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AdvertisementDonald Trump Jr. will not take on a White House role, opting instead for the VC firm 1789 Capital. The venture capital firm that Donald Trump Jr. is reportedly joining eschews investments that push social and environmental issues and instead focuses on what it calls "EIG," or entrepreneurship, innovation, and growth. Like 1789 Capital, Trump Jr. has long been a proponent of the parallel economy, also called the "patriot economy," a term used by MAGA conservatives to refer to businesses that align with their traditional values. And Trump Jr.'s connection to Malik, the president of 1789 Capital, includes the pair's mutual support of a parallel economy platform called PublicSquare. Representatives for Trump Jr. through the Trump Organization and the Trump transition team didn't respond to a request for comment from BI.
Persons: Donald Trump Jr, Omeed Malik, Tucker, EIG, , Tucker Carlson's, Donald Trump's, Omeed Malik —, Christopher Buskirk, Malik, Buskirk, deglobalization, MAGA, Trump, Malik didn't, Tucker Carlson, Jordan Cohen Organizations: The New York Times, Bloomberg, Trump Jr, Bank of America, Farvahar Partners, Trump, Republican National Committee, New York Stock, Time Magazine, Tucker Carlson Network, Fox News, Trump Organization Locations: The Florida, Beach , Florida
As election day draws near, 400 Wall Street money managers identified their top concerns. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Policy initiatives could have a significant impact on the economy, especially on issues concerning inflation, the housing market, employment, and international trade. Investors can benefit from both parties: Republicans would likely pass investor-friendly tax and energy policy, while Democrats would pass more favorable US-China and trade policy. AdvertisementHere's what Wall Street is worried about this election cycle and how top money managers are preparing their portfolios for November.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, PGIM, Wall, Kara Murphy, , isn't, Murphy, Trump, Harris, we've Organizations: Service, Republican, White House, Congress, Investors, Kestra Investment Management, Social Security, Biden, Research, Senate, Democrat Locations: China, Latin America, Southeast Asia, deglobalization
The relationship between Trump and Putin has long been a source of controversy. AdvertisementWith only a month to go before the presidential election, Donald Trump's relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin has once again come under the spotlight. In a forthcoming book, journalist Bob Woodward says that the former president and Putin have a closer friendship than previously known. The Ukraine war has already roiled markets for food, oil, gas, and other products, and wider conflict could have an even more devastating impact. If Russian President Vladimir Putin is victorious in Ukraine, it may embolden Chinese leader Xi Jinping to invade Taiwan.
Persons: Trump, Putin, , Donald Trump's, Vladimir Putin, Bob Woodward, Steve Cheung, Woodward, Robert Mueller, Yuri Gripas, Joe Biden, he'd, he's, JD Vance, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Philip Ingram, Zelenskyy, Kenneth Rogoff, William Pomerantz, Vance, Xi, Ingram, Xi Jinping, Sergei Savostyanov, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, William Reinsch, Kamala Harris, Harris, Pomeranz Organizations: Service, CNN, Washington Post, Putin, Trump, Kremlin, REUTERS, Republicans, International Monetary Fund, Wilson Center, Getty, JPMorgan, CNBC, TV18, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Wall Street Locations: Ukraine, Russia, British, Europe, Washington ,, China, Russian, Taiwan, NATO, Asia, India, Pennsylvania
Trade tensions, too, have resulted in tariffs and affected world trade in certain goods. The market for companies in this space is driven by the volume of global trade, and this so-called supply chain "complexity," Goldman noted. It sees some stocks as being able to benefit from higher supply chain "complexity." Freight-forwarding firms such as DSV , DHL Forwarding and Kuehne+Nagel are "well-placed to help their clients navigate higher complexity and shocks," Goldman said. Container lines such as Cosco, Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd are less directly exposed to the higher supply chain complexity, said Goldman.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, deglobalization, Nagel, Lloyd, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S ., Logistics & Shipping, Logistics, DHL, Goldman, Express, Fedex, UPS, Maersk, Hapag Locations: U.S . East Coast, Gulf Coast
He's steering clear of Big Tech stocks, and for now he's only bullish on "dull, boring, and predictable" names. Tech stocks now account for highest portion of the S&P 500 since the early 2000s, according to an analysis from Société Générale. AdvertisementAnother risk to stocks lies in interest rates, Blain said, as borrowing costs look poised to stay higher for longer. "There is an awful lot of people in the financial markets who just don't understand that zero interest rates and ultra-low interest rates are not normal," Blain added. AdvertisementThe final risk Blain is eyeing is the upcoming presidential election, which contains a handful of uncertainties that could batter stocks, Blain said.
Persons: Bill Blain, Blain isn't, , that's, Blain, Biden, he's, Générale, John Hussman, I've, eyeing, We've, Morgan Stanley, Stifel, Richard Bernstein Organizations: Big Tech, Service, China, Nasdaq, Tech, stoke, Richard Bernstein Advisors
One exchange-traded fund is betting on a U.S. manufacturing job resurgence. Tema ETFs CEO and founder Maurits Pot is behind the American Reshoring ETF (RSHO) that focuses on industrials. "At the heart of it is job creation, manufacturing and reshoring — bringing back local manufacturing jobs." Pot's firm launched the American Reshoring ETF in May 2023. Since its inception, the exchange-traded fund is up almost 37% as of Wednesday's close.
Persons: Maurits Pot, Pot, Organizations: Reshoring, American, ETF Locations: U.S, Tema, We're
Copper "is the most compelling trade I have ever seen," Carlyle's Jeff Currie said on the Odd Lots podcast. He thinks the metal's massive mismatch in supply and demand could push its price up to $15,000 a ton. AdvertisementCopper supply issues are making the metal considerably more expensive, says commodities veteran Jeff Currie, who is very bullish on the opportunity. He later added: "I just quote many of our clients and other market participants say it's the highest conviction trade they've ever seen." Though not necessarily part of his acronym, artificial intelligence is also amplifying industry demand, Currie mentioned.
Persons: Carlyle's Jeff Currie, Currie, , Jeff Currie, Carlyle, Currie —, Goldman Sachs, policy's, copper's, deglobalization Organizations: Industry, Service, Bloomberg, US, BHP Locations: China, Panama
Prices in the US could keep going up if the US doesn't "reindustrialize" its economy, Richard Bernstein said. The US has a "massive" trade deficit at a time when world trade is becoming fragmented, he noted. AdvertisementInflation will climb higher if the US economy doesn't reindustrialize its economy, according to investment manager Richard Bernstein. World trade has become more fragmented since the pandemic, and rising geopolitical tensions are a sign that the trend is continuing, he said. If it doesn't … we're going to have tremendous inflation here in the United States," Bernstein said to CNBC on Monday.
Persons: Richard Bernstein, , Bernstein, Ken Griffin Organizations: US, Service, Commerce Department, CNBC, JPMorgan Locations: United States, America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCitadel CEO Ken Griffin: The Fed is making the right choice, higher for longerCNBC’s Sara Eisen with Ken Griffin, Citadel CEO, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss inflation, deglobalization and the markets.
Persons: Ken Griffin, Sara Eisen Organizations: Email, Citadel
Watch CNBC’s full interview with Citadel CEO Ken Griffin
  + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Citadel CEO Ken GriffinCitadel CEO Ken Griffin joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss inflation, deglobalization, and the markets.
Persons: Ken Griffin Organizations: Citadel
Nvidia is in a bubble, stocks will falter, and a recession will hit this year, Jesse Felder said. The markets guru said the microchip frenzy would fade, and stock-market returns would drop off. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementNvidia hype is a bubble that will burst, stocks will disappoint for the next decade or longer, and a recession will strike this year, Jesse Felder said.
Persons: Jesse Felder, , outsize, Felder, Jeff Bezos, Meta's Mark Zuckerberg, Jamie Dimon Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Micron
The "US industrial renaissance" will be the top investment theme of the coming decade, Richard Bernstein Advisors said. The trend of American companies shifting away from dependence on foreign labor and supply chains should dominate investment strategies in the coming decades the firm said. "The market is already rewarding the beneficiaries of this capital reallocation, but we expect years, if not decades, of further performance from this critical investment theme," RBA president Richard Bernstein said in a note this week. For the US, that means big investment in infrastructure on manufacturing will be needed in the coming years as the world reorients. "The market has already recognized the re-industrialization investment theme despite investors' myopia with respect to more exciting technology-related themes, like artificial intelligence.
Persons: Richard Bernstein, Overreliance, Bernstein, Organizations: Richard Bernstein Advisors, Service, Republicans Locations: America
Ken Griffin, Citadel founder and CEO, thinks the Federal Reserve should move slowly to cut interest rates in its fight against stubborn inflation. "If I'm them, I don't want to cut too quickly," Griffin said at the International Futures Industry conference in Boca Raton, Florida on Tuesday. "The worst thing they could end up doing is cutting, pausing and then changing direction back towards higher rates quickly. So we've got two big, big tailwinds that continue to support the inflation narrative," Griffin said. While the inflation rate is well off its mid-2022 peak, it still remains well above the Fed's 2% goal.
Persons: Ken Griffin, Griffin, we've Organizations: Citadel, Reserve, International Futures Industry, Boca, Fed Locations: Boca Raton , Florida, multistrategy Wellington
American CEOs are finally feeling more upbeat about the US economy, with the mood turning more positive for the first time in two years. Notably, the latest survey marks the first time the gauge has returned a positive reading since the first quarter of 2022. More CEOs also say they expect to expand their workforce in the next 12 months. Additionally, the percentage of leaders holding a bleak outlook for the economy dropped from 47% to just 27%. A resolution to the current military conflicts, AI advancements, and potential rate cuts were listed as the biggest potential positive developments for global business in 2024.
Persons: Roger W, Ferguson, Jr, Major Organizations: Business, Conference, Federal Reserve Locations: Israel, Ukraine, Russia, China
Dec 1 (Reuters) - Canada's Brookfield Asset Management (BAM.TO) said on Friday it had raised $28 billion for its largest-ever fund, wagering on infrastructure assets the company believes would benefit from a shift to "deglobalization", given recent geopolitical tensions. Brookfield said the fund has already deployed 40% of its capital in six investments including renewable, transport, data center and telecom tower assets. The company, which manages over $850 billion in assets, said it had also raised $2 billion for related co-investment vehicles. Besides "deglobalization", Brookfield's latest fund will also focus on infrastructure assets tied to digitalization and decarbonization, the company said. The company had raised $20 billion for its previous global infrastructure fund in 2020.
Persons: Brookfield, Niket, Pooja Desai Organizations: Brookfield Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Brookfield, Ukraine, Bengaluru
Nouriel Roubini cautioned markets to prepare for persistently higher inflation rates. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. And efforts to reduce inflation through higher interest rates risk causing a recession among highly-leveraged borrowers, something governments want to avoid. AdvertisementFaced with this, central banks could raise inflation targets above historical averages, as signaled by the fact that many are pausing rate hikes despite still too-high core inflation, Roubini said. To deal with this situation, Roubini noted that some countries will simply allow higher inflation to erode nominal debt.
Persons: Nouriel, Roubini, , Doom Organizations: Service
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde looks on as she attends the European Parliament's Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs, at the European Parliament, in Brussels, Belgium September 25, 2023. Yves Herman | ReutersEuropean Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on Friday said that Europe is now at a critical juncture, with deglobalization, demographics and decarbonization looming on the horizon. "There are increasing signs that the global economy is fragmenting into competing blocs," she said at the European Banking Congress, according to a transcript. "As our societies age, we will need to deploy new technologies so that we can produce greater output with fewer workers. And as our climate warms, we will need to advance the green transition without any further delays."
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Yves Herman, Lagarde Organizations: European Central Bank, European Parliament's, Economic, Monetary Affairs, Reuters, Central Bank, European Banking Congress Locations: Brussels, Belgium, Europe
Bitcoin is back (sort of)
  + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +8 min
The big storyCrypto comebackSOPA Images / GettyThe ink is barely dry on Sam Bankman-Fried's conviction, and bitcoin is already rising like a fresh divorcee. It marked the highest price for the cryptocurrency since early May 2022, adding to what has quietly been a strong year for bitcoin, writes Insider's Phil Rosen. After a dreadful 2022 culminating in the downfall of FTX and the aforementioned SBF, bitcoin has been on the up. While there was plenty of fallout from FTX's bankruptcy, the price of bitcoin has steadily climbed this year. The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, senior editor and anchor, in New York City.
Persons: , NYU Langone, Sam Bankman, Bitcoin, bitcoin, Phil Rosen, FTX, hasn't, It's, Roubini, Doom, Noah Sheildlower, Gary Gensler, it's, Ken Griffin, Goldman Sachs, Paul Sakuma Andreessen Horowitz, Maryna, Peter Thiel, Trump, couldn't, Thiel, he's, Diplo —, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Service, NYU, BlackRock, Atlas, SEC, JPMorgan, Hudson Global, Today Locations: Delaware, India, Japan, Soho, New York City, San Diego, London, New York
Which economic giant should emerging markets investors go for: China or India? India is the "best structural growth opportunity" in emerging markets, according to Malcolm Dorson, head of emerging markets strategy at Global X ETFs. LPL Financial's chief technical strategist, Adam Turnquist, added that India has emerged as an increasingly attractive alternative to China. Where and how to invest in India Investors could go for the "booming areas" in India — renewables such as hydrogen and solar energy, as well as agricultural tech, according to Sharma. But both Krosby and Dorson would advocate active management in emerging markets such as India, given political and economic complexities, among other reasons.
Persons: Malcolm Dorson, Morgan Stanley, Dorson, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, Rahul Sen Sharma, Sharma, Morningstar Organizations: Shenzhen Component, CNBC, Global, Chinese Communist Party, LPL, Ned, Ned Davis Research, India Investors, India, Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, Jewelry, India Active Locations: China, India, Shenzhen, Asia, Beijing
High inflation could hang around for decades, according to Ken Griffin. The billionaire investor believes the pandemic and conflicts will usher in an era of deglobalization. The Federal Reserve will likely have to keep interest rates high to suppress soaring prices, he added. AdvertisementAdvertisementInflation soared across much of the developed world last year, prompting central banks to start raising interest rates in a bid to tame soaring prices. Griffin predicted that higher interest rates will now become the norm, with policymakers forced to keep borrowing costs elevated to maintain their target inflation rate of about 2%.
Persons: Ken Griffin, , Griffin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Citadel, Bloomberg, Economy, Federal Locations: Europe, deglobalization, Singapore, Ukraine
Based on International Monetary Fund data on comparative international investment positions through the early part of this year, U.S. portfolio investment overseas - equity, fund shares and debt securities - stood at more than $14.5 trillion. US funds shy of overseas equityUS economic growth roaring at more than 5%US expensive for a reason? The upshot could be an ever wider U.S. deficit on its net international investment position - potentially lifting the dollar as that inflates, but leaving it vulnerable to the yawning gap and foreign investor sentiment down the road. IMF chart on US net international investment deficitUS stocks lead the packThe opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for ReutersEditing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, that's, it's, Julius Baer's, Yves Bonzon, Josie Kao Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Atlanta Federal, Monetary, ICI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Gaza, Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Washington, Taiwan, United States, Swiss, Switzerland, Germany
Washington, DC CNN —The global economy is facing tremendous uncertainty from the war between Hamas and Israel in the Middle East, on top of the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. They say Israel’s declaration of war against Hamas could be yet another catalyst for deglobalization, though the extent of that is still up in the air. If deglobalization does get exacerbated, what would that mean for inflation and monetary policy, globally? With deglobalization, you get a global economic environment that’s less competitive, and when there’s less competition, that is ultimately inflationary, causing prices to rise. Over the Covid era, China shut down production, disrupting the global supply chain, so deglobalization would bring some production back within US borders.
Persons: Wells, Bell, Brendan McKenna, that’s, Trump, there’s, Hanna Ziady, we’ve, , Avi Hasson, Patrick Harker, John Williams, Tom Barkin, Michelle Bowman, Tesla, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Trump, Hamas, Nation Central, Philadelphia Fed, US Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, National Association of Home Builders, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Procter & Gamble, United Kingdom’s, National Statistics, American Airlines, US Labor Department, Federal, Fed Locations: Washington, Israel, Russia, Ukraine, China, Wells Fargo, Gaza, deglobalization, United States, Mexico, US, Tel Aviv, New York
The war in the Middle East could lead to higher inflation for longer as it puts upward pressure on oil prices, according to Strategas' Jason Trennert. On Saturday, militant group Hamas attacked Israel, leading to the deadliest offensive attack Israel has experienced in 50 years . Oil prices spiked following the attack, with Brent crude futures rising nearly 4% to $87.94 a barrel. "There is likely to be natural tendency to buy Treasurys and the U.S. dollar, but wars are generally inflationary." Rising oil prices could put even more pressure on inflation.
Persons: Strategas, Jason Trennert, Israel, , Trennert, Hess, Northrop Grumman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Energy, Halliburton, CF Industries, L3Harris Technologies, General Dynamics Locations: Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCash is king when interest rates are going up, says Lido Advisors' Gina SanchezGina Sanchez, Lido Advisors chief market strategist, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss deglobalization driving up inflation, Ford under pressure due to union strike and its high debt load, and more.
Persons: Cash, Gina Sanchez Gina Sanchez Organizations: Lido Advisors, Ford
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBe careful of companies like Ford that have debt coming due, says Lido Advisors' Gina SanchezGina Sanchez, Lido Advisors' chief market strategist, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss deglobalization driving up inflation, Ford under pressure due to union strike and its high debt load, and Petco's profitability under pressure.
Persons: Gina Sanchez Gina Sanchez Organizations: Advisors, Ford
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