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☆ Rupee likely to open weaker pressured by surging U.S. yields
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Jaspreet Kalra | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, Oct 3 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open weaker on Tuesday as U.S. treasury yields rose to fresh multi-year highs after the United States averted a partial government shutdown. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 83.25 to the U.S. dollar compared with a close of 83.04 in Friday's session. Buoyed by higher U.S. yields, the dollar index also climbed to 107.13 in Asia, its highest level since November 2022. While the rupee has come close to testing its record low levels in recent weeks, likely dollar sales from the RBI have managed to keep some of the weakness at bay. The rupee could see an intraday fall to a fresh record low if the dollar index continues to strengthen, said Dilip Parmar, a foreign exchange research analyst at HDFC Securities.

Persons: Loretta Mester, Dilip Parmar, Jaspreet Kalra, Sonia Cheema Organizations: U.S, . Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank, Cleveland, Reserve Bank of India, Brent, HDFC Securities, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, United States, Asia

☆ Rupee ends at 3-wk high on dollar inflows; Fed meet in focus
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-24 | by ( Sethuraman N R | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Likely corporate dollar inflows related to an Indian conglomerate was the major driver for the rupee's move, traders and analysts said. There are possibilities of central bank intervention given that it has previously bought dollars in the 81.85-81.90 range, said Dilip Parmar, research analyst at HDFC Securities. The appreciation in the rupee is also on the moderate side given the rise in the dollar index, Parmar said. The dollar inflows into equities have also been helping the rupee, traders added. The dollar index , on the other hand, has recovered from 15-month lows hit last week and was up 0.2% on Monday.

Persons: Dilip Parmar, Parmar, India's, Avni Jain, Sonia Cheema Organizations: U.S ., HDFC Securities, Reserve Bank of India, U.S . Federal, European Central Bank, Bank of, FX, HDFC Bank, Sethuraman NR, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, Bengaluru

☆ Indian rupee posts biggest single-day gain in two months on strong growth data
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Sethuraman N R | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MUMBAI, June 1 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee saw its best single-day gain in two months on Thursday, and also rose to a two-week high during the session, following strong domestic growth data, which prompted traders to square off long dollar positions. On Thursday, the rupee rose 0.38%, to mark its best day since April 5. Consistent flows into equities coupled with strong economic data is supporting the rupee, said Dilip Parmar, a research analyst at HDFC Securities. Adding to strong growth numbers, India's factory output expanded at the quickest pace since October 2020 in May, thanks to strong demand and output, a private survey showed. The string of positives for the rupee has prompted USD/INR long positions to lose patience, a sales person at a private bank said.

Persons: Dilip Parmar, Parmar, Sonia Cheema Organizations: U.S ., HDFC Securities, . Federal Reserve, Fed, Sethuraman NR, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Mumbai

☆ Indian rupee hits six-week low as weaker yuan dents Asian currencies
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-17 | by ( Sethuraman N R | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MUMBAI, May 17 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee hit a more-than-six-week low against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, in line with the decline in other Asian currencies that tracked the fall in the Chinese yuan after weak economic data. The rupee hit 82.4425 against the U.S. dollar, its lowest since April 3, during the session, before recovering to close up 0.21% at 82.38. The weak economic print from China has weighed on Asian currencies, said Dilip Parmar, research analyst at HDFC Securities. Parmar doesn't expect the Reserve Bank of India to intervene at the current levels as other Asian currencies have started depreciating and the dollar index is strengthening. Domestic economic data points like easing inflation and improved external currencies have mostly come in support of the local currency.

☆ INDIA RUPEE Rupee may open slightly lower, risks falling below key support
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-22 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, Dec 22 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open marginally lower against the U.S. currency on Thursday, weighed by persistent dollar demand from importers and rise in oil prices. The rupee is expected to be around 82.85-82.88 at open, compared with 82.81 in the previous session. It looks like it will be another session where help will be needed to prevent the rupee from falling below 83, a trader at a Mumbai-based private bank said. Public sector banks have been regularly selling dollars lately, when rupee falls near to 82.85-82.90 levels. Asian currencies were mostly higher, while the dollar index was down to 103.98 on the back of the positive.

The rupee finished last week 1.2% lower at 82.27 per dollar, tumbling swiftly from trading in the 81-handle initially. Considering that, the rupee is still expected to be "stuck" in a range, they added. Meanwhile, India's benchmark government bond yield ended last week at 7.2982%, with the 8 bps gain its biggest weekly rise since late-September. Yields are expected to move in a narrow range of 7.26%-7.36%, with high chances of the upper end being tested, said a fixed income trader. After the Fed meeting, traders will also watch out for the central bank's dot plot to see where terminal rates could go.

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