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☆ What Trump's return to the White House could mean for global bond yields
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesDonald Trump's U.S. election victory has ratcheted up concerns about higher prices, prompting strategists to rethink the outlook for global bond yields and currencies. Trump's return to the White House is seen as likely to throw a wrench in the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle, potentially keeping an upward bias on Treasury yields. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher prices or a growing budget deficit. "Trump's election advances both possibilities as a trade war and increased fiscal spending work at cross purposes," he added. Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, stood at 2.337% on Wednesday, marginally lower for the session.

Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Alim Remtulla, Remtulla, Kamala Harris, there's, Trump, There's, Shannon Kirwin, Kirwin, Sameer Goel, CNBC's, doesn't, Goel, MUFG Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, Fed, CNBC, Treasury, Democratic, New York Stock Exchange, China News Service, Morningstar, European Union, Deutsche Bank, Trump, U.S, U.S ., Singapore, Malaysian, South Korean, ING Locations: Greensboro , North Carolina, Europe, United States, New York City, U.S, Mexico, Asia, China

☆ Get the most out of these tax-favored accounts in 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Benefits enrollment season is here, and with it comes an opportunity for workers to tune up their workplace savings plans and sock away more money on a tax-favored basis. Traditional tax-deferred accounts, like 401(k) plans and individual retirement accounts, are just the beginning for savers. As tempting as it may be for savers to plow money into HSAs and other tax-favored accounts, they'll need to draw up a strategy before they do so. They can also earmark additional funds toward 529 college savings plans and taxable brokerage accounts. In a tax-deferred account, investors won't be on the hook for the tax bill until they begin drawing down from it.

Persons: Marguerita Cheng, Cheng Organizations: Devenir, Blue, Global Wealth, UBS, Chief Investment Locations: Gaithersburg , Maryland

☆ The hidden risk factor investors may be missing in stocks, bonds, and options
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors may soon be forced to take on more risk and rethink their diversification strategies due to macroeconomic uncertainties. And that presents challenges for those who follow the traditional balance of 60% stocks to 40% bonds as a diversifier, he added. "Momentum has really been driving equities higher across the board, especially with respect to large-cap growth names," Adams said. The study found that stocks, bonds, and options strategies could have more correlated risk than is evident on the surface. "So value stocks are about the here-and-now, growth stocks are about the hereafter."

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jon Adams, Adams, Jimmy Chang, Donald Trump, Chang, Nikolai Roussanov, David Kelly, you've, Kelly Organizations: Calamos Wealth, Treasury, Rockefeller, Family, Wharton School, Morgan Asset Management

☆ The 60/40 portfolio is back. Here’s what experts think could happen next
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The global 60/40 strategy has seen a 27% cumulative return since 2022 through Oct. 31, according to Vanguard data. Traditionally, stocks and bonds move in opposite directions, which helps lower the volatility of this traditional portfolio. But that didn't work in 2022, when stocks and bonds both suffered and the 60/40 tanked, which had many declaring the strategy dead. The 60/40 portfolio tends to be shorthand for a balanced, diversified portfolio, with specific allocations based on investors' individual needs. For instance, Morningstar's index that reflects a 60/40 portfolio is up about 15% year to date.

Persons: Todd Schlanger, it's, Dan Lefkovitz, Morningstar, Lefkovitz, doesn't, Amy Arnott, Price, Jared Woodard, Woodard, Morningstar's, Vanguard's Schlanger, Schlanger, … Organizations: Vanguard, Morningstar, Commodities, Bank of America, Fund, Bloomberg U.S, U.S .

☆ Why now may be a good opportunity to buy these bonds — and earn tax-free income
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"Investors should take advantage as munis are poised to deliver good performance into year-end and 2025, in our view," he added. Interest income from municipal bonds is free of federal income taxes. Further, if the investor resides in the same state that issues the bond, the interest income can be exempt from state taxes. Both of those tax cuts could reduce muni bond demand, Li said. As for any potential changes in the individual tax rate, UBS' Mukherjee doesn't necessarily see a big impact on demand.

Persons: Sudip Mukherjee, Mukherjee, Yingchen Li, Trump, Li, Donald Trump, Bank of America's Li, downgrades Organizations: Federal, UBS Global Wealth Management, Bank of America, muni, Republicans, Senate, Democrats, GOP, UBS, Investment, Bank of America's

☆ The 10-year Treasury yield has been rising. Here's where BlackRock’s Rick Rieder sees an opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Opportunities abound for income-seeking investors, even as the 10-year Treasury has seen a volatile week, according to BlackRock's Rick Rieder. The iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (USHY) , for instance, has a duration of 3.2 years and a 30-day SEC yield of 7.22%. Meanwhile, the Vanguard High-Yield Corporate Fund (VWEHX) has an average duration of 2.9 years, and a 30-day SEC yield of 6.03%. "You can stay higher quality, floating rate oriented, and clip yield," Rieder said. He thinks it's prime time for income investors to snap up yield without stretching into lower quality.

Persons: BlackRock's Rick Rieder, Donald Trump, Rieder, CLOs, Janus Henderson Organizations: Treasury, Federal, BlackRock, CNBC, Standard, SEC, Fund, AAA, Janus Henderson AAA CLO Locations: CLOs, Europe

☆ A veteran bond operator shares an alpha-generating strategy for dropping yields and muted stock-market returns
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Credit markets face challenges, but opportunities exist in corporate bonds and cheap optionality. But when times are tight, companies deleverage until their debt is less than their cash flow. The yields in corporate bonds aren't much higher than in government bonds, meaning less compensation for more risk. Advertisement"This trade works if natural gas prices remain stable or rise, leading the energy bond to outperform the overall corporate bond market," Rieder said. "It's an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the current tight credit spread conditions and complacency in the overall credit market."

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Mark Rieder, Rieder, I've Organizations: Service, Fed, Treasury, Bloomberg, Business

☆ Bolster your portfolio for any Election Day outcome
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

With Election Day underway, income investors should soon find out how their portfolio may — or may not — be affected by the outcome. Harris has said she wants to boost the corporate tax rate to 28% and increase the top rate for long-term capital gains to 28% for those making more than $1 million. That means that those who are buying AMT bonds but not paying AMT are getting free income, he said. Lastly, a higher corporate tax rate could also spur banks and insurance companies to return to the muni market. The companies owned a lot of municipal bonds when the tax rate was 35% and many bought more corporate bonds when the tax rate fell to 21%, Brandon said.

Persons: Colleen Cunniffe, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Collin Martin, Martin, Trump, Harris, Dan Close, Craig Brandon, Brandon, Andrzej Skiba, Skiba, Schwab's Martin, Cunniffe, Cunniff, Darla Mercado Organizations: Vanguard, Wells Fargo Institute, Schwab Center, Financial Research, US, Treasury, —, munis, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Investors, Trump, RBC Global, Management, Federal Reserve Locations: China, Nuveen, U.S

☆ Election Day and the Fed’s rate decision approach – Where investors are finding fixed income opportunities now
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Uncertainty is the key theme for markets on the eve of Election Day, but fixed income investors say there are a few opportunities to snap up solid yield even as the market holds its breath. "We are constructive on fixed income as a whole, despite these uncertainties, and we're stressing to investors that yields are really quite attractive – and the income generation we can get from fixed income right now is quite powerful," Persson added. On the municipal bond side, offerings include the iShares National Muni Bond ETF (MUB) , which has a 30-day SEC yield of 3.35%. Vanguard also has its Tax-Exempt Bond ETF (VTEB) , with a 30-day SEC yield of 3.4%. The iShares MBS ETF (MBB) has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.01% and a net expense ratio of 0.04%.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Andrew Szczurowski, Eaton, Anders Persson, Persson, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Baird Organizations: NBC News, Income, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Federal, Treasury, Muni Bond ETF, SEC, Vanguard, Bond, SPDR, MBS, Fidelity Intermediate Bond Fund, Bond Fund Locations: Washington, Nuveen

☆ Morgan Stanley says ‘this is the most important election’ in a long time for these tax-free assets
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Next week's presidential election could have a big impact on municipal bonds, according to Morgan Stanley. In that case, the federal tax exemption becomes worth more, said Dan Close, head of municipals at Nuveen. However, studies have shown a move of just a couple percentage points "doesn't really move the needle" for muni demand, Brandon said. The TCJA increased the AMT exemption and raised the income level at which the exemption would phase out. That's because banks and insurance companies in the U.S. own about a quarter of all outstanding muni bonds, he explained.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Craig Brandon, Harris, Dan Close, Brandon, MOrgan Stanley, munis, Nuveen's, —, Close, Trump, Morgan Stanley's Brandon, Byron Anderson, He's Organizations: taxpers, AMT, Trump, muni, munis, Republican, Medicare, Democratic, AAA, Investments Locations: Nuveen, U.S

☆ Investors load up on bonds and bitcoin ahead of the U.S. presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors have been heavily buying two very different categories of assets ahead of next week's election: bonds and bitcoin . Bank of America credit strategist Yuri Seliger highlighted a shift toward bond buying among fund investors over the past week. A look at the list of most popular ETFs on FactSet over the past week shows that the demand for bonds has been broad across categories. Funds for investment grade corporate bonds, municipal bonds, mortgage backed securities, long-term Treasury bonds and high yield bonds are all in the top 20 funds by inflows over the past week. The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) has raked in more than $2 billion of inflows over the past week, according to FactSet.

Persons: Yuri Seliger, Seliger, outflows Organizations: Bank of, HG, HY, Bank of America, —, JPMorgan

☆ Cash is no longer king. Here are 3 alternatives investors are trading it for, according to chief money managers.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors face diminishing returns from cash alternatives as interest rates decline. Today, cash alternatives are yielding slightly less. Specifically, those who didn't have liquidity needs but chose to sit in cash anyway missed out on a strong year for the S&P 500. If liquidity needs arise, investors may be able to sell for a profit if the Fed's cutting cycle is steeper than expected, he added. Simply put, the M2 money supply, which includes cash and cash alternatives, has skyrocketed since 2020 by over 36%, debasing the dollar.

Persons: —, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, David Miller, Miller, Millers Organizations: Service, Treasury, AAA, Catalyst Funds, Federal, World Gold Council, Investors Locations: Treasuries, Russia, Central

☆ Where Vanguard sees opportunity to earn income right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

With the Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle now underway, income investors may want to take a closer look at their portfolios. In this environment, Vanguard likes higher-quality, fixed-income assets. However, with high yield credit, Vanguard is focusing on bottom-up security selection due to the dispersion among issuers. CCC-rated bonds gained 12.5% year to date, as of Sept 30, versus the 4.3% return in AA credit, according to Vanguard. Individual investors can get access to corporate credit through mutual funds or exchange-traded funds comprising investment-grade or high-yield bonds.

Persons: Sara Devereux, Devereux, Colleen Cunniffe, Cunniffe, outsized Organizations: Federal, Vanguard, Fed, Investor, Securities, Exchange Commission, Fund Locations: Utilities

☆ Traders seeing possible opportunity in Starbucks and high-yield bonds ahead of Thursday's session
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Frank Holland | In Frank-Holland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Plus, they are reacting to Tesla earnings and watching an interesting bond opportunity outside of Treasuries. Worldwide Exchange pick: Starbucks Earlier this week, Starbucks (SBUX) pulled its profit outlook and said sales last quarter tumbled in a release of preliminary results. Opportunity in high yield bonds Joanna Gallegos of BondBloxx said while Treasury yields are higher since the Federal Reserve rate cut in September, she is seeing the best opportunity in high yield bonds. She recommended high yield bond ETFs: BondBloxx CCC Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (XCCC) with a yield above 10% and the BondBloxx BB Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (XBB) with a yield above 6%.

Persons: Tesla, George Gianarikas, Cannaccord Genuity, Matt Powers, Brian Niccol, Joanna Gallegos, BondBloxx, Gallegos Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Starbucks, Powers Advisory, Federal Locations: Treasuries

☆ America's New Economic Supercycle: Growth, Prices, Stock Market Chaos
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

First, higher interest rates will reward savers, making it more expensive to take risks. And with interest rates so low, companies could suddenly load up on debt: From 2007 to 2017, global nonfinancial corporate debt doubled, to $66 trillion. Now, with the arrival of a new supercycle, money managers are once again being forced to adapt to a changing set of economic realities. Normally, when the Fed hikes interest rates rapidly, the stock market tanks. Rising interest rates will make loans more expensive, forcing businesses to make more-thoughtful decisions about debt.

Persons: Josh Hirt, Silas Myers, Myers, Hirt, you've, Joe Quinlan, they'll, Quinlan Organizations: Investors, Vanguard, Mar Vista Investments, Federal Reserve, Capital, . Venture, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Big Tech, Federal Trade Commission, Treasury, European Union, Aerospace Locations: Washington, China, Unemployment, Europe, America, Japan, United States

☆ Interest on cash is tumbling, but these funds might be the next best way to earn some income
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Federal Reserve is about a month into its rate-cutting cycle, and money market fund yields are already starting to pay less. That's where short and ultra-short duration bond funds and ETFs may come into play. An eye on duration Duration is a measure of a bond's price sensitivity when interest rates fluctuate. In that case, ultra-short bond funds and short-term bond funds might be "a natural landing spot for that cash." Those ultra-short bond funds have one to three years of duration and offer some stability day to day, Bartolini added.

Persons: Brett Sheely, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, AllianceBernstein's Sheely, —, Vincent Caintic Organizations: Federal, Investment Company Institute, State Street Global Advisors, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Bond, SEC, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, . Locations: SPDR Americas

☆ Another reason to rethink CDs: Your return is less than it seems
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Now that the Federal Reserve has started to cut the federal funds rate, those yields are moving lower. Lincoln Financial's analysis shows that cash yields have historically fallen by 2%, on average, twelve months after the start of a Fed cutting cycle. What to do with excess cash Instruments like CDs, high-yield savings accounts and money market funds are a good place to stash cash for emergencies and upcoming expenses. However, the forward market implies that they should start to look appealing relative to money funds in about six months, Abate wrote. "We expect investors to rotate from money funds into IG only if compensated for the risk," he noted.

Persons: Joe Boyle, Sallie Mae, Goldman Sachs, Marcus, Michael Kaye, Jayson Bronchetti, Lincoln, Boyle, Lincoln Financial's Bronchetti, Bronchetti, we've, Joseph Abate, Abate Organizations: Hartford Funds, Investors, Federal Reserve, American, Financial, Synchrony, Fed, Lincoln Financial, Bloomberg U.S, Barclays, Reserve, IG Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S

As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, investors should review their bond portfolio, which could see a boost from dovish Fed policy. Typically, bond prices and market interest rates move in opposite directions. While it may be tempting to cling to cash, it will become “less attractive, less productive as interest rates fall,” Ward said. Many corporations leveraged rock-bottom interest rates during the pandemic to strengthen balance sheets and refinance debt, said Ward. As interest rates fall, those longer-maturity bonds should reward investors, experts say.

Persons: ”, Scott Ward, ” Ward, Ted Jenkin, Ward, “, Jenkin Organizations: Federal Reserve, dovish Fed, Fed, Morningstar, Bond, CNBC’s Locations: Birmingham , Alabama, Atlanta, “

☆ Boeing's latest headache: a possible junk downgrade
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Shubhangi Goel | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

S&P Global Ratings may downgrade Boeing bonds due to cash issues amid a strike. The strike risks Boeing's recovery and affects 737 Max production — and the company's cash flow. Moody's also recently put Boeing on a downgrade review. AdvertisementTo add to Boeing's list of troubles, S&P Global Ratings is considering downgrading its bonds because of the company's growing cash problems amid a mass workers' strike. Last month, another credit agency, Moody's, also put the company on a downgrade review, citing the strike and its impact on cash flow.

Persons: —, Moody's, Max Organizations: Boeing, Service Locations: Washington and Oregon, furloughing

☆ Here's how to position your fixed income portfolio for lower rates, according to strategists
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Over time, riskier assets have outperformed cash and cash alternatives, said Brian Rehling, its head of global fixed income strategy. Different types of fixed income Investors can benefit from different types of fixed income in their portfolios, Citi said. But since then, both stocks and high-yield fixed income have increased in price. "Investors should consider taking advantage of any pullbacks in these asset classes to reposition overallocations to short-term fixed income," it said. Meanwhile, it likes U.S. intermediate term taxable fixed income, as it prefers bonds with maturities of between three and seven years.

Persons: Steven Wieting, Brian Rehling, Wells Fargo, overallocations Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Citi, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Securities . Investment Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells

☆ This strategy can maximize yield even as interest rates fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The strategy is meant to minimize interest rate risks, explained Saraja Samant, a manager research analyst at Morningstar. Wisdom Tree has two Treasury ladder ETFs: a one- to three-year fund and a seven- to 10-year fund. Schwab has Treasury bond ladder strategies in separately managed accounts operated by its Wasmer Schroeder Strategies' team. "They can add to or take from the entire bond ladder all at once, which is challenging to do with an individual bond ladder." The 'comfort' of a ladder To build a Treasury ladder, investors can go to Treasury Direct or use a broker dealer and tailor it to their needs, Samant said.

Persons: you'll, Saraja Samant, Robert Scrudato, Schwab, Schroeder, Barry Glassman, Morningstar's Samant, Samant, Michael Kessler, Glassman, Kessler, he's Organizations: Federal, Morningstar, Treasury, BlackRock, Securities and Exchange Commission, Wealth, Albion Financial, AAA Locations: Vienna , Virginia, Salt Lake City

☆ Muni bonds could see a 'fast-paced rally' after having best summer in decades
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It may be time to take another look at municipal bonds. These days, munis are cheap relative to corporate bonds, Bank of America said in a note Friday. "Muni weakness is not the driver here, but rather corporate richness," municipal research strategist Yingchen Li wrote. "We continue to advise investors to take positions while the muni market rally remains slow and ratios are somewhat cheap," he said. Municipal bonds have already had an "impressive" run in recent months, Haskell wrote in a note last week.

Persons: Yingchen Li, Li, Patrick Haskell, Haskell Organizations: Bank of America, BlackRock

☆ With rates falling, don’t make this ‘big mistake’ with your cash
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"The Fed rate cuts are likely to support inflows to money market funds over the course of the next year," Antoniewicz said. While retail investors may slow their pace of investment, institutional flows tend to ramp up since yields on money market funds lag the funds rate, she noted. That cash can stay in a money market fund, a high yield saving account or certificates of deposit. The bucket for three to five years has about 70% in fixed income, with a small amount of high yield bonds added that have durations under five years. He'll dip more into high yield, as well as private credit, in the six to 10-year fixed income category.

Persons: haven't, Shelly Antoniewicz, Antoniewicz, Chuck Failla, you'll, Bond, Failla, Marcus, Kathy Jones, It's, Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, Sovereign Financial Group, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Treasury, nab Locations: Wells

Introduction to the federal funds rateDefinition and purpose of the federal fund rateThe federal funds rate, or fed funds rate, is the interest rate set by the Federal Open Markets Committee. The Federal Reserve lowered the federal fund rate on September 19, 2024, to stop aggressive inflation and prevent a recession. Today, the federal fund rate is 5.00%, with the federal fund target rate being 4.75% to 5.00%. How the federal funds rate worksThe federal funds rate, or the overnight rate, is the interest commercial banks charge when they lend money to one another for extremely short-term periods — literally, overnight. Federal funds rate FAQsWhat happens when the federal funds rate is high?

Persons: Karen Fernandez Tessa Campbell, Tessa Campbell, Tessa, she’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Federal Open Markets, Fed, Market, Fed's, Governors, Federal Reserve Bank, Susquehanna University

☆ How to make the Fed rate cut work for you
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jeanne Sahadi | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

In its August survey of car shoppers, a majority (64%) said a Fed rate cut likely would affect the timing of their purchase. But here’s the thing: Car loan rates are pretty high — the average is 7.1% for new cars and 11.3% for used cars, according to Edmunds. If you do buy a home this year and are considering buying down points to reduce your mortgage rate, crunch some numbers first, Diodato advised. That’s because you will pay thousands of dollars to buy down your mortgage rate now, and then thousands more in fees to refinance. What to do if you’re not near retirement: Reconsider how much money you’re keeping in cash or cash-equivalent investments.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, “, ”, Greg McBride, McBride, Chris Diodato, Jessica Caldwell, ” McBride, Caldwell, We’re, Diodato, you’ll, won’t, Kathy Jones, Jones Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Bankrate.com, Fed, Treasury, FDIC, Schwab Center, Financial Research, AAA, Bond Locations: Edmunds, Schwab.com

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