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☆ Chuck Todd: This Democratic defeat — and the rise of Trump 2.0 — was a decade in the making
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Chuck-Todd-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Chuck Todd | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +21 min

The reality is that both parties learn lessons from losing elections that apply only in the short term — say, from one presidential election to the next midterm or from one midterm to the next presidential election. Not anymore — it’s why Democrats usually overperform in special elections, with more devoted “every election” voters right now. Meanwhile, in the non-battlegrounds, which were more affected by the basic “mood music” of the election, Democrats were shellacked. The seeds of discontent with this version of the Democratic Party can be traced back a decade to Obama’s decision to anoint Hillary Clinton as his successor. Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., at the CNN Democratic presidential primary debate in New York City on April 14, 2016.

Persons: inbox, It’s, Donald Trump, Devin Yalkin, doesn’t, Karl Rove, Barack Obama, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Bill Clinton, Obama, Clinton, Harris, Court's Dobbs, Dobbs, Trump, I’m, Kamala Harris, Morry Gash, hadn't, misfired, Deb Fischer, Dan Osborn, Osborn, Josh Shapiro, wasn’t, Harris wouldn’t, They’ve, Franklin D, Roosevelt, John F, Kennedy, Lyndon B, Johnson, Hillary Clinton, he’d, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Justin Sullivan, Democratic Party didn’t, Sanders, Bernie Bros, Joe Rogan, —, didn’t, nitpick, ”, Bob Dole, Al Gore, John Kerry, John McCain, Mitt Romney, What's, Elon, MAGA, Michael Dukakis Organizations: NBC, Trump, Democratic, Democratic Party, Biden, GOP, Democrats, Social Security, Senate, Electoral, Massachusetts Democrat, San, San Francisco Democrat, CNN Democratic, Clinton, Obama, Trump bros Locations: West Palm Beach, Fla, Plenty, “, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona , Nevada , Michigan, Wisconsin, Madison, Wis, America, Texas, Massachusetts, San Francisco, New York City, Trump, Iowa, Clinton

George Walker IV/AP Trump supporters watch election results come in at his election night party at the Palm Beach County Convention Center. Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg/Getty Images Election workers process mail-in ballots in West Chester, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday. Trump and Harris tied with three votes each in the tiny New Hampshire township, kicking off Election Day. Joseph Prezioso/AFP/Getty Images Election workers prepare ballots in Denver on Monday, November 4. RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post/Getty Images A patron eats inside a restaurant near the White House that had plywood covering its windows on the eve of Election Day. David Dee Delgado/AFP/Getty Images Election workers sort ballots during early voting in San Francisco on Thursday.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, he’d, George W, Bush, Harris, Hillary Clinton, Austin Steele, Roe, Wade, Biden, It’s, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin’s, Jim Justice’s, Montana Sen, Jon Tester, Tim Sheehy, Ohio Sen, Sherrod Brown, Bernie Moreno, Sue Ogrocki, Colin Allred, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Debbie Mucarsel, Powell, Sen, Rick Scott, Mitch McConnell, John Cornyn, South Dakota Sen, John Thune, Democrats didn’t, Hakeem Jeffries, hamstrung, they’re, Harris underperformed Biden, –, ”, Jen O’Malley Dillon, David Axelrod, Puerto Rico, Chip Somodevilla, Ron DeSantis romped, Melania, Barron, “, Will Lanzoni, CNN Trump, Ian Maule, Go Nakamura, Jeff Roberson, Vincent Alban, Chet Strange, Leah Charles, Tianna Adams, George Walker IV, Christian Monterrosa, Shelby Knowles, Jason Bean, Rebecca Blackwell, Leah Millis, Brynn Anderson, Matt York, Paul Kuehnel, David Robert Elliott, Nathan Howard, San Francisco Columbarium, Jeff Chiu, Nicole Craine, Ernesto Benavides, Steven Vandenburgh, Charlie Riedel, Lindsey Wasson, Andres Leighton, Butch Wilmore, Suni Williams, Nick Hague, Don Pettit, Hague, Eva Marie Uzcategui, Matt Slocum, Susan B, Anthony, Lauren Petracca, Richard Burkhart, Ronald Reagan, Chris Pizzello, Rebecca Droke, Jay Janner, Ken Brandon, Charlie Neibergall, Scott Morgan, John Locher, Jordan Dunson, Chris Lachall, Bill Clark, David Goldman, David Dee Delgado, Suzanne Kreiter, Ryan Collerd, Joseph Prezioso, Charles Rex Arbogast, Patrick T, Fallon, Evan Vucci, Nam, Rebecca Cook, Elijah Nouvelage, Ed Jones, Jonathan Drake, Reuters Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Carolyn Kaster, Carlos Berríos Polanco, Skye, Quinn Glabicki, Jose Luis Magana, RJ Sangosti, Robyn Beck, Zach Boyden, Holmes, Mike Stewart, Carlos Osorio, Steven Senne, David Paul Morris, Kayria Hildebran, Jenny Kane, Craig Hudson, Bing Guan, Scott Olson, Lynne Sladky, Allison Joyce, Megan Varner, Scott Graham, Adam Bettcher, RONDA CHURCHILL, Republicans —, Texas — Organizations: CNN, White, Republican Senate, Democrats, Biden, Sun, Republican, Trump, Howard University, Democratic, Republicans, GOP, Navy, Bernie Moreno . Ohio Republican, AP Democrats, Senate, Rural, Penn State University, CNN –, Dorton, Voters, Republican Gov, Miami, Dade, CNN Trump, Reuters Trump, West Palm Beach, Reuters, Carolina, AP Trump, Convention, Center, Bloomberg, Getty, Empire, People, Reno Gazette, USA, Florida's, AP Observers, Spelman College, AP, York Hospital, Kansas City Urban Youth Academy, New York Times, CNN Howard University, San Francisco, AP Voters, NASA, Space, Mount Hope, Savannah Morning, Ronald Reagan Presidential, Austin American, Statesman, Hartford Memorial Baptist Church, Honda, Allegiant, Las Vegas Raiders, First Presbyterian Church, City, Inc, First Presbyterian, of, Boston Globe, Getty Images Trump, College Park ,, Getty Images Workers, Sipa, US, Denver Post, City of, Reuters Voters, City Hall, Atlanta's, Museum of Art, Pisgah Baptist Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Arizona , Georgia, New Mexico, Virginia, Trump, Washington , DC, West, Montana, Bernie Moreno ., Westlake , Ohio, Kentucky, Texas, South Dakota, Washington, New York, California, America, Pennsylvania’s Huntingdon, Montgomery County, Philadelphia, Harris, Oakland County, Trump’s, Raleigh , North Carolina, United States, Florida, Ohio, Dade County, West Palm Beach , Florida, Las Vegas, Chandler , Arizona, West Palm Beach, West Palm, Pewaukee , Wisconsin, Denver, Greensboro , North Carolina, Beach, Fulton, Fairburn , Georgia, Reno , Nevada, St . Petersburg , Florida, Atlanta, Phoenix, York , Pennsylvania, Kansas City , Missouri, Waleska , Georgia, Navajo, Kayenta , Arizona, AFP, Lawrence , Kansas, Seattle, Chinle , Arizona, West Chester , Pennsylvania, Rochester , New York, Garden City , Georgia, Savannah, Simi Valley , California, Pittsburgh, Austin , Texas, Hartford, Detroit, Omaha , Nebraska, Savannah , Georgia, Camden , New Jersey, San Francisco, Alexandria , Virginia, of Dearborn , Michigan, Boston, Lancaster , New Hampshire, Chicago, Palm Beach , Florida, College Park, College Park , Georgia, Leicester , North Carolina, Reuters Ohio, Cincinnati, Dearborn , Michigan, Caguas , Puerto Rico, Springfield , Pennsylvania, Dixville, New Hampshire, City, City of Industry , California, Des Moines , Iowa, Charlotte , North Carolina, Grand Rapids , Michigan, Providence , Rhode Island, Henderson , Nevada, Bronx, Portland , Oregon, Oregon, New Castle , Delaware, Pisgah, Pisgah Baptist Church, Brooklyn, Kenosha , Wisconsin, Miami, Wilmington , North Carolina, Minneapolis

☆ Opinion | Nate Silver on How Kamala Harris Changed the Odds
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Ezra Klein | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +81 min

You know, Hillary Clinton, who was, I think, kind of a terrible candidate, won the popular vote by two points. So I don’t think they gave her a very good hand to play. It doesn’t matter who you are, it matters that you’re right and you’re able to prove it or bet on it in some way. What wasn’t in the Harris model that should have been?” “Yeah, maybe you really can meme your way to victory. And there’s something in it that I don’t think she can explain how she does it, but it makes her a fascinating leader.

Persons: Nate Silver, ”, ESPN’s Nate Silver, Silver, He’s, “ Savage, ” “, he’s, Ezra, Harris, we’ve, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, There’s, Hillary Clinton, she’s, She’s, Gavin Newsom, It’s, Biden, I’m, you’re, Joe Biden, Democratic Party Harris, Liz, —, “, Donald Trump, that’s, George W, Bush, Donald Trump wasn’t, it’s, Michael Jackson, Woody Allen, ’, Chick, don’t, George Floyd, ‘ COVID, COVID, Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, Michael Moritz, Elon, Mark Cuban, Thiel, Max Chafkin, Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Page, Sergey Brin, Marc Andreessen, Ted Cruz, Sam Bankman, Tom Brady, SBF, Carrick Flynn, Oregon’s, I’m Carrick Flynn, Tara MacAulay, vouched, Bill Clinton, Tyler Cowen, they’ve, Jane, JD Vance, Peter Thiel’s, Vance, Trump, Steve Bannon, Don Trump, Jr, Tucker Carlson, Tim Walz, Josh Shapiro, Tell, you’ve, Shapiro, Walz, I’ve, Iglesias, Obama, Susan Collins, Joe Manchin —, Jon Tester, ” “ Sherrod Brown, I’d, Dana White, Hulk Hogan, Joe Biden’s, — let’s, Mike Donilon, Kennedy, ” “ Tim Alberta, Georgia —, Brian Kemp, Blake Masters, Rick Scott, ” “ Trump, Doug Burgum, Black, didn’t, — Woodrow Wilson, Harry Truman, Michael Jordan, everyone’s, Nancy Pelosi’s, Nancy Pelosi, Joe ’, we’re, I’ll, John Coates, Richard Rhodes, Natasha Schüll, Natasha Organizations: Oracle, Trump, Democratic Party, Facebook, Twitter, The New York Times, ’ Harvard University, Democratic White House, Republican White House, Democratic, Silver, George, Vegas, Poker, extroversion, Elon, Sequoia Capital, McLaren, Paypal, Republican, New, PAC, Alameda, Las, Ohio Senate, underperform, White, UFC, RNC, Biden, Biden ., National Association of Black Journalists, Deutsche Bank, Manhattan Project, Design Locations: Nate, Russian, Russia, ’, Elon, Florida, predestiny, Bahamas, Sam, Africa, New York, Oregon, Las Vegas, Petersburg, United States, Ohio, Trump, Minnesota, ” “ Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Gaza, Chicago, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada , Arizona, Biden . Georgia, Carolina, Arizona, Ukraine, LA, It’s, Vegas

michelle goldbergI mean, I’m a huge Walz fan, and I was worried. ross douthatSo, yeah, I mean, I’m having made the case that this pick makes sense in vibes terms. michelle goldbergYeah, I don’t think that he necessarily overperforms among conservative voters strictly defined. You don’t think that there’s a part of the country that just finds joy like a really refreshing change? I’m going there.

Persons: ross douthat I’ve, Bon Iver, Taylor Swift, I’ve, michelle cottle Oh, ross douthat, michelle goldberg, michelle cottle, Vance, I’m Michelle Cottle, Ross Douthat, Ross, Michelle Goldberg, Michelle, Harris, Kamala — Kamala — michelle goldberg Kamala, nomenon, Kamala, Chappell Roan, I’m, Frenchman, we’ll, Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, Josh Shapiro, it’s, Donald, JD Vance, Donald Trump, Biden, Walz, Sarah Longwell, Shapiro, Trump, ross douthat Let’s, It’s, that’s, John Fetterman, we’ve, Michelle Cottle, relatability, Jared Golden, Joe Manchin, Mary Peltola, —, Bernie, you’ve, who’s, Josh Shapiro doesn’t, don’t, you’re, Shapiro wasn’t, JB Pritzker, The New York Times ”, here’s Shapiro, Netanyahu, Donald Trump’s, John Kerry, — ross douthat, “, we’re, Bone, michelle goldberg Ross, George Floyd’s, there’s, George Floyd, That’s, It’s Trump, michelle cottle Ross, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, ross, hadn’t, “ Trump, MAGA, michelle cottle It’s, he’s, she’s, Tucker Carlson, — michelle cottle, ross douthat —, doesn’t, chameleons, He’s, McKay Coppins, it’s Kamala, Sarah Palin’s, John McCain, Mike Pence, Dick Cheney, George W, ”, michelle cottle “ Sunny, ” ross douthat, Rashida Jones, — ross, ” michelle goldberg, michelle cottle Juicy, “ Severance, michelle cottle Nice Organizations: “ New York, Minnesota, Twitter, Republican, Trump, Democratic, America, Democratic Party, Dartmouth, Biden, The New York Times, Bone Spurs, Vance, Republicans, Air Force, Atlantic, Democrat Locations: Tay, “, Pennsylvania, Brooklyn , New York, Wisconsin, San Francisco, relatability, America, Maine, Alaska, California, Israel, Palestine, Minnesota, Italy, Minneapolis, Afghanistan, Ukraine, Trump, United States, Michelle, Kyoto, Japan

Asked whether Biden would exit the race, Biden campaign spokesperson Seth Schuster responded: “No.”“There’s no basis for that,” one Biden adviser also told CNN Friday morning. The Biden campaign will hold an all-staff meeting Friday afternoon, two Biden campaign officials told CNN, part of what they said is a routine pattern of Friday meetings. “It’s hard to debate a liar,” Biden told patrons at an Atlanta-area Waffle House following the debate. Big lies.”Pro-Biden political world fretsIn the broader pro-Biden and anti-Trump political universe, the panic over Biden’s debate performance was much clearer on Friday morning. God.”The veterans of Obama’s administration who launched the “Pod Save America” series of podcasts popular with liberal listeners also lamented Biden’s performance.

Persons: Joe Biden’s, Biden, “, Donald Trump, Seth Schuster, ”, Joe Biden, Allison Joyce, Hakeem Jeffries, Biden —, “ I’m, ” Jeffries, Biden’s, David, “ It’s, It’s, ’, Jeff Zients, Anita Dunn, Tristen Rouse, CNN ‘, ’ Biden, —, Barack Obama’s, Obama, ” Obama, ” Biden, reconsidering, Joe, Jill Biden, Trump, Republican Adam Kinzinger —, Kinzinger, Joe Scarborough —, Axios, ” Scarborough, ” Jon Stewart fuming, ” Stewart, Jon Favreau, haven’t, Joe Biden —, ” Ben Rhodes, “ Joe Biden couldn’t, Angie Craig, Brad Schneider, Scott Peters, ” Peters, Nancy Pelosi, ” Trump, Jim Clyburn, didn’t, Democratic Sen, Ben Cardin, Ben Cardin of Maryland, “ Biden, ” Cardin, ‘ We’ve, Josh Shapiro, Shapiro, ” “, we’ve, ” Shapiro, Michigan’s Gretchen Whitmer, “ Joe Biden, ” Whitmer, Donald Trump’s, Betsy Klein, Haley Talbot, Manu Raju, Veronica Stracqualursi, Andrew Millman, Ted Barrett, Lauren Fox, Annie Grayer, Priscilla Alvarez Organizations: Washington CNN, Democratic, CNN, House, Getty, House Democratic, Biden, White, White House, “, Trump, Charlottesville White, New York Times, Republican, Illinois, Obama, ” Hill, California, South Carolina Rep, Pennsylvania Locations: North Carolina, Wilmington, Raleigh , North Carolina, Carolina, Biden’s Wilmington, Washington ,, Atlanta, Charlottesville, America, Ben Cardin of, Chicago

☆ Online swagger makes presidential debates sound like prize fights
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

!” Trump said, accepting the challenge on his social media platform with a nod to words that typically open boxing matches. The debates are set for June 27 on CNN and September 10 on ABC News. It’ll be on cable, so not exactly pay-per-view, but certainly not the aired-everywhere style that has become typical of presidential debate since the Commission on Presidential Debates started sponsoring them in 1988. The CNN debate, on the other hand, will be conducted in a TV studio with no audience, which means no applause or cheering. After grumbling from both campaigns, the Commission on Presidential Debates issued a statement arguing that beginning in September would still allow for early voters to watch before making a decision.

Persons: CNN — Joe Biden, “ Donald Trump, ” Biden, Trump, Biden, Harry, ”, Clint Eastwood’s, “ Let’s, ” Trump, Trump’s, –, Hugh Hewitt, It’ll, John F, Kennedy, Richard Nixon, Biden’s, Hunter, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, “ Organizations: CNN, didn’t, ABC News, Republican, Democratic, Social Security, ABC, Biden, Trump, Commission, Washington Post Locations: Atlanta, New York, Los Angeles, Delaware

☆ Lev Parnas invited by House Oversight Democrats as witness for Biden impeachment hearing
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( Annie Grayer | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

House Democrats on the Oversight Committee have selected an indicted associate of Rudy Giuliani, who played a role in former President Donald Trump’s first impeachment trial, to be their witness at the panel’s hearing on Wednesday, a source with Oversight Committee Democrats told CNN. House Republicans had embraced the dirt Parnas was peddling but he has since called it out as nonsense. Hunter Biden declined the invitation from Republicans to appear at this hearing. Last year, Parnas sent House Oversight Chair James Comer a letter discrediting the many theories peddled by Republicans and called on Comer to end his investigation into the Biden family. “There is simply no merit to investigating this matter any further.”Prior to selecting Parnas, Democrats had been considering Trump’s former lawyer Michael Cohen to be their witness.

Persons: Rudy Giuliani, Donald Trump’s, Lev Parnas, Giuliani, Trump, Joe Biden, Hunter, Parnas, “ Lev Parnas, ”, Jamie Raskin, “, Tony Bobulinski, Biden, Jason Galanis, Hunter Biden, Devon Archer, Joe Biden corruptly, Republican pushback, James Comer, Comer, ” Parnas, Michael Cohen, “ Cohen Organizations: CNN, Republicans, GOP, Maryland, Republican, Biden, FBI Locations: Ukrainian, Ukraine

WASHINGTON (AP) — A bipartisan Senate deal to pair border enforcement measures and Ukraine aid faced potential collapse on Thursday as Senate Republicans grew increasingly wary of an election-year compromise that Donald Trump, the likely Republican presidential nominee, seems likely to oppose. At stake is a plan that both President Joe Biden and Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell have worked for months to broker in hopes of cajoling Congress to approve wartime aid for Ukraine. “We’re at a critical moment, and we’ve got to drive hard to get this done," said South Dakota Sen. John Thune, the second-ranked Senate Republican. With Republicans continuously raise the issue on the campaign trail, the border will likely remain central to elections this year. They have argued that presidents already have enough authority to implement hardline border measures and Trump should have his say.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Mitch McConnell, McConnell, “ We're, ” McConnell, Ukraine's, McConnell's, Oklahoma Sen, James Lankford, he’s, ” Lankford, “ That’s, haggling, Olivia Dalton, Biden, ” Dalton, “, we’ve, Dakota Sen, John Thune, we’ll, Trump, Connecticut Sen, Chris Murphy, didn’t, ” Murphy, ”, Sen, John Cornyn, Rick Scott, ” Sen, J.D, Vance, unquote ‘ MAGA, unquote ‘ MAGA Republicans ’, Mike Rounds, Kevin Freking, Seung Min Kim Organizations: WASHINGTON, Republicans, Republican, Trump, Senate, White, Air Force, Democratic, Senate Republicans, Texas Republican, Florida Republican, Ohio Republican, unquote ‘ MAGA Republicans, South Dakota Republican, Associated Press Locations: Ukraine, U.S, Mexico, The U.S, Israel, Oklahoma, Dakota, Europe, Congress, Connecticut, Trump, Texas, Florida, Ohio

☆ 1 chart to explain the current dysfunction in Congress
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —Proof of Congress’ ongoing dysfunction is in its current paralysis. Republicans have a few more votes in the House, but they don’t exactly have a governing majority. The lack of competitive seats makes it feel like we are stuck with a closely divided House and a closely divided Senate for the foreseeable future. Half as many competitive House seatsThe Cook Political Report with Amy Walter assigns a partisan score to every congressional district. The partisan tone he took to placate the ultra-right lawmakers meant Democrats were never going to save his job.

Persons: Kevin McCarthy, it’s, Steve Scalise, Donald Trump, Jim Jordan, Joe Biden, Amy Walter, –, Cook, CNN’s Simone Pathe, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin, he’s, Biden, didn’t, McCarthy, Nancy Pelosi’s, Pelosi Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Republican, Democratic, Senate Locations: Louisiana, Ohio, ”, It’s, West Virginia

“I do intend to file a motion to vacate against Speaker McCarthy this week. But now, knowing full well he’s likely to soon face a so-called motion to vacate vote, McCarthy is taking his detractors head-on – and in increasingly combative terms. If the Senate bill advanced, McCarthy would have a harder time arguing his bill was the solution. 3 Senate Republican, opposed the Senate bill, breaking with McConnell, according to a source familiar with the matter. But that wasn’t enough to convince House Democrats to oppose the funding bill with a shutdown looming.

Persons: Kevin McCarthy didn’t, Bryan Steil, Steil, Mike Lawler, Marc Molinaro, Nick LaLota –, McCarthy, ”, Matt Gaetz, CNN’s Jake Tapper, “, ” Gaetz, McCarthy’s, it’s, ” McCarthy, –, Gaetz, Kevin McCarthy, Tom Cole, Tom Emmer, wouldn’t, chomping, ” Steil, Steve Womack, Ralph Norman of, “ I’m, Norman, “ We’ve, Andy Biggs, ” Biggs, Kevin, Don Bacon, Sen, Markwayne Mullin, Mullin, John Thune, Mitch McConnell, McCarthy chatted, Thune, John Barrasso of, McConnell, Hakeem Jeffries, ’, Democratic appropriators, Jamaal Bowman, Democrats ’, Mike Quigley, Congressional Ukraine Caucus –, Putin, ” Quigley, Shuwanza Goff, Steve Ricchetti, Michael Bennet of Colorado, Joe Biden’s, Biden Organizations: CNN, Republican, GOP, Rep, Wisconsin Republican, New York Republicans, Democratic, Florida, Union ”, Democrats, House Democrats, Republicans, Leadership, Border Patrol, Arkansas GOP, Arizona Republican, Nebraska Republican, Senate, White, Ukraine, Cannon, New York Democrat, House, Congressional Ukraine Caucus Locations: ”, Wisconsin, “ State, Ukraine, Arkansas, Ralph Norman of South Carolina, Arizona, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Thune, John Barrasso of Wyoming

☆ Why Are Democrats Losing Ground Among Nonwhite Voters? 5 Theories.
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Nate Cohn | More About Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

On the other hand, 63 percent of white voters say abortion should be at least mostly legal, a tally greatly exceeding the usual Democratic support among white voters. Democrats showed similar — if less acute — weaknesses with these voters in 2018 and during most Trump-era special elections. Many hold conservative views on issues, like opposition to same-sex marriage. These moderate or conservative nonwhite voters consider themselves Democrats because they see the party as representing them and their interests, not because they have party-line views on every issue. If so, Republican gains among nonwhite voters might naturally result from Democrats’ leftward shift over the last few years.

Persons: they’re, Mr, Biden, Democratic centrists, it’s, ’, Trump’s, Sanders, “, ” Organizations: Democratic, Trump, Republicans

☆ Trump’s dominance of GOP field has America bracing for a toxic campaign
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

But the raucous event in Pickens also showed the enduring power of his personality and feral political appeal to GOP base voters. The state of the raceAs early as it is, some of the big questions that will decide the 2024 GOP primary are beginning to be answered. Even with his support among GOP voters appearing to soften in CNN’s post-indictment poll, there’s little sign it’s affecting his position in the race. While this may reinforce perceptions among GOP primary voters that he’s a victim, it could remind other voters of the possibility of a convicted felon serving as president. Still, Kennedy’s appeal shows that a distrust of Washington institutions, experts and a political system many voters fear has failed them, is no longer exclusively reserved for Republican primary voters.

Persons: Donald Trump, Pickens, ” Trump, Trump, ” Steve Cortes, DeSantis, Mike Pence, Obama, Clinton, Biden, it’s, —, Sen, Lindsey Graham –, –, Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson, Will Hurd, Lindsey Graham, president’s, — DeSantis, he’s, I’ll, ” Cortes, “, Buttigieg, Still, — Biden, Robert Kennedy’s, didn’t Organizations: CNN, America, Republican, GOP, DeSantis, ”, Trump, NBC, Labor, FBI, Justice Department, New, New Jersey Gov, Arkansas Gov, Texas Rep, PAC, White, Democratic Locations: South Carolina, Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Arkansas, Manhattan, Washington

Friday’s release of former President Donald Trump’s tax returns from his four years in the White House and two years prior is an important and long overdue public service. It also would have been a warning shot to any future presidents who may want to keep their tax returns private. ), chairman of the tax-writing House Ways and Means Committee, asked the agency for information related to Trump’s tax returns. Ultimately, though, it’s on House Democrats that the Trump tax documents release on Friday were so limited. So they couched their court case as looking into the effectiveness of mandatory IRS audits of tax returns of all sitting presidents.

☆ Democrats Didn’t Just Win Georgia. They Secured a Firmer Grip on the Senate.
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-06 | by ( Carl Hulse | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Having an edge on the committees will allow Democrats to overcome Republican opposition, if they can hold together. Mr. Manchin, however, has said that he would welcome a wider margin because it would take some of the attention and pressure off him as he weighs another run in 2024. Such a situation would “make it easier for me,” Mr. Manchin told reporters last week on Capitol Hill. Mr. Warnock’s win also secured for Democrats the authority to subpoena witnesses before Senate committees without the cooperation of Republicans, which could be hard to come by if the G.O.P. With House Republicans planning an onslaught of investigations when they assume control in January, the ability of Senate Democrats to mount their own investigations could allow them to counterpunch.

☆ How did Democrats make it so close in the House midterm elections?
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-17 | by ( ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +18 min

While the GOP did still take the House, the close margin of victory was a performance well below what was possible. Here are eight perspectives from across the ideological spectrum on why the Democrats were able to make it so close. And this reality was essential given the defection of Black and Latino voters to the Republican Party and its candidates. America can credit Democratic West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin’s obstruction of a democracy bill and an economic bill for the narrow Republican House majority. But now, America needs to deal with a Republican House, thanks in good part to Manchin’s obstruction.

Those were among the driving questions leading up to the midterm elections about Latino voters. Latino voters have long had themes attached to them for elections. Greg Abbott, who declared he would get more than half of Texas' Hispanic vote, finished with 40 percent, 2 percent less than in his last election. That helped create a "bridge opportunity" with Latino voters, said Sanchez, also a University of New Mexico political science professor. George W. Bush was elected with 35% of the Latino vote and did even better in getting re-elected with 40% of the Latino vote.

“I think it’s going to be significant,” Chuck Coughlin, an Arizona Republican pollster, said of the third-party impact on key Senate races. Angela McArdle, the chair of the Libertarian National Committee, said it’s not her party's job to protect Republican candidates who are alienating voters. "If Republicans fear that Libertarians are going to be spoilers, Republicans need to run more liberty-minded candidates," McArdle told NBC News. Much attention has been paid to the level of support third-party candidates can wrestle from the major party contenders in recent election cycles, particularly on the presidential level. "We have to wait to see the melt on these third-party candidates," he said.

☆ Biden says the election is a battle against 'MAGA Republicans.' He’s been silent about Democrats elevating them.
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-25 | by ( Peter Nicholas | Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Carol-Lee-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +9 min

Democrats had been spending millions of dollars in Republican primaries elevating extreme candidates who falsely insist Donald Trump won the 2020 election, in hopes of facing weaker opponents in the general election. The raw political calculus that underpins the Democrats’ midterm election strategy is at odds with President Joe Biden’s core political message that democracy is in peril. Biden appears to have accepted the tradeoff involved: If boosting election-denying candidates saves even a few Democratic congressional seats, it’s worth the risk. NBC News asked the White House what Biden thinks of the practice and whether he’s ever voiced qualms about it. During the 2016 presidential campaign, many Democrats saw Trump as the weakest and, hence, most desirable opponent in the general election.

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