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☆ The stock market is loving Trump’s return. The bond market has some concerns though
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —Donald Trump is returning to the White House, and the stock market is loving it. ‘The regime change’For now, stock market investors don’t seem bothered by the jump in bond yields or these inflationary or debt concerns. “The stock market jumped for joy that the election results were definitive, thus averting a contested election. Of course, market veterans say they wouldn’t be surprised to see the stock market eventually display concern about tariffs and inflation under Trump. That could pose a number of problems for the economy and the stock market.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, shockwaves, ”, David Kotok, Stephanie Roth, Roth, ” Roth, Sau Loeb, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jeff Buchbinder, “, Kotok, it’s, ” Kotok, They’re, Freddie Mac, ‘, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, It’s, ’, BTIG’s Isaac Boltansky Organizations: CNN, White, Dow Jones, stoke, Trump, Advisors, Wolfe Research, Treasury, US Treasury Department, Getty, Wall Street, LPL, Fed, Stock Locations: Big, Washington , DC, Washington

"I just want to say how deeply saddened that we all are about the recent horrific attacks on Israel ... He warned that the war in Ukraine, compounded by the attacks on Israel, could have "far-reaching impacts on energy and food markets, global trade, and geopolitical relationships." On Friday, Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser included Israel in her opening remarks on the bank's earnings call. "Once someone ventures into the space of, 'who is the perpetrator and who is the victim,' you enter into the exposure of social media disinformation and risk," Kotok said. Some large companies including Apple (AAPL.O) and Walmart (WMT.N) had yet to issue statements, while some prominent personalities including NBA star LeBron James have spoken out.

Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Albert Bourla, Jefferies, Michael Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs, Jane Fraser, Israel, Fraser, Larry Fink, David Kotok, Cumberland, Kotok, Antonio Neri, Andy Jassy, Sundar Pichai, Satya Nadella, LeBron James, Gigi Hadid, Lananh Nguyen, Aditya Soni, Stephen Nellis, Siddharth Cavale, David Gaffen, Arriana, Sayantani Ghosh, David Gregorio Our Organizations: JPMorgan, Pfizer, UBS, New York City, Bloomberg, Delta Air Lines, Citigroup, BlackRock, Cumberland Advisors, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Amazon, Meta, Union, Google, Microsoft, Apple, Walmart, NBA, Thomson Locations: Israel, Ukraine, New York, Florida, Bengaluru

☆ Attack on Israel boosts appeal of gold, safe-haven assets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Amir Cohen Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Oct 8 (Reuters) - The violence in Israel that erupted this weekend is prompting a move into safe-haven assets as investors closely watch events in the Middle East to gauge the geopolitical risk to markets. Gunmen from the Palestinian group Hamas entered Israel in an unprecedented attack on Saturday. Western countries, led by the United States, denounced the attack and pledged support for Israel. Rising geopolitical risk would see buying in assets like gold and the dollar , and boost demand for U.S. Treasuries, which have been sold off aggressively, analysts said over the weekend. "It seems Wall Street has a new geopolitical risk after Israel declared war with Hamas," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda in New York.

Persons: Amir Cohen, Treasuries, Peter Cardillo, Cardillo, Stocks, Israel, Edward Moya, Brian Jacobsen, Iran’s, Jacobsen, " Jacobsen, David Kotok, Kevin McCarthy, Kotok, Megan Davies, Lisa Shumaker, Mark Porter, Schmollinger Organizations: REUTERS, Gunmen, Hamas, Israel, U.S, Spartan Capital Securities, U.S ., Analysts, Annex Wealth Management, Cumberland Advisors, Republicans, Representatives Locations: Gaza, Ashkelon, Israel, United States, Asia, New York, Iran, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Sarasota , Florida

☆ Attack on Israel likely to boost appeal of gold, safe haven assets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Israel's Iron Dome anti-missile system intercepts rockets launched from the Gaza Strip, as seen from Ashkelon in southern Israel October 7, 2023. Gunmen from the Palestinian group Hamas entered Israel in an unprecedented attack on Saturday. Western countries, led by the United States, denounced the attack and pledged support for Israel. Rising geopolitical risk could see buying in assets like gold and the dollar and potentially boost demand for U.S. Treasuries, which have been sold off aggressively, analysts said. Washington has been trying to strike a deal that would normalise ties between Israel and Saudi Arabia.

Persons: Amir Cohen, Peter Cardillo, Stocks, Brian Jacobsen, Jacobsen, David Kotok, Kevin McCarthy, Kotok, Megan Davies, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: REUTERS, Gunmen, Hamas, Israel, U.S, Spartan Capital Securities, U.S ., Annex Wealth Management, Iran’s, Cumberland Advisors, Republicans, Representatives, Thomson Locations: Gaza, Ashkelon, Israel, United States, Iran, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Sarasota , Florida

☆ Attack on Israel could boost appeal of gold and safe haven assets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

☆ How big banks won the banking crisis
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Before the Bell: Now that the dust is hopefully settling on this year’s regional banking crisis, are there clear winners and losers in the banking sector? David Kotok: There’s no question the [global systemically important banks, G-SIB] won and the middle-sized banks — let’s call that banks with between $50 billion and $250 billion in assets — were the losers. So if you stand back from the immediate 2023 banking crisis, and you say, how many banks were there 20 years ago in the United States, how many banks are there today? The UK economy is bigger than we thoughtThe UK economy recovered from the Covid-19 pandemic much faster than previously thought, reports my colleague Hanna Ziady. For many office workers around the United States, it also means more return-to-office mandates.

Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Bell, David Kotok, he’s, SIB, Jamie Dimon, J.P, Morgan, hasn’t, Hanna Ziady, John Springford, Andy Jassy, CNN’s Jeanne Sahadi, unaddressed, Merck Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Silicon Valley Bank, UBS, JPMorgan, Republic Bank, Cumberland Advisors, —, Credit Suisse, First, Federal Reserve, Office, National Statistics, ONS, Centre, European Reform, Labor, Amazon, Business Locations: New York, Silicon, First Republic, United States, Jekyll, America, Hanna Ziady ., Germany, Canada, Japan, Italy, France, Britain

☆ Russia turmoil to fuel market volatility, flight to safety
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The question is how much and how lasting the reaction will be, much of which depends upon unknowable developments." It is reasonable to expect oil and other key commodity prices to rise. If oil prices rise sharply, that will indeed weigh upon equities and reignite stagflation fears. In theory it should benefit from a flight to safety, but in practice a strong dollar can impede it." “Probably bearish Indian stocks too as the dividend they’ve received from cheap Russian oil likely disappears.

Persons: Wagner, Stringer, STEVE SOSNICK, stagflation, MICHAEL PURVES, DAVID KOTOK, Putin, Orban, ’, GEORGE BOUBOURAS, JAMIE HALSE, “, Tom Westbrook, Megan Davies, Carolina Mandl, Ira Iosebashvili, Lananh Nguyen, Daniel Wallis Organizations: Southern Military District, REUTERS, Moscow, Defense, CUMBERLAND, NATO, MELBOURNE, WHO, SYDNEY, Thomson, & & Locations: Rostov, Don, Russia, Russian, China, SARASOTA , FLORIDA, Belarus, Soviet, EU, Hungary, Turkey, JAPAN, Ukraine, Eastern Europe, Singapore, New York

☆ Wall St Week Ahead: Surging US megacap stocks leave some wondering when to cash out
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) has risen 11.5% this year and stands at a 10-month high. The S&P 500 rose 1.45%. The recent surge in Nvidia showed how a stock can keep climbing even after posting hefty gains. At the same time, only 20.3% of S&P 500 stocks have outperformed the index on a rolling three-month basis, a record low dating back five decades, according to Ned Davis. Kotok views narrowing breadth as an ominous sign for the broader stock market, saying that equities also look less favorable in certain asset valuation metrics.

Persons: Ned Davis, Peter Tuz, Jay Hatfield, ” Hatfield, “, Brendan McDermid Michael Purves, Purves, Kevin Mahn, Refinitiv, ”, Mahn, Dow, David Kotok, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski, Diane Craft Organizations: YORK, BofA Global Research, Ned Davis Research, Chase Investment, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Tallbacken Capital Advisors, Nasdaq, Hennion, Walsh Asset Management, Dow Jones, Cumberland Advisors, Thomson Locations: megacap, BofA, New York City, U.S

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Surging US megacap stocks leave some wondering when to cash out
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) has risen 11% this year and stands at a 10-month high. He is overweight megacaps, including Nvidia, Microsoft and Google-parent Alphabet (GOOGL.O). The recent surge in Nvidia showed how a stock can keep climbing even after posting hefty gains. At the same time, only 20.3% of S&P 500 stocks have outperformed the index on a rolling three-month basis, a record low dating back five decades, according to Ned Davis. In one commonly used valuation metric, the S&P 500 is trading at 18.5 times forward earnings estimates compared to its historic average of 15.6 times, according to Refinitiv Datastream.

Persons: Ned Davis, Peter Tuz, Jay Hatfield, ” Hatfield, “, Michael Purves, Purves, Kevin Mahn, Refinitiv, ”, Mahn, Dow, David Kotok, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: YORK, BofA Global Research, Ned Davis Research, Chase Investment, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Tallbacken Capital Advisors, Nasdaq, Hennion, Walsh Asset Management, Dow Jones, Cumberland Advisors, Thomson Locations: megacap, BofA

☆ Premarket stocks: The Fed can't figure out what's happening with the job market
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New data out Wednesday showed that job openings and hiring both rose in April, while unemployment sits near 53-year lows. What’s happening: The number of available jobs in the United States rose unexpectedly in April after three months of declines. Job openings climbed to 10.1 million in April, according to data released Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that he wants to see more slack in the labor market. “I love what I do,” Dimon told Bloomberg, adding he’s “quite happy” in his current job.

Persons: won’t, —, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, ”, Jefferson, Mark Hamrick, “, Sam Stovall, David Kotok, Joe Biden, It’s, Mitch McConnell, ” Biden, Biden, Jamie Dimon, Elon Musk, Dimon, he’s, ” Dimon, Matt Egan, he’d Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Fed, Index, Commerce Department, FedWatch, Cumberland Advisors, Senate, ”, JPMorgan, Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Locations: New York, China, Europe, United States, America

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Last year's laggards lead U.S. stocks' 2023 rebound, for now
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-11 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

NEW YORK, Feb 10 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks that took a beating last year are surging in the early weeks of 2023, leading markets higher. A range of factors are driving the moves, including the attractiveness of beaten-up shares, a tailwind from falling bond yields and market participants unwinding bearish bets against stocks. “When interest rates fall, lower quality, longer duration assets do well," said Rob Almeida, global investment strategist at MFS Investment Management. That's weighed on stocks in the latest week, which saw the S&P 500 lose 1.1% after two straight weeks of gains. David Kotok, chief investment officer at Cumberland Advisors, is skeptical of the latest rally and some of the stocks leading the current run.

REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File PhotoNEW YORK/LONDON, Sept 25 (Reuters) - Global investors are preparing for more market mayhem after a monumental week that whipsawed asset prices around the world, as central banks and governments ramped up their fight against inflation. "It's hard to know what will break where, and when," said Mike Kelly, head of multi-asset at PineBridge Investments (US). "Currency exchange rates ... are now violent in their moves," said David Kotok, chairman and chief investment officer at Cumberland Advisors. But the murky outlook meant that they were still not cheap enough for some investors. "We are of the view that markets are still massively underestimating the global economic growth hit that is coming," he said.

REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File PhotoNEW YORK/LONDON, Sept 25 (Reuters) - Global investors are preparing for more market mayhem after a monumental week that whipsawed asset prices around the world, as central banks and governments ramped up their fight against inflation. "It's hard to know what will break where, and when," said Mike Kelly, head of multi-asset at PineBridge Investments (US). "Currency exchange rates ... are now violent in their moves," said David Kotok, chairman and chief investment officer at Cumberland Advisors. The fallout from the hectic week exacerbated trends for stocks and bonds that have been in place all year, pushing down prices for both asset classes. "We are of the view that markets are still massively underestimating the global economic growth hit that is coming," he said.

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