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☆ London office market in 'rental recession' as vacancies hit 30-yr high - Jefferies
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON, Sept 27 (Reuters) - London's embattled office market is in 'rental recession' as volumes of empty space across the capital's West End, City and Canary Wharf business districts hit a 30-year high, analysts at Jefferies said on Wednesday. Utilisation has shrunk and landlords are losing pricing power as tenants offload surplus space," the analysts said. Jefferies estimated West End vacancies of 7%, with rates in the City and Canary Wharf at 10% and more than 20% respectively, with the tipping point for a rental recession historically around 8%. Long-term Canary Wharf resident HSBC (HSBA.L) recently announced it would be relocating to the City but is expected to lease 30% less space at its new home, according to the note. "Investment market liquidity is receding on rent uncertainty and squeezing developer profits," the note said.

Persons: Jefferies, Derwent, Segro, Morgan Stanley, Sinead Cruise, Iain Withers Organizations: Securities, Portland Estates, Royal, Barclays, JPMorgan, HSBC, Investment, Thomson Locations: City, Canary Wharf, London, Canary, Wharf

☆ London is suffering an office market 'recession.' Meta just paid $181 million to dump a lease
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

London CNN —London’s office market has plunged into a “rental recession,” with the share of empty space hitting its highest level in three decades, investment bank Jefferies said in a note Wednesday. Packing upOn Monday, British Land said Meta had agreed to pay £149 million ($181 million) to break its lease on a 310,000-square-foot office near London’s Regent’s Park. More bankers are reportedly leaving the area as UBS (UBS) begins relocating staff working for Credit Suisse to its main London office in the City. Regulators have been watching the commercial real estate market closely for any sign that spiraling vacancy rates and falling rents could become the source of the next financial crisis. The downturn in office rentals stands in stark contrast to London’s residential rental market where demand is high and supply chronically low.

Persons: London CNN —, Jefferies, Michael Prew, Meta, Clifford Chance, Banks Organizations: London CNN, The, City of, Jefferies, CNN, Derwent London, “, HSBC, UBS, Credit Suisse, City . Credit Suisse, Regulators, Investment, Hamptons Locations: The New York, City, City of London, London, Canary Wharf, London’s, Canary

☆ Morgan Stanley says higher oil prices could boost these 2 global real estate stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-19 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The recent increase in oil prices could provide a boost to London's prime office real estate market, according to Morgan Stanley. According to their analysis, higher oil prices tend to correlate with increased demand for top-tier commercial properties. When oil prices rise above this threshold, the excess profits are invested by its sovereign wealth fund, PIF, in assets around the world, including tech stocks. Morgan Stanley says that in the past, a similar rise in oil prices has preceded strong 12-month share price performance for London office REITs (real estate investment trusts). For Derwent London, Morgan Stanley forecasts the stock reaching £27.00 ($33.43), up 45% from current levels, within 12 months.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Bart Gysens Organizations: Bank of London, Cooperation Council, Monetary Fund, GCC, Saudi, London, Derwent, Great Portland Estates, Derwent London, Great Locations: London, WTI, Great Portland

☆ Morgan Stanley reveals the 'top' property stocks to buy and short right now
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Morgan Stanley has named three stocks to buy and three to short as it revealed a cautious stance on the global office space sector. Reflecting that view, Morgan Stanley said shares of Office Properties Income Trust and Vornado Realty Trust face significant downside to the current share price. The Wall Street bank expects both stocks to decline by more than 35% over the next 12 months. Stocks to buy Morgan Stanley also identified stocks it said were undervalued, pricing in a significantly worse trading environment than is likely to be the case. Shares of all three property companies are also traded in the U.S. "HK has been pricing in one of the highest implied cap rates across the global office markets.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ronald Kamdem, Stocks, Morgan Stanley's, Keppel REIT, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Income, Vornado Realty, Hongkong, HK Locations: U.S, Hong Kong, Singapore, Europe, Hongkong Land

☆ European shares drop as BOJ's policy shift dents risk appetite
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( Amruta Khandekar | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The region-wide STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) was down 0.5% by 0914 GMT, but came off a one-month low hit earlier in the session. The policy tweak was widely seen as the beginning of a potential end to Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy and comes just as hawkish messages from other major central banks last week doused hopes of an end to monetary policy tightening any time soon. Rate-sensitive real estate (.SX86P) stocks led the losses in the STOXX 600, falling 2.5% to hit their lowest in more than six weeks. The real estate sector was also dragged lower by shares of Aroundtown SA (AT1.DE) and Derwent London (DLN.L), which fell 11.4% and 3.5% respectively, after Berenberg cut their price targets. Among individual stocks, shares of Orange (ORAN.PA) slipped after the French telecoms group said its deputy chief executive and head of finance is leaving the company.

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