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“The oil market is very sensitive to developments with the Israel-Hamas war,” he told CNN. Risks to natural gas supplyThe situation in Israel has also weighed heavily on the European natural gas market. Egypt produces a lot of its own natural gas in addition to imports and processes some of it into LNG for shipping abroad. “This has obviously created a lot of nervousness and heightened the geopolitical risk within the European gas market,” Tomas Marzec-Manser, head of gas analytics at ICIS, told CNN. And Marzec-Manser thinks Europe’s upcoming winter will be bearish for the gas market.
Persons: Edward Moya, , , ” Moya, Brent, Price, ” Sophie Lund, Yates, Hargreaves Lansdown, Massimo Di Odoardo, Wood Mackenzie, Di Odoardo, Frederic J . Brown, ” Tomas Marzec Organizations: London CNN — Global, Brent, Texas, CNN, Israel Defense Forces, Hezbollah, Group, Chevron, Getty, Authorities Locations: Israel, Iran, Tehran, United States, Gaza, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Egypt, Jordan, Europe, LNG, Finland, Estonia, Kern County , California, AFP, Baltic, Germany, Ukraine
Natural gas prices are spiking again. Here’s why
  + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Olesya Dmitracova | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
London CNN —Natural gas prices have spiked again this week, just as Europe prepares for the heating season. The price of Dutch natural gas, the European benchmark, has jumped 24% to €40 ($44) per megawatt hour since Tuesday on news of potential industrial action at liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants in Australia. US natural gas prices have climbed 18% so far this month. “As much of the spare LNG supply comes from the US, natural gas prices there have also jumped higher,” he added. The sudden rise in gas prices follows a recent run-up in oil prices, driven by production cuts by major exporters such as Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Persons: Brad Gandy, Tom Marzec, , Russia —, Bill Weatherburn, Brent, Weatherburn, Massimo Di Odoardo, Wood Mackenzie, , Woodside, — Hilary Whiteman Organizations: London CNN, Offshore Alliance, Chevron, North West, Woodside Energy Group, Facebook, CNN, , Capital Economics, European Union, Asia —, Reuters Locations: Australia, Europe, Russia, Ukraine, Norway, LNG, United States, Qatar, Moscow, Saudi Arabia, Marzec, , Asia, Asia — Japan, , Brisbane
European gas prices jump 50% in June
  + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Prices reversed course mainly because of longer-than-expected maintenance outages at key gas plants in Norway, analysts told CNN. “The recent price rally shows just how sensitive the European market is to disruption,” said Bill Weatherburn, a commodities economist at Capital Economics. European natural gas prices are still far below their levels last summer, when the continent found itself locked in an energy standoff with Russia following Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine. The field is one of the biggest in the world but now accounts for just a fraction of Europe’s gas supply. “The European gas market — and by extension the global gas market — [is] certainly not out of the woods in terms of adequately matching supply with demand,” Tom Marzec-Manser, head of gas analytics at ICIS, told CNN.
Persons: , Bill Weatherburn, Tom Marzec, ” Massimo Di Odoardo, Wood Mackenzie, ” Henning Gloystein, Di Odoardo Organizations: London CNN, Benchmark, Independent Commodity Intelligence Service, CNN, Capital Economics, European Union, Gas, Gas Infrastructure, Wood, Eurasia Group, Norway “ Locations: Norway, Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Europe, Netherlands, Groningen, , Gas Infrastructure Europe, Japan, South Korea, Asia, Russian
Evidence is piling up about the steady disintegration of Russia’s vital natural gas export industry since the country’s invasion of Ukraine. With this success behind them, European leaders are contemplating widening their attack to include imports of liquefied natural gas from Russia. Russian L.N.G. energy commissioner, has urged members of the bloc and European energy companies to stop buying Russian L.N.G. On the other hand, having largely gone cold turkey on Russian pipeline gas, European leaders may calculate that “going without Russian L.N.G.
Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty ImagesChina will make up a sizeable portion of the world's demand recovery for oil as the global economy braces itself for a slowdown in the wake of interest rate hikes, Wood Mackenzie said. That means 38.5% of global oil demand recovery would come from China. Our China high-growth scenario centers on the economy growing by 7% in 2023 and 5.5% in 2024. The firm is, however, optimistic about global growth this year — despite the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund warning of a bumpy road ahead. "Our China high-growth scenario centers on the economy growing by 7% in 2023 and 5.5% in 2024," the firm said in the report.
Europe's natural gas prices fall below €50
  + stars: | 2023-02-17 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
London CNN —Europe’s natural gas prices have tumbled to their lowest level in nearly 18 months in the latest sign the region has avoided a much-feared energy crisis. Benchmark wholesale gas prices fell almost 5% Friday to hit €49 ($52) per megawatt hour, their lowest level since September 2021 and a fraction of the all-time high of €320 hit in August last year, according to data from Independent Commodity Intelligence Service. The plunge in prices will further reduce the risk of a recession in Europe. Gas stores across the European Union were 65% full on Thursday, according to Gas Infrastructure Europe, an industry body. The bloc has also boosted imports of pipeline natural gas from Norway, and of liquefied natural gas (LNG) — a chilled, liquid form of gas that can be transported via sea tankers — mostly from the United States and Qatar.
London CNN —Natural gas prices in Europe and the United States have tumbled to levels last seen before Russia sparked a global energy crisis by invading Ukraine. Even so, European gas prices are still historically high, and could rise again this year if demand from China picks up or supplies are disrupted. Wholesale prices were already shooting up in the months before the war as economies reopened from pandemic lockdowns. “It will take a bit [of time] for the fall in the wholesale prices of natural gas to [feed into] into the retail prices,” he said. That will keep Europe at a competitive disadvantage to the United States, where gas prices are about five times lower.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe oil embargo should not have a huge impact, says Wood MackenzieMassimo Di Odoardo of Wood Mackenzie discusses the upcoming Dec. 5 emergency energy meeting that EU energy ministers have called.
(Photo by JOE KLAMAR / AFP)The Group of 7 nations are in talks to cap Russian oil at $65 and $70 a barrel — but analysts say it likely won't have a significant impact on Moscow's oil revenues even if it's approved. Russia has threatened to it will not supply oil to countries setting and endorsing the price cap. In a note on Thursday, he said that current Russian oil shipments face minimal disruption from the European Union denying shipping and insurance services. He agreed that the discussed price cap won't make much of a dent or deter Moscow in its war against Ukraine. "Russia's seaborne oil exports have increased to China, India and Turkey at the expense of advanced economies following the Ukraine war," he added.
Europe still can't live without Russian LNG exports
  + stars: | 2022-11-09 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
London CNN Business —Europe may be closer than ever to breaking its energy dependence on Moscow, but it still can’t live without one type of Russian natural gas. Russian imports doubled in the year to September to 1.2 million tons, Rystad data shows. The majority of the Russian LNG imports come from privately owned Novatek, the country’s second-largest natural gas producer after Gazprom. “I expect that Russian LNG will continue to play an important role in filling European storage going into winter of 2023,” he told CNN Business. “[Europe] would rather get whatever [it] can in terms of Russian pipeline gas and Russian LNG… it would take a lot before [it] would think about sanctioning gas or LNG from Russia,” Ramesh said.
London CNN Business —Europe has more natural gas than it knows what to do with. Now, EU gas storage facilities are close to full, tankers carrying liquefied natural gas (LNG) are lining up at ports, unable to unload their cargoes, and prices are tumbling. The price of benchmark European natural gas futures has dropped 20% since last Thursday, and by more than 70% since hitting a record high in late August. Prices turned negative because of an “oversupplied grid,” Tomas Marzec-Manser, head of gas analytics at the Independent Commodity Intelligence Services (ICIS), told CNN Business. The bloc has ramped up imports of LNG from the United States and Qatar as natural gas imports from Russia plummeted.
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