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ET Wednesday showed large gender gaps for the candidates: Among men, who made up 47% of the electorate, Harris won 42% of the vote and Trump won 55%. Among women, who made up 53% of the electorate, 53% voted for Harris and 45% for Trump. Broken down by race and education, the gender gap showed even wider splits in some cases: An overwhelming 91% of Black women voted for Harris vs. 7% who voted for Trump, and 57% of college-educated white women voted for Harris vs. 41% who voted for Trump. But among white female non-college graduates, only 35% voted for Harris vs. 63% who voted for Trump. But just 14% of voters said abortion mattered the most to their votes when they were asked to choose out of five issues.

Persons: Harris, Trump, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, —, Walsh, Hillary Clinton, Biden Organizations: NBC, Trump, Democratic, Hart Research, Republican Locations: Trump

☆ Gender? Economy? Experts weigh in on which factor is most likely to flip the presidential race
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

When the votes are counted in U.S. presidential election, will it be the gender gap, the income gap, the Latino vote or the media and marketing campaigns that turned out to be decisive? CNBC Senior Economics Reporter Steve Liesman sat down with four polling experts for an in-depth look into the data to see which ones could turn the election to either Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump. The panel included Steve Kornacki, NBC News national political correspondent; Mark Murray, NBC News senior political editor; Micah Roberts, Public Opinion Strategies partner and CNBC's Republican pollsters; and Jay Campbell, Hart Research partner and CNBC's Democratic pollster. Yes, it's likely to be the economy. See the full video above to hear the discussion.

Persons: Steve Liesman, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Steve Kornacki, Mark Murray, Micah Roberts, Jay Campbell, Hart, it's Organizations: CNBC, NBC News, NBC, Republican, Hart Research, Democratic

☆ Final NBC News poll: Harris-Trump race is neck and neck, with significant gender gap
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Mark-Murray-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Mark Murray | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +9 min

Just 2% of voters say they’re unsure about the choice. Trump, meanwhile, leads among rural voters (75%-23%), white voters (56%-42%) and white voters without college degrees (64%-34%). This net gender gap of 34 points is larger than the 30-point gap in October’s NBC News poll. That’s a significant change from the final 2020 NBC News poll, when Biden was ahead of Trump by more than 20 points among these voters. And when it comes to the battle for Congress, 47% of voters say they prefer Democrats control Congress, while 46% want Republicans in charge.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, —, Joe Biden’s, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, We’ve, we’ve, McInturff, — Trump, Biden, — Harris, they’ve, Trump’s, That’s Organizations: NBC, Republican, White, Trump, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republicans —, Democrats —, Electoral, Black, The NBC, Biden, Republican Party Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, U.S

Ahead of Donald Trump’s Tuesday appearance in the heavily Latino city of Allentown, Pennsylvania, a comedian’s racist joke about Puerto Ricans at the former president’s Madison Square Garden rally drew fresh blowback. “However, the other five million who live in the United States, whom they also labeled as trash, can vote.”One of those five million Puerto Rican voters is Allentown resident Efraín Dávila. Hinchcliffe made his racist jokes in an election cycle in which Republicans have said they are messaging to Latinos as Americans. But the comedian at his rally attacked Puerto Ricans, who are American citizens at birth, not immigrants, said Mike Madrid, a Republican consultant who opposes Trump. Madrid added that it is more difficult to waive off the comedian’s racist jokes, because they did not come from Trump.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris, “ Trump, “, Efraín, Trump, he’s, MAGA, Bad Bunny, Oscar, Benicio Del, Puerto Rico, Hinchcliffe, Democratic pollster Carlos Odio, ” Odio, ” Rafaela Gomez, Gomez, she’s, ” Gomez, “ didn’t, ”, Biden, Harris, Mike Madrid, JLo, Marc Anthony, Geraldo Rivera, Trump “, Donald Trump, ” Frankie Miranda, Hurricane Maria, Miranda, Gardner Mojica, “ Hamilton, Lin Manuel, Nicole Acevedo, Suzanne Gamboa, George Solis Organizations: Puerto Ricans, Puerto Rico’s, El Nuevo Día, New, of America, Puerto Rican, Allentown, Efraín Dávila, NBC News, ” Puerto, Republicans, Trump, Americans, Democratic, Pennsylvania, Puerto, Hispanic, Arizona, Republican, Hispanic Federation, Hurricane Locations: Allentown , Pennsylvania, Madison, Puerto, El Nuevo, Puerto Rico, United States, ”, ” Puerto Rican, Benicio Del Toro, Puerto Rican, Drexel Hill , Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Mexico, Madrid, ” Madrid, Hurricane, Allentown, Philadelphia, New York, San Antonio

Trump’s Changing Messages on Abortion, in 660 Quotes Donald Trump has softened his rhetoric, contradicted himself and nearly dropped “pro-life” from his vocabulary. Trump’s Statements on Abortion Before and After Dobbs The way Donald Trump has talked about abortion changed after the Dobbs decision. Below, a comparison of the themes Mr. Trump mentioned most in his public statements, based on a Times analysis. Abortion is an important issue Times Trump said abortion is an important issue, by quarterAfter he was elected, Mr. Trump kept many of his promises to the anti-abortion movement. For much of this campaign, Mr. Trump declined to say whether he would veto a federal abortion ban.

Persons: Donald Trump, ”, Donald J, Trump, “ I’m, “, Dobbs, Jackson, Roe, Wade, ” Mr, Karoline Leavitt, Jason Rapert, Rapert, “ It’s, —, they’re, Lake, he’s, doesn’t, MAGA, Times Trump, Kamala Harris, they’ll, Melania Trump, “ We’re, Trump’s, ’, “ We're, Judge Scalia, Justice Scalia, We're, we've, ” Susan B, Anthony, They're, we'll Organizations: New York Times, Mr, Trump, National Association of Christian Lawmakers, Democratic, Republican, ”, Republican Party, Supreme, Times, Life, “, and Drug Administration, Justice Department, Breitbart, Federalist Society, Senate, U.S, ” Christian Broadcasting Network Locations: United States, Florida, Pensacola, Fla, “, Pa, Dubuque , Iowa, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Indiana

And on Thursday, Harris delivered an unscheduled speech focused on former Trump chief of staff John Kelly confirming Trump praised Adolf Hitler’s generals. The Harris campaign argues that the plan will tip some final undecided voters — a chunk of which are disaffected Republicans or independents. The Harris campaign says it is also focused on understanding what messaging could impact the small number of undecided voters that remain in key battleground states. “The two most motivating messages for Democratic turnout are those around abortion and democracy.”Some Harris campaign officials echoed that argument. Still, some Democrats who have worked with Harris worry there is too much focus on Trump and not on Harris’ unique skills and vision.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Liz Cheney, John Kelly, Adolf Hitler’s, Harris ’, ”, Cornell Belcher, Democratic pollster, Obama’s, Ashley Etienne, ” Etienne, “, Donald, Harris wasn’t, Kelly, ” Harris, “ Trump, Roe, Wade, “ It’s, stewing, Barack Obama, Nikki Haley, —, Kelly’s, Hitler, ” Belcher, Pete Giangreco, Cheney, Harris pollster, she’s Organizations: WASHINGTON, Republican, Trump, Capitol, Democratic, CNN, Social Security, United Nations Locations: Houston, Georgia

Their memories are so short,” the man said, incredulous that any union member in Wisconsin is now backing Trump. Teamsters members who backed Harris carried out what’s considered by the campaign to be among the most persuasive of arguments: those made peer to peer. After the news broke that the national organization wouldn’t endorse Harris, however, local Teamsters groups, including many of the largest, swiftly backed Harris. Trump’s a scab!”The United Auto Workers union, which has a vast representation in the swing state of Michigan, has also put its weight behind Harris. It’s my tax money going to union workers,” Jones said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Scott Walker’s, Donald Trump, “, Trump, ”, Harris, Tim Walz, Democratic Sen, Tammy Baldwin, what’s, Elon Musk, ” Josh Orton, Harris ’, Bill Carroll, Mandel Ngan, Sean O’Brien, Joe Biden, Karoline Leavitt, ” Leavitt, Leavitt, Jim Ridderbush, ” Ridderbush, didn’t, Shawn Fain, Biden, John A, Daniel Jones, “ That’s, ” Jones, “ Donald Trump, he’d, Scott Walker, Tesla, “ I’m Trump, ” Jacob Ralph, Lori Jensen, Sean O’Brien didn’t, Sean, “ I’ll Organizations: Teamsters, Republican Gov, Gov, Democratic, Trump, NBC News, Getty, International Brotherhood of Teamsters, United Food, Commercial Workers, “, United Auto Workers union, Biden, Neenah Locations: OSHKOSH, Wisconsin, Foxconn, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Madison, Wis, AFP, Green Bay, Oshkosh, Duluth , Minnesota, Superior , Wisconsin

— 42% of national registered voters pick Harris, while 40% choose Trump. Comparing Trump’s and Harris’ popularityIn addition, the CNBC poll shows Trump slightly more popular than Harris nationally, with Trump’s rating at 42% positive, 48% negative (-6 net rating), while Harris' stood at 39% positive, 49% negative (-10). But their ratings are almost identical in the battleground states — 44% positive, 49% negative for Trump (-5), compared with Harris’ 43% positive, 48% negative rating (-5). That 4-point edge for Republicans is identical in the combined battleground states, 48% for Republicans to 44% for Democrats. CNBC’s poll was conducted Oct. 15-19 of 1,000 registered voters, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

Persons: CNBC’s, Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Trump, Trump, Jay Campbell, Campbell, Micah Roberts Organizations: Republican, Democrat, Trump, America Economic Survey, NBC News, CNBC, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republicans Locations: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia

☆ Presidential election is a dead heat though Trump leads Harris big on economy, says CNBC survey
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

In the seven battleground states, Trump leads 48% to 47%, within the 4% margin of error for that portion of the poll. The nationwide sample included 186 voters from the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. An additional 400 voters were interviewed in those states for a total sample of 586 from battleground states. Trump holds commanding leads among voters who prioritize the inflation, the economy and addressing the needs of the middle class. Harris leads on a variety of second tier issues, areas of high concern that rate below the economy.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Jay Campbell, Harris Organizations: CNBC, America Economic Survey, Trump, Voters, Hart Research, Democratic Locations: Arizona , Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

The “blue wall” states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania have paved the path to the White House for the last two Democratic presidents. Recent discussions have centered on the possibility of an anomaly happening this year with just part of the blue wall breaking its way. “We absolutely are competing to win Michigan,” Harris campaign spokeswoman Lauren Hitt said, noting Harris’ presence there this week. The blue wall states have been pivotal to elect presidents in the last several elections. “Those three, the blue wall states, almost always stay together, but this year it’s an extraordinarily tight race.

Persons: Kamala Harris ’, ”, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, —, “, ” Harris, Lauren Hitt, Mark Robinson’s, Josh Stein, Joe Biden, Biden, Dan Kanninen, Helene, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Harris ’, Michael Dukakis, Tad Devine, Devine, Elissa Slotkin, Dane County, Tim Walz, Obama, Bill Clinton, Matt Baretto, Republicans —, ” Baretto Organizations: White House, Democratic, Pennsylvania, White, Detroit News, Washington Post, Michigan, Trump, Republican, Republicans, Wisconsin, Biden, Democrats Locations: Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Nevada, Hurricane, Arizona , Nevada, Georgia, Nevada , Arizona, Arizona, Gaza, In Wisconsin, Dane, Milwaukee

With voters citing the economy and inflation, abortion, immigration and democracy as top issues in this election, the survey tested a series of policy proposals on those topics, offering clues about which policies could move voters. The survey did not identify which party or candidate is associated with the proposal. While economic policies could move voters toward a candidate, the survey also finds that election denialism could turn them off. Voters across swing groups, including suburban women, independents, moderates and seniors, say they are less likely to support a candidate who denies the election results. The NBC News poll of 1,000 registered voters, 898 of whom were reached by cellphone, was conducted Oct. 4-8.

Persons: Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, “, ”, Democratic pollster Aileen Cardona, Arroyo, —, Trump, MAGA, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: NBC News, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republican, MAGA Republicans, Trump, NBC

☆ Why working-class White women could be so decisive this fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +19 min

Those working-class White women loom as a critical, potentially even decisive, factor in Trump’s third White House bid. But while White women with a college degree have trended toward the Democrats in the presidential campaigns since then, the White women without a college degree have moved sharply in the opposite direction. She acknowledges that Trump’s alarms have resonated among working-class White women, especially older ones. Not only college-educated White women, but also the equivalent White men were much more likely than the blue-collar White women to express positive views about Harris and negative ones about Trump, Gallup found. “I think there is a lot of implicit [gender] bias with” these working-class White women, Lake said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Joe Biden’s, it’s, Harris, Harris doesn’t, ”, Lake, “, Evelyn Hockstein, Reuters “, Bradley Beychok, Beychok, gee, ” Beychok, Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, Bill Clinton, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Chip Somodevilla, Barack Obama’s, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Biden, – Harris, ” Lake, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, William Frey, ” Trump, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, –, Jackie Payne, Payne, pollsters, Jon McHenry, McHenry, Joe Biden, Mathews, Matthews, Vance, ” Matthews, White, Gallup Organizations: CNN, White, Electoral, Democrats, Trump, Democratic, PAC, Reuters, American, Republican, Edison Research, Pew Research, Michigan, Quinnipiac University, Marquette Law School, Metro, Dodge, Airport, Biden, New York Times, ”, Times, Gallup Poll, Gallup Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Flint , Michigan, Reading , Pennsylvania, Southern, Philadelphia, Juneau , Wisconsin, Siena, White, Wilkes, Barre , Pennsylvania

“I really do believe Erie is the top bellwether county in Pennsylvania. Certainly top five in the nation,” Fetterman said, citing its mix of urban and rural areas. Tim Walz, the vice presidential nominee, will campaign this week in Wisconsin and western Pennsylvania, the Harris official said. The Trump campaign is seeking to capitalize on a new wave of polls that indicate Harris’ edge is shrinking. Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg said Harris should work to limit the margins of defeat in rural areas.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Trump, Joe Biden, ”, Sen, John Fetterman, “, ” Fetterman, Harris, Obama, Josh Shapiro, Fetterman, “ Trump, Taylor, Biden, Governor Walz, Harris can’t, Tuesday’s, Tim Walz, Tony Fabrizio, Chris LaCivita, Susie Wiles, Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg, Hillary Clinton, Walz, Nikki Haley, Paulette Aniskoff, Liz Cheney, ” Aniskoff Organizations: Pennsylvania, Democratic, Republican, Erie County, Senate, Census, Gov, Trump, Sun, Harris, Black, Minnesota Gov, Congressional, GOP Locations: ERIE, Pa, Erie County, Pennsylvania, “ Pennsylvania, Erie, Lake Erie, Ohio, New York, Pittsburgh, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, Detroit, Grand Rapids, Lansing, Oakland County, Milwaukee, La Crosse, Green Bay, Minnesota, Nebraska’s, Omaha, America, California

(Read more here from NBC News’ pollsters on why this poll measures registered voters and not likely voters.) That’s a change from September’s NBC News poll, which found Harris leading Trump by 5 points, 49%-44%, though that result was within the margin of error. Independent voters are essentially split in the poll, with Harris getting support from 44% of them versus 40% choosing Trump. Harris’ popularity declinesAnother significant change in the NBC News poll since September is Harris’ popularity. The NBC News poll of 1,000 registered voters, 898 of whom were reached by cellphone, was conducted Oct. 4-8.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, ” McInturff, “, doesn’t, Joe Biden, Trump’s, — Trump, Horwitt, ” Horwitt, — Harris, That’s, Biden’s, —, Harris ’, Biden Organizations: NBC News, Trump, Republicans, Harris, Democratic, Republican, NBC, Republicans —, Democrats —, Black, Independent, Biden, September’s Locations: America

Trump and the Republican Party have made “an unprecedented lean in and targeting of African American men,” Belcher said. Yes, it’s absolutely smart on their side.”But, he said, recent polling shows a shift among Black voters in the last month and a half toward Harris' campaign. “We want to make sure that Black men are showing up to vote in numbers that we haven’t seen since Obama. So victory and success for us will be record numbers of Black men showing up to vote in November.”He said there has been an Obama-like energy with Harris. Has anyone ever heard of Barack Hussein Obama?” Trump said as the Scranton crowd lit up with boos.

Persons: Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, Obama, Harris, Donald Trump, “, ”, Jesse Lee, —, ” Lee, Republicans — Obama, Mitt Romney, ’, Paulette Aniskoff, ” Aniskoff, ” Eric Schultz, ” Schultz, ” Harris ’, Harris ’, Obama pollster Cornell Belcher, Joe Biden, “ She’s, Belcher, Trump, ” Belcher, Quentin James, ” James, MAGA, ” Trump, decry, Barack Hussein Obama, Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg, ” Greenberg, Hillary Clinton Organizations: Indian, Black, Biden White, Republicans, NBC News, Obama White House, Trump, Democrats, Republican Party, Collective PAC, GOP, Democratic Locations: SCRANTON, Pa, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Scranton, America

While Harris has gained ground on stewardship of the economy, Trump still leads in most surveys about the issue, which frequently ranks as the top concern for voters. The Harris campaign and Democratic allies believe she must erode that advantage and at least fight it to a draw. Tim Walz, argued in the recent debate that Trump’s economy was weak even before the Covid-19 pandemic hit. The economic issue is still Trump’s core advantage and one of the only reasons this race is as close as it is.”Still, Harris is performing better than Biden did on the economy against Trump. “People almost always say ‘I hate him but,’ or ‘I like him and’ — ‘but he did a good job on the economy,’ ‘the economy is better under him,’” she said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Harris, Trump, Tim Walz, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Chris Kofinis, ”, Biden, ABC’s, “, ” Harris, ” Trump, Karoline Leavitt, ” Leavitt, Alyssa Cass, Anna Greenberg, ’, ’ ”, they’re Organizations: Democratic, Minnesota Gov, Trump, NBC, Biden, New York Times, Siena College, Social Security, Medicare, Affordable Locations: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada

Michigan, which Joe Biden narrowly won in 2020, will be a crucial battleground again this November and is home to a large Arab American population. CNN has reached out to the Harris campaign for comment about the meeting. He cited growing frustration with what he described as a campaign more concerned with optics than addressing the anger and anxiety among Arab American voters. There were no leaders,” Zogby said of the Wednesday conversation. That call and other communications with the Harris campaign, and Biden’s before that, have irked the longtime Democratic pollster.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, Abbas Alawieh, Alawieh, ” James Zogby, Zogby, Phil Gordon, ”, ” Zogby, they’ve, ‘, ’ ” Abed Ayoub, Ayoub, Harris ’, Tim Walz, ” Walz, “ Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Biden, Democrats, Capitol Hill, Arab American Institute and, Democratic National Committee, Harris, “, Minnesota Gov Locations: Flint , Michigan, Lebanon, Israel, Iran, Iranian, Yemen . Michigan, Gaza, Detroit, Palestinian American, Chicago, Michigan, Palestine

☆ The unexpected gender dynamic shaping the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

CNN —All signs suggest that the partisan divide over changing gender roles in society could widen even further in the 2024 election, adding a new source of uncertainty to a contest already on a knife’s edge. That was only the latest example of his campaign signaling its support for traditional gender roles. “The messaging on gender coming out of the campaign broadly is very much about reaffirming traditional roles for women and for men,” Cassese said. In PRRI polling this year, nearly half of Republicans agreed with two absolutist statements about gender roles. His problem is that most voters outside the core GOP coalition are generally comfortable with the changes in gender roles and family dynamics since the “Father Knows Best” era in the 1950s.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, “, ”, Trump, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, it’s, Rosetta Stone, Kamala Harris, ” Trump, Daniel Cox, Cox, Matthews, Joe Biden, Louis, Dobbs, Harris, ” Erin Cassese, Chip Somodevilla, Hulk Hogan, Dana White, JD Vance, ” Cassese, Robert P, Jones, –, Ipsos, homemaking, Tresa Undem, ” Undem, that’s, ” Kamala Harris, Josh Edelson, ” Cox, Trump’s, I’ll, Donald Trump, Undem, ” Matthews, ‘, ’ ” Harris, Biden Organizations: CNN, Republican, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, Suburban Housewives, America, GOP, Trump, University of Delaware, Fighting, Public Religion Research Institute, Pew Research Center, AEI, Politico, “, ”, Air Force, San Francisco International Airport, Getty, Democratic, ” “, Harvard Kennedy School Institute, Politics, White Locations: Trump, New York, Pennsylvania, St, Washington ,, “, AFP, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania

☆ Trump picks up the pace: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

Plus, senior political editor Mark Murray breaks down the fault lines in our new poll of Latino voters. Leading the charge for more events is Trump himself, a campaign official said, saying Trump was supposed to have a slow Sunday but insisted instead, “We got to do something,” leading to the rally in Erie, Pennsylvania. Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump 54%-40% among registered Latino voters nationwide, the poll shows. “We are looking at Latino voters rather than a consolidated Latino community,” she added. Read more: Nnamdi Egwuonwu dives into how the Harris and Trump campaigns are targeting the increasingly fragmented Latino electorate in very different ways.

Persons: Donald Trump, Mark Murray, Harris, Katherine Doyle, Jake Traylor, Jonathan Allen, Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, lobbed, ”, “, Helene, Hurricane Helene, Matt Dixon, Adam Edelman, Megan Lebowitz, Brian Kemp hasn’t, Biden, Kemp, North Carolina’s Roy Cooper, ” Biden, Read, There’s, Democratic pollster Aileen Cardona, Arroyo, Republican pollster Micah Roberts, Telemundo’s Julio Vaqueiro, ’, — Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Trump, GOP, Labor, ”, Georgia Gov, Republican, FEMA, Democratic, NBC News, Telemundo, CNBC, Catholic, Latina, Hart Research Associates, Press Locations: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, U.S, Mexico, Erie , Pennsylvania, Butler , Pennsylvania, Valdosta , Georgia, Hurricane, Georgia, North

Similarly, Latino voters’ preference for which party controls Congress stands at 54% Democrats, 42% Republicans — a much narrower gap than in past years. Surveying 1,000 Latino voters nationwide in English and Spanish, the poll also finds a striking split on immigration between Latino voters who prioritize a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants and preventing discrimination, and those who focus more on border enforcement. Sixty-two percent of Latino voters believe immigration helps more than it hurts, versus 35% who think it hurts more than it helps. In this poll, 54% of Latino voters prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, versus 42% who want Republicans in charge. The NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC Latino poll of 1,000 registered Latino voters was conducted Sept. 16-23.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden’s, ”, Democratic pollster Aileen Cardona, Arroyo, Republican pollster Micah Roberts, ” Trump, Victor Gutierrez, Gutierrez, Michelle García, Matthew Delao, Fredy Arguello, Delao, Arguello, ” Arguello, Harris ’, Biden, García Organizations: ’, NBC News, Telemundo, CNBC, Democratic, Trump, NBC, Republicans —, “, Hart Research Associates, Republican, Democratic Party —, Young, Catholic Locations: New Jersey, Puerto Rican, Peruvian, Maryland, California, United States, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Spain, Cuba, Dominican Republic

☆ Harris leads with Latino voters, but the economy narrows the margin for Dems: Survey
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-29 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The survey of 1,000 Latino likely voters found the Democratic presidential candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris, leading the Republican candidate, former President Donald Trump, by 54% to 40%. Harris's 14-point lead is the narrowest margin for a Democratic candidate among surveyed Latino voters in at least the past four elections, going back to 2012. All of these groups rate the economy poorly, with Latino voters overall about as downbeat on the economy as the rest of the country. While that's about equal to the rest of the population, it stands 11 points higher than in the NBC 2022 Latino survey. Here is a demographic profile of Latino voters from the NBC/CNBC/Telemundo survey:

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Aileen Cardona, Arroyo, Micah Roberts, Republican pollster, Harris, Trump, Harris's, Biden, That's, it's Organizations: Republican, Democratic, National Constitution Center, Republicans, NBC, CNBC, Telemundo, Trump, Hart Research, America Economic Survey Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, America

☆ Bad blood with Republicans drives a decline in Taylor Swift's poll numbers
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Faith Wardwell | Faith Wardwell Is An Intern At Nbc News. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

Republican views of Taylor Swift have taken a nosedive in comparison to last year, a new NBC News poll shows, weeks after the pop singer announced her endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris. Just 12% of Republicans report positive attitudes toward the singer, down from 28% last year. Among Democrats, 58% view Swift in a positive light, a slight increase from 53% in 2023. About 26% of independents have a positive attitude toward Swift, a drop from 34% in 2023. The significant shift from Republican voters has pushed Swift’s overall favorability rating among registered voters lower than last year, decreasing from 40% in 2023 to 33% this year.

Persons: Taylor Swift, Kamala Harris, Swift, Jeff Horwitt, Democratic pollster, Bill McInturff, Horwitt, Harris, Donald Trump, ” Swift, Lady, ”, Sen, JD Vance, Trump’s, “, Trump, TAYLOR SWIFT, ” Harris Organizations: NBC, Republican, Hart Research Associates, Democratic, NBC News Locations: R, Ohio

Two in three voters say the country is on the “wrong track,” as voters weigh whether Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump would be better able to change that less than two months from Election Day. The latest NBC News national poll finds 65% of registered voters surveyed earlier this month say the country is on the wrong track, while 28% say it’s on the right track. “While the wrong track data is now under 70% for the first time since September 2022, it is still a terrible 65% for the party in power,” Horwitt said. NBC News surveys have found steadily high rates of voters saying the country is on the wrong track for years — and especially since the coronavirus pandemic began in March 2020. But Harris does have an advantage over Trump when voters were asked which candidate better represents change, with 47% saying Harris and 38% saying Trump in the poll.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, ” Horwitt, McInturff, Harris, Trump Organizations: NBC News, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, GOP, Republicans, NBC, Trump

☆ Elon Musk’s popularity plummets to 6% among Democrats, poll finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( David Ingram | David Ingram Is A Tech Reporter For Nbc News. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +3 min

Elon Musk’s support among Democrats has withered to a new low as he has embraced Republican politics, according to a national NBC News poll. Only 6% of Democrats in the poll, which was conducted Sept. 13-17, said they had positive feelings about Musk, while 79% said they had negative feelings. The numbers were flipped for Republicans, with 62% having positive feelings toward him and 14% negative feelings. Musk didn’t respond to a request for comment Tuesday. Overall public support for Musk is negative, with 34% holding positive views and 45% negative views, according to the poll.

Persons: Elon, Donald Trump, “, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Democratic pollster, Bill McInturff, ” Horwitt, Musk, Kamala Harris Organizations: Republican, NBC News, Hart Research Associates, Democratic, SpaceX, Bloomberg, NBC, Trump, Democrats

☆ Poll: Newly popular Harris builds momentum, challenging Trump for the mantle of change
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-22 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Mark-Murray-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Mark Murray | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +10 min

Two-thirds of voters say their family income is falling behind the cost of living, and voters ranked the cost of living as their top concern in the election. Harris leads on abortion, fitness and change; Trump is ahead on the key issues of the border and inflationThe NBC News poll also tests Harris and Trump on 13 different issues and presidential qualities. But in this new poll, Harris is now at 48% positive, 45% negative (+3). And 66% of voters say their family’s income is falling behind the cost of living. Meanwhile, 65% of voters say the country is on the wrong track, compared to just 28% who say it’s heading in the right direction.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, Harris ’ favorability, George W, Bush’s, —, Biden, ” Harris, “, Kamala Harris ’, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Democratic pollster, Bill McInturff, What’s, aren’t, ” Horwitt, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Jill Stein, Chase Oliver, Harris ’, George H.W, Ross Perot, That’s, it’s Organizations: NBC News, NBC, Trump, Hart Research Associates, Democratic, Republican, ”, Biden, Black, House Locations: U.S

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