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☆ China offers a 'unique diversification opportunity,' says Bridgewater's co-CIO
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

But China offers a unique diversification opportunity, said Bridgewater Associates' co-CIO. Bridgewater's China hedge fund added local stocks after Beijing's stimulus-driven rally. AdvertisementThis is largely due to lower correlations between different markets as countries turn inward, Prince told the media outlet. They are also lowering correlations across markets, Prince told SCMP. Bloomberg reported in October that Bridgewater's onshore China hedge fund was adding local stocks after a September stock rally following Beijing's aggressive stimulus.

Persons: Asia —, Bob Prince, Prince, SCMP, Ray Dalio, Donald Trump's Organizations: Bridgewater Associates, South China Morning, Reuters, Bloomberg Locations: China, Asia, North America, Europe, Bridgewater

☆ How 9 newly minted Goldman Sachs partners celebrated their big day, from shouting across the trading floor to popping Champagne in the office
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Reed Alexander | Emmalyse Brownstein | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +15 min

Goldman Sachs is a leading investment bank for corporate dealmaking and trading, and its partners represent less than 1% of roughly 46,000 employees. On average, Goldman's newest partners have spent 16 years rising in the ranks, the bank said last week. "It's like a wedding and birthday wrapped up in one amazing moment that you keep reliving," one new partner said. Here's a glimpse inside the big day of nine of Wall Street's up-and-coming executives, including what they did to mark the occasion. Related storiesI happened to be stepping into a meeting with the Arthur Miller Foundation — an amazing nonprofit that supports theater teachers in schools across NYC and beyond — just as John called.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, —, revel, John Waldron, Wall, Rob Barlick, Robert Barlick, Goldman Sachs David, It's, that's, Lyla Bibi, Bibi Goldman Sachs, Bracha Cohen, Marco Argenti, I've, Matt Doherty, Matt Doherty Goldman Sachs, David, Kristin Olsen, Marc Nachmann, Shane Lee, Vishaal Rana, Goldman Sachs David Solomon, Aaron Siegel, Aaron Siegel Goldman Sachs, Hayley, Arthur Miller, John, –, Craig Smart, Craig Smart Goldman Sachs, Kristin, Marshall Smith, Sylvia Yeh, Sylvia Yeh Goldman Sachs, Reed Alexander Organizations: Partners, Service, Valley Bank, GS, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Arthur Miller Foundation, Goldman Locations: Valley, Florida, America, New York, New York City, —, Goldman Sachs

☆ Bitcoin at 3-month high as Trump odds drive currencies
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Cryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high in early Asia trading on Monday and the dollar looked set to extend its gains in markets counting down to the U.S. presidential election in two weeks. Bitcoin got a lift from Trump's improving prospects since his administration is seen as taking a softer line on cryptocurrency regulation. The clearest way to express the Trump tariff risk was to be long dollars versus the euro, Swiss franc and Mexican peso , he said. Brad Bechtel, global head of FX at Jefferies, also noted that rising real interest rates were helping the dollar along, particularly against those three currencies. "We expect this trend to continue straight into the election and if Trump wins, likely well after the election as well," Bechtel wrote.

Persons: Cryptocurrency bitcoin, Donald Trump, Bitcoin, Chris Weston, Pepperstone, Weston, Brad Bechtel, Bechtel Organizations: U.S, Trump, China, BTC, Swiss, FX, Jefferies Locations: Asia, U.S

☆ Goldman Sachs to report third-quarter earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

David Solomon, Chairman & CEO Goldman Sachs, speaking on CNBC's Squawk Box at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 17th, 2024. Goldman Sachs is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the opening bell Tuesday. Goldman's asset and wealth management division is also positioned to benefit from rising asset values across markets as rates decline. Last week, rival JPMorgan Chase set expectations high with better-than-anticipated results from trading and investment banking, factors that helped the bank top earnings estimates. Wells Fargo also exceeded estimates on Friday on the back of its investment banking division.

Persons: David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo Organizations: LSEG Revenue, Trading, Wealth Management, Goldman, JPMorgan, & $ Locations: Davos, Switzerland

☆ These stocks should benefit the most as the Fed keeps lowering rates, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

These companies are expected to benefit from lower interest rates over the long haul, according to analysts. They include Western Alliance , Best Buy, Coca-Cola, Zillow , UPS and FedEx. The analyst said he sees Best Buy as a key beneficiary of lower interest rates in several ways. He noted that Best Buy continues to be a worthy competitor to e-commerce juggernaut Amazon, pointing to a recent pricing study the firm conducted. Meanwhile, Best Buy shares remain undervalued compared to those of its peers in the sector, Chukumba added.

Persons: Zillow, Jay McCanless, McCanless, Wells, Chris Carey, Carey, Coke bottlers, Morgan Stanley, Anthony Chukumba, Chukumba, FedEx — Goldman Sachs, — D.A, Davidson Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Western Alliance, UPS, FedEx, Software, —

☆ Treasury yields little changed as Fed meeting set to kick off
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury yield was down by less than one basis point to 3.6194%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point lower to 3.5506%. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Tuesday as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting is scheduled to begin, with policymakers widely expected to announce an interest rate cut at its conclusion. All eyes are on the Federal Reserve this week, with an interest rate cut from the central bank all but guaranteed. The key question across markets remains how big the rate cut from the Fed will be on Wednesday.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, Traders, Bank of England, Bank of Locations: Bank of Japan

☆ The two-day or less shipping Americans have come to expect faces a climate change threat
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-24 | by ( Michelle Castillo | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Customers have come to expect when they order something online, it arrives in two days or less. Many logistics companies have warned about shipping delays due to extreme weather. Freight solutions company Breakthrough, which focuses on sustainable transportation, conducted a survey of 500 shippers and carriers this year that revealed extreme weather was cited as the top transportation challenge. And rather than rely on large warehouses, it uses its stores as hubs, which helps it change delivery fulfillment quickly. In addition to closing warehouses in cases of extreme weather, Amazon is using algorithms to plan delivery worker routes.

Persons: Jenny Zanden, Donner, Parvez Musani, Musani Organizations: Sparks, Walmart, Amazon, Daily Locations: Panama, U.S, Sparks , Nevada, Sierra, Nevada , California, Oregon, New Jersey, California

Byron Allen, founder, chairman, and CEO of Entertainment Studios and Allen Media Group, speaks during the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, on May 2, 2022. Allen Media Group owns broadcast stations in more than 20 markets between ABC, CBS and NBC affiliates, according to the group's website. Representatives for Allen Media Group declined to address the details of this story but said in a statement: "Mr. Allen started Allen Media Group 31 years ago from his dining room table. Allen Media Group is now one of the largest and fastest growing privately-held media companies in the world and is 100 percent Black-owned. Allen Media Group remains strong, and we continue to prudently manage our partner relationships as we have always done over our 31-year history," the statement says.

Persons: Byron Allen, Byron Allen —, Allen, Mr Organizations: Entertainment Studios, Allen Media Group, Milken Institute Global Conference, CNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, NFL, Allen Media Locations: Beverly Hills , California, Midwest, Southeast, West Coast, Hawaii

☆ A 'tail hedge' trade that profits if this week's CPI is very hot and another one for a benign reading
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

On Monday, stocks struggled ahead of this week's inflation data, which will likely set the tone for short term market action. The S & P 500 was little changed, the Nasdaq Composite made a small advance while the Dow Jones Industrial Average pulled back about a third of a percent. The first trade is a so-called tail hedge against a hotter-than-expected CPI print, i.e. buying S & P 500 put options. The value of the put contracts will increase if the S & P 500 falls on a surprising resurgence of inflation.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: JPMorgan, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investors, Federal Reserve

☆ Stocks in Asia Rebound After a Day of Wild Selling Worldwide
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( River Akira Davis | More About River Akira Davis | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

On Friday, a report on American jobs showed a considerable slowdown in hiring, prompting a sell-off in U.S. markets. The Fed is expected to start cutting rates, which are at a more-than-two-decade high, later this year. The currency’s rise spooked investors, some of whom feared a stronger yen would spell the end of a more-than-yearlong rally in Japanese stocks that had been driven by a weakened currency. A popular trade among some investors involved borrowing in yen, and then investing it in markets like the U.S. But as the strength of the dollar this year began to ebb, profits from that trade also started to reverse course.

Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Japan

☆ China is doubling down on homegrown tech. Goldman Sachs shares its chip plays
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-21 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

From an investment perspective, Goldman Sachs analysts on July 15 pointed out there are notable catalysts for certain semiconductor and artificial intelligence China stock plays from August to December. Officials told reporters about plans to speed up "emerging and future industries," and expand the development of tech talent in China. Ways to play the space The bank has buy ratings on at least two Chinese companies in the industry. The Goldman analysts are also optimistic about growth for Chinese fabless companies, the businesses which design chips but outsource the manufacturing process. Montage generates nearly all of its revenue from servers, while Will Semiconductor draws about half of its revenue from smartphones, and one-third from automobiles, according to the Goldman report.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Biden, Goldman, 3Q24E Organizations: Officials, Microsoft, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor, ACM Research, Goldman, Will Semiconductor Locations: Beijing, China, TSMC, U.S, Shanghai, Friday's

☆ Oil drops on weak sentiment, set for weekly decline
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices ticked higher on Thursday, buoyed by a bigger-than-expected weekly decline in U.S. crude stocks. Oil prices fell on Friday, setting up for a second weekly decline, as mixed economic signals weighed on investor sentiment and boosted the dollar. Brent crude prices fell by 51 cents, or 0.6%, to $84.50 a barrel by 0035 GMT. "Crude oil was under pressure amid a broader risk-off tone across markets," Hynes said. Oil prices found some support in the prior two sessions after the U.S. government reported a bigger-than-expected weekly decline in oil stockpiles.

Persons: Daniel Hynes, Hynes, Brent, WTI, FGE Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, U.S, ANZ, Reuters

☆ Goldman's $2.8 trillion asset management arm says the S&P 500 will be 'flattish' for the rest of 2024. 5 places it says to invest your money instead.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-14 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Don't expect the mammoth returns of the S&P 500 to continue this year, according to Goldman Sachs Asset Management's midyear investment outlook released last week. AdvertisementBut this doesn't mean that Goldman Sachs is expecting a severe downturn. Active management is more important now than ever, and Goldman Sachs recommends taking steps now to prepare for a lukewarm second half of 2024. To address geopolitical instability and financial shocks, Goldman Sachs recommends hedging risk through commodities. Goldman Sachs is seeing increasing opportunities in Asia.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alexis Deladerrière, —, Lindsay Rosner, Rosner, Deladerrière, it's Organizations: Service, Goldman, Business, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Fed Locations: Mexico, France, East, Ukraine, industrials, underperformance, Asia, Japan, India

☆ Ikea is cutting prices as inflation eases — and more could be on the way
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( Ernestine Siu | In Ernestinesiu | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Swedish home and furniture company Ikea has been cutting prices across a number of countries as global inflation eased, as it boosts its investments in price reductions. The company is further expanding its price cuts in 2024 across all of its markets globally, aiming to dial back price increases that were introduced in 2022. The price cuts, which started in Europe in September, have led to an increase in customers, as well as an increase in items sold by the retailer, according to Öncü. Between September and November, Ingka has invested more than 1 billion euros ($1.1 billion) in price cuts across markets it operates in, according to Reuters. In Canada, the price of its popular Billy bookcase has fallen by 20% since the company invested 55 million euros to trim prices for over 1,500 products, Ingka said in January.

Persons: Ingka, Billy bookcase Organizations: Ikea, Inkga Group, CNBC, Reuters Locations: Europe, Canada

☆ Oil fell slightly as China growth worries clash with output cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Oil prices fell slightly on Wednesday as concerns about demand growth in China, the world's biggest crude importer, clashed with signs of supply tightness amid output cuts by major producers. Oil prices fell slightly on Wednesday as concerns about demand growth in China, the world's biggest crude importer, clashed with signs of supply tightness amid output cuts by major producers. The 'risk off' nature of recent trading was underscored by the fall in Treasury yields, which also pressured oil prices. "Crude oil futures edged lower amid the risk-off tone across markets. If the EIA reports a crude storage build, it will be the sixth straight week of rising oil stocks in the country.

Persons: Daniel Hynes Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Treasury, of, Petroleum, ANZ, American Petroleum Institute, U.S . Energy, Administration Locations: China, OPEC, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Asia

☆ Nvidia is 'jet fuel' for the stock market, say Wall Street analysts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-22 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The stock surged 14% in premarket trading, putting it on course to boost its value by $240 billion. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementHere's how analysts are reacting to Nvidia's latest report. Advertisement"This was a 'game-changing moment' for the tech bulls and puts jet fuel in the tech bull market thesis," he added.

Persons: —, it's, Jensen Huang, Kathleen Brooks, XTB, we've, Brooks, hadn't, Dan Ives, AI Jensen, Ives, Jason Hollands, Hollands, Russ Mould, AJ Bell, Mould Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Nikkei, Big Tech Locations: Europe, Bestinvest

Investors brace for “fireworks”The stock price of the chip giant Nvidia has marched steadily higher over the past year and a half, propelled by investors’ hopes that artificial intelligence is truly transformative technology — and by their hope that the company’s high-end semiconductors will continue to power that technology. But in recent days, the company became the third most valuable listed company in the U.S., only to slump back to fifth. Its shares will face another big test on Wednesday, when Nvidia announces its latest quarterly earnings, with billions in investor capital on the line. After seeing the stock more than double since May on the back of huge demand for Nvidia’s chips, investors are wondering if it’s close to peaking. Opinion on Wall Street appears divided: Bloomberg reports that options traders have piled into both put options, whose value rises as a stock’s price falls, and call options.

Persons: ’, Brace, ” Jim Reid Organizations: Nvidia, Bloomberg, Deutsche Bank Locations: U.S

☆ These market signals suggest recession fears aren’t gone yet
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The Dow Jones Transportation Average, which tracks 20 US transportation stocks from railroads to airlines to delivery, has fallen 1.6% so far this year, underperforming the broader Dow industrials’ 2.2% gain. As that optimism dims, some investors worry that the decline in transportation stocks suggests rough times ahead for the economy. The transportation index tends to fall when the economy deteriorates, as demand for travel and goods wanes. Turmoil in the airline industry also likely contributed to the recent slide in transportation stocks. But net profit fell 14% to €4.9 billion ($5.3 billion) as its tax bill rose.

Persons: CH, , ”, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Russell, Howard Silverblatt, Dow, effusively, ”, Luschini, Jason Heller, “ I’m, Hanna Ziady, Sewing, Read, Tod Steward, He’s, It’s, Parija Kavilanz, Steward, Steward hasn’t, “, haven’t, that’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones Transportation, Dow, CH Robinson Worldwide, United Parcel Service, Avis Budget Group, Alaska Air Group, Federal Reserve, Alaska Airlines Boeing, Max, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Dow Jones, Tesla, Coastal Wealth, Deutsche Bank, Super Bowl, CNN Locations: New York, Seattle

☆ How the blockchain could solve one of AI’s biggest problems
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Matthew Fox | Nicholas Carlson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But what could be new this time around is a solution to the problem, according to Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein. It's yet another issue that could ultimately be solved by the blockchain, according to Sonnenshein. It only makes sense for the blockchain to be integrated in generative AI technologies going forward, according to Sonnenshein. That symbiotic relationship should ultimately benefit creators and open the door to transparent compensation, according to Sonnenshein.

Persons: —, OpenAI, Michael Sonnenshein, Sonnenshein, Nicholas Carlson, it's, It's, Midjourney — Organizations: Service, Business, New York Times, OpenAI, Microsoft, Parliament's House, Lords Communications, Getty Locations: blockchain

☆ Forget Big Tech? Fund manager names 6 lesser-known tech stocks to buy instead
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

One portfolio manager, however, is shifting his focus to other tech players — particularly small mid-cap names. His comments come despite the sharp gains registered by big tech stocks which pushed the price-to-earnings ratio of the S & P 500 index to around 20 times. By contrast, the ratio is trading below 14 times when the seven Big Tech stocks are excluded, he noted. Another stock in Kharmandarian's AI and Robotics Fund fund is cybersecurity firm Crowdstrike . Electronic Design Automation Another theme on Kharmandarian's watchlist is electronic design automation — specifically companies designing the latest generations of semiconductors.

Persons: Karen Kharmandarian, Kharmandarian, bullish, Splunk Organizations: Big Tech, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Thematics Asset Management, CNBC, Robotics Fund, Cisco Systems, Cadence Design Systems, Pharmaceuticals, BioXcel Therapeutics

☆ Hybrid vehicle sales surge in China, posing fresh threat to foreign automakers
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

A Li L7 electric SUV by Li Auto is displayed at the Auto Shanghai show, in Shanghai, China April 18, 2023. One-third of total vehicle sales by Toyota, the world's top-selling automaker, are already hybrids and the company reported a 34% surge in hybrid sales in the six months to end-September, outpacing 9% growth in overall revenue. Sales of HEVs in China, which Toyota still dominates with four top-selling models, tumbled 15%, while gasoline car sales dropped 11%, underscoring potential challenges facing foreign automakers. But it was a failed trial, with sales of just over 4,000 units, and GM in 2020 halted sales. BYD is expanding PHEV sales overseas, offering Han, Qin and Song lineups in Latin America, which has less charging infrastructure.

Persons: Li Auto, Aly, Xu Min, Yale Zhang, BYD, Li, Han, Qin, Stellantis, Leapmotor, Xu, Bill Russo, Zhang Yan, Brenda Goh, Miyoung Kim, Gerry Doyle Organizations: Li, Auto, REUTERS, Rights, Toyota, Honda, Shanghai Jiao Tong University's Institute, Intelligent, Reuters, China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, HK, Automotive Foresight, Reuters Graphics, Prius, General Motors, Buick, GM, Li Auto, Jiao Tong University, HEVs, Thomson Locations: Auto Shanghai, Shanghai, China, Europe, U.S, outpacing, United States, Shanghai Jiao, Reuters Graphics CHINA, America, Leapmotor, North America

☆ How US banks can wiggle out of the $650 billion balance-sheet bomb hanging over them
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

US banks are sitting on an estimated $650 billion in unrealized losses on their bond holdings. Here's why banks have flexibility in making sure that their $650 billion balance sheet bomb is defused. The bond crash culminated in an estimated $650 billion in unrealized losses held by banks, according to Moody's. How banks can defuse their balance sheet bombDespite the massive unrealized losses, banks are looking at three scenarios that could help ensure losses aren't realized. First, banks could simply hold onto their low-yielding debt until it matures and not realize any losses at all.

Persons: —, aren't, Louis Navellier, Geetu Sharma, Sharma, Banks Organizations: Service, Fed, Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Signature Bank, Consumers, of America, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Banks, P Bank, P Regional Bank ETF

☆ Jewellery maker Pandora raises sales forecast after Q3 profit beat
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Pandora products are seen at their store at the Woodbury Common Premium Outlets in Central Valley, New York, U.S., February 15, 2022. Pandora said it now forecasts full-year organic sales growth of 5%-6%, up from 2%-5% previously seen, and said it still expects an operating profit margin of around 25%. Operating profit fell to 920 million crowns ($132 million)from a year-earlier 978 million as costs rose, although this also beat analyst expectations for a profit of 875 million crowns in apoll published by Pandora. Improvement in like-for-like sales was driven by the U.S., as traffic picked up in the region given recent brand initiatives. The affordable luxury brand said its gross margin reached a record 79%, helped by cost savings and price hikes.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Pandora, apoll, Alexander Lacik, Louise Breusch Rasmussen, Anna Ringstrom, Louise Heavens Organizations: Woodbury, REUTERS, Rights, Pandora, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: Central Valley , New York, U.S

☆ MercadoLibre's third-quarter profit soars past expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Stelleo Tolda, Chief Operating Officer (COO) of MercadoLibre (Online marketplace company) poses at the entrance of the company's headquarters in Sao Paulo, Brazil, July 10, 2017. The company posted a profit of $359.0 million for the July-September period, while analysts polled by LSEG expected $298.1 million. Total net revenue was around $3.8 billion in the quarter ended in September, up 39.8% year-on-year. Within the e-commerce operation, net revenue rose to $2.1 billion, up 45.2%. In its financial services arm, Mercado Pago, net revenue grew 33.2% to $1.6 billion, as the company increased the pace of lending, while its total volume of payments processed also jumped.

Persons: Stelleo Tolda, Nacho, LSEG, Andre Chaves, Chaves, Mercado, Andre Romani, Peter Frontini, Kylie Madry Organizations: REUTERS, SAO PAULO, Analysts, Mercado Pago, Thomson Locations: Sao Paulo, Brazil, Mexico, Argentina

☆ What it will take to make homes affordable again for millions of Americans
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Tim Mullaney | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +12 min

"At the current 8% mortgage rate, mortgage payment[s] are 38% of median income," Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi said. The National Association of Realtors measures affordability through its 34-year old Housing Affordability Index, or HAI. And even if home prices do the decline, that trend won't be sustainable unless America builds millions of more homes. And spreads will likely remain extra-wide until short-term interest rates drop below the rates on longer-term treasuries, Duncan said. "Mortgage rates will not go back to 3% – we'll be lucky if we get back to 5," Yun said.

Persons: —, John Burns, maven Mohamed El, Lawrence Yun, Yun, Mark Zandi, That's, Doug Duncan, Fannie, Duncan, Daryl Fairweather, They've, Fairweather, they've, Freddie Mac, –, Zandi, it's Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, National Association of Realtors, John Burns Real Estate Consulting, NAR, Redfin, Allianz, America, Federal Reserve, realtors, Builders, Fed Locations: Florida, Austin , Texas, Boise , Idaho, Fannie Mae, America, New York, California, Phoenix, Tampa, Louisville, Indianapolis, Chicago

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