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Nouriel Roubini says stagflation risk will rise if Donald Trump wins the election. AdvertisementThe US economy might confront a fate more challenging than a recession if Donald Trump retakes the White House, famed economist Nouriel Roubini said. According to Roubini, Trump's proposals would fuel these two key ingredients: lower growth and higher inflation. In July, JPMorgan's chief global strategist David Kelly called Trump's tariff and immigration policy mix an "elixir for stagflation." AdvertisementRoubini said tensions in the Middle East make the threat of stagflation under Trump worse.
Persons: Nouriel Roubini, Donald Trump, Doom, , Donald Trump retakes, Trump, Kamala Harris, stagflation, Roubini, Larry Summers, David Kelly Organizations: Greenwich Economic, Treasury, Service, Bloomberg, Barclays, Republican, Peterson Institute, Trump Locations: Greenwich, Israel, Iran
Even though the S&P 500 has risen under Trump and Biden, the candidates' policy differences will likely have a significant impact on which stocks outperform, according to Goldman Sachs. 34 US-focused stocks to ownTrump's so-called "America First" agenda appears to be a tailwind for companies that generate most or all of their sales in the US, according to Goldman Sachs. Kostin and his colleagues recently highlighted their domestic sales basket, which comprises 50 stocks in the S&P 500 with that description. Within that group, there are 34 companies that Goldman Sachs said generated 0% of their revenue from outside the US in the last year. Below are 34 stocks that are set to outperform if Trump wins and implements tariffs, along with each stock's ticker, market capitalization, sector, and revenue from the previous 12 months.
Persons: , Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Trump, Kostin, it's Organizations: Service, Republicans, Democratic, Business, White, Biden, Trump, Goldman Locations: China
WASHINGTON—For decades, conservatives have tried—and largely failed—to fundamentally reshape the federal government. If Donald Trump retakes the White House, they might succeed. In campaign speeches and statements, the former president has promised to eliminate the independence of key federal agencies, reduce protections for civil servants, deny citizenship to tens of thousands of people born in the U.S. and wrest control of some authority over spending from Congress. If implemented, those measures and others Trump has proposed would amount to the most sweeping overhaul of the government in modern times, legal scholars said.
Persons: Donald Trump retakes, Trump Organizations: WASHINGTON Locations: U.S
It’s true that the Ukrainian counteroffensive debuted with conspicuous setbacks and hasn’t advanced as much as hoped. Moreover, land seized by Russia earlier has been used to strike ever deeper into Ukraine, making restoring defensible borders an existential concern. But Kyiv got the ammunition needed to sustain the counteroffensive longer while awaiting expanded factory production of conventional shells in 2024. Putin miscalculated disastrously when he invaded in Ukraine, so he’s now hoping to outlast Western support for Ukraine to rescue what spoils he can. But failing to do so now could entail the US, Europe and Ukraine paying a much higher price later.
Persons: Sébastien Roblin, CNN —, Ukraine’s, Sebastien Roblin, wail, Vladimir Putin, hasn’t, Ukraine didn’t, Sergei Shoigu, Valery Gerasimov, Biden, Bradley, Abrams, Putin miscalculated, he’s, Donald Trump, George McClellan, McClellan Organizations: Georgetown University, Peace Corps, CNN, Kremlin, GOP, Ukrainian, Engineers, British Royal United Services Institute, Defense, US, Lincoln Locations: China, Ukraine, Washington, Russia, Kherson, Ukrainian, Crimea, India, Robotyne, Verbove, Tokmak, Melitopol, NATO, British, Europe, Appomattox
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