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Firm dollar keeps peers on back foot ahead of BOE, Fed decisions
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Trump's policies on restricting illegal immigration, enacting new tariffs, lowering taxes and deregulation may boost growth and inflation and crimp the Fed's ability to cut rates. Following the election, markets now see about a 70% chance the Fed will also cut rates next month, down from 77% on Tuesday, according to the CME Group's Fed Watch Tool. Anything less than a "dovish cut" from the Fed on Thursday could see traders trim back bets for a December cut and the dollar and yields rising higher, Simpson added. The yen was up 0.22% at 154.30 per dollar, after touching 154.7 on Wednesday, its lowest against the greenback since July 30. The Riksbank is seen easing by 50 basis points, and the Norges Bank is set to stay on hold.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, Trump, Treasuries, Simpson Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Trump, White, Index, Treasury, Fed, Republicans, CME, Bank of England, Norges Bank, Bitcoin Locations: U.S, Index ., cryptocurrencies
But based on the information collected, it’s safe to say that NFL teams go through anywhere from 3,600 to 4,300 Uncrustables a week. When you factor in training camps and the teams that did not share their data, NFL teams easily go through at least 80,000 Uncrustables a year. Sometime in the mid-90s, Len said, his wife, Emily, suggested he create a mass-produced peanut butter and jelly sandwich without the crust. That was our gee-whiz moment.”We’re not recreating the atomic bomb here... we’re trying to make a peanut butter and jelly sandwich. Squished, unsquished, you’re gonna crush it.”They are now a staple for many NFL teams.
Persons: Brock Purdy, Andy Reid, Len Kretchman, Len, Emily, Kretchmans, ” Len, “ We’re, Len Kretchman’s, , Kretchman, , ” Kretchman, gee, we’re, Uncrustables Kretchman, David Geske, Smuckers, Dallas Clark, ” Clark, Jon Torine’s, Jeff Saturday, scorin, George Kittle, Mike Danna, Justin Tucker, Travis Kelce, Travis Kelces, ” Torine Organizations: NFL, JAX, BAL, LAR, KC, DAL, North Dakota State, Pro, Indianapolis Colts, Colts, Chicago Bears, San Francisco 49ers, Chiefs, Ravens, XLI, Bears Locations: Fergus Falls, Minn, Miami, Uncrustables Torine
The price of oil could hit $120 a barrel by early 2025, according to Citi. AdvertisementOil prices could soar more than 60% by early next year if conflict in the Middle East continues to escalate, according to Citi. The bank said oil prices could go as high as $120 per barrel in the first quarter of 2025, implying a 62% increase. The forecast is Citi's bull case for oil, which hinges on conflict in the Middle East escalating and sparking disruptions to supply. Oil prices could fall as much as 33%, Saudi Arabia's oil minister said in a recent conference call, adding that he believed OPEC+ producers were pumping too much oil.
Persons: , Israel, Eric Lee, Lee, we're Organizations: Citi, Service, Brent, Yahoo Finance, United Arab Locations: Israel, Iran, Russia, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, OPEC, East, Saudi
Hurricane Milton is battering Florida days after Hurricane Helene wreaked havoc on several states. The two events are the latest sign that hurricanes are becoming more frequent, more ferocious, and more costly. They're also hitting employment and economic growth, at least in the short term. They estimated that a Category 5 storm could lower fourth-quarter annualized GDP growth by 0.14 percentage points, from a forecasted 2.3% to below 2.2%. "Rebuilding should provide a boost to economic activity in those affected regions in subsequent months, and potentially years," Sweet told BI, quoting from his recent note.
Persons: Milton, Hurricane Helene, Helene, They're, Adam Smith, Jefferies, Harvey, Ian, Smith, Michael Mann, Ryan Sweet, Sweet, Mann, Implan Organizations: Service, Hurricanes, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, University of Pennsylvania, Oxford Economics, Boeing, Milton, Potsdam Institute, Climate Impact Research Locations: Florida, North Carolina, Milton
The widening conflict in the Middle East threatens to crimp growth and stoke inflation, experts say. AdvertisementExperts say the escalating war in the Middle East could choke global economic growth and reignite inflation, just as the US is dealing with the aftermath of Hurricane Helene, and China is trying to stabilize its beleaguered economy. "War in the Middle East could exacerbate the instabilities in the global economy, further increase the uncertainties, harm disinflationary efforts, and eventually reduce the global GDP growth," he told Business Insider. AdvertisementKaya warned the conflict could accelerate inflation by disrupting international supply chains and causing the cost of energy and shipping to rise. But he emphasized that hurricanes have historically had limited and short-lived impacts on growth and inflation.
Persons: Helene, , Hurricane Helene, Ahmet Kaya, Kaya, Brent, Assaf Razin, Eitan Berglas, Oliver Allen, Allen, that's, Duncan Wrigley, China's, Wrigley Organizations: stoke, Service, UK's National Institute of Economic, Social Research, Eitan, of Economics, Tel Aviv University, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Oxford Locations: Hurricane, China, Israel, Iran, Oxford, China China, Beijing
The direct effects of China's latest stimulus may not kick in until 2025, one researcher says. That's because Beijing needs to ramp up spending in addition to monetary stimulus measures. Lower interest rates, for one, may not entice households and businesses to borrow, or banks to ramp up lending, given China's already-sluggish economic environment. In particular, Beijing needs more fiscal stimulus to go alongside its monetary stimulus measures, Huang said. Experts have warned that China's economic problems could stick around for the long term given some of the nation's deep-rooted issues, like its population decline.
Persons: , Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, Peterson Institute for International Economics, National, Terry Locations: Beijing
A port strike and the effects of Hurricane Helene could slow the US's transport of goods. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . JPMorgan analysts have estimated that the costs of shutdowns related to the strike could reach $5 billion a day. "The timing of the strike is especially concerning, as the US economy has seen progress in lowering inflation," Mousavian said. Meantime, Angela Blanchard, Houston's chief recovery and resilience officer, argued on X that the response to and recovery from the hurricane would be "significantly impeded" by a strike.
Persons: Hurricane, , Hurricane Helene, Jon Davis, Amir Mousavian, Mousavian, Jason Greer, haven't, We're, Greer, Angela Blanchard, Houston's, Blanchard Organizations: Service, Longshoremen's Association, JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, University of New England's College of Business, Shipping, Greer Consulting, National Labor Relations Board Locations: Hurricane, Asheville , North Carolina, East Coast, Gulf, Florida , Georgia, North Carolina, West
The West is still taking in billions worth of Russian oil products, a new think tank analysis shows. AdvertisementRussia is still passing off billions of dollars worth of oil products to the West — a sign that the West is still struggling to throttle Moscow's war revenue with strict sanctions. CREA data shows that Russia sold $1.3 billion worth of oil to three Turkish refineries in the first half of the year. G7+ nations, meanwhile, purchased around $2 billion of oil products of Russian origin from Turkish refiners, the think tank estimated. Turkey is the last-remaining "short-haul market" for Russian oil sent from its western ports, taking in around 210,000 barrels of Russian crude a day the last month, the outlet reported.
Persons: , It's, crimp Organizations: Service, Centre for Research, Energy, Clean, Argus Media, Bloomberg Locations: Russia, Turkey, West, Turkish, Ukraine, ., New York
Read previewAdam Neuman's post-WeWork venture Flow was launched with a $350 million check and stakes in six buildings. Now, one of those buildings is struggling, and equity investors risk being wiped out. Crowdfunding platform Yieldstreet, which has helped raise money for the property, recently told its equity investors that their investments could be wiped out. Flow launched in 2022 with investments in six apartment buildings, including the now-troubled Nashville property, and a $350 million check from venture firm Andreessen Horowitz. A Flow spokesperson sought to distance the Miami-based startup from the 2010 West End property, saying that Flow has never managed the building and is only the minority equity owner.
Persons: , Adam Neuman's, Andreessen Horowitz, Neumann, WeWork, Neumann's, Yieldstreet, Nazare, Adam Neumann, They're, they're Organizations: Service, Business, Nazare, Yieldstreet, BI, SEC Locations: Nashville, Miami, Denver, Fort Lauderdale
Slowdown fearsGlobal markets are a blur of red on Friday as investors fret that the U.S. economy is heading for a slowdown. Lackluster tech earnings are weighing on sentiment (more on that below), but the bigger worry is a softening jobs market and a spending pullback by consumers that threatens to crimp corporate profit. That shines a spotlight on Friday’s jobs report, scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, and bolsters calls on the Fed to lower interest rates at its next meeting, in September. There’s even talk that the central bank could consider a jumbo half-percentage-point rate cut to pull off its hope for a soft landing in which inflation is cooled without tipping the economy into recession.
Persons: There’s Organizations: Fed Locations: U.S
Oil exports from Russia dropped to their lowest level in seven months. Crude oil exports peaked in April and have fallen 620,000 barrels a day since. AdvertisementRussian oil exports have dropped to the lowest levels since December. The drop in exports of Russian crude oil also comes amid recent sanctions from Ukraine against Russian oil supplier Lukoil, which has diverted some oil flows to European countries like Hungary and Slovakia. Those sanctions are driving refiners in some countries, like those in India, to refuse deliveries of Russian oil.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin, Pipes Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Lukoil Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Primorsk, Ust, OPEC, Hungary, Slovakia, India
Preferred stocks can offer investors plenty of attractive income – and do so at a favorable tax rate – but they should proceed with caution before adding them to their portfolio. Preferred stocks are hybrid assets, combining attributes of bonds and equities, and their issuers include banks and utilities . He said these securities make up no more than 15% of his clients' fixed income allocation. Preferred investors would be paid before the stockholders, but they are well behind the bondholders in terms of priority. There is also the iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF (PFF) , which has a 30-day SEC yield of 6.33%.
Persons: preferreds, Ken Waltzer, Frank Sileo, Collin Martin, Tapping, Wells Organizations: Wealth, UBS Financial Services, Americas, UBS, Poor's, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Trust Preferred Securities, SEC, Holdings, Barclays, Securities ETF, Citigroup, NextEra Locations: Los Angeles, Wells Fargo, Albemarle
Kaspersky Internet Security software is seen at the store in Krakow, Poland on December 30, 2021. A spokesperson for the Commerce Department declined to comment, while Kaspersky Lab and the Russian Embassy did not respond to requests for comment. Previously, Kaspersky has said that it is a privately managed company with no ties to the Russian government. The new restrictions on inbound sales of Kaspersky software, which will also bar downloads of software updates, resales and licensing of the product, kick in on Sept. 29, 100 days after publication, to give businesses time to find alternatives. If it only adds the Russian entity, the impact will be largely reputational.
Persons: Biden, Trump, Kaspersky, Donald Trump Organizations: Commerce Department, Russian Embassy, Biden, Department of Homeland Security, Kyiv, U.S, Reuters, Piaggio, Qatar Olympic Committee Locations: Krakow, Poland, United States, U.S, Russian, Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, China, New U.S, Massachusetts, Spain
Oil prices were stable on Friday as investors considered the latest comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve on interest rates amid sticky inflation, while signs of firming seasonal U.S. fuel demand lent support. Brent crude futures rose 2 cents at $81.38 a barrel at 0315 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down 1 cent at $76.86. Both benchmarks settled at multi-month lows on Thursday, with Brent crude futures closing at their weakest point since January and U.S. crude futures hitting a three-month low. Gasoline demand in the U.S. reached its highest level since November, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday. That helped support the market as U.S. drivers account for around a tenth of global oil demand, "making the upcoming driving season a pillar of the recovery in global demand growth", ANZ analysts said in a note.
Persons: Priyanka Sachdeva, Phillip Nova, Jerome Powell Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Energy Information Administration, ANZ, Organization of, Petroleum, OPEC Locations: Fort Stockton , Texas, U.S
The US is considering reducing efforts to enforce a ban on Russian diamonds, Reuters reported. AdvertisementThe US is rethinking restrictions on Russian diamonds after a wave of pushback from the industry and nations heavily involved in the diamond trade, Reuters reported on Monday. That's a step up from the initial sanctions, which previously allowed the trade of Russian diamonds that were polished in other countries. The government has received pushback from firms and nations heavily involved in the diamond trade. De Beers, one of the world's largest diamond miners, said it supported a ban on Russian diamonds but wants diamonds to be verified at the source of production, rather than in Belgium.
Persons: , That's, crimp, Virginia Drosos, De Beers Organizations: Reuters, Service, European Union, White House, US, Signet, De Locations: European, Belgium, Russia
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. The recent quip on Blind came from a worker at a large tech company commenting on word of more job cuts at Google. There's little doubt that for some tech workers, this gallows humor feels spot-on after waves of layoffs at some of the industry's biggest names — including Google, Microsoft, and Tesla. Elon Musk told staff last month that Tesla will lay off 10% of its workers. Advertisement"They think that their brand is bulletproof," Cascio said, referring to big-name tech companies.
Persons: , Elon Musk, Tesla, Sundar Pichai, Pichai, Sandra Sucher, Harvard Business School who's, Wayne Cascio, who's, Cascio, Rich Otto, he'd, Harvard's Sucher, Zers, Caroline Ogawa, Ogawa, That's, Gartner's Ogawa Organizations: Service, Google, Microsoft, Tesla, Business, Bloomberg, Harvard Business School, University of Colorado, LinkedIn, Gartner, Social Locations: University of Colorado Denver, Silicon
Read previewThe US miscalculated when it imposed harsh sanctions on Russia, and not only has Vladimir Putin's economy weathered the impact, but the West is facing the negative effects of the economic restrictions it imposed. Food and energy prices have soared since the West imposed sanctions on Russia, he noted partly because Russia is one of the world's largest exporters of oil and grain. Even the US dollar may end up worse off due to sanctions, Rubin said. Russia's trade with China, for instance, has nearly completely phased out the dollar, Russian officials said last year. "Sanctioning the ruble and confiscating a third of the Russian central bank's foreign reserves was supposed to cripple the Russian economy.
Persons: , Vladimir, Jeff Rubin, " Rubin, crimp, Rubin, Putin Organizations: Service, Business, The Globe, Federal Reserve Board, Bank of Canada Locations: Russia, Ukraine, China, Russian
On Thursday, Charlie Woods will look to pen a chapter of his own. Tiger Woods’ 15-year-old son will tee up at an 18-hole local qualifier in Port St. Lucie, Florida, as one of an 84-player field vying for a spot at the 124th edition of the major. Ben Jared/PGA TOUR/Getty ImagesWoods is one of 10,052 entries for US Open qualifying this year with hopefuls – who must have a handicap not exceeding 0.4 or be professional to be eligible – spanning all 50 states and 70 foreign countries. Woods celebrates his third US Open victory in 2008. Woods is not yet among the field, but could still receive a special exemption to play from the USGA.
Persons: Charlie Woods, Woods, , , Wyndham Clark, Ben Jared, Beck Patrick, Keith Crimp, Woods ’, Robert Galbraith, Scottie Scheffler Organizations: CNN, Tennis Club, Pinehurst, Country Club, PNC, PGA, Lake Golf, US, USGA, Los Angeles Country Club, Reuters, Augusta National Locations: Port St, Lucie , Florida, North Carolina, Hobe Sound, Florida, Pinehurst, Houston , Texas, Washington
London CNN —The global price of oil rose Tuesday to its highest level in seven months, propelled, in part, by concerns that mounting tensions in the Middle East could crimp supply. Brent crude, the world’s oil benchmark, climbed as much as 1.8% to $89 a barrel, the highest since early September, before paring those gains slightly mid-afternoon in Europe. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude, the US benchmark, also rose 1.8% to reach a five-month high of $85 a barrel. “You’ve got ongoing Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries… Houthi attacks on shipping in the Red Sea,” as well as a “general sense that the Middle East is less stable than it was a year ago,” he told CNN. Geopolitical tensionsWriting about higher oil prices Tuesday, Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at financial services company Hargreaves Lansdown, singled out escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East following an airstrike on Iran’s embassy in Syria Monday.
Persons: Richard Bronze, “ You’ve, , Sophie Lund, Yates, Hargreaves Lansdown, Israel, , specter, Brent, Bill Weatherburn Organizations: London CNN, Brent, West, CNN, Revolutionary Guards, Organization of, Petroleum, Lund, Capital Economics Locations: Europe, West Texas, Brent, United States, Red, , Syria Monday, Iran, Syria, Israel, Tehran, Quds, OPEC, Iran’s, Damascus, Gaza, China
My husband Barry and I got married in 1978, and for the first half of our marriage, he and I maintained separate finances. Our approach worked fine for the first few years because life wasn't very pricey where we lived back then in Bellingham, Washington. When Louisa Rogers and her husband Barry first got married, they kept their finances separate. We still had separate finances at the time. Combining our finances not only helped us relax, but we've also become more creative and generous both with time and money.
Persons: Barry, Louisa Rogers, I'd, we've Organizations: Palo Alto, USAID Locations: Bellingham , Washington, Palo Alto , California, California, Windy Hill, Alto, Palo, Oaxaca, Mexico
They were forced into action after Silicon Valley Bank collapsed on March 10, 2023, quickly followed by two other lenders, First Republic and Signature Bank. Faced with the threat of a billowing crisis that could threaten the banking industry — the worst one since 2008 — rivals and regulators put together a huge bailout fund. Indeed, many bankers and their lobbyists now rush to describe the period as a regional banking crisis, a term that tends to understate how worried the industry was at the time. One reason for the increased tensions is that government officials are proposing rule changes that lenders argue will crimp their businesses, and would not have done much to stem Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse. In just a few days last March, Silicon Valley Bank went from a darling of the banking world to collapse.
Organizations: First, Signature Bank, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Silicon
China's real estate slump is about to get worse
  + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Capital Economics said the "unavoidable structural decline" in China's property sector has only just begun. AdvertisementSeveral years in and China's prolonged real estate slump has been well-documented, but the landscape may be about to deteriorate further as construction enters a deeper correction, Capital Economics said in a note Wednesday. AdvertisementResidential real estate activity in China Capital Economics, CEICSizable infrastructure support has prevented construction from falling as much as anticipated. As Capital Economics highlights, real estate construction remains an opaque measurement in China. In Capital Economics' view, Beijing will drag it out longer so that it doesn't fully materialize until 2030.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Economics, China Capital Economics, Capital Economics, Capital Locations: China's, Beijing, China
At the current trajectory, that's set to weigh on the economy for the next decade or more. AdvertisementMillennials aren't having as many kids as previous generations, and that fact could end up dragging down economic growth for more than a decade. "What you're talking about is these birth rates dropping very, very low levels, which over the course of time has huge impacts on the economy," Pomeroy said. The impact of millennials having fewer kids will likely be worse than the impact of aging boomers — and the most dire consequences could come 10-15 years from now, Pomeroy estimated. The most important thing to encourage people to have more kids might be a cultural shift in how we talk about children, Buchholz says.
Persons: Millennials, , James Pomeroy, Pomeroy, Todd Buchholz, , boomers, Buchholz, That's, DINK, " Buchholz, it's Organizations: Service, Centers for Disease Control, White House, Medicare, Social Security, CNBC, Sony PlayStation Locations: China, Japan, Russia
Russia's economy can't afford to win or lose the war in Ukraine, one economist says. AdvertisementRussia's economy is completely dominated by its war in Ukraine, so much that Moscow cannot afford either to win or lose the war, according to one European economist. AdvertisementOther areas of Russia's economy are hurting as the war drags on. So it cannot afford to win the war, nor can it afford to lose it. Russia's economy will see significantly more degradation ahead, one London-based think tank recently warned, despite talk of Russia's resilience in the face of Western sanctions.
Persons: That's, Renaud Foucart, , Foucart Organizations: Ukraine, Service, Lancaster University, Kremlin, Russia Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Moscow, China, London
Nvidia's data center revenue boomed across all regions but China due to trade restrictions. The chip giant is now shipping alternatives to the country that don't require a license. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . One place Nvidia didn't grow: China, where revenue declined "significantly following the US government export control regulations imposed in October," Nvidia's CFO Colette Kress said on the company's Q4 earnings call. That's heightened shareholder worries about Nvidia's ability to keep up sales in China's massive AI chip market.
Persons: , Colette Kress, execs, Jensen Huang, Huang Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Business Locations: China
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