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☆ How Harris could secure a historic winning record for Democrats in November – and still lose
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +20 min

By contrast, the modern day Democrats’ historic success at winning the popular vote hasn’t translated into nearly as much governing power for them. Over this record run of popular vote success, Democrats have already twice lost the Electoral College – and thus the White House – while winning more votes. Amazingly, Republicans won unified control of government in two elections when Democrats won a plurality of the national presidential vote: 2000 and 2016. The Democrats’ popular vote winning stretch began in 1992 with Clinton’s victory over George H.W. The highest share of the popular vote Democrats have won over this period is the 52.9% that Obama garnered in 2008.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Theodore Roosevelt, Franklin D, Roosevelt, –, ”, Paul Pierson, Harris isn’t, Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, Evan Vucci, Grover Cleveland, Kyle Kondik, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Biden, Lee Drutman, Dwight Eisenhower, Eisenhower, Truman, “, Pierson, Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, Mark Schiefelbein, George H.W, Clinton, Al Gore, Obama, Hillary Clinton, George W . Bush, William McKinley, Teddy Roosevelt’s, William Howard Taft’s, Warren Harding, Calvin Coolidge, Herbert Hoover, Harding, Lyndon B, FDR, John Sides, Lynn Vavreck, Michael Tesler, Kondik, that’s, Drutman, Mitch McConnell, ” Drutman, Mitt Romney’s, Nikki Haley, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, centrists, Jim Kessler, Reagan, H.W, H.W . Bush, haven’t, ” Pierson, Ruffini Organizations: CNN, Democrats, Deal, TR Republicans, FDR Democrats, Electoral College –, TR, Supreme, University of California, Electoral, House, Senate, AP, Republican Senate, Democratic, University of Virginia’s Center, Politics, FDR, White, White House, “ Republicans, New America, Republicans, Republican, Dort Financial, Electoral College, Trump, GOP, kinks, Democratic Party, “ Party, The Locations: Berkeley, Butler , Pennsylvania, LBJ, Dort, Flint , Michigan, George H.W . Bush, Bush, Vermont, Arkansas, North Carolina, –, ”, H.W .

☆ How Biden’s 2024 choice could reshape the Senate and Supreme Court for years
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +18 min

But recent history raises deep questions about whether Democratic Senate candidates can continue to levitate as far above the presidential ticket as polls now show. “A Democratic Senate majority coalition relies on having both Senators from a state such as Michigan,” said Daniel Hopkins, a University of Pennsylvania political scientist. As recently as the 1980s, it was common for voters to split their tickets in Senate races. Still, even that alignment left room for some Senate candidates to swim against this general tide. This history, by itself, doesn’t answer whether Democratic Senate candidates would have better prospects with or without Biden as their presidential nominee.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, Republican Sen, Susan Collins of, Trump, Samuel Alito, Clarence Thomas, Sonia Sotomayor, ”, Democratic Sen, Evan Bayh, Bayh, “, —, Sen, Joe Manchin, who’s, Democratic Sens, Sherrod Brown of, Jon Tester, Montana, Bob Casey, Tammy Baldwin, Jacky Rosen, Elissa Slotkin, Ruben Gallego, Kyrsten, Martin Heinrich, Nella Domenici, Pete Domenici, Curtis Bashaw, Andy Kim, Bob Menendez, Rick Scott, Ted Cruz, Collins, Ron Johnson, Daniel Hopkins, — hasn’t, David Bergstein, ” Bergstein, ” Mike Berg, ” Lee Drutman, Drutman, Biden’s, ” Drutman, Democratic pollster, ” Jason Kander, Kander, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Roy Blunt, doesn’t, ” Kander, ” Bayh, Republican Todd Young, it’s, Ronald Reagan’s, Barack Obama, Obama, Republican Dean Heller, Heller —, Steve Bullock, Jesse Hunt, Hunt, Hopkins Organizations: CNN, Senate, Democratic, Republican, White, GOP, West, Republicans, Biden, Democratic Sens, Democrats, Trump, University of Pennsylvania, don’t, Democratic Senatorial, “ Republicans, National Republican Senatorial, Democratic Senate, ”, White House, Indiana Senate, Democratic Gov Locations: Susan Collins of Maine, Indiana, West Virginia, Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, Michigan, Arizona, New Mexico, New Jersey, Florida, Texas, North Carolina, — Maine, Florida , Iowa, Ohio, New America, Missouri, Southern, Maine, Iowa , Kansas , Kentucky, Montana , South Carolina

☆ Opinion: Trump videos send wildly different messages
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-31 | by ( Richard Galant | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +19 min

We’re looking back at the strongest, smartest opinion takes of the week from CNN and other outlets. In a video promoting the Bible, Trump said, “Religion and Christianity are the biggest things missing from this country. … we need to bring them back.”On Good Friday, Trump posted a very different kind of video. It showed an image of President Joe Biden lying sideways and tied up in the bed of a pickup truck. “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s independent presidential campaign can’t win, but it could swing the presidency to former President Donald Trump,” Begala wrote.

Persons: Matthew Arnold, Homer, King James, Donald Trump, ”, Lee Greenwood’s, AJ Willingham, Trump, Joe Biden, Drew Sheneman, MAGA, Biden, Fareed Zakaria, ” Zakaria, Candida Moss, he’ll, he’s, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Julian Zelizer, ” “, …, ” Clay, “, Obama, “ Obama, CNN Trump, —, Attorney Alvin Bragg, “ Trump, Stormy Daniels, ” Norman Eisen, Andrew Warren, James Antle III, stoked, Letitia James, Dali, Francis Scott Key, Tasos Katopodis, Richard Timme, ” Timme, Salvatore R, Mercogliano, ’, Jalal Baig, Catherine, Princess of Wales, Baig, Paul Hockenos, “ It’s, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Nicole Shanahan, Eric Risberg, Paul Begala, Ross Perot, George H, Bush, “ Robert F, can’t, ” Begala, ” Shanahan “, Sergey Brin, Hillary Clinton, Pete Buttigieg, Ro Khanna, Lee Drutman, Mark Osler, Jill Filipovic, Lisa Murkowski, Obeidallah, Johnson Ronna, Ronna McDaniel, Justin Sullivan, McDaniel, ” McDaniel, David Zurawik, Jack Ohman, Walt Handelsman, Tim Hubbard, Dennis Muilenburg —, Max, David Calhoun, ‘, ” Hubbard, Annelle, ” Sheline, ” Don’t, Frida Ghitis, Putin, Howard Fischer, Keith O’Brien, Pete Rose, Nick Anderson, Agency Sara Stewart, Mary Ziegler, Patrick T, Brown, shouldn’t, Emma Firth, Carter ’ Parkwood, Roxanne Jones, Cowboy Carter, Beyoncé, ” Jones Organizations: CNN, Oxford University, New, Trump, Nasdaq, NYPD, Hollywood, Biden, Cupp, Obama, Manhattan, Attorney, Democratic, US Coast Guard, Baltimore, Federal Highway Administration, RFK Jr, RFK, Google, The New York Times, Republican National Committee, NBC News, “, Press, NBC, MSNBC, Content Agency Boeing, Notre Dame, Boeing, US State Department, Israel, Tribune, Agency, Sony, AP Locations: Independence, New York City, America, New, Manhattan, Queens, New York, Baltimore, Coast, Suez, Port, China, Argentina, Red, Gaza, Wales, Northern California, California, Israel, Columbia

☆ Opinion: RFK Jr. is poised to be a chaos factor in November
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Opinion Lee Drutman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

With the announcement of his running mate, Silicon Valley attorney and entrepreneur Nicole Shanahan, Kennedy’s campaign will expand its ballot access. On the surface, this double dislike seems puzzling: Shouldn’t one of the two parties have figured out how to elevate a more popular general election candidate? Americans overwhelmingly want more than two political parties. But in a close race between the two unpopular frontrunners, Kennedy will almost certainly be a chaos factor. Kennedy — whose campaign is in many respects a product of this doom loop — is a deeply flawed messenger for change.

Persons: Lee Drutman, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Nicole Shanahan, Kennedy’s, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Kennedy, It’s, Biden, “, ” Kennedy, swindled, it’s, haters, —, frontrunners, James Weaver, George Wallace, ’ “, I’ve, Kennedy — Organizations: New America, Democracy, CNN, Biden, Gallup, Young, Trust, ”, Trump, Republicans, Democratic Party Locations: New, America, Silicon Valley, —, Washington , DC, Alaska

However, “I didn't want to make people think that I was an expert,” said Spehar, who filmed the TikTok video from their home in Rochester, New York. Josh Helfgott, a TikTok user with 5.5 million followers, posts a recurring series of videos called “Gay News” discussing current events relevant to LGBTQ viewers. Meanwhile, TikTok is the fastest-growing social media platform for news, according to a report by the Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism published on Tuesday. Twenty percent of 18-to-24-year-olds use TikTok to learn about current events, up 5 percentage points from last year, the report said. The benefit was mutual: Spehar learned how journalism is produced, while the publisher benefited from Spehar's TikTok skills.

Persons: Josh Helfgott, Magali, Read, Vitus, Spehar, “, ”, Helfgott, Joe Biden, ” Helfgott, Kristy Drutman, TikTok, Lisa Remillard, Remillard, ” Remillard, Magali Druscovich, Sheila Dang, Kenneth Li, Matthew Lewis Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Capitol, White, Human, New York Times, BuzzFeed News, Reuters Institute for, “, Los Angeles Times, Thomson Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, Rochester , New York, Tallahassee , Florida, San Diego , California, United States

☆ Over half of Americans believe that both Democrats and Republicans do such a poor job that a third major party is needed
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-03 | by ( Nathaniel Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A study by the Pew Research center found that 61% of U.S. adults today find the Republican Party unfavorable, while 57% shared the same sentiment toward the Democratic Party. About a quarter of Americans say they have an unfavorable view of both major parties, a considerable jump from just 6% in 1994. Some experts suggest that the two-party system could be blamed for the political polarization we find in America. "It's a two-party system and you have to pick one side or the other," said Lee Drutman, a senior fellow at New America. More than half — 56% of Americans — believe the current parties do such a poor job that a third major party is needed, according to a survey by Gallup.

☆ Quiz: If America Had Six Parties, Which Would You Belong To? - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2021-09-08 | by ( Lee Drutman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +6 min

It is not so hard to imagine a six-party system — and it would not even require a constitutional amendment. Do you favor or oppose providing a way for undocumented immigrants already in the United States to become citizens? I would rather be a citizen of the United States than any other country. Until American politics nationalized in the 1980s and 1990s around divisive culture-war issues, they operated more independently within the two major political parties. Freeing the existing factions to forge new and shifting alliances would liberate the political innovation lying untapped in our political system.

Persons: ’, — Organizations: Democrat, Republican, Progressive Party New Liberal Party American Labor Party Growth, Opportunity Party Patriot Party Christian Conservative Party Each, New Liberal Party, Opportunity Party, Democratic, Senate, Electoral College, Democracy Locations: United States, American

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