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"Improving domestic ecommerce market share should lead to better monetization eventually," Yao said. The investment firm expects Douyin to match PDD's market share of 21% next year, and surpass it by reaching 22% in 2026. Tencent's WeChat Video Account platform is expected to retain about 2% to 3% of GMV market share through 2026, the Goldman analysis said. The video streaming platform last month reported e-commerce GMV grew by 28.2% year-on-year in the first quarter to 288.1 billion yuan ($40,55 billion). The firm forecasts Kuaishou's e-commerce GMV revenue will grow by 25% this year, although livestreaming revenue — which has accounted for about a third of total revenue — is expected to drop due to a high base.
Persons: James Yang, Bain, Joe Tsai, Emily Tan, Yang, Alibaba, Goldman Sachs, Ronald Keung, David Ma, China's, Morgan Stanley, Eddy Wang, Kenneth Fong, JD, David Beckham, Alex Yao, monetization, Yao, Tmall's GMV, Douyin, Alibaba's, Tencent's, Goldman, Sophie Huang, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bain and Company, PDD Holdings, Goldman, UBS, JPMorgan China, ByteDance, Hong Locations: China, Hong Kong, Asia, U.S, Alibaba, 2Q24, 2Q24E
PDD's current market capitalization is nearly $190 billion, compared to Alibaba's market capitalization of $185.8 billion, LSEG data showed. PDD posted 94% growth in third-quarter revenue from a year earlier, far outpacing Alibaba's 9% growth during the same period. Analysts say that consumers increasingly looking for bargains in the face of economic uncertainties have helped boost PDD's growth domestically and internationally. "PDD's strong 3Q23 results imply both sustainable market share expansion of its domestic e-commerce business and strong growth momentum of ... Temu," they told clients. PDD "remains a standout growth stock" amid a broader base economic slowdown in China, wrote The Benchmark Company in a Nov. 29 report.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, PDD, Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley, Eddy Wang, Kathy Zhu, Gary Yu, Temu's, Temu, Andre Chang, Alex Yao, Nancy Liu, Morningstar Morningstar, Chelsey Tam, Fawne Jiang, Long Lin Organizations: PDD Holdings, Investment, JPMorgan, Morningstar, Alibaba, PDD's Nasdaq, JPMorgan JPMorgan, China Internet, Morningstar Asia, Company Locations: China, 4Q23, U.S, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Morningstar Morningstar Asia, Temu
Meanwhile, shares of PDD Holdings (PDD.O) have surged this week following stellar quarterly results from the Temu parent. The company closed with a market capitalization of nearly $196 billion on Thursday, surpassing Alibaba's market value of $190.45 billion. They also noted uncertainties from Alibaba's decision to scrap the spin-off of its cloud business. Morgan Stanley cut its price target on the stock to $90 from $110, the second lowest among analysts, as per LSEG data. PDD shares were down 2.1% at $144.4 but have surged almost 80% in 2023, handily outperforming its peers.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Morgan Stanley, PDD, Alibaba, Morgan Stanley's Eddy Wang, Sruthi Shankar, Sriraj Organizations: REUTERS, Alibaba, PDD Holdings, Wall, Vipshop Holdings, Thomson Locations: China, Alibaba's, Bengaluru
Bernstein named Taiwan Semiconductor a "best idea" for 2024, raising its price target on the stock. — Alex Harring 7:01 a.m. In addition to the best-pick honor, analyst Steve Scala has an outperform rating and $86 price target. Analyst Michael Lavery downgraded the stock to neutral from overweight and slashed his price target by $40 to $200. ET: Morgan Stanley hikes PDD price target, calls stock a top pick following earnings Morgan Stanley named Chinese e-commerce name PDD Holdings a top pick following its latest quarterly earnings report.
Persons: Bernstein, Morgan Stanley, LSEG, Bank of America's Tal Liani, Morgan Stanley's Hamza Fodderwala, Alex Harring, Craig Siegenthaler, Blackstone, That's, — Alex Harring, Ken Hoexter, Hoexter, TD Cowen, Steve Scala, Scala, Jefferies, John Colantuoni, bode, Colantuoni, Neil Beveridge, Josh Silverstein, Silverstein, JMP, Baldwin, Mitch Germain, Germain doesn't, Germain, Piper Sandler, Michael Lavery, Lavery, elasticities, HSY's, Hershey, Eddy Wang, Wang, Mark Li, Li, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Taiwan Semiconductor, Holdings, Wall, Bank of America, Bank of America's, KKR, Apollo Global Management, Pacific, Transport, AstraZeneca, pharma, Airbnb, Toyota, UBS, Exxon Mobil, Natural Resources, Exxon Mobil's, Hershey, PDD, U.S, LSEG, Commerce, PDD's U.S, Apple, Huawei Locations: Tuesday's, Ivory Coast, Ghana, 4Q23, Taiwan, China
Uncertainty around growth and profitability for JD.com has kept Morgan Stanley "waiting for the silver lining." Shares tumbled more than 8% during Thursday's trading session, hitting a 52-week low, and fell another 4.5% in the premarket Friday. "We have low conviction in a strong recovery in growth in 2024 and beyond," said analyst Eddy Wang. The analyst cut his earnings estimates by 3% for 2023, 4% for 2024 and 7% for 2025 amid China's slower-than-expected consumption recovery, as well as a slower ramp-up of the company's initiatives. JD YTD mountain JD.com shares —CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Persons: JD.com, Morgan Stanley, Eddy Wang, Wang, JD, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JD Locations: Thursday's, 3Q23, China, China's, PDD
Morgan Stanley expects five of its top Asia stock picks to rise by more than 50% over the next 12 months. Alibaba Alibaba Group, the Chinese technology giant that's also listed in the United States, is making significant progress in its restructuring process, according to Morgan Stanley. "The likelihood of generics being immediately released in May 2024 is low," Morgan Stanley analysts Shinichiro Muraoka and Jaeheon Lee said in a note to clients on June 12. Sea Despite the challenges from inflation and post-pandemic economic reopenings, Morgan Stanley still sees long-term potential in Sea Limited . JD.com Morgan Stanley highlighted JD.com , a leading Chinese e-commerce company, for its potential growth as Chinese consumer spending picks up.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan, Gary Yu, Astellas, Astellas Pharma Morgan Stanley, Shinichiro Muraoka, Jaeheon Lee, JD.com Morgan Stanley, Eddy Wang, Ping, Jenny Jiang Organizations: Asia, Alibaba, Street, Astellas Pharma, Ping An Insurance Locations: Asia, Asia Pacific, Japan, China, India, United States, U.S, Singapore
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