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Donald Trump's proposed tariffs will dent U.S. economic growth going into 2026, said Morgan Stanley's chief global economist Seth Carpenter. In the event that they are enacted all at once, they could result in a "big negative shock" to the economy, Carpenter told CNBC's Sri Jegarajah on the sidelines of Morgan Stanley's annual Asia Pacific Summit in Singapore. Carpenter, who maintained Morgan Stanley's base case of these tariffs being spread over 2025, said they would lead to higher inflation. "Then into 2026, we think growth starts to come down a great deal in the U.S. because of those tariffs and some of the other policies," he cautioned. Very clear, tariffs are a drag on growth for the U.S., not just for the countries that the tariffs are put on," Carpenter added.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Morgan Stanley's, Seth Carpenter, Trump, Carpenter, CNBC's Sri, Morgan, Mark Malek, Siebert, Joe Biden, Trump's, Malek, Ben Emons Organizations: Asia Pacific Summit, Microsoft, Apple, U.S . Federal Reserve, FedWatch Advisors Locations: China, CNBC's Sri Jegarajah, Morgan Stanley's, Singapore, U.S
China is installing wind and solar power projects faster than any other country on the planet. It’s not that China is using less energy — it’s using more than ever — but it’s just adding wind and solar power to its grid at an astonishing pace. The country is constructing two-thirds — nearly 339 gigawatts — of the world’s utility-scale solar and wind projects. That is in addition to the 758 gigawatts of wind and solar capacity it has already built, according to the Global Energy Monitor. Wind and solar are now capable of generating 37% of the country’s power, according to Global Energy Monitor, already displacing coal’s dominance.
Persons: Donald Trump, It’s, , , Jonathan Pershing, William, Flora Hewlett, John Podesta, ” Podesta, Xi Jinping, hasn’t, Xia Yingxian, ” Li Shuo, Shuo, ” Shuo Organizations: CNN, Department, Global Energy Monitor, International Energy Agency, White, US, State Department, China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Climate, Asia Society Policy Institute Locations: Mongolia, China, Europe, Africa, Podesta, Paris, China’s
That is just one reason why policy experts see a retirement savings crisis on tap for so many Americans over the next several decades. This results in an increase in retirement income of $150 per month,” Gusto’s researchers wrote. Initial data also suggests that the introduction of auto IRAs might correlate with more employers offering their own plans. It’s not entirely clear why, since smaller businesses often cite cost and administrative burden as reasons why they don’t sponsor a retirement plan. And employer plans offer workers tax breaks and direct matching contributions, which can help them grow their nest eggs faster than they otherwise might.
Persons: John Scott, Roth, Scott, IRAs, , Pew, It’s Organizations: CNN, AARP —, AARP, Georgetown Center, Retirement, Pew, Savings, Employers, Project . Workers, Georgetown CRI, Auto Locations: California, Colorado , Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii , Illinois, Maine , Maryland, Minnesota , Nevada , New Jersey , New York , Oregon, Rhode Island , Vermont, Virginia, Washington
On the campaign trial, Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs of 60% or more on Chinese goods sold to the U.S. She expects a stimulus package of more than 10 trillion yuan ($1.39 billion), with about 6 trillion yuan going towards local government debt swaps and bank recapitalization. More than 4 trillion yuan will likely go towards local government special bonds for supporting real estate, Su said. That divergence in stock performance indicates China's stimulus "will be slightly bigger than the baseline scenario," said Liqian Ren, who leads WisdomTree's quantitative investment capabilities. She estimates Beijing will add about 2 trillion yuan to 3 trillion yuan a year in support.
Persons: Zhu Baoliang, Trump, Su, Yue Su, , Liqian Ren, Ren doesn't, Biden, Chris Miller, That's, China's, Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: Bund, Trump, Citigroup, U.S, Economist Intelligence Unit, National People's Congress, Huawei, Republicans, Senate, NBC, Republican Party, Emergency Economic, Trade Locations: Shanghai, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, U.S
Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 325 shares of HON, decreasing its weighting to 2% from 2.45%. With Honeywell shares rallying Wednesday alongside other industrials as part of the "Trump Trade," it's an opportunity to sell into strength a stock that has disappointed. We will realize a small gain of about 2% on stock purchased in late 2021. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Jim, Republican Donald Trump, Andrew Kelly Organizations: Honeywell, Republican, U.S, NBC, Trump Trade, CNBC, Home Depot, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Wells Fargo, Depot, U.S, New York City
My grandparents' vacation cabin in Lake Tahoe is the stuff of legend. My grandparents' little house in South Lake Tahoe, which they bought for $113,000 in 1984, quickly became a haven for my family. Framers of the Tahoe tax measure took inspiration from Berkeley, California, which adopted a vacancy tax this year. Since the city of South Lake Tahoe was incorporated in 1965, it's been populated by a healthy mix of year-round and seasonal residents. As of October 2024, the median sales price for homes in South Lake Tahoe was $750,000, according to Realtor.com.
Persons: George Rose, it's, Amelia Richmond, , Steve Teshara, Teshara, Frederic Lewis, Sherri Maslyar, Jeff Cowen, we'd, Amanda Yen, I'd Organizations: of Commerce, South Tahoe Association of Realtors, BI, Colorado and, Survey, Tahoe Chamber of Commerce, Realtors ' Association, Business, Tahoe, Planning Association Locations: Tahoe, South Lake, Berkeley , California, Oahu, Colorado, Aspen, Vail, Breckenridge, Bay, Colorado and Utah, Park City , Utah, Richmond, Emerald
Voting systems: How we know the election is secure
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Zachary Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +14 min
Musk has used X to spread unfounded allegations about voting systems, laying groundwork to question the election before it happens. To better understand the security of US voting systems and why there’s no indication that they’re not secure, I talked to CNN’s Zachary Cohen, who covers national security, and Sean Lyngaas, who covers cybersecurity. There are three large election equipment vendors in the US: Dominion; ES&S, or Election Systems and Software; and Hart InterCivic. Dominion Voting Systems ballot-counting machines are lined up at a Torrance County warehouse during testing of election equipment with local candidates and partisan officers in Estancia, New Mexico, on September 29, 2022. COHEN: We know people, these pro-Trump operatives and lawyers, have already gotten access to election software – voting software, voting systems in Georgia, copied the entire election database from several counties.
Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Trump, , CNN’s Zachary Cohen, Sean Lyngaas, Hart InterCivic, Andres Leighton, COHEN, we’ve, Sean, We’ve, there’s, Hart, they’ll, It’s, Elon, Kamala Harris, Doug Logan, Joe, Biden, Stephen Richer, Richer, that’s, hasn’t, they’re, Tina Peters, it’s Organizations: CNN, Dominion, Fox News, Software, Federal, Trump, Idaho National Labs, Department of Energy, Arizona, Team Trump Locations: Pennsylvania, Torrance County, Estancia , New Mexico, County ( Georgia, Coffee, Mesa County , Colorado, Michigan, Georgia, Idaho, Maricopa, Maricopa County , Arizona, Colorado
The DOJ and FBI are preparing to combat election lies but have limited authority. Affordable Care Act coverage is available for DACA recipients for the first time. For the DOJ that means setting up an Election Threats Task force, focusing on the prosecutions of people who threaten election officials. To understand how that might play out, NBC News interviewed current and former Justice Department and FBI officials, as well as legal experts. For many DACA recipients who are unable to get job-based health insurance, a lack of access to government-funded programs meant their insurance options were limited or too expensive.
Persons: Donald Trump, , , , Trump, don’t, Read, Helene, Milton, Sarahi, Young Thug, Georgia’s, Sean “ Diddy ” Combs, Nicole MacDonald, isn’t, Biden, they’d, — Rich Bellis, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: DOJ, FBI, Affordable, Trump, Justice Department, NBC News, Boeing, of Labor Statistics ’, University of Washington, Republican, Atlanta, NFL, NBC Locations: U.S, Swedish
The fee turned up in September 2019, after Trump placed 25% tariffs on steel, and hasn’t gone away since. So far, the tariffs in force under both White Houses have cost Americans $79 billion, the nonpartisan Tax Foundation estimated this summer. The nation’s roughly 33 million small businesses employ nearly half the nation’s workers and generate more than 43% of the gross domestic product, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce estimates. “Whether we like it or not, Asia is the bike manufacturing hub of the world,” said Zagata, who raised prices by between 18% and 22% after the Trump tariffs took hold. San Diego-based entrepreneur Nichole MacDonald said profit margins for her patented, 10-pocket Sash Bag have been thinning in recent years as material and freight costs have jumped, and tariffs aren’t helping.
Persons: Donald Trump, Chris Smith, Trump, hasn’t, Smith, , Biden, , who’ve, Erica York, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, they’re, Jonathan Gold, Gold, “ they’ve, Ryan Zagata, Zagata, he’d, Felix Tintelnot, Trump’s, ” Trump, Brian Hughes, Nichole MacDonald Organizations: Virginia Beer Co, Constellation Brands, Corona, Trump, Foundation, Tax, National Retail Federation, U.S . Chamber, Commerce, Brooklyn Bicycle Co, GOP, Duke University, Locations: Williamsburg , Virginia, U.S, China, Modelo, Mexico, New York City, Asia, York, Germany, Diego, India
The legislation is poised to bring a $100 billion microchip manufacturing center to the area where Johnson was campaigning with GOP Rep. Brandon Williams. “As I have further explained and clarified, I fully support Micron coming to Central NY, and the CHIPS Act is not on the agenda for repeal,” Johnson later said in a statement. The new funding was intended to help companies bring chip manufacturing back to the US and, as a result, help lower costs and prevent supply chain disruptions. Earlier Friday, Johnson was asked by a reporter from Citrus TV News, “The former president has said that he doesn’t support the CHIPS and Sciences Act. “We’re going to support chip manufacturing, we do not support the Green New Deal.
Persons: Mike Johnson, Johnson, , Donald Trump, Brandon Williams, ” Johnson later, Williams, Sen, John Mannion –, , ” Johnson, “ We’ve, “ We’re, Kamala, Mannion, “ Trump, ” “, ” Mannion Organizations: CNN —, GOP Rep, Micron, NY, Green New, Democratic, Citrus TV, Sciences, Republican, Trump, Green New Deal, Central Locations: Syracuse , New York, New York, New, Central New York, Mohawk
The fee turned up in September 2019, after Trump placed 25% tariffs on steel, and hasn't gone away since. Small-business owners have already been facing tariffs on billions of dollars of goods, most of them from China, implemented by Trump in 2018. So far, the tariffs in force under both White Houses have cost Americans $79 billion, the nonpartisan Tax Foundation estimated this summer. The nation's roughly 33 million small businesses employ nearly half the nation's workers and generate more than 43% of the gross domestic product, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce estimates. "Whether we like it or not, Asia is the bike manufacturing hub of the world," said Zagata, who raised prices by between 18% and 22% after the Trump tariffs took hold.
Persons: Donald Trump, Chris Smith, Trump, hasn't, Smith, Biden, , who've, Erica York, they're, Jonathan Gold, Gold, they've, Ryan Zagata, Zagata, he'd, Felix Tintelnot, Trump's, Brian Hughes, Nichole MacDonald, MacDonald, Kamala Harris, it's, Sara Hauman, isn't, doesn't Organizations: Albuquerque, Virginia Beer Co, Constellation Brands, Corona, Trump, Foundation, Tax, National Retail Federation, U.S . Chamber, Commerce, Brooklyn Bicycle Co, GOP, Duke University Locations: Albuquerque , New Mexico, Williamsburg , Virginia, U.S, China, Modelo, Mexico, New York City, Asia, York, Germany, Diego, India, America, Portland , Oregon, West Coast
Both presidential campaigns have discussed ideas for cutting housing costs. Economists say lowering labor and building material costs is far more important to home building. Housing policy experts and economists disagree, saying lower energy costs would not significantly boost construction or make homes cheaper. Notably, under the Biden administration, the US has produced and exported more crude oil than ever before in the country's history, even as housing costs have soared. AdvertisementLabor costs and cutting red tape are also keyLabor costs are generally growing as a portion of overall construction costs, Basu said.
Persons: JD Vance, Trump, , Donald Trump, Sen, Vance didn't, I'm, Anirban Basu, they're, Basu, Biden, Andrew Justus, Justus, might've, Vance, Nolan Gray, they'll, hasn't, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Biden, Associated Builders and Contractors, Trump, Niskanen, Labor Locations: Nevada, California
Boeing strike will dent last jobs report before election
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Leslie Josephs | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Boeing workers gather on a picket line near the entrance to a Boeing facility during an ongoing strike on October 24, 2024 in Seattle, Washington. Boeing 's more than seven-week machinist strike is set to hit Friday's U.S. jobs report — the last one that will be released before Nov. 5 presidential election and the Federal Reserve's meeting next week. Some 44,000 U.S. workers were on strike when the Labor Department conducted its survey in mid-October. About 33,000 of them are Boeing machinists, who walked off the job on Sept. 13 after overwhelmingly voting against a union-endorsed labor contract and in favor of their first strike since 2008. Boeing's machinist strike has complicated the plane maker's already difficult position as its new CEO Kelly Ortberg tries to steer the giant U.S. manufacturer and exporter out of safety, quality and financial crises.
Persons: Christopher Waller, I'm, Kelly Ortberg Organizations: Boeing, Labor Department, Bank of America, Federal Locations: Seattle , Washington, Hurricane Milton, Seattle
New York CNN —The last three years have upended everything about the way we expect the economy to work. But the pandemic-era inflationary period played out unlike any other in history, and wealthy people made out like bandits. And that may be because the only real inflation we’ve seen in decades was a multi-year profit bonanza for them. And that has provided a permission structure for some wealthy Trump supporters to shrug their shoulders at his inflationary economic agenda. But it won’t be the same flavor of profit-driven inflation we’ve seen over the past three years.
Persons: CNN Business ’, That’s, Donald Trump’s, “ It’s, , Kent Smetters, , we’ve, ” It’s, He’s, Harris, Josh Bivens, Bivens, ” Bivens Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Wall, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Trump, Wall Street Journal Locations: New York, Ukraine
Boeing and its machinists' union have agreed on a new negotiated offer to raise worker pay and potentially end a crippling strike that began almost seven weeks ago with a vote on the new proposal set for Monday. The union urged workers to approve the contract. Boeing said Thursday at the end of the contract, average machinist pay will average $119,309. "We encourage all of our employees to learn more about the improved offer and vote on Monday, Nov. 4," Boeing said in a statement. The Boeing strike is expected to dent Friday's U.S. jobs report.
Persons: Kelly Ortberg Organizations: International Association of Machinists, Aerospace Workers, Boeing, Workers, Microsoft, Locations: Renton , Washington , U.S, Seattle
“We have to reduce spending to live within our means,” Musk said. That gives Musk’s frankness about reductions — and his track record of making large, painful cuts at his own companies — added weight. The Trump campaign didn’t immediately comment but has previously said that the GOP agenda wouldn’t cause short-term economic hardship. There’s some skepticism on Wall Street that a new Trump administration could implement spending cuts on the scale Musk has proposed. “They’re both indicating they intend to maintain substantial deficits and elevated government spending, certainly compared with the strength of the economy,” Elliott said.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Elon Musk, ” Musk, Trump, Musk, , , didn’t, Kamala’s, Geoff Orazem, Bob Elliott, ” Elliott, Steve Sosnick Organizations: Republican, GOP, SpaceX, Trump, Social Security, Trump’s, CNBC, FedScout, Funds, Interactive Locations: U.S, Trump,
Niccol's overarching message: A bunch of changes, both big and small, are coming to Starbucks' menu, mobile app and stores that should satisfy all parties involved. Starbucks stock didn't do much in the five sessions since then, ending Wednesday at $97.32 a share. Starbucks is far from a quick fix, but Niccol on Wednesday night demonstrated that the optimism may not be misplaced. As for mobile orders, which account for more than 30% of transactions, the CEO said Starbucks will tweak its algorithm so that it provides specific pickup times to customers. Investors are hoping Starbucks' stock returns are reminiscent of that tenure, too.
Persons: Brian Niccol, Jim Cramer, Niccol, Wall, , Laxman Narasimhan —, Howard Schultz, Jim, Rachel Ruggeri, we've, Jim Cramer's, Jakub Porzycki Organizations: Starbucks, Chipotle, Investors, CNBC, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: U.S, China, Chipotle, Manhattan Beach , California
AMD's GPU sales are nearing CPU sales, driven by AI data center demand. AMD raised its 2024 GPU sales forecast to over $5 billion, up from $4.5 billion. AdvertisementWhat could also keep this dynamic from becoming permanent is the immaturity of the ecosystem around AMD GPUs. UBS analysts warned that 2025 may be yet another transition year in which AI data centers and GPU sales don't reach maturity — predicting higher GPU sales in 2026 than in 2025. The analysts expect $5 billion in GPU sales this year to reach around $8 billion next year.
Persons: , Lisa Su, Su, Morgan Stanley Organizations: AMD, Service, Bank of America, Nvidia, UBS
CNN —China has a new richest person – and it’s the entrepreneur behind the wildly popular, and controversial, app TikTok. Zhang Yiming, 41, co-founder of TikTok’s parent company ByteDance, topped the 2024 Hurun China Rich List, released Tuesday. His wealth reached $49.3 billion, as assessed by research, media and investment group Hurun Inc, which publishes the ranking of the country’s richest people. ByteDance also holds China’s popular news app Toutiao and Douyin, TikTok’s sister app in China. Billionaires on the declineOverall, the number of US-dollar billionaires in China shrank to 753, down 142 from the previous year.
Persons: Zhang Yiming, Zhang’s ascendency, Hurun, TikTok, it’s, , Zhang, Liang Rubo, ByteDance, Zhong Shanshan, Zhong, Ma, Rupert Hoogewerf, Organizations: CNN, Hurun Inc Locations: China, India, Britain, Canada, Australia, Beijing, Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan
McDonald's on Tuesday reported quarterly earnings and revenue that beat analysts' expectations as its U.S. restaurants reversed last quarter's same-store sales decline. It's the second straight quarter that the company's same-store sales have fallen. U.S. same-store sales rose 0.3%, reversing last quarter's same-store sales declines but still slightly weaker than the 0.5% increase predicted by StreetAccount estimates. The company's two international divisions both reported steeper declines in same-store sales compared with the prior quarter. The international developmental licensed markets division reported same-store sales declines of 3.5%, driven by weak demand in the Middle East and China.
Persons: McDonald's, Ian Borden, Chris Kempczinski, Kempczinski Organizations: Health, LSEG Locations: France, Germany, Australia, East, China
For now, analysts and investors are looking to Amazon's third-quarter earnings report Thursday night for more clarity. Amazon hopes that Kuiper could bring broadband connectivity to some 400 million to 500 million households that currently lack it. Bank of America, on the other hand, estimates around $3.5 billion in Kuiper spending next year. The Kuiper spending estimates might seem steep, but the analysts aren't telling investors to dump shares. The "ultra-compact" version of the Project Kuiper Amazon
Persons: Jeff Marks, Andy Jassy, Kuiper's, Marks, Kuiper, Evercore, BofA, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Starlink, Elon Musk's, EBITDA, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Amazon, Web Services, AWS, Wedbush Securities, Federal Communications Commission, FCC, Bank of America, FactSet, SpaceX, Viasat, CNBC Locations: Amazon's
Apple has been banned from selling the iPhone 16 in Indonesia. Apple's share of the Indonesian market has grown to around 10% in recent years. AdvertisementThe Indonesian government has blocked Apple from selling its latest iPhone 16 in the country because it does not meet local regulations. The ministry said 9,000 iPhone 16 products had already entered the country. Of the 235 million smartphones Apple sold globally last year, the company only sold about 3.4 million in Indonesia, the FT reported.
Persons: Apple hasn't, , Apple, Tim Cook, Joko Widodo Organizations: Apple, Service, Indonesia's Ministry of Industry, Ministry of Industry, Indonesian, Anadolu, Getty, Apple Intelligence Locations: Indonesia, Indonesian, China
Democratic Rep. Colin Allred is giving the polarizing Republican Sen. Ted Cruz a run for his money, presenting him as a do-nothing extremist. There’s added intrigue as Cruz underperformed in his last Senate race in 2018, fending off former Democratic Rep. Beto O’Rourke by less than 3 points. Republican Larry Hogan won two races for governor of Maryland in 2014 and 2018, defying gravity in the deep-blue state. He’s favored in a red-leaning district previously held by centrist Democratic Rep. Ron Kind. Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez is looking to hang on against Mayra Flores, a Mexican-born millennial who has promoted far-right rhetoric and is seeking to channel a resistance to transgender rights.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, , Cruz, Colin Allred, Sen, Ted Cruz, Allred, There’s, Cruz underperformed, Beto O’Rourke, Dan Osborn —, Osborn, Deb Fischer, Fischer, Larry Hogan, he’s, Hogan, Joe Biden, Angela Alsobrooks, Prince George’s, Rick Scott, Trump, Debbie Mucarsel, Powell, Scott Perry, Janelle Stelson, Perry, Amy Walter, , Jen Kiggans, Missy Cotter Smasal, Derrick Van Orden, Biden, He’s, Ron Kind, Rebecca Cooke, Vicente Gonzalez, Mayra Flores, Gonzalez, MAGA, Katie Porter, Scott Baugh, Porter, Dave Min Organizations: Texas, Senate, Democratic, GOP, Democratic Rep, Nebraska, Populist, Republicans, Maryland, Republican, Maryland Senate, Trump, Former, Caucus, Social Security, . Texas ’, Orange County GOP, Democrat, House Democrats Locations: Texas, Maryland, Prince George’s County, . Florida, Florida, Scott, Stelson, Perry, ” Virginia’s, Virginia, East Coast, Wisconsin’s, Washington, . Texas, Mexican, Newport Beach, Orange County, California
Plaintiffs in 14 lawsuits call Sean Combs a rapist, including eight who sued in the past two weeks. Defense lawyers have already signaled that this will be a line of attack against "Victim-1." Related stories"There's 30 million reasons" to doubt her credibility, Combs attorney Marc Agnifilo told a judge during bail arguments last month. In court papers relating to the criminal case, defense attorneys have used the words "false" and "outright absurd" in referring to the lawsuits' allegations. Experts said Combs' defense lawyers will try to impugn the financial motives of not only any plaintiffs who take the stand in May but also their lawyers.
Persons: Sean Combs, Combs, , Sean, Diddy, Michael Farkas, Farkas, Cassandra, Cassie, Ventura, Douglas Wigdor, Marc Agnifilo, Stacey Richman, Jay, Lil Wayne, Richman, Jane Doe, Tony Buzbee, Michael Bachner, Bachner, Rodney, Rod, Jones, Tyrone Blackburn, Blackburn, Liza Gardner, Adria, Buzbee Organizations: Service, New, Defense, Buzbee, US, VMA, UMG, Motown Records, Universal Music Group, New York Locations: New York, Bronx, Manhattan, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Alabama, Houston, Brooklyn
SKIP AHEAD What is the Mavala Stop no-bite polish? | How I use the Mavala Stop no-bite polish | Is no-bite nail polish safe? What is the Mavala Stop no-bite polish? The Mavala Stop polish looks like clear nail polish — it comes in a small bottle with a brush applicator that you swipe on your nail. The bottom lineThis Mavala Stop no-bite polish is, in my experience, the most effective product I’ve ever tried to stop my more 20-year nail-biting habit.
Persons: I’ve, Mavala, It’s, Ginger King, , King, TikTok Organizations: NBC, Grace, Facebook, Twitter Locations: New Jersey
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