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Stellantis is struggling. Here's why
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Robert Ferris | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
American car brands Jeep, Ram, Dodge and Chrysler are struggling under their new owner. The European-American giant Stellantis is the world's fifth-largest automaker by volume, according to S&P Global Mobility. But Stellantis did better than that. 2023 was a banner year: record sales, record profits, record free cash flow. Out of all brands in the U.S., Stellantis vehicles have some of the highest inventories of vehicles on dealer lots, according to Cox Automotive.
Persons: Daniel Roeska, Bernstein, Stellantis, Stephanie Brinley, Carlos Taveres, Roeska Organizations: Dodge, Chrysler, P Global Mobility, Groupe PSA, Italian Fiat Chrysler, Products, Jeep, RBC Capital, Cox Automotive, United Auto Workers Locations: Italian, North America, U.S, America, China
GM's investor day showcased many of the company's current achievements, but did not provide much insight on strategy," Bernstein analyst Daniel Roeska wrote Wednesday in an investor note. "GM's Investor Day yesterday didn't provide much in the way of sharp shifts in strategy. Through the first half of 2024, GM earned $8.3 billion in EBIT-adjusted and generated $6.4 billion in adjusted automotive free cash flow. GM's 2024 financial guidance includes anticipated capital spending of between $10.5 billion and $11.5 billion. GM's operations in China have experienced a decade-long slide in earnings, and executives said they are discussing restructuring options with their China-based partners.
Persons: Rebecca Cook, Mary Barra, Mark Reuss, Stellantis, Bernstein, Daniel Roeska, Dan Levy, John Murphy, Levy, Paul Jacobson, Jacobson, GM's, we're, Barra, Ultium, Kurt Kelty, " Jacobson, Reuss, that's, you'll, Tesla's Organizations: General Motors, Reuters DETROIT —, GM, Ford Motor, Ford, Barclays, BofA Securities, Wall Street, EV tailwinds, North America, LG Energy, ICE, GMC, China Locations: Detroit, Spring Hill , Tennessee, North, Cruise, China
Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Constellation Energy to $313m implying more than 20% upside. 7 a.m.: DA Davidson downgrades Microsoft, cites diminishing AI lead DA Davidson believes that Microsoft has lost its edge over competitors in artificial intelligence. The investment firm downgraded shares of the tech giant to neutral from buy, although analyst Gil Luria maintained his $475 price target. This could begin to have a material impact on the company's returns beginning in 2025, the analyst wrote. Wells Fargo analyst Neil Kalton also hiked his price target on the stock to $300, implying nearly 18% upside ahead.
Persons: Raymond James, Morgan Stanley, Bernstein, DA Davidson, Davidson, Gil Luria, Luria, GitHub Copilot, — Lisa Kailai Han, Daniel Roeska, Roeska, Lisa Kailai Han, Ronald Josey, Josey, Meta, Atif Malik, Malik, Raymond James downgrades, Brian Gesuale, Gesuale, David Arcaro, Arcaro, Wells, Neil Kalton, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Constellation Energy, Motors, Microsoft, DA, Nvidia, Motors General Motors, General Motors, Hyundai, Citi Locations: Palantir, Friday's, U.S, 25e, GenAI
As the second half of the year kicks off, Bernstein shared its latest selection of stocks that look attractive on both a quantitative and fundamental level. Bernstein's basket of stocks includes 14 names across six sectors that are highly ranked on a quantitative basis, not crowded and rated as overweight by the firm's analysts. The updated basket comes as the broader market trades at record highs, making it difficult for investors to find attractively valued stocks. Here is a look at some of the names in Bernstein's latest quantitative and fundamental basket of stocks: Telecommunication giant T-Mobile made the list. Analyst Daniel Roeska's $55 price target corresponds to another potential 19% upside from the stock's Tuesday closing price.
Persons: Bernstein, Ottavio Adorisio's, David Barden, Barden, Danilo Gargiulo, Goldman Sachs, Daniel Roeska's, Motors Organizations: Mobile, Bank of America, Automobile, General Motors
Some stocks on Wall Street are absolutely hated by analysts and investors, but their fundamentals are improving, leaving a potential buying opportunity for contrarian investors, according to UBS. Most analysts currently covering the stock have assigned it a hold rating, with predicted upside of about 16% to consensus price targets. "The iconic automaker continues to enjoy strong profits from its core markets and a policy driven investment cycle in the U.S," the analyst wrote. Most analysts have assigned Airbnb stock a hold rating. The analyst consensus has shares at a hold rating, with predictions suggesting the stock could rise an average of 26% from its Thursday close.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, Bernstein, Daniel Roeska's, Wedbush, Scott Devitt, Ben Chaiken, Jan, Chaiken, Clorox, Estee Lauder, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Stocks, Wall, Ford Motor, Ford, Cruise, Mizuho, Pfizer, Gartner, Northern Trust
Morgan Stanley accompanied the move by cutting its price target to $100 from $120. His $185 price target, up from $160, forecasts that shares of Take-Two could rally 23% from Wednesday's close. — Lisa Kailai Han 5:55 a.m.: Bernstein initiates Ford at an outperform rating Investors who don't own Ford are missing out, according to Bernstein. — Lisa Kailai Han 5:55 a.m.: JPMorgan upgrades Hasbro Don't expect Hasbro's momentum to slow in the near future, according to JPMorgan. It also raised its price target on shares to $74 from $61, implying upside of 22%.
Persons: Bernstein, Morgan Stanley downgrades NetEase, Morgan Stanley, Alex Poon, Poon, Lisa Kailai Han, Omar Dessouky, Dessouky, — Lisa Kailai Han, Sam Poser, Sean Dodge, Dodge, GoodRx, Ford, Daniel Roeska, Roeska didn't, Roeska, Christopher Horvers, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Ford, JPMorgan, Hasbro, NetEase, Bank of America, Rockstar Games, Rockstar, Supreme, Corp, Trading, EMEA, Timberland, RBC, RBC Capital Markets, pharma, Kroger Locations: China, Wednesday's, Americas
Analyst Edward Kelly upgraded the discount retailer to overweight from equal weight and opened a $180 price target. Yefremov's $400 price target indicates shares can jump 31.7% from Wednesday's closing price. Analyst Andrea Teixeira downgraded the energy drink maker to neutral from overweight and cut her price target by $7 to $59. — Alex Harring 5:38 a.m.: Wall Street reacts to Meta earnings Meta Platforms disappointed investors with its weak revenue guidance , sending shares down about 13% in premarket trading. His price target of $55 implies upside of 22% over the next 12 months.
Persons: Bernstein, Wells, Edward Kelly, shrinkflation, Kelly, — Alex Harring, Sherwin, Williams, Aleksey Yefremov, Yefremov, Doug Creutz, Creutz, Judas, Goldman, bullish, Goldman Sachs, Brooke Roach, Roach, Andrea Teixeira, Alex Harring, Ford, Wells Fargo, Colin Langan, Langan, LSEG, Eric Sheridan, Brian Nowak, Morgan Stanley, Doug Anmuth, Ronald Josey, Daniel Roeska, Roeska, General Motors, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, General Motors, Traders, Grand Theft, Sony, Electronic Arts, TJX, TJX Companies, JPMorgan, Monster Beverage, Ford, Ford Pro, Facebook, Meta, Citi, mojo, General, GM Locations: Wells Fargo, Thursday's, Wednesday's, Michigan
Loop Capital initiated Dell Technologies with a buy rating and a price target that implies more than 35% upside. Analyst Stephen Grambling hiked his price target by $9 to $49, while keeping his rating at overweight. Salesforce has popped nearly 14% in 2024, extending gains after the stock price came close to doubling in 2023 alone. Roseka's price target of $27.10 shows the potential for just 3.6% in upside compared with Tuesday's ending price. Analyst Ananda Baruah initiated coverage of the technology stock with a buy rating and a $125 price target.
Persons: Stifel, Smucker, Raymond James, Rick Patel, Patel, — Alex Harring, Kenneth Worthington, Worthington, Alex Harring, Morgan Stanley, Stephen Grambling, DKNG's, Grambling, DraftKings, Jackpocket, Morgan, Wednesday's premarket, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Kash Rangan, Rangan, Bernstein, Daniel Roeska, Stellantis, Roseka, KeyBanc, Sophie Karp, CEG, Karp, Matthew Smith, Smith, Fred Imbert, Dell, Ananda Baruah, DELL, Baruah Organizations: CNBC, Dell Technologies, FactSet, Apollo Global Management, JPMorgan, APO, Grambling, Constellation Energy, Constellation, Dell, Capital, DELL Locations: Tuesday's, Wednesday's premarket, Grambling, Wednesday's, Salesforce, Netherlands, U.S, Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAffordability, low incentives contribute to EV consumer pull back, says analystDaniel Roeska, senior analyst for European transportation at Bernstein Research, says EVs will become cheaper to manufacture by the end of the decade.
Persons: Daniel Roeska, EVs Organizations: EV, Bernstein Research
German carmaker stocks dip amid China-EV probe dispute
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Alternatively, punitive tariffs on imports from China could accelerate Chinese EV makers' plans to build in Europe, analysts said, raising competition for domestic carmakers. "Volkswagen could gain from lower mass-market competition, but is the most exposed ... premium OEMs ...face the risk of retaliation and might see their China-export plans sent awry," he added. By 1210 GMT, the STOXX Europe 600 Auto (.SXAP) index was down 1.46%, while the broader market was steady. BMW, which exports the iX3 from China and plans to export the Mini from 2024, fell 2.08%, with Mercedes-Benz down 1.56% and Volkswagen down 1.83%. Stocks of carmakers Renault and Stellantis, which are less exposed to the Chinese market than their German counterparts, saw smaller dips of 1.33% and 0.81% respectively.
Persons: Annegret, Emmanuel Macron, Daniel Roeska, Bernstein, Danilo Masoni, Victoria Waldersee, Josephine Mason, Thomas Leigh, Michel Rose, Sharon Singleton, David Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, EV, HK, European Commission, Renault, Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes, Benz, Porsche, carmakers Renault, Thomson Locations: Berlin, Germany, Beijing, China, Europe, France
Arjun Kharpal | CNBCMunich, GERMANY — The IAA in Munich, Germany is one of Europe's most high-profile auto shows. And it was dominated by Chinese electric car firms looking to expand their presence on the continent and challenge incumbents from BMW to Ford in the new era of battery-powered vehicles. But a slowing market at home, due to tepid consumer spending after Covid-19 restrictions were lifted, coupled with an attractive market in Europe, has seen Chinese firms launch cars abroad and expand their footprint. Many of the European carmakers have been seen lagging in their push into EVs at a time when Chinese players have launched dozens of new vehicles. watch nowThe entrance of Chinese firms into Europe is seen as a threat to big automakers who have been perceived to be moving too slow on EVs.
Persons: BYD, Arjun Kharpal, Daniel Roeska, Roeska, Zhu Jiangming, Warren Buffett, Xpeng, Brian Gu, Gu, Bernstein, Tesla, Mercedes, Xpeng's Gu Organizations: CNBC, BMW, Ford, EV, Bernstein Research, Leapmotor, Tesla, IAA Locations: Europe, Munich, Germany, CNBC Munich, GERMANY, China, Hangzhou, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Netherlands, Guangzhou, EVs
BMWMUNICH, Germany — BMW and Mercedes are making their biggest push yet into electric cars in a bid to fend off rising competition from Chinese players and catch up with U.S. giant Tesla . On Saturday, rival BMW showed off the "Vision Neue Klasse," another electric concept car that highlights the company's EV ambitions. This is the companies' biggest push yet toward a new platform for the electric vehicle era. Tesla commanded 20% of the global EV market in the second quarter, followed by 15% for BYD, according to Counterpoint Research. GTI Concept electric vehicle at the IAA show, and said a production version of the car is scheduled to hit the road in 2027.
Persons: Warren Buffett, BYD, Elon Musk's Tesla, Mercedes, Ola Kallenius, Kallenius, CNBC's Annette Weisbach, Oliver Zipse, CNBC's Arabile, Zipse, Daniel Roeska, Roeska, Tesla Organizations: BMW, IAA, BMW MUNICH, Mercedes, IAA Mobility, Benz, Analysts, Bernstein Research, CNBC, Tesla, BYD, Research, U.S ., EV, Volkswagen Locations: Munich, Germany, Tesla, China
EBITDA of 2.19-2.22 bln euros this yearForecast on FY EBITDA margin unchanged at 38%FY revenue expected to grow to around 5.8 bln eurosAdj. The Italian company guided for adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) to grow to between 2.19 billion euros and 2.22 billion euros ($2.40 billion - $2.44 billion) this year, versus a previous forecast of between 2.13 billion and 2.18 billion euros. The expected cash generation was also broadly unchanged, at around 900 million euros versus a previous guidance of up to 900 million euros. Ferrari shares, which are up around 40% this year, erased small daily gains after the results were published. In the second quarter, adjusted EBITDA grew 32% to 589 million euros, in line with analysts' expectations of 580 million euros, according to a Reuters poll.
Persons: Andrew Boyers, Benedetto Vigna, Bernstein, Daniel Roeska, Vigna, Giulio Piovaccari, Gianluca Semeraro, Keith Weir, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Prix, Silverstone Circuit, REUTERS, Ferrari, Daytona, EMEA, Thomson Locations: Silverstone, Britain, MILAN, Italian, personalisations
June 16 (Reuters) - Volkswagen (VOWG_p.DE) will face investors hungry for answers at its capital markets day next Wednesday on how it will achieve high cost-cutting targets and whether it will heed their calls for an independent audit of its co-owned Xinjiang plant. "The 21 June CMD is an opportunity to reset a fraught relationship with investors, a challenging exercise," Jefferies wrote in a note on Friday. Investors also demanded that Volkswagen conduct an independent audit of the Urumqi plant, which executives have is only possible with the agreement of joint venture partner SAIC (600104.SS). Alongside targets, investors needed details on how the carmaker expects to make its EV production more cost-effective, Daniel Roeska of Bernstein Research wrote in a note on Thursday. "The risk is that instead we see more punchy earnings and volume targets, with little to support them," he added.
Persons: CMD, Jefferies, carmaker, Oliver Blume, Arno Antlitz, Blume, Daniel Roeska, Jan Schwartz, Victoria Waldersee, Conor Humphries Organizations: Porsche, Volkswagen, Investors, SAIC, Bernstein Research, Thomson Locations: Xinjiang, Urumqi, Germany
Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers are making a push into Europe and could take market share away from established U.S. and local brands, according to Bernstein. European brands have already seceded 20% of market share to Japanese and South Korean carmakers over the past two decades, according to IHS. Using what it described as conservative estimates, Bernstein predicted that Chinese automakers will hold less than 5% market share by 2030. In an accelerated scenario, where both Tesla and Chinese brands capture significant market share, incumbents could lose up to 20%," the bank's analysts wrote. Roeska noted that despite the fact that Chinese-owned European brands such as MG, Volvo, and Polestar currently account for 8% of the region's EV market, long-term dominance can only be sustainable through local production.
Persons: Bernstein, Tesla, Daniel Roeska, Roeska, Polestar, Aston Martin Organizations: IHS, Renault, EV, Volvo Car, Volvo, Benz Locations: Europe, Korean, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSeeing really positive trends in European auto sector despite weak macro setting: BernsteinDaniel Roeska, managing director of automotive research at Sanford C. Bernstein, weighs in on euro zone car registration numbers, outlining which car stocks he believes will perform best in 2023.
High interest rates, supply chain problems and recessionary fears were among the major challenges for the global automotive industry in 2022. Auto sales could still riseUnlike traditional downturns or past periods when demand was soft, most analysts expect global and U.S. auto sales to rise in 2023. Cox Automotive is forecasting U.S. new vehicle sales of 14.1 million in 2023, which Charlie Chesbrough, Cox's senior economist and senior director of industry insights, described as "tepidly optimistic." S&P Global Mobility expects new vehicle sales globally to reach nearly 83.6 million units in 2023, a 5.6% increase from the previous year. US consumers are hunkering down, and recovery towards pre-pandemic vehicle demand levels feels like a hard sell.
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