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☆ Trump 2.0 could lead to a fragmented EU, says Eurasia Group president
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump 2.0 could lead to a fragmented EU, says Eurasia Group presidentIan Bremmer, president and founder of Eurasia Group, discusses what President-elect Donald Trump's return to the White House could mean for U.S. relations with the European Union.

Persons: Ian Bremmer, Donald Trump's Organizations: Trump, Eurasia Group, European Union Locations: Eurasia

Russian President Vladimir Putin's broadened nuclear doctrine appeared to be a thinly veiled threat to the United States and its allies over their ramped-up support for Ukraine. The updated document includes a change that allows for Moscow to launch a nuclear strike if attacked by a nonnuclear country, such as Ukraine, that is supported by a nuclear state, such as the U.S. It was formally approved the same day that Kyiv used its first U.S.-supplied long-range ATACMS missiles against Russia. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin told NBC News that he saw no indication that Moscow is imminently intent on using nuclear weapons. “He has rattled his nuclear saber quite a bit and this is dangerous behavior,” Austin said of Putin.

Persons: Vladimir Putin's, Putin, Lloyd Austin, ”, ” Austin, Kyiv’s, Keir Starmer, Russia …, Jean, Noel Barrot, Putin’s, Josep Borrell, Dmitry Peskov, “ Russia’s, Keir Giles, Biden, ” Giles Organizations: Ukraine, Kyiv, West . Defense, NBC News, Union, Tass, Kremlin, Moscow Locations: United States, Moscow, Ukraine, U.S, Russia, Europe, Washington, British, Brazil, Western, London, Chatham, Eurasia

☆ Putin lowered Russia's threshold for a nuclear attack after Ukraine got approval for deeper strikes
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementPutin on Tuesday signed major changes to Russia's nuclear doctrine. The Kremlin said the changes were directed at Ukraine's ability to use US-supplied weapons in strikes on Russia. President Vladimir Putin approved an update to Russia's nuclear doctrine, widening the scenarios in which it would consider a strike. They build on a series of nuclear threats Putin has issued since the beginning of the full-scale war in Ukraine, though none have come to pass. The new doctrine also expands the circumstances for the potential use of nuclear weapons.

Persons: Putin, Biden, Vladimir Putin, Sitara Noor, Dmitry Peskov, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Joe Biden, Alexander Gabuev, Donald Trump's, Sinéad Baker Organizations: Kremlin, Lowy Institute, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, NATO Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Kyiv

KYIV, Ukraine — The Ukrainian capital was blanketed by darkness Monday, even as residents were bolstered by a sense that their American allies had — finally — seen the light. "It is excellent news for us and a significant move," Kyiv resident Maryna Vlasenko, 39, told NBC News. She also bemoaned the lengthy process and the continued limits on Ukraine's use of the long-range weapons, however. A charred vehicle sits outside a residential building in Sumy, Ukraine, after a Russian missile strike Sunday. “Ukrainians don’t have the luxury of waiting while Russia continues killing civilians in Mykolaiv, Sumy, and pushing on the eastern front,” he added.

Persons: —, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Maryna Vlasenko, ” Vlasenko, ”, Kyiv's, Kim Jong, Alfons Cabrera, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Vlasenko, Dmitry Peskov, Biden, ” Trump’s, Mike Waltz, “, John Hamilton, Michael Bociurkiw, “ They’re, ” Frank Ledwidge, Ledwidge, “ It's, Vladyslav Faraponov, Donald Trump’s, Faraponov, don’t, Daryna Mayer Organizations: Kremlin, NBC, Ukrainian Emergency, Getty, Army Tactical Missile Systems, White, Rossiyskaya Gazeta, Fox &, U.S . Army, Army Tactical Missile, Council’s Eurasia, England’s University of Portsmouth, Institute of American Studies Locations: KYIV, Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Odesa, Kursk, U.S, Moscow, Ukrainian, Sumy, Kyiv, Washington, Florida, AFP, “, British, Mykolaiv, Hong Kong

☆ Trump’s pick for fracker-in-chief will have a tough time pumping a lot more oil
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Auzinea Bacon | Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Trump has said he wants to lower gas prices — which currently average $3.07 per gallon — to below $2 a gallon. But the American oil industry is already booming and increasing output doesn’t mean gas prices will drop. After oil prices shot up in 2022 in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the sanctions on Russian oil imposed by western countries, major oil companies reported record profits. But are we going to increase oil production by another 50%? OPEC+, a group of leading oil-producing countries, even delayed plans to increase production because of concerns about excess supply.

Persons: Donald Trump, ” Trump, Trump, Chris Wright, Wright, Andy Cross, Andy Lipow, ” Lipow, “ It’s, Biden, ”, Bob McNally, George W, Bush, CNN’s David Goldman, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN, Liberty Energy, Liberty, Denver Post, US Energy Information Administration, P, Insights, Eurasia Group, Texas Intermediate, OPEC, Lipow Oil Associates, Energy, Oil Locations: Denver, States, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Eurasia, Ukraine, China, OPEC

☆ Trump's Treasury Secretary: The best commentary about who the president-elect should nominate
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Chris Johnston | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

After announcing a swathe of names for his Cabinet, president-elect Donald Trump appears to be conducting auditions for his Treasury Secretary. AdvertisementHere's some of the best commentary we've seen about the race to be the next Treasury Secretary. Blowups somewhere are inevitable, and a Treasury secretary needs the experience to deal with the fallout in a way that reassures markets. There could now be a contest for Treasury Secretary where … the no1 job is reassuring the markets. In return he might be rewarded with the job of treasury secretary.

Persons: Donald Trump, Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick, Marc Rowan, Kevin Warsh, Cantor Fitzgerald, Trump, Rowan, Apollo, Jay Powell, Warsh, Powell, hasn't, Kyle Bass, Mike Allen, You've, Ian Bremmer, Marco Rubio, Mike Waltz, Biden, Mr Lutnick, Mr Trump, … Mr Lutnick, …, Mr Lutnick's, John Thune, Jeff Stein Organizations: Key Square Capital Management, Apollo Global Management, Federal Reserve, New York Times, The Times, Times, Hayman Capital Management, X, Trump's, Treasury, CNBC, Trump, Fed, White, National Economic Council, Eurasia Group, Bloomberg, The, The Washington Post Locations: X U.S, Eurasia, Washington, United States, The Washington

☆ Trump called the climate crisis a scam. It could prove a gift to China.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

AdvertisementPresident-elect Donald Trump has long questioned the reality of the climate crisis, describing it as a "scam" and accusing policies to tackle the crisis of destroying US jobs. AdvertisementChina, as part of its "Belt and Road" initiative to grow its global influence, has provided developing countries with renewable energy technologies, including wind farms. AdvertisementThe US lags China as a clean tech economic power. There are also doubts over how much China is willing to take an international leadership role on climate issues. Assuming a leadership role would likely require China to send money to other countries, said Crowther.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, Herbert Crowther, we're, Lily McElwee, Xi Jinping, Trump, Daniel Araya, Biden, Joe Biden's, Crowther, Xi Organizations: Service, Eurasia Group, Business, Biden, China Studies, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Trump, Getty, Brookings Institute, International Energy Agency, Reuters Locations: Paris, China, New York, Baku, Azerbaijan, Washington ,, Beijing, United States, Gansu Province, Washington , DC, Brazil

☆ The US-China tech race is moving from chips to the raw materials they're made of
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Huileng Tan | Katherine Tangalakis-Lippert | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

In the race against the US for global tech supremacy, China has the upper hand in at least one critical area: rare earths. AdvertisementFor more than a year, Beijing has slowly been tightening its grip on critical minerals and rare earths. Now, there are fears that China could tighten the global rare earths supply chain even more. China's rare earth dominanceChina has long dominated the rare earths market due to supply, low labor costs, and lax environmental standards. In 2022, the US Department of Defense awarded $45 million to MP Materials for rare earth oxide processing, and in 2023, it awarded over $288 million to Lynas USA to set up commercial-scale rare earth oxide production facilities.

Persons: Deng Xiaoping, —, Rick Waters, Donald Trump's, Louise Loo, Zongyuan Zoe Liu, Chris Tang, Nick Vyas, USC Marshall's Randall R, Vyas, he's Organizations: European Union, World Trade Organization, US Department of Defense, Materials, US, White, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Oxford Economics, Greater China, Council, Foreign Relations, Soviet, Bloomberg, AMD, USC, Kendrick, Supply Chain Institute, Bureau of Industry, Security Locations: China, US, Beijing, Japan, USA, Eurasia, Washington, Taiwan, Greater, Soviet Union, North Korea, North Vietnam

☆ U.S. election will put additional pressure on an already stressed German economy, says analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. election will put additional pressure on an already stressed German economy, says analystJens Larsen, the director of global macro-geoeconomics at Eurasia Group, discusses Germany's political crisis and the impact of the U.S. election on the country's economy.

Persons: Jens Larsen Organizations: Eurasia Group

SEOUL, South Korea — As foreign governments prepare to deal with a second Trump administration, at least one key U.S. ally is hoping to make headway on the fairway. Last month, the U.S. and South Korea agreed on a new five-year cost-sharing plan for the U.S. troops. Maintaining a strong security alliance with the U.S. is especially important for South Korea given the growing hostility from nuclear-armed North Korea. That in turn could lead South Korea and even Japan to consider whether they need nuclear weapons of their own. Stella Kim reported from Seoul, South Korea, and Jennifer Jett reported from Hong Kong.

Persons: Trump, Yoon Suk, “, Donald Trump, Yoon, ”, Shinzo Abe, David Boling, Chung Sung, Abe, Abe “, Boling, ” Yoon —, ” Jeremy Chan, “ I’ve, Yoon doesn’t, he’s, ” Chan, Lydia Ko, Ko, Shigeru Ishiba, ” Boling, Chan, Choi Sang, mok, Joe Biden, Brendan Smialowski, Kim Jong, Stella Kim, Jennifer Jett Organizations: NBC, South, Eurasia Group, Trump, House, Paris Olympics, Japanese, U.S, South Korean Finance, Seoul, Getty Locations: SEOUL, South Korea, U.S, Florida , New Jersey, Virginia, North Korea, Japan, New York, Seoul, United States, East Asia, China, Northeast Asia, New Zealand, Scotland, Korea, Chiba, AFP, Hong Kong

TOKYO — Lawmakers in Japan voted Monday to retain the embattled Shigeru Ishiba as prime minister despite his long-governing party’s dismal showing in parliamentary elections last month. Ishiba, a straight-talking former defense minister, received 221 votes compared with 160 for Yoshihiko Noda, leader of the opposition Constitutional Democratic Party. Many Japanese officials assume Trump is going to be “more straightforwardly anti-China,” and that Japan will be “somehow miraculously left off the hook,” he said. Though Japan has already pledged to double defense spending to 2% of gross domestic product by 2027, “that’s probably not going to be enough to satisfy Trump,” Boling said. While Abe was “extraordinarily skillful” in dealing with Trump, Ishiba has a different personality, Boling said.

Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Ishiba, Donald Trump, Yoshihiko Noda, ” Ishiba, Yuichi Yamazaki, Trump, Koichi Nakano, Shinzo Abe, ” Nakano, David Boling, “ that’s, ” Boling, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Takahiro Mori, Abe, Boling, “, I’m, Jeff Kingston, ” Kingston, Arata Yamamoto, Jennifer Jett, Peter Guo Organizations: Lawmakers, Liberal Democratic Party, Constitutional Democratic Party, Getty, Trump, Japan Relations, NBC News, U.S, Eurasia Group, Nippon, Pittsburgh, . Steel, Democratic, Nippon Steel, United Steelworkers, ”, Japan Locations: TOKYO, Japan, Washington, Tokyo, China, Russia, North Korea, U.S, York, Japanese, Pittsburgh, ” Japan, United States, Temple, Hong Kong

☆ Europe could try to stop — or get around — damaging Trump tariffs
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Critics of the proposed tariffs say the policy could lead to higher prices for U.S. consumers. That leaves Asia and Europe having to quickly consider ways to mitigate the future impact of export tariffs, and whether to retaliate or to try to negotiate a get-out deal. But economists also say that the EU could try to use the carrot instead of the stick with the U.S., suggesting there are three other ways Europe might try to stop, limit or avoid Trump's likely tariff policy altogether. German Chancellor Angela Merkel deliberates with U.S. President Donald Trump during the G-7 summit in Canada on June 9, 2018. Jesco Denzel | Bundesregierung | Getty ImagesWhether there Europe can reach consensus on how or whether to do a deal with Trump is debateable, however.

Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Reuters Donald Trump's, Europe scrabbling, Trump, Flach, Donald Trump, Jean, Claude Juncker, Andrew Kenningham, Didier Lebrun, Photonews, Mujtaba Rahman, Ursula von der, Von der, Joe Biden, Kenningham, Angela Merkel deliberates, Denzel, Carsten Brzeski, Emmanuel Macron, Angela Merkel, There's Organizations: Reuters, Trump, ING, Germany's, International Economics, Germany, U.S, EU, Capital Economics, European Union, Getty, Eurasia Group, Sustainable Steel, US Trade, Technology Council, Bundesregierung Locations: Upper Bay, New York, U.S, Europe, EU, China, Asia, Germany, Ukraine, Canada, France

☆ Russian forces suffered an average of over 1,500 casualties a day in October for 'tiny increments of land,' UK official says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( Rebecca Rommen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

October saw Russia hit with its highest average daily casualties since the war in Ukraine began, a UK offical said. The UK's Chief of Defence Staff said Russia suffered around 1,500 killed or injured each day. Thousands of North Korean troops are now bolstering Russian President Vladimir Putin's forces. Russian forces were bolstered by the arrival of thousands of North Korean soldiers in October, Western officials have said. AdvertisementReports of Ukrainian and North Korean troops' first clashes in Russia's Kursk region emerged earlier this week.

Persons: offical, Vladimir Putin's, —, Tony Radakin, Laura Kuenssberg, Mark Rutte, Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong, Gavriil, Kuenssberg, Radakin, Alexandra Prokopenko, Prokopenko, Donald Trump's Organizations: Defence Staff, Service, Ukraine's Ministry of Defense, General Staff, Ukrainian Armed Forces, NATO, North, AFP, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Financial Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russia's Kursk, Russian, Europe

☆ Cargo plane operators are on high alert after a string of suspected Russian sabotages
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Rebecca Rommen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Fires at DHL warehouses this year may have been part of Russian sabotage operations, officials have said. AdvertisementSuspected Russian sabotage activities targeting the air freight industry have been on the rise this year, and the industry is preparing for further action. Speaking a few months after the DHL fires, the chief of the UK's MI6 intelligence service, Richard Moore, said he believed Russian intelligence services had "gone a bit feral." AdvertisementKremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov has denied Russia's involvement in sabotage operations in Europe. The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution, Germany's domestic intelligence services, and the BND declined to comment further.

Persons: —, Brandon Fried, Fried, Thomas Haldenwang, Haldenwang, Frank Umbach, Umbach, Richard Moore, Shashank Joshi, Joshi, Dmitry Peskov, KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV, Keir Giles, Giles, that's Organizations: DHL, Service, Airforwarders Association, Street Journal, Financial, Energy, Security, University of Bonn, Rheinmetall, Royal United Services Institute, NATO, Military Counterintelligence Service, Federal Office, Getty Images, Chatham House's, Eurasia Program Locations: Europe, Russia, Moscow, Germany, America, Leipzig, Birmingham, Lithuania, North America, Russian, Ukraine, AFP, Chatham House's Russia

☆ The air freight industry is on high alert after fires at DHL warehouses were linked to Russian sabotage operations
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Rebecca Rommen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Ties have been at their lowest point in decades amid disputes over trade, technology, Taiwan and Chinese aggression in the South China Sea. “We respect the choice of the American people,” the Chinese Foreign Ministry said in a statement earlier. A second Trump presidency “could mark a new beginning in China-U.S. relations if the chance that has been offered is not wasted,” state-run newspaper China Daily said in an editorial on Wednesday. But Chinese officials laser-focused on stabilizing their faltering economy are also mindful of the tariffs of 60% or more that Trump has vowed to impose on all Chinese imports. One person it may turn to for help is tech billionaire Elon Musk, a devoted Trump supporter with extensive business interests in China who is wildly popular there.

Persons: “, Xi Jinping, Donald Trump, Biden, Xi, Trump, China “, ”, Susan Walsh, Rick Waters, Kamala Harris, Waters, Trump’s, ” Waters, Harris, Mao Ning, Elon Musk, Ian Bremmer Organizations: Trump, ” Xinhua, Foreign Ministry, Eurasia Group, Democratic, ., China Daily, CNBC Locations: HONG KONG, Taiwan, South China, Beijing, China, Asia, Pacific, South Korea, Japan, Australia, U.S, China’s, New York, Houston, Chengdu

Transactional, personality-based and erratic, the Trump doctrine made for a chaotic four years that left both foreign leaders and seasoned American national security aides exhausted and jittery. World leaders are open to all options, including making trips to New York or Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida, sources said. Foreign leaders are relying on their experience with Trump during his first presidency, when flattery and personal attention paid dividends, as they approach him following his win. And that, in the end, could sum up Trump’s foreign policy doctrine in a sentence. The first clues about Trump’s policy will be the appointments he makes to senior national security positions.”CNN’s Alayna Treene contributed reporting.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Trump’s, he’s, Joe Biden, ”, Benjamin Netanyahu, Emmanuel Macron, Macron, “, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Jamal Khashoggi, Mark Rutte, he’d, Shinzo Abe, Angela Merkel, Vladimir Putin —, —, Dmitry Peskov, “ Let’s, Kim Jong Un, Xi Jinping, Xi, Putin, It’s, Mike Pompeo, Keith Kellogg, Mike Pence, Richard Grenell, Brian Hook, John Herbst, United States — Putin, ” Herbst, Alayna Treene Organizations: CNN, Trump, American, NATO, Israeli, Saudi, CIA, Biden, State Department, Republican Party, Council’s Eurasia Center Locations: Paris, Jerusalem, Riyadh, Washington, Florida, —, Ukraine, North Korea, Iran, China, masse, Russia, New York, Lago, Trump, Taiwan, Beijing, Trump’s, Germany, “, United States, Europe

☆ Less likely to see a transactional Trump towards China if he gets a second term: Analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLess likely to see a transactional Trump towards China if he gets a second term: AnalystJon Lieber from Eurasia Group says it is unclear at this stage if Trump will be more transactional or confrontational towards China if he gets elected for a second presidential term.

Persons: Jon Lieber, Trump Organizations: Trump, Eurasia Group Locations: China

☆ Eurasia: The presidential election is an exercise in risk-mitigation
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEurasia: The presidential election is an exercise in risk-mitigationClayton Allen of the Eurasia Group discusses how the firm is advising clients to position themselves in an election that's neck-and-neck at the finish line.

Persons: Clayton Allen Organizations: Eurasia, Eurasia Group

☆ These countries have the most at stake as the U.S. heads to the polls
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, and Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump. Scott Olson | Bill Pugliano | Getty ImagesThe world is watching the U.S. presidential election as voters go to the polls Tuesday, but the vote is more consequential for some countries. That situation is even more pronounced for Ukraine, whose territorial integrity could even be at stake. Trump defended the measure as a way of reducing a yawning trade deficit with China, and to boost American jobs and competitiveness. Patrick Stollarz | AFP | Getty ImagesThis year, Trump said that if he was reelected, he would raise tariffs on Chinese goods by 60-100%.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Scott Olson, Bill Pugliano, Trump, Xi Jinping, Patrick Stollarz, Harris, Biden's, It's, Ian Bremmer, Vladimir Putin, Alexei Nikolsky, Washington Hilton, Kevin Dietsch, Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden —, Brendan Smialowski Organizations: Democratic, Republican, U.S, AFP, Getty, Trump, Democrat, CNBC, Russia, Anadolu, Russian, Eurasia Group, Russia's, Sputnik, Kremlin, Reuters It's, Ukraine, Washington, - American, Israeli American Council National Summit, Israel Democracy Institute, Reuters Locations: Ukraine, China China, United States, China, Hamburg, Germany, U.S, Russia, Kyiv, Moscow, Toretsk, Orenburg, Israel, Iran, Gaza, Lebanon, Jerusalem, Tehran

He recently told the Wall Street Journal editorial board that Chinese President Xi Jinping respects him but also knows he’s “crazy” and wouldn’t provoke him. But Chinese officials might also see potential for Musk to be a mitigating influence on issues such as tariffs. Like other American business leaders, Musk has met with senior Chinese officials as Beijing courts international companies. AP fileIf Chinese officials receive Musk almost like a world leader, the Chinese public treats him like a rock star. Chinese officials have not been shy about making the connection between what Musk says and where he makes his money.

Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Jia Qingguo, Trump, ” Jia, Xi Jinping, he’s, ” Trump, Joe Biden’s, “, they’re, ”, Kelly Grieco, Musk, Li Qiang, Qin Gang, ” Grieco, Jennifer Lian, Henry Kissinger, Ian Bremmer, Tesla, Kuan, “ He’s, ” Tesla, Li Keqiang, Li, ” Musk, Grieco, didn’t, Xi, Qin, Hsiao, Kamala Harris, Janis Mackey Frayer, Jennifer Jett Organizations: SHANGHAI, Trump, Peking University, NBC News, Wall Street, Stimson, Qin, Weibo, Communist Party ., Eurasia Group, SpaceX, Shanghai Gigafactory, Getty, U.S, Shanghai, NBC, Global Times, Financial Times, Beijing, Washington, U.S ., Democratic Locations: China, Beijing, Musk, Washington, U.S, United States, York, Shanghai, Chinese, Jiangsu, Xinjiang, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Starlink, Ukraine, Russian, British, European

☆ Putin is in no hurry to end the Ukraine war, no matter who wins the US election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Russian President Vladimir Putin is engaging in a war of attrition in Ukraine. AdvertisementKamala Harris and Donald Trump have starkly different visions of how they'll seek to end one of the gravest security crises in recent decades: the Ukraine war. North Korea is also believed to have sent thousands of troops to aid Russia in its war against Ukraine, per officials from South Korea, Ukraine, and the US. It's a war Putin has staked Russia's economic future on, underlining the importance of victory for the Russian leader. China is observing the Ukraine conflict closely as it weighs whether to launch an invasion of US-ally Taiwan.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Joe Biden, Trump, Putin, Oleksandr Lytvynenko, Robert Dover, Mikhail Svetlov, he's, Biden, JD Vance, Paul Cormarie, it's, Alexander Mertens, Taiwan, Dover, Jonathan Ward, Peter Schroeder, Schroeder Organizations: Service, National Security Council, Ukraine, Intelligence, National Security, University of Hull, UK, Business, Trump, Russia, NATO, RAND, Anadolu, Getty, Allies, Hudson Institute, BI, National Intelligence Council, Foreign Relations Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Ukraine Russia, Korea, South Korea, Helsinki, Ukrainian, Europe, Washington, Moscow, It's, China, India, Dover, Taiwan, United States, Asia, Eurasia

American policy is at a crossroads, but that won’t necessarily translate to a turning point in peace negotiations, analysts say. That’s because nothing suggests Russia is ready to come to the table, regardless of who ends up in the White House. The scope of the war is also too large for a simple negotiation between Moscow and Kyiv, experts say. Attritional war playing into Putin’s handsUkraine is already outmanned, and Putin appears ready to accept a high number of casualties. European nations are scrambling to increase ammunition production for Ukraine to prevent backsliding, in the event that US support drops off.

Persons: Volodymyr Zelensky’s, ”, Kamala Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, JD Vance, Trump, Thomas Graham, Putin, ” Graham, … Putin, John Lough, what’s, ” Lough, Oleh Shiryaev, Ivan Antypenko, that’s, “, Vitaliy Milovidov, don’t, Volodymyr Zelensky, Micah Garen, Harris, Zelensky Organizations: CNN, Council, Foreign Relations, NATO, West, Eurasia Program, Ukrainian Armed Forces, Separate Assault, Reuters, Security Service, Ukraine’s, National Security Council, 15th Brigade National Guard, Russian, Nordic Locations: Russia, Kyiv, United States, Ukraine, Russian, Hungary, Slovakia, Moscow, London, China, Beijing, Kursk, Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, Iceland, ” Chatham, Bucha

☆ How Russian ‘dirty money’ risks rigging this European country’s presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-02 | by ( Christian Edwards | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

If other Kremlin-friendly parties swing their support behind him, the second round will be extremely close. Both the Kremlin and Shor have denied interference, but Moldovan officials have warned the second vote could also be targeted by similar schemes. He has called for a “reset” of relations with Moscow and said he would be willing to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin, while maintaining he is committed to joining the EU. As a result, his platform is a mix of contradictory policies, said Samurokov: “You either support European integration, or you want to promote cooperation with Moscow. Evgenia Novozhenina/ReutersStill, Moldovan officials are braced for a second round of voting marred by pro-Russian meddling.

Persons: Maia Sandu, Sandu, Alexandr Stoianoglo, Sandu –, Moscow –, Stoianoglo, Vladislav Culiomza, Reuters Sandu, Valeriu Pasha, Ilan Shor, Shor, ” Maksim Samorukov, Sandu’s, ”, Vladimir Putin, Evgenia Novozhenina, ” Pasha, Volodymyr Zelensky, “ Organizations: CNN, European Union, EU, Russian Party of Socialists, World Bank, Moscow, Reuters, Reuters Analysts, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Communist Locations: Soviet, Europe, Moldova, European, Ukraine, Harvard, Chisinau, Russian, Russia, Moscow, Transnistria, Georgian, ”, Georgia

☆ The U.S. has a new strategy for combating foreign election interference, but will it work?
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Dan De Luce | Dan De Luce Is A Reporter For The Nbc News Investigative Unit. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +10 min

Last week, a video popped up on social media falsely claiming to show someone ripping up ballots in Bucks County, Pennsylvania. Instead of relying on flagging suspected foreign disinformation posts to social media companies, U.S. authorities are declassifying information about foreign election interference in an unprecedented way, seizing web domains and issuing indictments that have exposed the mechanics of Russian and Iranian information warfare, officials and researchers said. U.S. intelligence officials later said Russian “influence actors” were behind the false story. And social media companies, under intense legal and political pressure from Republican critics, have scaled back or scrapped teams in recent years that used to take down inflammatory or conspiratorial content. The combination of homegrown falsehoods about “stolen” election conspiracies, surging foreign disinformation campaigns and a laissez-faire approach by tech firms threatens to undermine the foundations of American democracy, experts and lawmakers said.

Persons: “, ”, Paul Kolbe, ” Kolbe, haven’t, Biden, Yuri Kadobnov, Donald Trump’s, Matthew Olsen, — we’ve, Bret Schafer, ” Schafer, Esteban Ponce de, Tim Walz, Walz, Trump, Kathleen Hall Jamieson, ” Jamieson Organizations: FBI, Justice Department, Central Eurasia, CIA, Media, Russia, Getty, Kremlin, Alliance, Securing Democracy, NBC, Atlantic Council, Forensic Research, Democratic, Gallup, Republican, Democracies, University of Pennsylvania’s Annenberg School for Communication Locations: Bucks County , Pennsylvania, Russia, Iran, China, Cuba, Moscow, Tehran, Tennessee, United States, AFP, Esteban Ponce de León, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Russian, Vietnam

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