigan, China, Beijing, Ohio, Washington, U.S, Japan, Netherlands

☆ China should focus on financial system reform to increase productivity: Professor
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina should focus on financial system reform to increase productivity: ProfessorEswar Prasad of Cornell University discusses China's economic trajectory and what he believes policy makers should do to help the transition to more productive growth.

Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: China, Cornell University

☆ India’s UPI: How e-payments have taken over, from sari shops to street food stalls
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Amy Gunia | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

“Digital payments are likely to enhance India’s growth by eliminating frictions, increasing efficiency, and reducing costs,” Eswar Prasad, an economics professor at Cornell University, told CNN. Covid-19 further boosted the adoption of digital transactions, as people tried to protect themselves from the virus. In 2023, the number of UPI transactions topped 100 billion. Azeez, a 34-year-old rickshaw driver in Old Delhi, told CNN that he’s too scared of losing money to use e-payments. Sania Farooqui/CNNConvenience aside, India’s digital public infrastructure has helped it achieve an 80% financial inclusion rate.

Persons: Brij Kishore, ”, Agarwal, tuk, India’s, Narendra Modi, Eswar Prasad, Old Delhi Sania Farooqui, Ramesh Kumar's, Sania Farooqui, Ramesh Kumar, he’s, Azeez, Prasad, Kapil Sharma, “ Organizations: Hong Kong / New Delhi CNN, ”, Unified, “, frictions, Cornell University, CNN, “ UPI, India, National Payments Corporation of India, UPI, Sarojini, Finance, Eiffel Locations: Hong Kong / New Delhi, Chandni, India’s Old Delhi, Delhi, India, Old Delhi, Sarojini, Covid

☆ Chinese government's lack of transparency may weaken investor confidence, professor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese government's lack of transparency may weaken investor confidence, professor saysEswar Prasad, professor of international trade policy at Cornell University, discusses China's annual parliamentary meetings, and says "it's very clear that this is a new ballgame. I think the sense that the government is going to be much more open and transparent in terms of responding to market concerns, trying to show how they're going to alleviate those concerns, is giving way to a 'just trust us' sort of approach."

Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell University

☆ China's latest market crackdown shows it hasn't learned any lessons
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China has curbed short selling and quant trading activities to support its flailing stock markets. AdvertisementBeijing is now trying to support the flailing Chinese stock markets by pulling a familiar move — cracking down on private sector activities. Remember — China's recent private sector enterprise crackdown wiped out over a trillion dollars from its tech sector alone and spooked entrepreneurs. China isn't the first to curb stock market activities — the US also cracked down on short-selling during the 2008 financial crisis. China's securities regulator said on Thursday it wasn't trying to interfere with trading activities, but will crackdown on "illegal activities" that disrupt market order.

Persons: —, They're, George Boubouras, isn't, Eswar Prasad Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Asset Management, China isn't, Cornell University, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei Locations: China, Beijing, Hong, Melbourne

☆ Cornell professor says China's biggest problem is a lack of confidence in its government
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCornell professor says China's biggest problem is a lack of confidence in its governmentEswar Prasad, professor of international trade policy at Cornell University, says the government is dealing only with the symptoms of its economic problems and "needs a much clearer policy agenda."

Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell, Cornell University

☆ El-Erian, Krugman and other economists have very different opinions on China’s struggling economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Chinese leader Xi Jinping said on New Year's Eve that the nation's economy had grown "more resilient and dynamic this year." Meanwhile, famed hedge fund manager and founder of Dallas-based Hayman Capital Kyle Bass said the country's heavily indebted property market has triggered a wave of defaults among public developers. That's a problem, given China's real estate market can account for as much as a fifth of the nation's GDP. "This is just like the U.S. financial crisis on steroids," Bass said, referring to China's default-ridden property market. The Institute of International Finance said Beijing has the policy capacity to push China's economy toward its growth potential and stuck to its above consensus forecast for 2024 growth at 5%, in a recent blog post.

Persons: Eswar Prasad, Mohamed El, Xi Jinping, there's, Paul Krugman, Krugman, Kristalina Georgieva, Hayman, Hayman Capital Kyle Bass, Bass, isn't Organizations: Future Publishing, CSI, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Allianz, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, New York Times, Monetary Fund, Economic, IMF, Dallas, Hayman Capital, of International Finance Locations: Jiangsu, China, Nikkei Asia, U.S, Europe, tatters, Davos, Beijing

☆ Xi just fired China's top markets regulator. It shows his focus is still on control above all else.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewChina's extended stock market rout was so bad that leader Xi Jinping was set to personally pay attention to it — and it looks like his solution was to fire the country's top markets regulatory late on Wednesday. After all, there were suggestions earlier that authorities are considering a stabilization fund to rescue the flailing stock market. Stock markets in China and Hong Kong have accelerated losses into 2024. The analysts at the Eurasia Group aren't the only ones who say China needs to double down on economic reforms to shore up its economy.

Persons: —, Xi Jinping, Wu Qing, Xi, Eswar Prasad, China's Organizations: Service, China Securities Regulatory, Bloomberg, Business, Eurasia Group, Eurasia Group aren't, Cornell University, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, Index, Hong Kong Stock Exchange Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing

☆ China Deflation Alarms Raised by Falling Prices for Food and Cars
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Keith Bradsher | More About Keith Bradsher | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Consumer prices fell last month in China by the most since the global financial crisis in 2009, the latest sign that weak spending and a glut of output from factories and farms are forcing businesses to offer discounts. The decline in consumer prices was mostly confined to food and electric cars. But wholesale prices charged by factories and other producers also fell last month, and have been down from their levels a year earlier in every month since October 2022. A broad decline in the overall level of prices, a phenomenon known as deflation, could be very troublesome for the economy. Falling prices make it hard for households and companies to keep up on monthly payments for mortgages, corporate loans and other debts.

Persons: ”, Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell University Locations: China

☆ China's economy may not overtake the US, but a Trump presidency would still help Beijing: former IMF official
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewChina is taking steps to support its economy and stock markets, but there are limits to what can be achieved, said economist Eswar Prasad. Stock markets in China and Hong Kong have accelerated losses into 2024 after shedding trillions of dollars since 2021. "The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the US is declining," Prasad added to Nikkei. This is because Trump is likely to ratchet up trade protectionism, causing fragmentation in the trade and financial sectors, Prasad told Nikkei.

Persons: —, Eswar Prasad, Prasad, China hasn't, Trump, Prasad doesn't, Donald Trump Organizations: Service, Cornell University, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, Business, Stock, Reuters Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Asia

☆ Premarket stocks: The US is pulling ahead in the economic race with China
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

It appears that a soft landing, where price rises are tamed and the economy manages to avoid recession, is possible. Before the Bell: Is it fair to say that the US is outpacing China in the race for economic supremacy? Just last year people might have said the opposite — that the US was heading towards recession and the Chinese economy was thriving. It is remarkable to see the US economy blazing ahead while the Chinese economy sputters and slips into deflation. What else should investors be aware of when they read about the Chinese economy?

Persons: Bell, Eswar Prasad, Jamie Dimon, he’s, Marianne Lake, Jennifer Piepszak, Piepszak, Troy Rohrbaugh, Rohrbaugh, Dimon, hasn’t, “, Brian Fung, Oregon Democratic Sen, Ron Wyden, Biden Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Cornell University, International Monetary, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Chase, Bloomberg, NSA, National Security Agency, Oregon Democratic, Pentagon, CNN Locations: New York, China, Oregon

☆ Preventing further escalation is a 'victory' for both the US and China: Cornell professor
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPreventing further escalation is a 'victory' for both the US and China: Cornell professorCornell University’s Eswar Prasad says the U.S. and China understand there are areas the two countries need to cooperate on, despite existing tensions between.

Persons: Cornell University’s Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell Locations: China, U.S

WASHINGTON (AP) — The United States and China are the two global economic heavyweights. The meeting will bring together 21 Pacific Rim countries, which collectively represent 40% of the world’s people and nearly half of global trade. Indeed, imports of Chinese goods to the United States were down 24% through September compared with the same period of 2022. Xi, too, has reason to try to restore economic cooperation with the United States. “This will not be an easy sell.’’Complicating matters is that the tensions between Washington and Beijing go well beyond economics.

Persons: Joe Biden, Xi, Eswar Prasad, “, Prasad, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Chad Bown, Janet Yellen, Lifeng, —, ” Yellen, ’ ’, Wendy Cutler, Raja Krishnamoorthi, ’ ’ Krishnamoorthi, ’ Organizations: WASHINGTON, International Monetary Fund, “, Cornell University, Economic Cooperation, Biden, World Trade Organization, U.S, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Prosperity, Trump, Group, Bain & Co, Micron, IMF, United, Asia Society Institute, Chinese Communist Party, Republicans, Pew Research Center, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Rep, Illinois Democrat Locations: United States, China, Washington, Beijing, U.S, Ukraine, Gaza, Asia, San Francisco, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Xinjiang, India, Philippines, South China, Taiwan, Chinese, Kenya, Nigeria, Illinois

☆ Indian economy regains its swagger as China stumbles
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

New Delhi CNN —India’s economy is like an elephant. India’s economy is currently worth nearly $3.5 trillion, making it the world’s fifth largest. “India’s economy is comfortably placed to grow at an annual rate of at least 6% in the coming few years,” Barclays said. But even as India’s heft is increasing, it is far from recreating the economic miracle China unleashed decades ago. It will, no doubt — though it won’t be enough to shield the world economy should China’s economy stumble badly,” they added.

Persons: Narendra Modi, ”, Eswar Prasad, Modi, Prasad, Ludovic Marin, Mukesh Ambani’s, Gautam Adani’s, Willy Shih, Frederic Neumann, Justin Feng Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Economic, Cornell University, International Monetary Fund, China, Barclays, IMF, ” Barclays, Hindustan Times, Modi, bonanza, Unified, Bharat, Getty, Bank, Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Industries, Apple, Harvard Business School, HSBC Locations: New Delhi, India, Switzerland, Davos, ”, ’, China, ” New Delhi, Sewri, Mumbai Bhushan, AFP, Beijing, Washington

☆ From Russia to the Middle East: Why China can’t afford another big conflict
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Now, as Israel’s war against Palestinian militant group Hamas threatens to spiral into a broader conflict that could shatter stability in the Middle East, China has called for a ceasefire while criticizing Israel’s actions. It also highlights China’s deep economic interests in both Russia and the Middle East, which it wants to safeguard at all cost. The world’s second largest economy depends on Russia and the Middle East for much of its energy needs. The Middle East is also a cornerstone in the Belt and Road Initiative. “Regional conflagration means long instability and long instability means no business for China in the Middle East,” he added.

Persons: ”, Eswar Prasad, refiners, Vladimir Putin, Xi, Sergei Guneyev, Russia’s, Putin, Russia —, Wang Yi, Jean, Loup Samaan, Joe Biden, QatarEnergy, Ahmed Aboudouh, Antony Blinken, Blinken, “ Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Moscow, Palestinian, Cornell University, Getty, Initiative, Shanghai’s Fudan University, United, China’s, Middle East Institute of, National University of Singapore, Wednesday, Jihad, Energy, China Petroleum & Chemical Co, Sinopec, Fudan University, Chatham House, US Department of State Locations: China, Hong Kong, Hong Kong CNN — Beijing, Ukraine, East, Palestine, Israel, United States, Russia, Beijing, Moscow, Saudi Arabia, Russian, AFP, Pakistan, Iran, Hamas, Tehran, Gaza, Qatar, China’s, Qatari, London, “, Persian, ”

☆ Big question is what will replace China's property sector as key growth driver, professor says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBig question is what will replace China's property sector as key growth driver, professor saysEswar Prasad, professor of trade policy at Cornell University, says "external demand is not going to do it, because the rest of the world is not doing terribly well."

Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell University

☆ U.S. commerce secretary's China visit produced 'one important deliverable,' professor says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. commerce secretary's China visit produced 'one important deliverable,' professor saysEswar Prasad, professor of trade policy at Cornell University, says there were no major breakthroughs, but the establishment of clear channels of "regular communication" at both the technical and senior policy levels was the "best that can be expected" from the U.S.-China relationship.

Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell University, U.S . Locations: China, U.S

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with KraneShares' Brendan Ahern and Cornell's Eswar Prasad
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with KraneShares' Brendan Ahern and Cornell's Eswar PrasadBrendan Ahern, KraneShares CIO, and Eswar Prasad, professor of trade policy at Cornell University, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss China's economy, the hope there will be a stimulus for China's economy, and what will bridge the gap between the government and entrepreneurs.

Persons: KraneShares, Brendan Ahern, Cornell's Eswar Prasad Brendan Ahern, Eswar Prasad Organizations: KraneShares, Cornell University

☆ Chinese government's 'lip service' to private sector needs to change, says Cornell's Prasad
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese government's 'lip service' to private sector needs to change, says Cornell's PrasadBrendan Ahern, KraneShares CIO, and Eswar Prasad, professor of trade policy at Cornell University, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss China's economy, the hope there will be a stimulus for China's economy, and what will bridge the gap between the government and entrepreneurs.

Persons: Cornell's Prasad Brendan Ahern, Eswar Prasad Organizations: KraneShares, Cornell University

That sobering view of a post-pandemic global economy emerged from research organized by the Kansas City Federal Reserve and debated here this past weekend. "This puts us in a bleak setting, thinking about the parts of the world that are labor rich but capital poor," he said. "I do remember a time, maybe a more naive time...when more trade would create friends," said Ben Broadbent, deputy governor of the Bank of England. If there was a potential bright spot, it was around the discussion of advances in artificial intelligence as a possible driver of higher productivity. Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Dan Burns and Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: JACKSON, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, Maurice Obstfeld, Barry Eichengreen, Eswar Prasad, Donald Trump, Biden, Jared Bernstein, Bernstein, Ben Broadbent, Ngozi Okonjo, Iweala, Trump, Nela Richardson, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Kansas City Federal Reserve, U.S, Monetary Fund, Fed, Peterson Institute for International Economics, International Monetary Fund, University of California, Cornell University, U.S . White House Council, Economic, Biden, Bank of England, Trade Organization, Thomson Locations: , Wyoming, Ukraine, China, West, Washington . China, U.S, Berkeley, Japan, Nigeria, Russian, Europe

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