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The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Wednesday afternoon. "Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. AdvertisementWhat are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Friday afternoon. Advertisement"Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. What are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey
Consumer price inflation slows in September
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
CNN —Price increases have slowed considerably from their peak two years ago and are now rising at a similar pace to inflation in 2017 and 2018, according to new inflation data released Thursday. The Consumer Price Index, which measures price changes across commonly purchased goods and services, was 2.4% for the 12 months ended in September, slowing from a 2.5% annual rate in August, according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics report. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2%, in line with the advance in August but faster than economists’ projections of 0.1%. A jump in food prices combined with ongoing shelter-related price-hikes pushed the overall CPI higher last month, BLS said. Still, economists say that inflation is headed in the right direction, because the factors that pushed prices higher during the pandemic era have largely faded while demand has slowed to more normal levels.
Persons: CNN — Price, Organizations: CNN, Labor Statistics, BLS
Ideally the Fed will cut rates by a half-point without triggering growth worries, Morgan Stanley says. According to new research from Morgan Stanley, that would be the best possible outcome for stocks. Ahead of the rate cut, Morgan Stanley suggested that investors increase exposure to two stock cohorts that have historically outperformed in similar environments: defensive and high-quality. Defensive stocks include sectors such as utilities and consumer staples — groups that are less reliant on macroeconomic conditions to perform well. Large caps also tend to outperform small caps both before and after the Fed's first rate cut.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, , Morgan, cyclicals, Wilson Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve
Crews battling three major California fires could get some relief from record heat and help from the weather as a cooldown preceded minor containment for the blazes. Hot, flame-fanning winds from the desert are dissipating, and the cooler temps may help firefighters give the blaze their best. Firefighters cut and extinguish a fire in a tree as the Bridge Fire burns in the Big Pines hills near Wrightwood, Calif., on Thursday. He also said mutual aid from Washington, Utah, and North Dakota, including firefighters, were sent to Southern California. The weather outlook should give firefighters the weekend and beyond to battle the three fires without unforgiving temperatures.
Persons: Crews, Craig Covey, ” Covey, Etienne Laurent, Anthony Marrone, Kristian Litz, Litz, Jeremy Pierce, Pierce, Justin Wayne Halstenberg, San Bernardino, Fabian Herrera, Gavin Newsom Organizations: California Department of Forestry, Rancho Santa Margarita, Orange County Sheriff's Department . Authorities, AFP, Getty, Angeles County Fire, The California Department of Forestry, Fire Protection, Firefighters, National Guard, National Weather Service Locations: California, Trabuco, Los Angeles, Rancho Santa, Orange, Riverside County, San Bernardino, San Gabriel, Nowhere, Big Pines, Wrightwood, Calif, Angeles, Mount Baldy, Big, San Bernardino County, Highland, San, Washington , Utah, North Dakota, Southern California, San Diego, Los Angeles County
Related storiesThe boom of strength training in 2020Australian personal trainer Kayla Itsines developed the uber popular "Sweat with Kayla" app. "The 20-somethings, the 40-somethings, the 60-somethings will all be gravitating towards strength training, just because of the benefits it provides." They're branding themselves as more of a high-intensity training equipment provider than just a stair-climbing apparatus provider these days. Strength training is ideal for extending your "play span," your ability to keep doing what you love as you age. "What strength training really affords people is to make age just feel like a number," he said.
Persons: you'll, Mauro Maietta, that's, Kenneth Cooper, Arnold Schwarzeneggers, it's, Richard Simmons, Evan Hurd, Pete McCall, Kayla Itsines, Kayla, Kira Stokes, Kaisa Keranen, they'd, Pamela Kufahl, Kufahl, Gen Z, there's, , they're, you've, Antonio Villalba, McCall, Clive Brunskill, Chris Travis, Jim Rowley, MoMo, JDI, Priscilla Del Moral, JDI's, Miriam Fried, MF, she's, Del, Natalia Mehlman Petrzela Organizations: Venture, Business, Sports, Fitness Industry Association, Crunch Fitness, Kids, Health & Fitness Association, Amazon, Health, Fitness, Getty, Seattle, New, Crunch, Athletech News, New School, Brands, Core Health Locations: Manhattan, L.A, Barre, Orange, New York City, New York
Late summer is typically the start of the housing market's "offseason," marked low buying activity. However, this year, the market may see an unusually high level of activity amid lower mortgage rates. AdvertisementThe late summer and early fall are typically part of the housing market's "offseason," marked by low buying and selling activity. But this year, the season could see an unusually high amount of activity as buyers look to lock in lower mortgage rates, a new Zillow report finds. "Lower rates could stall or slow the cooldown in housing market activity that typically takes place this time of year, because right now buyers are more likely to be motivated by lower rates than sellers are," the report says.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Business
But Deutsche Bank is offering four reasons to stay positive even as recession fears flare. AdvertisementIt's an uncomfortable time for equity investors, with the S&P 500 fresh off its biggest weekly decline in 18 months. Although the Federal Reserve is on the brink of long-awaited rate cuts, concerns have crept into the market that the economy is at risk of a sudden unpreventable softening. But with interest rate cuts ahead and recession fears in the air, investors are more likely to reposition. Rate cuts are on the horizonAdvertisementAll of Wall Street appears to be bracing for the Federal Reserve to lower rates at its policy meeting next week.
Persons: , Deutsche, There's Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Federal, Wall, Deutsche, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Mortgage Bankers Association
(Photo Illustration by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images) Justin Sullivan | Getty ImagesCryptocurrency exchange Coinbase just wrapped up its worst week of the year. According to CoinGlass, September is historically a difficult trading month for crypto assets, with bitcoin notching an average loss of 4.8%. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a gauge of crypto market sentiment, is firmly in the "Extreme Fear" zone, indicating that investors are worried about price moves. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a cooldown in the labor market with August payrolls falling short of expectations. Crypto equities hit hardestWhile it was a rough week for risky assets of all sorts, investors over-indexed in crypto stocks had it particularly bad.
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Schwab, CoinGlass, Bitcoin, payrolls, Leena ElDeeb, MicroStrategy, Michael Saylor, CleanSpark, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Trump, Gary Gensler Organizations: Securities, Exchange, Securities and Exchange Commission, Marathon, Nasdaq, bitcoin, Labor, of Labor Statistics, SEC, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, August's, U.S, Republican Locations: CALIFORNIA, San Anselmo , California, Bitcoin, U.S, MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Nashville
And so does the broader US economy: Economic growth this year has been solid and the Atlanta Fed is projecting that growth hasn’t slipped. “The labor market is cooling, but it’s not getting soft. A slowing job market is also playing a role in nudging the Fed to ease borrowing costs. Translation: The recent weakness in the job market could result in American shoppers curbing their spending more than expected. A big question mark is the future of America’s job market, which is a key driver of the US economy.
Persons: Washington CNN —, , Jerome Powell, , “ Powell, Seema Shah, hasn’t, ” Tom Porcelli, it’s, Powell, cooldown, ” Powell, aren’t, they’re, , “ There’s, Elizabeth Renter Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Fed, Markets, Asset Management, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, CNN, Walmart, America’s Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, nudging
US stocks rallied on cooling inflation data from the producer price index report. Investors are hoping for evidence of further cooling in Wednesday's consumer price index. Starbucks gained 23% on Tuesday on news Chipotle boss Brian Niccol will be the new CEO. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the producer price index rose 0.1% in July, underwhelming estimates of a 0.2% increase. Investors will now watch for further disinflationary signals in Wednesday's consumer price index report.
Persons: Brian Niccol, , Dow, Jamie Cox Organizations: Investors, Starbucks, Service, Labor Statistics, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Harris Financial Group, Bank of America
There are cracks forming in the US jobs market
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
CNN —The pandemic threw the US job market into chaos, but four years later, things finally seem to be back to normal. Most indicators support the idea that the labor market is no longer overheated and could easily maintain a new normal of steady, but slower growth. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. “This is a labor market that’s otherwise moderated,” Nick Bunker, director of North American economic research at Indeed, told CNN. The same goes for the prime-age labor force participation rate, which at 83.7% also is the highest in 23 years.
Persons: hasn’t, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, , , , , Madhavi Bokil, Indeed’s Bunker, Bunker, ” Elise Gould, ” Bunker, “ It’s, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, can’t Organizations: CNN, Federal, of Labor, Challenger, Economic Policy Institute, Locations: Oxford
CNN —The pandemic threw the US job market into chaos, but four years later, things finally seem to be back to normal. Most indicators support the idea that the labor market is no longer overheated and could easily maintain a new normal of steady, but slower growth. “This is a labor market that’s otherwise moderated,” Nick Bunker, director of North American economic research at Indeed, told CNN. Labor force participation/employment to population ratio: These metrics are key reasons why Bunker and others believe the labor market remains in good shape. The same goes for the prime-age labor force participation rate, which at 83.7% also is the highest in 23 years.
Persons: hasn’t, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, , , , , Madhavi Bokil, Indeed’s Bunker, Bunker, ” Elise Gould, ” Bunker, “ It’s, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, can’t Organizations: CNN, Federal, of Labor, Challenger, Labor, Economic Policy Institute, Locations: Oxford
“Buy the bigger ice machines,” Phoenix Fire Captain Robert McDade tells emergency managers who call for advice from around the world. “Be willing to change what you’ve done.”An unhoused man finds little respite from the heat in the shade of a bus stop in Phoenix. Phoenix first responders are stocking body bags filled with ice to treat victims of heat stroke, bringing their core body temperature down on the way to the hospital. Julian Quinones/CNNFirst responders at Fire Station 61 are treating more victims of heat illness as temperatures soar in Phoenix. Every summer we learn, and we improve.”A heat respite center at Burton Barr Central Library just north of downtown Phoenix.
Persons: it’s, Coroners, , Robert McDade, Julian Quinones, CNN McDade, McDade, , ” McDade, John Prato, Kate Gallego, we’ve, ” Gallego, didn’t, Evelio Contreras, Katie Hobbs, Eugene Livar, Arizona’s, there’s, Jennifer Vanos, Vanos, MaRTy ”, CNN Evelio Contreras Organizations: CNN, Phoenix, Harvard, Phoenix City Council, Burton Barr Central Library, CNN Arizona, Arizona State’s School of Sustainability, Vanos Locations: Phoenix, Maricopa County, Chicago, Albuquerque, Arizona,
As long as inflation continues to slow, mortgage rates should ease throughout the remainder of 2024, improving affordability for hopeful homebuyers. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Go Down (-0.41%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 5.66%, 41 basis points lower than last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Decrease (-0.39%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 7.45%, 39 basis points down from last week. Mortgage rates also rose dramatically in 2023, though they started trending back down toward the end of the year.
Persons: you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: Federal, of Labor Statistics, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron
What to expect from the June jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
That said, the job market of today is far different than it was 30 months ago. “The labor market has normalized,” Luke Tilley, Wilmington Trust’s chief economist, told CNN in an interview. As such, Friday’s report could provide a crucial signal as to whether the jobs market is at a stable or even pre-pandemic state — or is perhaps weaker than advertised. The continued upswing in claims has Tilley closely watching an underlying datapoint of the monthly jobs report: Unemployed persons by reason for unemployment. The overall labor force participation rate dipped in May to 62.5% from 62.7%, reversing progress made earlier this year.
Persons: don’t, ” Luke Tilley, , Nela Richardson, ” Dean Baker, aren’t, Tilley, ” Tilley, That’s, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, Rachel Sederberg, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Jerome Powell, Powell, , can’t, Lightcast’s Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Center for Economic, Policy Research, of Labor, Challenger, ZipRecruiter, , CNN Business, Workers, Federal Reserve, Labor Locations: Wilmington, , Portugal
The 10-year Treasury yield spiked 13 basis points to 4.479%. AdvertisementUS stocks ended higher on Monday to start the second half of the year, rising even as bond yields soared during the session. Meanwhile, shifting outlooks on the US election have added uncertainty to the bond market, and yields on the 10-year Treasury surgedon Monday. The 10-year Treasury yield spiked 12 basis points to 4.469%. Among individual stock movers on Monday, Chewy whiplashed after meme-trading legend Keith Gill disclosed a $245 million stake in the company.
Persons: , Stocks, surgedon, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Chewy, Keith Gill Organizations: Treasury, Service, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Trump, Traders, Federal Locations: France
Read previewWhen Justin Shields started the Venice Run Club in August 2020, he wasn't looking for love. Justin and Erin Shields met at Venice Run Club. Related storiesIn an increasingly online world where young people are feeling lonelier than ever, running clubs offer regular, real-life interactions with people with shared interests. Each Venice Run Club session attracts hundreds of runners. Venice Run Club has created plenty of friendships.
Persons: , Justin Shields, Shields, Erin, Justin, Erin Shields, Grace Wilson, Tinder, Eventbrite, it's, Hayden Boles, Aniko, Hayden Boles Boles, Emma Atwell, They've, Atwell, " Atwell, Daniel Belk, Coodown, Bailey Ness, Greyson Tarantino Organizations: Service, Venice Run Club, Business, Venice Run, BI, Cooldown Run, VRC Locations: Venice, Los Angeles, Denver, Colorado, Cooldown, Venice Beach
Generative AI has become the leading conversation topic at the world's premiere consulting firms. "How do we actually inject gen AI and AI thinking into ways of doing business?" The launch of ChatGPT marked an inflection point for McKinsey's work on generative AI. He added that McKinsey has worked on roughly 400 generative AI projects in the last six months. McKinsey's work helps the young startup "build trust" among more organizations, Cohere's founder and CEO Aidan Gomez told Business Insider.
Persons: It's, Ben Ellencweig, Ellencweig, they're, it's, Aidan Gomez Organizations: Service, McKinsey & Company, McKinsey, Business Locations: India, Brazil, United States, Israel
In today's big story, we're looking at Chipotle's newest pitch in the big business that is winning your lunch break. Market research firm Future Markets Insights pegged the lunch takeout market at $215.3 billion in 2022 . Chipotle's latest marketing campaign shows how creative restaurants are getting to nab your lunch order. Bitcoin's cooldown might be a warning for the stock market. A Stifel strategist predicted a late-summer stock market decline based on bitcoin's 10% sell-off in the past few weeks.
Persons: , Chelsea Jia Feng, Keith Lee, Alyssa Powell, haven't, Taco Bell, Tim Hortons, Burger King, sarayut Thaneerat, Tyler Le, Ken Griffin, Bitcoin's, isn't, That's, Jensen Huang's, Satya Nadella's, Marc Piasecki, Elon Musk, They're, Alfie, Alfie Health, Donald Trump, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, nab, bros, Chipotle, Getty, Brands, KFC, Taco, BI Citadel, Sunshine State, Congressional, Nasdaq, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Elon Locations: Cava, Illinois, Florida, China, New York, London
CNN —“Good news is bad news” has been a common refrain for a while now. When economic reports are released that are solid, they have all too often been clouded with concerns that good news for the economy actually means a longer wait before the Federal Reserve rolls out rate cuts. Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index cooled more than expected in May, with prices holding flat on the month for the first time since July 2022. The markets don’t seem to be buying the one-cut plan, especially after the Producer Price Index on Thursday showed that wholesale prices fell from April to May and the BLS’ Import and Export Price Index showed that US imports prices fell 0.4% in May after rising 0.9% in April. And more good news is likely on the way this next week and later this month, Brusuelas said.
Persons: CNN —, , Joe Brusuelas, , ” Brusuelas, spoilsport, Price, ” Chris Rupkey, , ” Rupkey, Brusuelas Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, RSM US, New York Fed, National Federation of Independent, Consumer, Index, BLS, Price, FwdBonds, CPI, PPI
US stocks dipped on Friday after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 reached record highs four days in a row. Investors expect the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates at its September FOMC meeting. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Friday's decline in stocks was preceded by a sharp decline in European stocks, as recent election results continue to make waves in France and Germany. The market currently expects the Fed to begin cutting interest rates at its September FOMC meeting.
Persons: Loretta Mester, , DAX, Austan, Mester Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Investors, Federal Reserve, Service, University of Michigan, Fed, Here's Locations: France, Germany
The producer price index slid 0.2% month over month against forecasts of a 0.1% decrease. Tesla stock jumped as Elon Musk said on X his pay package was headed for approval. AdvertisementUS stocks continued their rally to record highs on Thursday after investors took in another cooler-than-expected inflation print. In May, the producer price index slid 0.2% month over month against forecasts of a 0.1% decrease. Tesla stock jumped more than 6% as Elon Musk said on X that his $56 billion compensation package was headed for shareholder approval.
Persons: Stocks, Elon Musk, , Clark, Bellwether, DealBook Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, PPI, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Vanguard, BlackRock, Here's
Despite the rare event, it’s unlikely the stock market will swing widely because of the economic two-fer, some investors say. Inflation showed signs of cooling in April after staying worryingly warm during the first quarter of this year. America’s rural hospitals keep getting attacked by cybercriminals. Microsoft said in a statement to CNN that it would provide free security updates for eligible rural hospitals, as well as security assessments and training for hospital staff. Google will provide free cybersecurity advice to rural hospitals and start a pilot program to match the firm’s cybersecurity services with the needs of rural hospitals.
Persons: Powell, , Dave Sekera, Alicia Wallace, Sean Lyngaas, Michelle Watson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, CPI, Bank of America, Morningstar, Investors, Traders, Fed, UBS, Federal Reserve Bank of New, The, Consumer, cybercriminals, Microsoft, Google, White, CNN, White House National Security Council Locations: New York, pare, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York, United States
The next rate decision from the Federal Reserve coupled with May inflation data, both on Wednesday, will play key roles in how stocks perform next week — quite probably lending added volatility to an already jittery market. The Fed's rate decision All eyes are on the Fed next week and its rate decision that's set to come down at 2 p.m. Wednesday. But investors have tempered expectations since then amid a spate of stubborn inflation data. That makes May's consumer price index report due out before the bell Wednesday another key focal point for investors. Economists polled by Dow Jones are bracing for the consumer price index to rise 3.4% year over year and 0.1% on a monthly basis.
Persons: nonfarm, Kathryn Kaminski, Scott Wren, they've, it's, Tony Roth, Envestnet's Dana D'Auria, D'Auria, Dow Jones, Wells, Wren, John Belton, Apple, Jerome Powell, John Wiley Friday Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, GameStop, Dow, AlphaSimplex Group, Fed, Federal Open Market, European Central Bank, European Union, Wells Fargo Investment, Wilmington Trust's, CPI, Apple's Worldwide, Broadcom, Dave, Treasury, Signet Jewelers, University of Michigan Locations: Wells Fargo, Cupertino , California
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