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Bolster your portfolio for any Election Day outcome
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
With Election Day underway, income investors should soon find out how their portfolio may — or may not — be affected by the outcome. Harris has said she wants to boost the corporate tax rate to 28% and increase the top rate for long-term capital gains to 28% for those making more than $1 million. That means that those who are buying AMT bonds but not paying AMT are getting free income, he said. Lastly, a higher corporate tax rate could also spur banks and insurance companies to return to the muni market. The companies owned a lot of municipal bonds when the tax rate was 35% and many bought more corporate bonds when the tax rate fell to 21%, Brandon said.
Persons: Colleen Cunniffe, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Collin Martin, Martin, Trump, Harris, Dan Close, Craig Brandon, Brandon, Andrzej Skiba, Skiba, Schwab's Martin, Cunniffe, Cunniff, Darla Mercado Organizations: Vanguard, Wells Fargo Institute, Schwab Center, Financial Research, US, Treasury, , munis, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Investors, Trump, RBC Global, Management, Federal Reserve Locations: China, Nuveen, U.S
watch nowLONDON — U.K. bond yields spiked sharply Thursday after the ruling Labour Party unveiled a sweeping package of tax hikes and increased borrowing. Yields had already risen on Wednesday shortly after the budget announcement by Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, which contained plans for £40 billion ($52 billion) worth of tax hikes and committed to substantially higher borrowing in the coming years. Despite the big moves this week, the gilt market is remaining relatively stable compared to September 2022, when the U.K. suffered its so-called "mini-budget crisis." Analysts had said ahead of the October 2024 budget that such bond market volatility was unlikely to repeat itself, largely because the U.K. inflation has dropped sharply since the Truss era. Analysts at Goldman Sachs said Thursday it would "reduce the urgency for sequential cuts in the near term."
Persons: Rachel Reeves, We've, Liz Truss, Truss, Reeves, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, Andrew Sheets, BOE, Sterling Organizations: Labour Party, Labour, ING, Budget, Conservative Party, Bank of England, Goldman, CNBC, U.S Locations: London
Rachel Reeves, UK chancellor of the exchequer, outside 11 Downing Street ahead of presenting her budget to parliament in London, UK, on Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2024. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — British businesses are smarting after Finance Minister Rachel Reeves' bumper tax-rising budget, with analysts warning that the measures could slow hiring and push up inflation. Under the new rules, employer NI will rise by 1.2 percentage points to 15% from April 2025, while the level at which employers start paying NI for workers will drop from £9,100 to £5,000. Rain Newton-Smith, chief executive of the Confederation of British Industry, a business interest group, described it as a "tough budget for business." That is because businesses could pass on the additional costs to consumers by increasing the price of their products.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Reeves, , Roger Barker, Barker, Mike Kemp, Andrew Martin, Newton, Smith, Morgan, Andrew Sheets, CNBC's, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, LONDON, National Insurance, Labour, Conservative, Institute of, Institute of Directors, of British Industry, Corporation, Insurance, CNBC, Bank of, Morgan Locations: London, City of London, United Kingdom
Where Vanguard sees opportunity to earn income right now
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
With the Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle now underway, income investors may want to take a closer look at their portfolios. In this environment, Vanguard likes higher-quality, fixed-income assets. However, with high yield credit, Vanguard is focusing on bottom-up security selection due to the dispersion among issuers. CCC-rated bonds gained 12.5% year to date, as of Sept 30, versus the 4.3% return in AA credit, according to Vanguard. Individual investors can get access to corporate credit through mutual funds or exchange-traded funds comprising investment-grade or high-yield bonds.
Persons: Sara Devereux, Devereux, Colleen Cunniffe, Cunniffe, outsized Organizations: Federal, Vanguard, Fed, Investor, Securities, Exchange Commission, Fund Locations: Utilities
Some analysts expect Tesla's third-quarter earnings to signal a turning point, while others see more pain ahead. AdvertisementTesla will report third-quarter earnings results after the market close on Wednesday, and Wall Street will be hyper-focused on the company's core auto business. However, some analysts on Wall Street expect the upcoming third-quarter earnings print will be a sign that the worst is behind Tesla. Here's what Wall Street expects from Tesla's upcoming earnings report. But perhaps more important than vehicle deliveries for Wall Street is Tesla's profit margins.
Persons: , Tesla, Dan Levy, Levy, Wells, Colin Langan, Langan, Dan Ives, Ives, Joel Levington, Levington Organizations: Service, Wall, Barclays, Tesla Energy, Tesla, Bloomberg Intelligence, Acura, Volvo Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells
The Chinese yuan has weakened sharply against the U.S. dollar in the last several weeks as the greenback strengthens and investors worry about China's economic growth. China's yuan hit its strongest level in over 16 months on Wednesday after Beijing unveiled a slate of stimulus measures to shore up the slowing economy on Tuesday. The Chinese offshore yuan strengthened briefly to 6.9946 per dollar, the strongest since May 2023. China's onshore yuan is currently trading at 7.0319 against the greenback, also holding at the strongest levels since last May. China bonds rallied after the PBOC announcement with 10-year and 30-year yields hitting record lows.
Persons: Ben Emons, Edmund Goh, Zerlina Zeng, CreditSights, Pan Gongsheng, Emons, Hong, — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: U.S, Beijing, greenback, Fed Watch, BNP, U.S ., Asia Credit, People's Bank of China Gov, CSI Locations: China, abrdn, Hong Kong, London, Singapore, New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPimco discusses the impact of Fed rate cut on private credit marketsChristian Stracke, President & Global Head of Credit Research Group at Pimco, says that rate cuts are beneficial for a lot of stressed credit issuers.
Persons: Pimco, Stracke Organizations: Global, Credit Research, Pimco
The firm launched two high yield ETFs on Thursday, aimed at different sections of the high yield market: the Columbia U.S. High Yield ETF (NJNK) and Columbia Short Duration High Yield ETF (HYSD) . The state of high yield So far this year, high yield debt is outperforming the bond market as a whole. The biggest high yield index ETF, the iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (USHY) , has returned 7.2% year to date, compared with 4.9% for the firm's Core U.S. High yield when rates fall When market interest rates go down, the price of long-term bonds tends to rise. Some other recent examples include the BlackRock High Yield ETF (BRHY) and the AB Short Duration High Yield ETF (SYFI) .
Persons: Marc Zeitoun, Zeitoun, Dan DeYoung, Columbia Threadneedle, That's, DeYoung, NJNK, Kris Keller, Keller Organizations: Columbia, Columbia U.S, Federal Reserve, firm's, Aggregate Bond, Morningstar Locations: America, Treasurys, BlackRock
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWomen's sport valuations offer opportunities with low-level entry costs: S&P Global's SerinoNicole Serino, Director of Credit Research & Insights at S&P Global Ratings, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the size of the economic opportunity in hosting the Olympics, the value of women's league franchises, and much more.
Persons: Global's, Nicole Serino Organizations: Credit Research
JPMorgan says India has an 'improving credit story'
  + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan says India has an 'improving credit story'Soo Chong Lim, head of Asia credit research at JPMorgan, says it's "generally quite constructive on India's macro story."
Persons: Chong Lim Organizations: JPMorgan Locations: India, Asia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe've probably seen the worst of bond market volatility, Pimco saysChristian Stracke, president and global head of credit research at Pimco, says the 10-year Treasury will likely be "in a range."
Persons: Pimco, Christian Stracke Organizations: Treasury
Overall, actively managed mutual funds and exchange-traded funds fell short of passive funds, with 47% of active strategies surviving and beating their index-following peers, according to Morningstar. However, actively managed funds outperformed in the bond category. About 53% of active bond managers survived and beat the passive average in 2023, up from 30% in 2022, the research firm said in a recent report . Intermediate core bond funds largely invest in investment-grade debt, spanning from government issues to corporates. Core bond funds have also held up in recessions, thanks to their diversification across fixed income and duration.
Persons: Morningstar, Paul Olmsted, Olmsted, Olmstead, It's Organizations: Morningstar, Vanguard, Bond Market, Aggregate Bond, Intermediate Bond Fund
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. Treasury yield curve will likely continue to steepen, analyst saysGuy Stear, head of emerging markets and credit research Société Générale, weighs in on the outlook for bond markets.
Persons: Guy Stear, Société Organizations: U.S, Treasury
With the economy slowing and adding fewer jobs, banks are anticipating more consumers could default on credit-card payments and mortgages, hurting profits. "(Canadian banks) are running a little bit tighter in capital than they have in the past," said Adrienne Young, director of corporate credit research at Franklin Templeton Canada. "I don't see them having to go out and raise equity... I think the banks will use other tools in their toolbox before having to go and raise equity," said Maria Gabriella Khoury, analyst at credit-ratings agency Fitch. "They are doing that.. to make sure banks are holding more capital as we potentially head into a downturn," Colangelo said.
Persons: Banks, Adrienne Young, Maria Gabriella Khoury, Fitch, Robert Colangelo, Colangelo, Anthony Visano, Nivedita Balu, Rod Nickel Organizations: TORONTO, Franklin Templeton, " Bank of Nova, Scotiabank, BMO, Equity, DSB, Royal Bank of Canada, RBC, HSBC Canada, Kingwest, Thomson Locations: Franklin Templeton Canada, " Bank of Nova Scotia, U.S, Toronto
WeWork filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Monday. AdvertisementAdvertisementWeWork, the company synonymous with coworking that was once valued at $47 billion, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on Monday night. The main thing to note about WeWork's bankruptcy filing is it's Chapter 11, rather than Chapter 7 which would involve liquidation. AdvertisementAdvertisement"They need to raise capital, and they need to rightsize their real estate portfolio — negotiating more favorable lease terms, rejecting lease terms," said Sarah Foss, global head of legal at Debtwire. It will depend on how profitable each lease is, and what renegotiating terms WeWork is offered by landlords.
Persons: WeWork, , Adam Neumann, Tim Hynes, David Tolley, Sarah Foss, Foss, Hynes, X0GgcZMUHO, Chris Person, it's, There's, there's Organizations: Service, Colliers Locations: Manhattan
Moody's quarterly profit beats estimates on robust demand
  + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Signage is seen outside the Moody's Corporation headquarters in Manhattan, New York, U.S., November 12, 2021/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 25 (Reuters) - Ratings agency Moody's (MCO.N) reported higher-than-expected profit in the third quarter on Wednesday, helped by strong demand for its research and analytics. The New York-based company saw robust demand for its data and insights, including CreditView, its flagship credit research product. Lesser economic uncertainty compared to last year also helped a rebound in debt issuance, further boosting Moody's business. The company reported adjusted profit of $2.43 per share for the three months ended Sept. 30, compared with analysts' average estimate of $2.30 per share, according to LSEG data. Moody's kept its full-year adjusted profit forecast unchanged at $9.75 to $10.25 per share.
Persons: Rob Fauber, Moody's, Niket, Shilpi Majumdar Organizations: Moody's Corporation, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York, U.S, New York, Bengaluru
Tax-exempt income and relative safety are on sale for investors who are sniffing around municipal bonds. Tax-exempt income Interest income from municipal bonds is exempt from federal income tax — and can avoid state and local levies, too, if an investor and the bond issuer are in the same jurisdiction. This feature makes munis especially attractive to high-income investors in the 32% marginal federal income tax bracket and higher. Investors weighing a tax-exempt municipal bond against a corporate bond would do well to check out the tax equivalent yield. Schwab's Howard noted that the 5- to 7-year part of the municipal bond curve is favorable.
Persons: MUB, Nathan Will, Will, it's, Cooper Howard, Schwab's Howard, Shannon Saccocia Organizations: Federal Reserve, Muni Bond ETF, Vanguard, AAA, Bond, ., New York Life Investments, Schwab Center, Financial Research Locations: munis, muni
When official interest rates rise, so do investors’ expectations for returns on bonds, known as yields. In the United Kingdom, the yield on 30-year bonds also reached 5% this week, the highest level in more than two decades. Yields on Italy’s 10-year bonds hit 5% on Wednesday, the highest level since 2012, when that crisis was in full swing. Mortgage rates riseThe yields on local government bonds are usually used by banks to price mortgages. High official interest rates in America and Europe have also raised the cost of borrowing for businesses.
Persons: Saul Loeb, Liz Truss, , Matt Cardy, Freddie Mac, Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley, Stocks, ” Russ Mould, AJ Bell, we’ve, , , That’s, ” Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown Organizations: London CNN, US Treasury Department, Getty, UK, CNN, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, BlackRock, Hargreaves Locations: Washington ,, United Kingdom, Bath, England, United States, Europe, America
Local municipal general obligation bonds help fund operations or specific projects. Right now, yields for local general obligation munis are historically attractive at about 3.7%, said Cooper Howard, fixed income strategist for the Schwab Center for Financial Research. In general, the credit quality of local general obligation munis are pretty solid, said Richard Schwam, a municipal credit research analyst at AllianceBernstein. "There are so many general obligation bonds in the country that you can stay away from anything too tiny. Weinberg also recommended diversifying with multiple states, but cautioned that buying a bond outside of your state means you'll likely be subject to state income tax.
Persons: It's, Cooper Howard, Howard, Richard Schwam, Schwam, Schwab's Howard, bode, Ian Weinberg, Weinberg Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, AAA, San, Family Wealth, Pension Management, Schwab's Municipal, Bond Locations: California, New York, San Francisco
REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration Acquire Licensing RightsSept 5 (Reuters) - A post Labor-day rush of bond issuance by U.S. investment-grade-rated companies added renewed pressure on long-end U.S. Treasuries, as some investors switch to buying top-rated corporate debt offering higher yields than those on government bonds. Investors told Reuters they expect anywhere between $100 billion and $150 billion in new bond issuance this month. Ten-year Treasury bond yields were last about nine basis points above Friday's market closing, at 4.27% from 4.180%, and 30-year yields similarly climbed about 9 bps to 4.38% from 4.285% on Friday. Other factors have also contributed to the selloff, from higher government bond supply to rising concerns around U.S. debt sustainability, as highlighted by Fitch’s downgrade of U.S. debt last month. "For right now, it’s just all about supply, and I think that’s what’s pushing yields higher," he said.
Persons: Florence Lo, Gennadiy Goldberg, Tom di Galoma, it’s, Philip Morris, Matt Tracy, Davide Barbuscia Organizations: REUTERS, Labor, Financing, Investors, Reuters, Fed, ICE, TD Securities USA, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Chase, Tuesday's, Unilever Capital Corp, Philip Morris International, Volkswagen, Thomson Locations: U.S
However, it kept its full-year outlook unchanged and said it expects profitability in the second half of the year to be stronger than the first half. First-quarter comparable operating profit fell to 479 million euros ($524.94 million) from 583 million euros last year, missing the 532.4 million euro forecast of analysts polled by Refinitiv. Net sales grew 10% in the quarter to 5.86 billion euros, beating estimates of 5.72 billion euros, Nokia said. Lundmark expects some recovery in the North American market in the second half of the year. Comparable operating margin fell to 8.2% from 10.9%.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCredit Suisse crisis: Not much risk of contagion in the regulated banking sector, says S&PPaul Watters, head of corporate credit research at S&P Global Ratings, discusses the Credit Suisse crisis and the European banking system.
Investors searching for income were buoyed by the move higher in the 10-year Treasury yield, but there are also some other opportunities to bring in some cash. "They can blend A with AA and AAA and you can get better yields," Weinberg explained. In fact, a good signal to buy munis is when their yields are at least 85% of corresponding Treasury yields, he said. Investors can also buy municipal bond funds to get exposure to the market. Investors can also get exposure through a diversified exchange traded fund, such as the iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF .
Fed Rate Policy Is Shaking Up the World of Muni Debt
  + stars: | 2023-02-24 | by ( Heather Gillers | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Concerns that the Federal Reserve will continue to increase rates have affected municipal fund inflows. The markets’ bumpy start to 2023 is causing whiplash even in the historically placid realm of state and local government debt. Municipal bonds this month have erased nearly all of their January gains after fears of rate increases cooled investor appetites. “It has been a roller coaster,” said Nathan Will , head of municipal credit research at Vanguard Group.
[1/2] A worker assembles an air drill at the factory of manufacturer Katsui Kogyo in Higashiosaka, Japan June 23, 2022. About a quarter of Japanese firms have offered inflation allowances or plan to do so, said corporate credit research firm Teikoku Databank. read moreThe private sector expects the drive to help boost productivity, meshing with Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's "new capitalism" initiative on wealth distribution that put a top priority on wage hikes. "Bonuses or inflation allowances would have only a limited impact on easing the pain of cost-push inflation, as consumers tend to save one-off payouts rather than spend," added Kiuchi, now an executive economist at the Nomura Research Institute. Workers have high expectations from this year's labour talks, which they hope will counter cost-push inflation while tackling the tight labour market to help boost the economy.
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