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Listen to and follow ‘Matter of Opinion’Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Amazon MusicThis week on “Matter of Opinion,” the hosts take apart why Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis can’t seem to form competitive coalitions against Donald Trump, and whether Haley, DeSantis, the Supreme Court “or God himself” can keep the former president from becoming the Republican nominee. Plus, Michelle Cottle reveals her Plan B if her political reporting career doesn’t work out. (A full transcript of the episode will be available midday on the Times website.)

Persons: Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis can’t, Donald Trump, Haley, DeSantis, ”, Michelle Cottle Organizations: Spotify, Republican, Times

☆ Iowa’s most important poll has set the expectations for the GOP caucuses
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-13 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The final poll from Iowa’s premier pollster, Ann Selzer, has Trump at 48% followed by former South Carolina Gov. If the final outcome Monday night mirrors the poll, Trump will have won the highest Iowa GOP caucus vote share for a non-incumbent ever. A Haley win in the first primary race in the nation would indicate that Trump is not invincible. He did more than 5 points better than where his final Iowa poll had him. (His 28-point margin over Bradley was the same as the final poll found, as both Bradley and Gore won some undecided voters.)

Persons: Donald Trump, Ann Selzer, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Trump, –, They’re, Haley, Chris Christie –, George W, Bush, didn’t, Steve Forbes, John McCain, Patrick Buchanan, Bob Dole, Buchanan, McCain, Gary Hart, Walter Mondale, Hart, Haley isn’t, DeSantis, Al Gore, Gore, Bill Bradley, Bradley, Trump . Gore, Dole Organizations: CNN, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Iowa GOP, Granite State, New, New Jersey Gov, University of New, Dole, Democratic, Republican, Trump . Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Granite, New Jersey, University of New Hampshire, Hampshire, Granite State, Trump, South Carolina, Florida

But the Florida governor's moment, like much of his campaign, will take place under the towering shadow of former President Donald Trump. Around the same time DeSantis is set to take the stage Saturday afternoon in Newton, Iowa, Trump will be addressing cheering supporters about 100 miles away in Cedar Rapids. Just six weeks are left before the Jan. 15 Iowa caucuses, which DeSantis has said he “absolutely” expects to win. He's bet his campaign on the state, winning key endorsements from Iowa Gov. Trump’s campaign said the timing of the Cedar Rapids event compared to DeSantis’ 99th county celebration was coincidental.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Trump, DeSantis, He's, Kim Reynolds, Bob Vander Plaats, ” Reynolds, “ He's, —, Nikki Haley, Koch, Ryan Binkley, Ron DeSantis can’t, Nikki ‘ Birdbrain ’ Haley, ”, Reynolds, “ Organizations: DES, Iowa Gov, United Nations, Prosperity, Trump Locations: DES MOINES, Iowa, Florida, Newton , Iowa, Cedar Rapids, Des Moines, Jasper County

☆ At the Iowa State Fair, DeSantis Can’t Seem to Catch a Break
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-12 | by ( Nicholas Nehamas | More About Nicholas Nehamas | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

It’s been said that a bad day at the fair is always better than a good day at work. Ron DeSantis of Florida, those two ideas collided on Saturday in Iowa. During the interview, protesters with cowbells and whistles sought to interrupt the conversation with Ms. Reynolds, who reminded the crowd to be “Iowa Nice.” Several of the protesters were removed from the event by the Iowa State Police, an interaction that occurred behind the press area. For other candidates, Ms. Reynolds’s interviews have been a safe space with softball questions and few unpredictable moments. Needless to say, it probably was not the vibe Mr. DeSantis’s campaign team were looking for.

Persons: It’s, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Donald J, Trump, Kim Reynolds, Ron, wasn’t, Reynolds, Reynolds’s, DeSantis’s Organizations: Florida, “ Iowa, Iowa State Police Locations: Florida, Iowa

☆ Opinion: This is the real reason Ron DeSantis is struggling in the polls
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-09 | by ( Dean Obeidallah | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Ron DeSantis struggling in his quest for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. Dean Obeidallah CNNHe currently trails the front-runner — twice-indicted former President Donald Trump — by more than 30 points in one recent Fox News poll. And wouldn’t the Mexican leader’s criticism likely help DeSantis with GOP voters, given their views on immigration? Let me add this caveat about DeSantis’ polling challenges, as others have: It’s still early in the 2024 race for the GOP nomination. To that point, DeSantis said last week, “I’m running to win in January and February.

Persons: Dean Obeidallah, Ron DeSantis, —, Donald Trump, Maria Bartiromo, DeSantis, “, — DeSantis, Trump, ” Trump, ”, we’ll, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, Jeb Bush, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, I’m Organizations: CNN, Florida Gov, Dean Obeidallah CNN, Fox, The New York Times, Street, Politico, Fox News, Republican, Yale University, Harvard Law School, US Navy, Florida —, Trump, Quinnipiac, Disney, Twitter, Facebook, GOP, Democratic Locations: Florida, Mexico

☆ Growing GOP field isn’t selling primary voters on why they should ditch Trump
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

CNN —The Republican presidential field is growing almost by the day, but no candidate has yet offered an effective answer to GOP primary voters on the race’s most compelling question – why they should ditch Donald Trump. Nikki Haley has been on the trail for weeks, appearing in a CNN town hall on Sunday in Iowa. No Republican voters will weigh in for at least six months in early state contests. There’s even less evidence that GOP voters believe that Trump’s legal problems disqualify him from serving as their nominee. In an NBC News poll in April, 68% of Republican voters believed that investigations into Trump were politically motivated attempts to stop him.

Persons: Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Nikki Haley, Doug Burgum, –, Trump, Chris Sununu –, CNN’s Dana Bash, He’s, ” Sununu, Haley, Scott, Asa Hutchinson, Pence, DeSantis ’, DeSantis, ” Trump, Sean Hannity, Mickey Mouse, Ukraine’s, Vladimir Putin, ”, Putin, Ronald Reagan, There’s, Jean Carroll, quagmire Organizations: CNN, Republican, GOP, Former New Jersey Gov, Tuesday . Florida Gov, South, South Carolina Gov, North Dakota Gov, Trump, New, New Hampshire Gov, Washington Republicans, Republican Party, Republicans, Fox, Walt Disney Company, Cabinet, United Nations, NATO, Justice, NBC Locations: Tuesday, Iowa, South Carolina, New Hampshire, Trump, Arkansas, Florida, Russian, Ukraine, Baltic, –

☆ DeSantis Relied Heavily on Big Donors in Initial Money Haul
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-03 | by ( Shane Goldmacher | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +4 min

Tim Tagaris, a Democratic digital strategist who oversaw the Sanders fund-raising operation in 2020, called the number of DeSantis donors surprisingly small. She raised $1.5 million that day — which indicates just how many bigger checks Mr. DeSantis received. The $8.2 million opening total that Mr. DeSantis has claimed remains impressive. That figure was never expected to be a problem for Mr. DeSantis. The DeSantis team made no secret that it was soliciting big money to coincide with his kickoff.

Persons: Tim Tagaris, Sanders, Tagaris, Eric Wilson, ”, Wilson, Kamala Harris, DeSantis, Biden, DeSantis can’t, Trump, Donald J Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Trump, Center for Campaign, PAC, Mr, Republican National Committee Locations: Miami, Florida

☆ Opinion | Are Anti-Trump Republicans Doomed to Repeat 2016?
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-06 | by ( Ross Douthat | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

First, there’s the limits of ideological box-checking in a campaign against Trump. Part of DeSantis’s advantage now, compared with Cruz’s situation in 2016, is that he has seemed more congenial to the party’s bigger-money donors. Remember how nothing remotely like that happened among Republicans in 2016? This reflects another tendency that helped elect him the first time, the weird fatalism of professional Republicans. In 2016 many of them passed from “he can’t win” to “he can’t be stopped” with barely a way station in between.

☆ How Ron DeSantis Could Unlock $86 Million for a Presidential Run
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-29 | by ( Julie Bykowicz | Alex Leary | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

After a year of trying to outmaneuver each other, Walt Disney is suing Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. WSJ’s Arian Campo-Flores explains what is behind the lawsuit. Ron DeSantis is poised to jump into the Republican presidential primary in the coming months with an $86 million pot of donor money—and a legally questionable strategy for using it. The cash, currently sitting in a Florida political committee fund, would need to take a circuitous path to help him: It is illegal to use money raised for a state election to run for federal office, meaning Mr. DeSantis can’t simply transfer it into a presidential campaign account.

☆ Despite tough talk, Ron DeSantis can’t shake Disney’s grip on Florida
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Although Disney has thwarted the state’s most aggressive efforts against it, Ron DeSantis has repeatedly promised he will win out in the end. In the governor’s effort to wrest control of Disney’s Orlando-area theme parks, he found that Disney’s corporate lawyers have routinely outmaneuvered him. “The question is, how much are you willing to hurt everybody else?”Legally, he says, DeSantis can’t single out Disney explicitly because retaliation against a single company is unconstitutional. To be sure, Disney’s parks division is a huge part of its business. In other words: Florida needs Disney more than Disney needs Florida.

☆ DeSantis to host donors ahead of likely 2024 White House bid
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-23 | by ( James Oliphant | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The Republican race to take on Democratic President Joe Biden next year has gotten off to a largely quiet start. Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley joined Trump in the Republican field this month, but several other prospective candidates have yet to jump in. DeSantis is not expected to make any overt statements about a presidential campaign at his Palm Beach event. The source with knowledge about the gathering downplayed its significance, saying it will be similar to past policy forums DeSantis has convened. In remarks at an event in West Palm Beach on Monday, Trump labeled DeSantis his “enemy.”“I always say hit your enemy a little early," Trump said.

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