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Military experts said it's partly down to Ukraine's long-range strikes on Russian ammo depots. AdvertisementUkraine is reducing Russia's artillery advantage on the battlefield, and recent attacks on ammo depots have likely sped that up. According to military experts, these developments are likely due in part to Ukraine's recent long-range strikes on Russian ammunition depots. Taking out the ammoUkraine damaged several rear Russian ammo depots using long-range weapons in a string of long-range strikes that began last month. But Kastehelmi said that in the long run, Russia will "most likely" be able to adapt to Ukraine's long-range strikes.
Persons: it's, , Ivan Havryliuk, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, John Hardie, Hardie, Emil Kastehelmi, Zelenskyy, Mark Temnycky, Kastehelmi Organizations: Service, CNN, Russia, Foundation for Defense of Democracies, Maxar, Security Service, Ukraine, Technologies, Black Bird Group, Council's Eurasia Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Kursk, Oktyabrsky, Toropets, Russia's, Tver, , Tikhoretsk, Krasnodar Krai, Republic, Adygea, Finnish
Getting F-16s and long-awaited weaponsDelays in getting Western equipment have long been a source of frustration for Ukraine. Western allies lifted some restrictions in May, allowing Ukraine to strike Russian troops building up at its borders. AdvertisementTaking the war inside RussiaThe biggest change this year is that Ukraine altered the dynamics of the conflict by launching a surprise attack on Russia's Kursk region. In just two weeks, starting on August 6, Ukraine claims its forces took more territory in Kursk than Russia had since the beginning of 2024. Ukraine is "losing territory and may suffer a breakthrough," Benjamin Friedman, policy director at the Defense Priorities think tank, told BI.
Persons: , Abishur Prakash, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Zelenskyy, Volodymyr Zelenskyi, Vitalii, Mark Temnycky, it's, Gabrielius Landsbergis, Ukraine wouldn't, Mark Cancian, year's, Putin, Joe Biden, Benjamin Friedman, Michael Kofman, Rob Lee, Prakash Organizations: Service, Russia, Republican, Business, Inc, Reuters, Army Tactical Missile Systems, Getty, Council's Eurasia, Times, Institute for, American Enterprise, Air Assault Brigade, REUTERS, US Marine Corps, Center for Strategic, International Studies, CNN, Defense, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Foreign Policy Research Institute, Foreign, Kyiv Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Kursk, Toronto, Kharkiv, London, Russia's Kursk, Malaya Loknya, Kursk Region, REUTERS Russia, Kyiv
Read previewUkraine has dealt a massive blow to Russia's Black Sea Fleet in Crimea. Russia has retained control of Crimea since invading and annexing the peninsula in 2014 and secured Sevastopol as the headquarters for its Black Sea Fleet. Related stories"Without an amphibious naval force to land in Crimea, how can Ukraine project enough troops onto the peninsula to claim its control?" Ukraine has resorted to hitting Russia's air defenses in Crimea with missiles and long-range weapons, including US-supplied Army Tactical Missile Systems, known as ATACMS. "Even with F-16s, I don't think Ukraine has the ability to provide its ground forces effective close air support, given Russian air defense capability," he told BI.
Persons: , steeled, Mark Cancian, who's, Basil Germond, Ulf Mauder, Cancian, Mark Temnycky, Ukraine's, Mikhail Razvozhaev, Temnycky, Benjamin Friedman, VIKTOR KOROTAYEV, Sergej Sumlenny, Sumlenny, Operation Barbarossa, Friedman Organizations: Service, Business, US Marine, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Lancaster University, Getty, Council's Eurasia Center, Ukraine, Army Tactical Missile Systems, The Institute, Defense, Resilience Initiative, Soviet Union's Red Army, Russians, Red Army, Soviet Union —, Soviet Union Locations: Ukraine, Crimea, Russia, Sevastopol, Russian, Kerch, Feodosia, Novorossiysk, Kherson, Ukrainian, Pereko, Suvorikin, Soviet, Soviet Union, Operation, Soviet Ukraine, Pereko —
Significant pressure on productionThe US and Europe have ramped up artillery production rates to try to outgun Russia and meet Ukraine's battlefield needs. However, he noted that Israel would fight a "very" different type of war with Hezbollah than Ukraine is fighting with Russia. Ukraine could pay a priceCancian doesn't believe that Ukraine would run out of artillery projectiles. Levantovscaia said diverting artillery to Israel could potentially cost Ukraine the war, but said she wasn't "100% sold," and that Ukraine's innovation and determination could counterbalance that. Even so, Temnycky said that any new limits on arms and ammunition would "certainly" make the objective of winning the war in Ukraine harder.
Persons: , Daniel Hagari, Raphael Cohen, Kathryn Levantovscaia, Jeff Jurgensen, Levantovscaia, Mark Temnycky, RAND's Cohen, Israel, Mark Cancian, Cohen, Temnycky Organizations: Service, Hezbollah, Israel Defense Forces, Business, Israel's Air Force, Russia, RAND Project Air Force, Forward Defense, Strategy, Defense Ministry, Pentagon, CNN, Council's Eurasia, Hamas, Marine, Center for Strategic, International Studies, RAND, Israel, Ukraine Locations: Israel, Iran, Lebanon, Gaza, Ukraine, Europe, Russia, United States
The sea, which borders occupied southern Ukraine, is connected to the Black Sea via the Kerch Strait, and, crucially, Russia controls its coastline. AdvertisementUkraine's attacks have forced Russian warships to withdraw from Crimea and relocate to safer waters, where they have also come under attack. But this doesn't mean ships there will be safe from Ukraine's aerial drones and missiles, experts told BI. But he added that "Russia's warships in the Azov Sea are still at the mercy of Ukrainian missiles and aerial drones." AdvertisementMeanwhile, Russian "missiles can reach most of Ukraine from the Sea of Azov and ports along the Russian Black Sea coast," Clark said.
Persons: , Dmitry Pletenchuk, Pletenchuk, Matthew Boyse, Basil Germond, Mark Temnycky, Scott Savitz, Bryan Clark, Clark, Steven Horrell, Igor Delanoë, Savitz Organizations: Service, Kyiv Independent, Business, Naval Forces of, Armed Forces of, Hudson Institute's Center, Lancaster University, Council's Eurasia Center, RAND, US Navy, Hudson Institute, Transatlantic Defense, Security, Center for Locations: Russian, Azov, Kyiv, Ukraine, Kerch, Russia, Crimea, Armed Forces of Ukraine, Europe, Eurasia, Ukrainian, Western
Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy attends a military honour ceremony on June 7, 2024 in Paris, France. Marc Piasecki | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesUkraine's leadership has been talking about this weekend's peace summit in Switzerland for months, desperately trying to drum up international enthusiasm for — and investment in — Kyiv's peace plan. watch nowRussia has repeatedly slammed the gathering, saying a peace summit without its participation is meaningless. Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy accused Russia and China of working together to sabotage the summit and pressurizing other countries not to attend. Dubovyk dismissed the absence of countries like China and Saudi Arabia, saying their presence at previous, similar meetings had not helped to bring peace closer.
Persons: Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Marc Piasecki, wasn't, Russia —, What's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Jake Sullivan, Zelenskyy, Putin, Shelby Magid, Viola Amherd, Ignazio Cassis, Volodymyr Dubovyk, Dubovyk Organizations: Getty, Peace, Kremlin, CNBC, Kyiv, House, Omaha Beach, Anadolu, Council's Eurasia, Ukraine, Swiss, Democratic, Center for Locations: Paris, France, Switzerland, Peace, Ukraine, Swiss, Bürgenstock, Russia, China, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, India, South Africa, Turkey, Europe, Asia, Africa, Latin America, cyberattacks, Central, Eastern Europe, U.S, California, Hollywood, Moscow, Normandy, Ukrainian, Bern, Russian, Kharkiv
Ukraine has received all 31 of the formidable M1A1 Abrams tanks promised by the US. Ukraine will have to be careful with how it employs the Abrams, especially as the counteroffensive likely slows in coming months. But don't expect to see many showdowns with Russian tanks. Russian minefields have held Ukraine's armor at bay, while artillery and anti-tank missiles threaten the vehicles that do advance. Soldiers handle a US M1 Abrams tank during the Finnish Army mechanized exercise "Arrow 23" at the Pohjankangas shooting and training area in Niinisalo, Finland, on May 4, 2023.
Persons: , Abrams, Mark Cancian, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Biden, Olivia Yanchik, that's, ANTTI AIMO, Moscow's, Ukraine's, Russia's, Yanchik, Cancian, JONATHAN NACKSTRAND, Zelenskyy, ATACMS Organizations: US, Abrams, Service, Center for Strategic, International Studies, US Marine Corps, US Army, Council's Eurasia Center, Royal United Services Institute, M1 Abrams, Finnish Army, Getty, Trident, Russian, U.S . Marine Corps M1A1, 1st Tanks Bravo Company, Marine, Palms Marine Corps Base, US Department of Defense, MGM, Tactical Missile Systems, NATO Locations: Ukraine, Kyiv, Niinisalo, Finland, AFP, Zaporizhzhia, NATO, Oppdal, Norway, Azov, California, Russia
AdvertisementAdvertisementThere's been a clear winner in the global EV race so far: China. Ford CEO Jim Farley announcing its Michigan EV battery plant in February. Bill Pugliano/Getty ImagesConcern about using Chinese battery technology reflects wider global concern about China's domination of the EV battery market, with governments starting to block Chinese investment into mines and factories. AdvertisementAdvertisementAustralia is the world's biggest producer of lithium, a key material for EV batteries, and a major producer of other rare earths. AdvertisementAdvertisementChina may have led the world in the EV race – but those days could well be numbered.
Persons: , Bill Russo, Chrysler's, CATL, Ariel Cohen, there's, Shawn Fain, Ford, Jim Farley, Bill Pugliano, Jim Chalmers, Cohen, Morgan Stanley, Mazzocco, Bernstein, he's, Biden, it's, Ursula von der, Donald Trump Organizations: EV, European Union, Service, Economic, Financial, Ford, Council's Eurasia Center, of Foreign Relations, UAW, Reuters, Michigan EV, Minerals, Publishing, Center for Strategic, International Studies, South, Japan's Panasonic, European, Benz, Bloomberg, White Locations: China, America, Europe, South Korea, Michigan, Australia, India, Nanjing, Washington ,, Hungary
Sen. Tuberville called out "wokeness" in the Navy, saying people are reading "poems on aircraft carriers." But the art form has been a long been a part of military service, especially for sailors. Tuberville faces widespread criticism for blocking hundreds of promotions over the Pentagon's abortion policy. Tuberville's comments on poetry and "wokeness" in the Navy come seemingly out of nowhere — especially considering the art form has a long history for sailors. Sailors assigned to the Los Angeles-class attack submarine USS Albuquerque SSN 706 stand watch as the boat departs Diego Garcia.
Persons: Sen, Tuberville, Tommy Tuberville, We've, Carlos Del Toro, Del Toro, Christine Wormuth, Frank Kendall, Mark Milley, Roe, Wade, John C, Steve Smith, Roosevelt, Champlain, Sailors, Diego Garcia, Jeremy Gross, Smith, it's, Marines I've, Nolan Peterson Organizations: Navy, Service, Alabama Republican, US Navy, Fox, Air Force, Washington Post, Joint Chiefs, Staff, Carrier Air Wing, Nimitz, Stennis, U.S . Navy, Getty, The Washington Post, USS, Marines, US Air Force, Council's Eurasia Locations: Wall, Silicon, Alabama, Yorktown, Los Angeles, Albuquerque, Iraq, Afghanistan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinland's and Sweden's desire to join NATO is Putin's doing, analyst saysAriel Cohen, senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center, says the U.S. and others had been trying and failing for decades to convince both countries to join the military alliance.
Persons: Ariel Cohen Organizations: NATO, Council's Eurasia Center Locations: U.S
"In terms of Ukraine itself, President Biden, the Germans, and others, the French, are not willing to give Ukraine membership right now," Ariel Cohen, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center, told CNBC. "President Biden said after the war is over Ukraine will get the membership," he said. Does that commit NATO to a war against Russia to liberate the Ukrainian territory? As a result of that, NATO does not accept new member states that are currently at war or have land occupied by an adversarial power. "When we applied for membership of NATO, we spoke frankly: de facto, Ukraine is already in the alliance," he said.
Persons: Kyiv's, Biden, Ariel Cohen, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Natasha Turak Organizations: U.S, NATO, Council's Eurasia Center, CNBC Locations: Ukraine, Vilnius, Lithuania, Russia, Ukrainian, United States, France, Germany, NATO, facto, … Vilnius
Face masks depicting Russian President Vladimir Putin, right, and owner of private military company Wagner Group Yevgeny Prigozhin are displayed among others for sale at a souvenir shop in St. Petersburg, Russia, Sunday, June 4, 2023. With a so-called "24-hour coup" by Russia's mercenary boss Yevgeny Prigozhin ending in an anti-climactic pullback, Russian President Vladimir Putin was able to avoid a dramatic and bloody standoff with his one-time ally. Russia experts and political analysts characterized the uprising as "24 hours that shook the Kremlin" and the biggest challenge to Putin and the Russian elite in decades. Tensions came to a head several weeks ago when the defense ministry announced that all private military companies, including Wagner, would have to sign contracts. Putin endorsed the move but Prigozhin refused to sign — only to then lead his fighters in the ill-fated revolt last Friday.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Wagner Group Yevgeny Prigozhin, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Putin, Hanna Liubakova, Prigozhin, Chris Weafer, Weafer, Sergei Shoigu, Valery Gerasimov, Wagner Organizations: Wagner Group, Wagner, Council's Eurasia Center, Saturday, Russian, Prigozhin Locations: St . Petersburg, Russia, Belarus, Russian, Rostov, Moscow, Ukraine, Donetsk
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMoscow has repeatedly failed to achieve its objectives in Ukraine, says former U.S. ambassadorJohn Herbst, senior director of the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center and former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, discusses the status of the Russia-Ukraine war and Ukraine's counteroffensive.
Persons: John Herbst Organizations: Council's Eurasia Center Locations: Ukraine, U.S, Russia
Russia-Ukraine war: China is winning either way, think tank says
  + stars: | 2023-03-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRussia-Ukraine war: China is winning either way, think tank saysAriel Cohen of the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center says "if Russia fails, it sinks deeper into the Chinese orbit. If Russia wins, it becomes a battering ram against Europe and against the United States."
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUkraine's Zelenskyy will probably bring home a new package of sanctions, says former U.S. ambassadorJohn Herbst, senior director of the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center and former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, says Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will probably achieve "not a bad result, but not a great result" from his EU trip.
Sean Gallup | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesUkraine has repeatedly asked its Western allies to provide it with battle tanks to help it fight Russia but up until now, its Western allies appeared reluctant to do so, fearing the provision of offensive weapons could provoke Moscow further. Last week, the White House again declined to say whether the U.S. would specifically provide Ukraine with main battle tanks. Picture Alliance | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesThe impasse over tanks seemed to break when the U.K. announced at the weekend that it would be sending 14 Challenger 2 tanks to Ukraine. Poland's President Andrzej Duda reiterated his calls for Ukraine to receive more Western tanks when he appeared on a panel at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Tuesday. Ukrainian armed forces' soldiers drive a T-72 tank on the outskirts of Bakhmut, eastern Ukraine on December 21, 2022.
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