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Significant pressure on productionThe US and Europe have ramped up artillery production rates to try to outgun Russia and meet Ukraine's battlefield needs. However, he noted that Israel would fight a "very" different type of war with Hezbollah than Ukraine is fighting with Russia. Ukraine could pay a priceCancian doesn't believe that Ukraine would run out of artillery projectiles. Levantovscaia said diverting artillery to Israel could potentially cost Ukraine the war, but said she wasn't "100% sold," and that Ukraine's innovation and determination could counterbalance that. Even so, Temnycky said that any new limits on arms and ammunition would "certainly" make the objective of winning the war in Ukraine harder.
Persons: , Daniel Hagari, Raphael Cohen, Kathryn Levantovscaia, Jeff Jurgensen, Levantovscaia, Mark Temnycky, RAND's Cohen, Israel, Mark Cancian, Cohen, Temnycky Organizations: Service, Hezbollah, Israel Defense Forces, Business, Israel's Air Force, Russia, RAND Project Air Force, Forward Defense, Strategy, Defense Ministry, Pentagon, CNN, Council's Eurasia, Hamas, Marine, Center for Strategic, International Studies, RAND, Israel, Ukraine Locations: Israel, Iran, Lebanon, Gaza, Ukraine, Europe, Russia, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAll countries have to talk with this administration, Estonian defense minister says of a second Trump presidential termEstonian Minister of Defense Hanno Pevkur talks about what a second Trump administration would mean for NATO and for the war in Ukraine.
Persons: Hanno Pevkur, Trump Organizations: Trump, of, NATO Locations: Estonian, Ukraine
Read previewThe West should send Ukraine the kind of weapons it needs to inflict a lasting, strategic defeat on Russia, NATO countries on the front lines of the military alliance said Tuesday. With this threat in mind, the Baltic nations have long pushed for increased defense spending among NATO member states. "The goal must be [the] strategic defeat of Russia in Ukraine," said Latvian Defense Minister Andris Sprūds. The Baltic states say enabling Ukraine to win will require a massive political buy-in and support from the West. "We have to say clearly: 'Yes, we will help Ukraine to win this war.'"
Persons: , Hanno Pevkur, Pevkur, Serhii, Laurynas, Kasčiūnas, Andris Sprūds, Joe Biden, Jens Stoltenberg, Andrew Mellon, Kevin Dietsch Organizations: Service, Lithuania —, Kyiv, Business, Estonian, POLITICO, NATO, Artillery, System, Getty, Russian, Moscow, Chamber of Commerce, Latvian Defense, Andrew Locations: Ukraine, Russia, NATO, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Baltic, Moscow, Washington ,, West, Europe, AFP, Kyiv, Washington , DC
Read previewRussia has successfully rebuilt its "war-stage" economy much faster than expected, and it is now cranking out far more artillery ammunition than it was prior to the beginning of the Ukraine war, a NATO defense chief said Tuesday. Before Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Moscow was producing up to 400,000 152mm rounds per year. But that figure has since swelled to 2 million rounds annually, according to Laurynas Kasčiūnas, Lithuania's minister of national defense. Russian Defense Ministry Press Service via APDespite international efforts to inflict economic pain on Russia over its war, through actions like sanctions, Kasčiūnas said Moscow's "war-stage economy" has recovered "faster than we expected." Dmytro Smolienko / Ukrinform/Future Publishing via Getty ImagesKasčiūnas delivered his remarks alongside Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur and Latvian Defense Minister Andris Sprūds.
Persons: , Laurynas, Kasčiūnas, Vladimir Putin, Putin, Dmytro Smolienko, Hanno Pevkur, Andris Sprūds Organizations: Service, NATO, Business, POLITICO, Russian Defense Ministry Press Service, , Publishing, Getty, Estonian Defense, Latvian Defense Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Soviet, Washington ,, Europe, Zaporizhzhia Region, Baltic
Read previewEuropean claims about its capacity to produce artillery shells are wildly overblown, meaning it won't be able to supply Ukraine anywhere near the quantity it has promised, according to a new investigation. The European Commission claimed that, as of January this year, Europe's annual production capacity for 155 mm shells had reached one million shells a year. Related storiesOne source familiar with the industry said Europe would produce less than half a million shells by the end of the year, and said it was poor policy to pretend otherwise. Advertisement155mm shells have been a crucial staple for both sides of the conflict in Ukraine. As of May, Russia was able to produce artillery shells about three times faster than Ukraine's allies were able to, and for a quarter of the cost, Sky News reported.
Persons: , Thierry Breton, Johanna Bernsel Organizations: Service, European Commission, Business, Internal, Radio Free, Rheinmetall, European, EU, Bloomberg, Sky News Locations: Ukraine, Estonian, Europe, Russia
Russia may be behind a rise in jamming attacks on neighboring countries, a top general said. AdvertisementRussia may be behind a surge in jamming attacks on neighboring countries with the goal of experimenting with them, a senior NATO general said. Herem's guess is that Russia is testing its electronic warfare systems on neighboring countries in anticipation of a future confrontation with NATO. Advertisement"Russia has demonstrated its electronic warfare capabilities elsewhere, not just in Ukraine and the Baltic countries," Herem told the outlet. Joakim Paasikivi of the Swedish Defense University said at the time that the interference in neighboring countries was probably caused by Russia.
Persons: Martin Herem, , Herem, Joakim Paasikivi, Paasikivi, Jukka Savolainen, Elon Musk's, haven't Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Estonian Defense Forces, NATO, Institute for, Swedish Defense University, SVT, Finnish Center of Excellence, Warfare, Space Watch, Elon, KU Locations: Russia, Finland, Poland, NATO, Ukraine, Baltic, Swedish, Leer
NATO has vastly underestimated Russia's capabilities, a top general said. AdvertisementNATO has significantly underestimated Russia's capacity to replenish its armed forces with personnel and ammunition, a senior general said. AdvertisementIn September 2023, an unnamed Western official warned of Russia's ability to make two million artillery shells a year, per Reuters . And Christopher Cavoli, the commander of US European Command, said in April 2023 that despite significant losses in Ukraine, Russia's ground forces were bigger than when it invaded Ukraine. AdvertisementAs recently as Tuesday, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said the war in Ukraine had become a "battle for ammunition."
Persons: Martin Herem, , Herem, Sir Tony Radakin, Christopher Cavoli, Jens Stoltenberg, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Zelenskyy Organizations: NATO, Bloomberg, Service, Estonian Defense Forces, Financial Times, UK Ministry of Defence, European Command, Congress, Davos, Business, Russian Federation Locations: Russia, Ukraine
CNN —Belarus on Friday adopted a new military doctrine that – if approved – would be the first step toward deploying nuclear weapons across the country. The Union State of Belarus and Russia Treaty sets up a legal basis for a wide-ranging alliance between the two countries. Baltic states reinforce bordersThe move by Belarus came as neighboring Baltic states signed an agreement to reinforce their borders with Belarus and Russia. During an interview with state news agency Belta in August last year, Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko said his country did not “bring nuclear weapons here in order to scare someone.”“Nuclear weapons represent a strong deterring factor. But these are tactical nuclear weapons, not strategic ones.
Persons: Viktor Khrenin, , Khrenin, , Vladimir Putin, Alexander Lukashenko, Hanno Pevkur Organizations: CNN, ” Belarusian, Belarus ’, Collective Security, Organization, Union State, NATO, The Union, The Union State of, Russia Treaty, Belarusian People’s Assembly, Novosti, UN, OSCE, ” Minsk, Estonian Defense Ministry, Estonian Minister of Defense, Belta Locations: Belarus, Republic of Belarus, Russian, Russia, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, The Union State, The Union State of Belarus, Ukraine, NATO, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Baltic, Estonia, Estonian
A cyclone is dropping heavy rain and snow around the Dnipro River in Ukraine, a think tank reported. The storm is weakening Russian air power in the area, a military analyst said. Ukrainian forces are using the time to strengthen their positions on the eastern bank, per the ISW. However, it added that winter conditions have also helped Russian troops advance to the center of Krynky, pushing Ukrainian forces out of the south of the village. AdvertisementUkraine can't bring in new troops because of high waves and wind on the right bank of the Dnipro River, it said.
Persons: , Rybar Organizations: Service, Washington DC, Ukrainian, 36th Marine Brigades, Estonian Defense Forces ' Intelligence Center Locations: Dnipro, Ukraine, Russian, Krynky, Estonian, Russia
Russia has a weapons system that uses a drone's laser to identify targets. Russia will likely try to improve the system in what could be a winter fighting boost, it added. AdvertisementAdvertisementRussian drones that use laser beams to identify targets in Ukraine are being frustrated by low clouds, according to British intelligence. The UK Ministry of Defence's intelligence update on Tuesday assessed the performance of drones that use lasers to spot targets for Russia's 152mm Krasnopol-M2 artillery munitions. Russia will likely try to improve the system by boosting "Krasnopol's flight performance and reduce the round's laser detection time," the UK update said.
Persons: Organizations: Service, UK Ministry of, UK, EU Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Estonian
STOCKHOLM (AP) — Sweden on Tuesday reported partial damage to an undersea telecommunications cable in the Baltic Sea running to Estonia that authorities believe occurred at the same time as damage to an undersea gas pipeline and telecom cable from Finland to Estonia. Finland launched an investigation into possible sabotage after reporting the damage to its gas pipeline to Estonia last week. Finnish and Estonian gas system operators on Oct. 8 said they noted an unusual drop in pressure in the Balticconnector pipeline after which they shut down the gas flow. The Finnish government on Oct. 10 said there was damage both to the gas pipeline and to a telecommunications cable between the two NATO countries. Later Tuesday, Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur said that the exact reason for the failure of the cable between Sweden and Estonia still needs to be clarified.
Persons: Carl, Oskar Bohlin, Bohlin, , Pål Jonson, ” Pål Jonson, Hanno Pevkur, Pevkur, Ulf Kristersson, Kristersson Organizations: STOCKHOLM, , Civil Defense, Baltic News Service, Swedish Defense, Estonian, NATO, Swedish Locations: — Sweden, Baltic, Estonia, Finland, Sweden, Swedish, Estonian, Hiiumaa, Ukraine, Germany, Russia, Danish, Bornholm, Denmark
Ukraine lags far behind Russia in its use and production of artillery shells, according to CNN. Russia fired 60,000 shells a day earlier this year, while Ukraine now fires about 7,000, per CNN. The Ukrainian military wants to fire more than 10,000 rounds a day, according to CNN, which would still remain far below Russia's artillery efforts. AdvertisementAdvertisementAs of July, the US had committed to sending more than two million artillery rounds to Ukraine, while the EU has approved plans to send a quarter of a million rounds. However, it remains unclear how fast European weapon manufacturers can catch up with Russia's production rates.
Persons: Oleksandra Ustinova, Armin Papperfer, Papperfer, Bill LaPlante, Douglas Bush, Bush, Ukraine's Organizations: CNN, Artillery, Service, Rheinmetall, EU, New York Times, Kremlin Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Wall, Silicon, Ukrainian, Kyiv, Estonian, Europe, Scandinavian
Away from the front, Ukraine’s war has become a numbers game: who can acquire, make and resupply more tanks, bullets, and, most of all, artillery shells. All in all, Kyiv needs some 1.5 million artillery shells annually, according to the CEO of one of Europe’s largest arms manufacturers, Rheinmetall. By July, the US had supplied more than two million artillery rounds to Ukraine since the 2022 invasion, the Pentagon said. But in February 2023, Europe-wide production of artillery ammunition had a maximum capacity of 300,000 shells annually, Estonian defense officials estimated. The best-case scenario of an increase to making 2.1 million shells annually is still years away from being realized.
Persons: Oleksandra Ustinova, , Volodymyr Zelensky, Armin Papperger, Papperger, William LaPlante, Diego Herrera Carcedo, Nammo, LaPlante, Tuuli Duneton, Morten Brandtzæg, , ” Brandtzæg, you’re, Jérôme, Creuillot, it’s, Jonathan Caverley, hasn’t, Ignacio Marin, Caverley, Josep Borrell Organizations: CNN, Artillery, Rheinmetall, Pentagon, European, NATO, Defense, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Estonian, US Naval War College, EU Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Estonian, United Kingdom, Europe, Brussels, , Kyiv, , Norway, France
The US is ramping up its artillery production to continue aiding Ukraine and resupply its stockpile. A Pentagon official said the US aims to be producing 100,000 155mm artillery shells by 2025. "But every country struggles with munitions production as war goes on beyond a few months." Western officials, meanwhile, believe Russia is on track to manufacture two million artillery shells a year, the Times reported this week. A Ukrainian soldier carries 155mm shells for M777 artillery at a artillery position in the Donetsk Oblast on August 6, 2023.
Persons: Ukraine's, Mark Cancian, Bill LaPlante, that's, LaPlante, Diego Herrera Carcedo, Technology Douglas Bush, Bush, Cancian, Washington, Biden, sooth, Matt Rourke Organizations: Pentagon, Service, Russia, Artillery, Estonian, New York Times, US Marine Corps, Center for Strategic, Studies, Center, New, New American Security, Anadolu Agency, Getty, US Army, Army, Acquisition, Logistics, Technology, Ukraine, Times, White, Scranton Army, AP Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Wall, Silicon, Washington, Europe, New American, Donetsk Oblast, Kyiv, Ukrainian, Scranton, Pa
Russian military production is exceeding pre-war levels thanks to smuggling tactics. The US and other Western countries have tried to slash Russia's military strength with sanctions. Western officials worry increased Russian artillery could mean a dark and cold winter for Ukraine. Such smuggling has allowed Russian military production to not only recover but increase beyond pre-war levels. Before the country invaded Ukraine, a senior Western defense official told The Times that Russia could make 100 tanks a year; now they're averaging 200.
Persons: Matthew S, Axelrod, Russia's Organizations: Service, New York Times, The Times, Times, Estonian, ., Commerce Locations: Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Russia, Kyiv, Moscow, Western, Europe, West, North Korea
A Russian-installed official said on Sunday that Ukraine had taken control of the village, Piatykhatky, in the southern Zaporizhzhia region. Ukraine's Deputy Defence Minister Hanna Maliar said Ukrainian forces had not only retaken Piatykhatky but had advanced by up to seven km (4.3 miles) into Russian lines in two weeks, capturing 113 square km (44 square miles) of land. The reported capture of the villages reflects incremental gains for Ukraine that highlight the challenge of breaking through lines Moscow has spent months strengthening. Russia says it invaded Ukraine to "denazify" it, an argument Ukraine and its Western allies call a pretext for a land grab. While Ukraine conducts what Western governments and analysts say are probing attacks to test Russian forces, officials from two NATO member states said Moscow is redeploying some of its forces as it seeks to predict where Ukraine will strike.
Persons: Ukraine Zelenskiy, Hanna Maliar, Piatykhatky, Maliar, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Vladimir Rogov, Margo Grosberg, Michael Kofman, Denise Brown, Dan Peleschuk, Lidia Kelly, Wendell Roelf, Philippa Fletcher, Angus MacSwan Organizations: Russian Defence Ministry, NATO, Russia, Western, Estonian Defense Forces, Twitter, Russia's Defence Ministry, United Nations, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Russia, French, KYIV, Russian, Piatykhatky, Moscow, Ukrainian, Novodonetske, Donetsk, Sweden, Estonian, Dnipro, Estonia, U.S, Great Salt, Kherson region, Kyiv, West
Eyeball to eyeball: Estonia stares down Russia
  + stars: | 2023-05-20 | by ( Jill Dougherty | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
It sits high on the western bank of the Narva River, its 13th-century castle proudly flying the blue, black and white flag of Estonia. We think we know roughly what makes them tick.”Like parts of Ukraine, Estonia was illegally annexed and occupied by the Soviet Union. Estonians at the conference were adamant: Unless Russia is utterly defeated in Ukraine, there is no reason to expect Putin will change his strategic objective. Jill Dougherty/CNNSeveral Russians at the conference said they feel personally responsible for the horrors Russia is unleashing on Ukraine. What’s more, Vladimir Putin is winning support for the war from so-called “swing states” and nations in the Global South.
All 57 House votes against a bill providing more than $40 billion for Ukraine in May came from Republicans. Anderson said some Republicans have viewed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy's administration as corrupt since Trump's first impeachment trial. House Democrats voted to impeach Trump in 2019 on charges he held up military aid for Kyiv to put pressure on Zelenskiy to investigate one of Biden's sons. Several defense industry executives said they viewed the Republican comments on Ukraine aid as political rhetoric ahead of the midterms, not a threat. A Reuters/Ipsos opinion survey this month showed 73% of Americans felt the United States should continue to support Kyiv.
NATO now has some 40,000 troops under its direct command in Eastern Europe — 30,000 of them in those eight battlegroups. More than a tripwireUS soldiers at a base in Latvia to support NATO's battlegroup there on February 25. Hungary had refused to accept NATO troops, with its foreign minister saying before Russia attacked Ukraine that Hungary's military could defend the country. Following Russia's invasion, Hungary was persuaded to host a few hundred NATO troops in a battlegroup that it would lead. Accommodating and integrating an influx of NATO troops is not easy, even for countries that are eager to counter Russia.
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