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☆ Harris couldn't escape Biden's unpopularity
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Kamala Harris' advisors said she struggled to dig herself out of a hole. Related Video Can Kamala Harris win over Democrats after Joe Biden drops out of 2024 presidential election? Throughout the 2024 race, Trump posted some of his highest approval numbers since he launched his first presidential run in 2015. AdvertisementEvan Roth Smith, the lead pollster at BluePrint, said there's no doubt that Biden's unpopularity impacted Harris. The Trump campaign didn't forget."

Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Harris, —, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton, Biden, Trump, Obama, David Plouffe, Harris's, Kamala, AWwpZQHhVo — Alex Thompson, Evan Roth Smith, Kamala Harris's, Roth Smith, would've, Rishi Sunak, George H.W, Bush, Ryan Ryan Williams, Mitt Romney's Organizations: Service, Democratic, CNN, Biden, British, Conservative Party, Democratic Party, New, Trump, GOP, Voters Locations: United States, South Korea, Germany, Iowa, New Hampshire

☆ Trump and Harris' frantic final 2024 campaign stops show why North Carolina matters
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Trump spent Friday in Michigan and Wisconsin, Saturday in North Carolina, and today will be in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. If Harris won Michigan and Wisconsin, she would still need to add Georgia or North Carolina to her column. "Donald Trump is worried about losing North Carolina," Harris spokesperson Ammar Moussa wrote on X under two siren emojis. AdvertisementDoug Sosnik, a longtime advisor to Bill Clinton and a North Carolina native, doesn't see Harris' path there. North Carolina is "not a level playing field" for Democrats, Sosnik said, pointing to Democrats' struggles there except for Obama.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, —, Harris, Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Obama, Biden, Trump's, Ammar Moussa, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton, it's, Sosnik, she's, he's, Karoline Leavitt, Susan Roberts, Hurricane Helene, Roberts Organizations: North, Service, Republican, Des Moines Register, Trump, Congressional, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Democratic, Davidson College, Census Bureau, State Management Locations: Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Arizona, New Mexico, Virginia, New Hampshire, Iowa, Michigan , Wisconsin , Nevada, Arizona, Charlotte, New York, Black, Florida, Texas, Hurricane, Carolina, Western North Carolina

Ms. Harris starts out with 226 likely electoral votes compared with 219 for Mr. Trump, with 93 votes up for grabs. Scenario 6 Or by winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and either Georgia … Or by winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and either Georgia … Scenario 7 … or North Carolina. Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump have been campaigning hard and often there, and Democrats hope that the favorable governor’s race could help them. Scenario 5 … like Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin … … like Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin … Scenario 6 … or Arizona, Nevada and Pennsylvania. The Harris campaign is taking a similar approach, focusing on white college-educated women, who currently favor Ms. Harris by 29 points.

Persons: Brandon Bell, Harris, immovably, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, Trump, Trump’s, Harris –, Trump’s resiliency, Harris’s, William Frey, Michael Dukakis, Josh Shapiro, JD Vance, Mr, Bill McInturff, there’s, –, Joe Rogan’s, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton Organizations: Trump, Electoral, Democrats, Republicans, Democratic, Mr, Sun, Electoral College, NBC, Black, Brookings Institution, Michigan, …, Republican, Biden Locations: Virginia, Minnesota, Georgia, Arizona , Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wis, Mich, Pa, Nev, N.C, Ariz . Ga, Ariz ., Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin . Pennsylvania, …, … Georgia, Arizona , Michigan, Pennsylvania , Michigan

☆ Your election questions, answered
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +26 min

They ranged from questions about the Electoral College to specific inquiries about why ballots in some counties look the way they do. We’ll add answers to new questions weekly until the election and also send them out to the What Matters newsletter audience. CNN did not project that President Joe Biden would win the 2020 election until four days after Election Day. -- Linda in WashingtonThere were a lot of questions about the Electoral College, which should frustrate people on both sides of the aisle. I’m not including the election of 1800, even though it resulted in a tie in the Electoral College.

Persons: I’ve, Debbie, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Read, they’ve, Will, Trump, Dennis, Donald Trump, don’t, faithless, Sen, Bernie Sanders of, Ron Paul of Texas, Jeanette, Elon Musk, –, Democrats –, Elena, you’re, that’s, you’ve, Harris, Kamala Harris, CNN’s KFile, it’s, Ron, CNN’s Tami Luhby, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, George W, Bush, Jennifer Agiesta, what’s, we’re, hasn’t, noncitizens, Critics, doesn’t, Sheila, Nicole Unzicker, Unzicker, Terry I’m, Harvey Let’s, Doug Sosnik’s, Patricia, Al Gore, Rutherford B, Hayes, Samuel Tilden, Tilden, John F, Kennedy, Richard Nixon, James Garfield, Winfield Hancock, I’m, Sandra, Jack Smith, Julie Organizations: CNN, Electoral College, Washington, Puerto Rican, Social Security, Electoral, Library of Congress, Elon, Democrats, Trump, Colorado Presidents, Security, Federal, Republican, Heritage Foundation, Dominion, Senate, White, Democratic, Lumina Foundation, Supreme, eventual, Michigan Trump, Gallup Locations: Florida, Madison, Chad, Virginia, Michigan, Puerto Rico, Guam, Minnesota, Washington, DC, Puerto, Congress, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Pennsylvania, Colorado, South Carolina, United States, California, Harris, Georgia, North Carolina, . Pennsylvania, Missouri, North Dakota, California , Maryland, Vermont, Washington ,, Ohio, Butler County, Texas, New York, It’s, today’s America, New Hampshire

☆ Why education level has become the best predictor for how someone will vote
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The education gap grows“The biggest single, best predictor of how someone’s going to vote in American politics now is education level. The real swing votersTo the extent that traditional swing voters are persuadable in this election, Sosnik argued they might be people like political independents or Nikki Haley Republicans. But there’s a second group of swing voters Sosnik argued is even more important. For Trump, these are non-college-educated White voters in general, particularly men, who “if they vote, you know they’re going to vote for Trump,” he said. Young voters, who are less reliable to cast ballots, also fall into this second type of swing voters, Sosnik said.

Persons: Roe, Wade, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton’s, ” Sosnik, David Chalian, Sosnik, “, “ that’s, ”, Louis, Joe Biden, Trump, Harris, Nikki Haley Republicans, there’s, That’s Organizations: Washington CNN —, Rural, Democrats, Democratic, CNN, Democratic Party, Republican Party, Federal Reserve Bank of St, White, Lumina, Trump, Young, “ Republicans, Republican Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Utah

☆ Trump’s extreme vision for America hikes pressure on Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

CNN —Donald Trump is invoking a vision of an extreme new White House term that would transform America and rock the world. And Vice President Kamala Harris has only three weeks to avert it, as she struggles to restore momentum in a neck-and-neck race to Election Day. Supporters of Vice President Kamala Harris listen to her speak during a rally at Ripon College, in Wisconsin, on October 3. With the nation in such a sour mood, Harris’ incumbency as vice president is a liability. His post underscored what Harris represents for those who fear the very real prospect of Trump’s return.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump baselessly, Harris, “, ”, heckler, Trump, Joe Biden, Sen, JD, genuflection, Vladimir Putin, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama —, “ He’s, Jim Vondruska, Dread, Hillary Clinton, Biden, he’s, ABC’s, it’s, Trump’s, Will Harris, Brendan Smialowski, Doug Sosnik, Harris plateaued, David Chalian, Sosnik, ” Harris, Obama, ” Obama, “ Donald Trump, Chris Murphy, ” Murphy Organizations: CNN, Republican, Sunday, Fox News, Democratic, CBS, Kremlin, Trump, Ripon College, Democrats, ABC, NBC, Electoral College, White, NBC News, Air Force, Joint Base Andrews, Getty Images, Connecticut Democrat Locations: ”, Ohio, Arizona, Colorado, United States, illegals, California, Covid, Russian, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Afghanistan, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, Maryland, America, Connecticut

☆ Trump will attack Harris' biggest vulnerabilities at the debate. Her response could decide the election.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Trump appears to have begun to slow Harris' rise, which began after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race. At the same time, Harris has abandoned many of her most progressive views that she took during her failed 2020 Democratic presidential primary run. "She's not really quite sure what she believes that's why she is pretty evasive to answering questions on policy, policy positions that she has supported in the past and supposedly what she does not support now," Wolking said. Tuesday's debate will mark the first time Harris and Trump will be in the same room together. With perhaps the exception of the Nixon-Kennedy debate, no other presidential debate will loom larger in history.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, pollsters, Trump's, Ben Warner, Warner, They've, Kamala, Matt Wolking, Tim Walz, CNN's Dana Bash, She's, Wolking, hasn't, Bash, Biden, Democratic pollster Evan Roth Smith, Roth Smith, Reid Hoffman, Roth, Doug Sosnik, he'll, Sosnik, Clinton, Nixon, Kennedy Organizations: Service, New York Times, Super Bowl, NFL, University of Missouri, Culinary Union, Democratic, Voters, Trump Locations: Siena, Pennsylvania, Washington, Minnesota, Nevada

☆ Trump's ready for his big moment, though he's been winning without one
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Donald Trump is on a winning streak, which is all the more remarkable because he's barely played the game. He's in the strongest position any Republican presidential hopeful has been in July since George W. Bush in 2000. AdvertisementSince the debate, Biden has faced almost daily onslaught of Democrats calling him to step aside. Even as he's refrained from rallies, he's still ranting on social media. Trump also handed Biden's campaign a major gift by offering one of his signature "I don't know them" denials about Project 2025.

Persons: Donald Trump, he's, Joe Biden's, Trump, Biden, George W, Bush, Doug Sosnik, Kevin Dietsch, Jen O'Malley Dillon, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, He's, George Clooney, a5OhK8tKYL — David Weigel, Amber Rose, Kanye, Dana White, Mike Pence Organizations: Service, CNN, Trump, Republican, Electoral College, The New York Times, NATO, The Associated Press, Business, Democratic, Republicans, National Weather Service, Supreme Court, Capitol, New, GOP, Republican National Convention, Wall Street Journal, UFC Locations: Trump, New York, Milwaukee, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Virginia, New Mexico, Florida, Georgia

If current trends continue, Mr. Trump could rack up one of the most decisive presidential victories since 2008. The Biden campaign hoped to change this political dynamic by calling for a historic early debate in June. Of all the battleground states, Mr. Biden had been performing best in Wisconsin. However, in two polls released this week, Mr. Trump has pulled ahead of Mr. Biden. Republicans clearly understand that these three battleground states are Mr. Biden’s only remaining path to 270 electoral votes.

Persons: Carolina Moscoso, Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, I’ve, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Biden’s, Nebraska’s, Mr, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Jill Stein, Stein, Miriam Adelson, Bill Clinton, Doug Sosnik Organizations: Carolina, Democratic, New York Times, Siena, Mr, Democratic Party, Congressional, —, Green Party, Republicans Locations: United States, Minnesota, New Hampshire, George H.W ., Wis, Mich, Pa, Nev, N.C, Ariz . Ga, Ariz ., Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Michigan, Wisconsin, Maine, New Mexico, Virginia, Pennsylvania, . Michigan, Gaza, Madison

Our Electoral College maps below lay out the best scenarios for him and Mr. Trump. In a Wall Street Journal battleground poll taken in March, Mr. Biden had only 37 percent job approval in the state. … orand The second and harder path for Mr. Trump would be if he carried only one Southern swing state – most likely North Carolina. By carrying these states, Mr. Biden has several paths to 270, but the first three scenarios are his most viable. Scenario 4 They involve Mr. Biden winning Georgia and Arizona … They involve Mr. Biden winningand Scenario 5 … or Michigan and Georgia.

Persons: Biden, Akshita Chandra, Yuji Sakai, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden’s, Court’s, … orand, Hamas’s, Mr, …, —, Bill Clinton’s, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton Organizations: Presidency, Trump, New York Times, Electoral, Wisconsin –, Sun, Siena, Black, The Arizona, Michigan, Mr, North Carolina, Republicans, Georgia, Democrats, Congressional District, Michigan …, Wisconsin, Democratic, House Locations: Arizona, – Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Mich, Pa, Nev, N.C, Ariz . Ga, Wis, Ariz ., Michigan, Arizona , Michigan, Arizona , Nevada, Israel, Gaza, Nebraska, Minnesota, United States, Michigan , Pennsylvania

☆ Trump’s Carter Problems vs. Biden’s Reagan Possibilities - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Doug Sosnik | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The low approval rating and various political headwinds for President Biden have invited comparisons with another first-term Democratic president, Jimmy Carter, and the challenges he faced running for re-election in 1980. Many Republicans are thinking about his defeat at the hands of Ronald Reagan, bullish that Donald Trump also has what it takes to oust a flagging incumbent. The more significant comparisons could be between Mr. Trump and Mr. Carter and their difficulty in winning over voters and, even more, between Mr. Biden and Mr. Reagan and their attempts to address doubts about their age — which are flaring again for Mr. Biden. But what became increasingly clear throughout 1980 was that there was a ceiling on voter support for Mr. Carter. Mr. Carter’s job approval at the end of March was close to his final 41 percent share of the vote in November.

Persons: Biden, Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, bullish, Donald Trump, Trump, Carter, Reagan, Biden’s, Carter’s Organizations: Democratic, Mr

☆ One year out, here’s what we know about how the presidential race will look on Labor Day 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-04 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +15 min

CNN —Much remains unknown of course about the presidential general election whose traditional kick-off will come one year from today on Labor Day, 2024. Twenty states have likewise voted for the GOP presidential nominee in all four of those contests. That means 40 of the 50 states, or 80%, have voted the same way in four consecutive presidential elections. In the presidential elections of 2012, 2016 and 2020, though, the states where the margin of victory landed within four points of the national vote total dwindled. Eventually a Democratic choice to write off Florida and Ohio could provide a tactical benefit for the GOP presidential nominee.

Persons: ”, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama’s, Joe Biden’s, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Trump, hasn’t, Obama, Kyle Kondik, Ball, Kondik, Amy Walter, Biden, Crystal Ball, Cook, Trump’s, headwinds, Republican Sen, Ron Johnson, Roy Cooper, Erika Franklin Fowler, “, George W, Bush’s, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Michael Bloomberg, I’ve, Steve Schale, Schale, don’t, it’s, “ Biden, Ben Tulchin, Fowler Organizations: CNN, Labor, White, Democratic, GOP, University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, Electoral College, Trump, Democrats, Crystal Ball, New Hampshire, Republican, White House, Biden, Pennsylvania Senate, Democratic Gov, Wesleyan Media Project, Wesleyan University, Electoral, Republicans, ”, Wisconsin, District, New, New York City, Sunshine Locations: Indiana , Iowa , Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Arizona , Georgia, New, dislodging Michigan, Nebraska, Ohio, New York, Minnesota, New Hampshire , Virginia, Oregon, Texas

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