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☆ Prepare for a new high-volatility market regime
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

A spike in the VIX of this magnitude has not occurred since 2020, when the COVID-19 related decline in the S & P 500 was maturing. We believe another high-volatility regime is upon us, with the prolonged low-volatility regime that preceded it coming to an abrupt halt. If our long-term trend following measures were to deteriorate behind the S & P 500, we would be more inclined to reduce exposure. A rebound in the S & P 500 (i.e., a VIX pullback) can be used to hedge partial exposure from a top-down perspective. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only.

Persons: It's, Katie Stockton Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

☆ A transportation stock is setting up for an oversold bounce, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.

Persons: DAL, Katie Stockton Organizations: Delta Air Lines, DAL, DeMARK, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

The NATO official said they had observed “an unprecedented escalation and spread of Russia’s hybrid warfare” over the past six months, which included “physical sabotage” on the supply line of NATO weapons intended for Ukraine. “It is everything from point of production and origin, to storage, to those who are making decisions, to the actual delivery,” the senior NATO official said. Recent high-profile arrests have revealed the ad-hoc, clumsy nature of how the Kremlin’s intelligence operations have evolved since the start of the war in Ukraine. Russia is big enough to have resources to fight a war against Ukraine and also maintain its security operations against European countries… against us. There are people who take part in the war against Ukraine, and then they are rotated to some other region or area.

Persons: Blunt, ”, Donald Tusk, Dariusz Borowicz, Agencja Wyborcza.pl, Maxim, Andrzej, Jaroslaw, “, Don’t, ” Andrzej, I’d, Wagner, Volodymyr Zelensky, Sean Gallup, Paris Charles de, Vladimir Putin’s, Harrys Organizations: CNN, NATO, Polish, Reuters, Ukraine, Getty, London’s Metropolitan Police Service, Kremlin, EU, Estonian Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Europe, “, Reuters Russia, Washington , DC, Moscow, Poland, Russian, Lublin, Medyka, Ukrainian, Biala Podlaska, Warsaw, Polish, surveilling Rzeszow Jasionka, Kyiv, Berlin, Germany, Russian Ukrainian, Paris Charles, Paris Charles de Gaulle, East London, Estonia, Russia’s

☆ The bounce in long-suffering solar stocks could be for real, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Persons: TAN, Katie Stockton Organizations: Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: TAN

☆ Why this is perfect time to buy health-care stocks, one financial advisor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Health care shouldn't be overlooked as a place to buy amid the current market turmoil, according to Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. He's been particularly interested in health care — pharma more specifically — as the industry feels tailwinds from artificial intelligence and the weight-loss drug boom. "The amount of money that the health care industry is making is being completely ignored by investors," Cox told CNBC Pro. "The noise of the short-term back-and-forth ... gives you good opportunity to buy high-quality companies, while people are just selling indiscriminately." For more diversified exposure, Cox recommended the Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) .

Persons: Jamie Cox, Cox, He's, FactSet, That's, they're, Johnson, Eli Lilly Organizations: Harris Financial Group, Federal Reserve, pharma, CNBC, Pharma, Novo Nordisk, Novartis, Pfizer, Swiss, Novo, Vanguard Health Care Locations: U.S

☆ A pullback in this biotech stock has created a buying opportunity, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Amgen has been in pullback mode since the beginning of February, losing roughly 13% within the context of its long-term uptrend. For those interested in "buying the dip," this may be a good time to revisit the stock, noting the decline looks overdone in the short term. There has been a positive reaction from AMGN to a short-term counter-trend "buy" signal from Tom DeMARK's TD Combo model, which supports a minimum two-week bounce. With Friday's reversal bar on AMGN's daily chart, combined with today's strength, our preferred momentum indicator the daily MACD is back on a "buy" signal. The MACD also shows a positive short-term divergence, supporting a bigger relief rally for AMGN in the near term.

Persons: Amgen, Tom DeMARK's Organizations: AMGN

☆ The rally is showing signs of exhaustion. How to protect your portfolio if a decline is coming
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-28 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Couple this with the multiple signals for exhaustion that are typical near market tops, it warrants taking action. Troubling technical signs We've seen the SPDR S & P 500 Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) both exhibit higher highs in price while momentum and their advance-decline lines print lower highs. And lastly, these same signals are showing up across the major sectors, and individual stocks that have led this rally such as Nvidia. Overall, these are signs of exhaustion for this rally and raises the probability of a pullback. With the Wall Street's fear gauge, the CBOE Volatility Index ( VIX) , trading just above 13, purchasing downside protection on a portfolio using SPY options is relatively inexpensive.

Persons: Zhang Organizations: Nvidia

☆ This under-the-radar metals play could be due for a relief rally, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Persons: PAAS, Katie Stockton Organizations: American Silver Corporation, PAAS, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

☆ This ETF tracking European stocks like LVMH gives U.S. traders access to a global comeback story
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. This material is for illustration and discussion purposes and not intended to be, nor construed as, financial, legal, tax or investment advice. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.

Persons: bellwether LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton, IEUR Organizations: Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: Europe, IEUR, Japan

☆ At 5%, this is where chart analysts say the 10-year Treasury yield is headed next
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

US10Y 5D mountain 10-year yield this week The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield briefly reached the 5% milestone late Thursday, raising questions of how long it will stay elevated and what the effect will be on stocks. "This is the last leg of the upmove" from the 2020 low, when 10-year yields touched 0.31%, he said. Fairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton also pinned 5.25% as the next resistance level for the 10-year bond yield. Meanwhile, Piper Sandler's chief market technician Craig Robinson also said the 10-year yield is due for a pullback. Ciana, on the other hand, estimates the 10-year yield likely staying above 5% for a while.

Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Paul Ciana, Elliott, Ciana, Katie Stockton, Piper, Craig Robinson, Robinson Organizations: Treasury, Atlanta, RBC, Wolfe Research, Bank of America Locations: Stockton

☆ These are the 8 warning signs investors should follow to know if a stock market correction is imminent
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Even as the stock market continues to surge more than 25% from its mid-October low, some investors are expecting a correction. These are eight warning signs investors should monitor for a potential stock market sell-off, according to Fundstrat. For those investors, Fundstrat technical analyst Mark Newton highlighted the top warning signs to monitor to gauge whether a stock market correction is imminent. These are the eight warning signs investors should monitor to gauge whether a stock market correction is imminent, according to Fundstrat. So far this year, the mega-cap tech stocks have driven a bulk of the gains in the stock market.

Persons: Mark Newton, —, Newton, REITS, Tom Demark Organizations: Service, Utilities, Staples Locations: Fundstrat

☆ Technology stocks just flashed their first sell signal since just before the market peaked in November 2021
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Nasdaq 100 just flashed a "sell" signal for the first time since November 2021, according to Fairlead Strategies. The sell signal suggests the stock market will soon roll over, leading to a return of strength in defensive sectors. Outperformance in utilities and health care stocks "would be naturally associated with the next market downdraft," Fairlead's Katie Stockton said. The sell signal was generated on Monday via the Tom DeMark Sequential indicator, which generated a counter-trend "13" sell signal. "The implications of the '13 sell' signal are for a two-week pullback in the Nasdaq 100, but sometimes they yield more lasting reversals."

☆ Chinese Tesla rival Xpeng launches flagship EVs in Europe in international push
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Arjun Kharpal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Chinese electric car start-up launched its P7 sedan and G9 SUV in Denmark, Norway, the Netherlands and Sweden. Xpeng , a Chinese electric vehicle startup, on Friday launched two of its flagship cars across a number of European countries, as it continues its aggressive international push. Tesla's Model 3 Long Range, which claims 602 kilometers on a single charge, costs 52,990 in the Netherlands. Nio , a Chinese rival to Xpeng, began delivering some cars to Norway at the end of 2021. Xpeng has accelerated its international push in the past year after opening physical stores in Europe last year and launching its mass-market P5 sedan.

☆ The U.S. dollar may hold the key to whether this market rally can last
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-27 | by ( Carmen Reinicke | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The U.S. dollar surged in 2022, with the dollar index hitting a peak of $114.78 in September. But since September, the dollar index has slipped and is now nearing a range that could lend support to the S & P 500 . The dollar index nearing 100 is a key number that many technical analysts are watching – it was named one of the big numbers for 2023 by Oppenheimer. Still, she's also been watching the dollar's major corrective phase and per DeMARK Indicators sees an active signal on the dollar index that flashed on Jan. 13. .DXY YTD line DXY YTD "What it suggests is that from the support area, we should see a relief rally or a dollar bounce," she said, adding that this would mark a sentiment shift around the dollar.

☆ US stocks climb in volatile session as investors await the start of key Fed policy meeting
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-19 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Stocks inched higher Monday after a volatile session to open the week. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly touched 3.51% Monday, notching the highest mark in 11 years. Investors are bracing for a third jumbo rate hike this week as Fed officials convene for their two-day meeting starting Tuesday. The major indexes each flipped between gains and losses throughout the week's opening session as investors brace for a third outsized rate hike from the central bank. Here's where US indexes stood after the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Monday:Here's what else to know:

☆ The 10-year US Treasury yield just hit its highest level since 2011 ahead of the Fed's rate hike decision
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-19 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The 10-year US Treasury yield surged to its highest level since 2011 on Monday, hitting a high of 3.51%. Monday's surge in Treasury yields came a day ahead of the Fed's upcoming rate hike decision. The 10-year yield hit a high of 3.51%, rising as much as 6 basis points before paring some of its gains for the day. Not since April 2011 has the 10-year yield traded above 3.50%. A similar upward trajectory is likely for the 10-year Treasury yield, according to Fairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton.

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